What Businesses To Watch What Risks To Watch Who Are The Leaders To Watch

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We look at the businesses the risks and the business risk management leaders to review the business threats and the opportunities for businesses in UK and globally.

What to watch on BusinessRiskTV?

What is in focus for BusinessRiskTV and its online broadcasting partners? Our online business leader community explore the risks impacting on business success or failure.

  • Which businesses should inspire you to change your business management systems?
  • Which businesses could you learn from in terms of how not to manage your business?
  • What are the emerging risks that could help or hinder your business performance or even survival?
  • Who or the business leaders blazing the trial to success? What could you learn from them?

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Car Insurance Comparison

Looking for cheapest car insurance UK

Compare car insurance in the UK. The cost of car insurance in the UK rises and falls. However car insurance always has a significant impact on personal and corporate budgets.

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Very cheap car insurance is a little bit closer in UK

It is easy to compare cheap car insurance in UK. Whether you are responsible for your household budget or business budget it is easy to compare the cost of car insurance in UK.

It is not always to beat the car insurance renewal price. That can depend on car insurance market fluctuations.

UK car insurance premiums biggest annual fall in average price since 2014

The cost of a comprehensive motor insurance policy fell 11 percent in the UK between April and June 2018 compared to the same period last year.

Willis Towers Watson insurance brokers has reviewed the cost of car insurance in UK for confused.com. The insurance broker has found that car insurance premiums have fallen for the fourth quarter in a row.

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3D Printed House

Why would you not live in a 3D printed home

The construction industry has many innovations to solve the housing crisis in UK quicker. Could the quickest and cheapest solution to the housing crisis be 3D printing?

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Low cost homes for UK to solve homelessness and housing shortage

Ramping up affordable homes in the UK is key to solving many social problems in UK. The UK housing crisis requires more than one solution. Perhaps 3D printed homes is one realistic solution right now not tomorrow.

Traditional methods of building affordable housing in the UK can be too expensive. If house building is too expensive houses will not get built. If homes do not get built the UK economy suffers as well as people.

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UK Economy Weak Start To 2018 Due To Weather Not Economic Climate

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UK economic growth 2018 started more slowly than end of 2017. The UK economy news is normally weaker at the beginning of the calendar year. Most of the UKs economic growth comes as the calendar year progresses.

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Governor of the Bank of England Mr Carney

Mr Mark Carney the head of the Bank of England says poor UK economic activity at the beginning of the calendar year 2018 was due to the weather and not UK economic climate.

In addition Mr Carney reports that all slack in the UK economy has been taken up and this is likely to push up UK prices and UK inflation.

With very high levels of employment low levels of unemployment and a million plus job vacancies unfilled it is more likely that wages will increase faster. UK employers will need to pay more to attract candidates and to keep existing staff.

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Mr Carney paints a rosier future for the UK economy in 2018 with downside risks including global international trade war. UK interest rates more likely to rise later this year and this should boost value of the UK pound.

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Your Business Forecast To Grow Faster Than The CBI Thinks

Confederation of British Industry CBI Is Politically Motivated and Industry Biased Reports

Absolutely no one can state with absolute certainty what the impact of Brexit will be on UK economy. Most of the articles on the impact of Brexit are politically biased Leave or Remain as there is still a fight for the result of the real Brexit vote.

Many reports including the ones from the CBI are also industry biased. The industry most likely though not guaranteed to suffer if and when the UK leaves the European Union EU will be the financial services industry. This particular industry could actually also be the main industry benefactor from Brexit too but a lot will depend on the end deal with the EU.

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Most business leaders in the UK can not control Brexit but they can control the impact of Brexit on their own business

Do not let the CBI the media or your mother dictate how you react to Brexit should it eventually happen. Deal with what you know for certain. The value of the UK pound has fallen against a basket of foreign currencies because the financial markets do not like uncertainty and it is highly uncertain if there will be a Brexit, and if it happens what kind of Brexit it will be. The UK certainly has a massive opportunity right now, never mind March 2019 or later to sell more overseas.

UK business leaders need to lay the foundations for a better future whether Brexit happens or not

Seize the day! The devaluation of the UK pound will remain as it is or devalue further over the next few years unless Brexit is stopped. This devaluation negates most of the trade tariffs that could be imposed by EU or are imposed by other non EU countries already.

Don’t wait for tariff free agreements from wherever they might come. Tariff free agreements could become the cherry on top of the cake for UK international traders. Tariff free agreements could also boost the value of the pound and there will be no net benefit from the signing of tariff free agreement in terms of the cost of your products or services to overseas buyers from your business in UK.

UK business leaders will look back on this period of UK economic history and think they missed a massive business opportunity to sell more overseas

This is the time to sell more overseas not when free trade agreements have been signed if they ever get signed.

European Free Trade

Economic uncertainty has brought a massive opportunity as well as threat to UK businesses. Many UK business manufacturers have already exploited this perceived UK economy weakness to export more. If you want to concentrate your focus on the UK domestic market alone, then we wish you well.

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Higher UK Interest Rates Are Coming So Fill Your Boots With Cheap Money Now

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Current interest rate in UK is 0.25 percent but this is set to rise in 2017

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If the Bank of England pushes up UK interest rate, lenders will follow suit and it will cost you more money to buy a house build that extension lease a new car or invest in your business.

17th October 2017 UK Inflation Rises Even Further Beyond Bank of England Target of 2 percent

UK’s inflation reached 3 percent in September 50 percent higher than targeted according to the Office for National Statistics ONS.

3 percent is the UKs highest inflation level in since April 2012. This is a continuation a rising inflation trend in the UK. This validates the expectation of a UK interest rate hike in November 2017 especially as rising UK inflation should herald rising wages.

Pensioners will definitely win from September’s increase in inflation. UK state pension is linked to September’s inflation rate and this means pensioners will get a 3 percent wage rise next April 2018. The triple lock on pensions means that pensioners are guaranteed a minimum increase each year by whichever is the highest of Septembers inflation rate average earnings growth or 2.5 percent.

If you are planning on borrowing money in UK get in now whilst lenders rates are at their lowest

Could UK interest rates fall even further? Of course they could! Will they? Not on your nelly!

UK interest rate is currently at its lowest. The only way is up but when will they rise? They should have risen by now and as each day passes the likelihood of an increase in interest rate in UK increases.

Currently the UK manufacturing sector is selling more than it has ever done since 1988. Exports are at their highest since 1995. The UK manufacturing sector is trying to recruit more people.

Unemployment is at its lowest rate since the 1970s. Employment rate is at its highest ever. Millions of job vacancies are unfilled. Employers will have to increase pay to retain and attract staff and this will push inflation up higher.

Inflation is running at 2.9 percent and is probably already at 3.0 percent. The Bank of England has a KPI to trigger interest rate increases. Its 2.0 percent. UK inflation is currently 50 percent higher than the optimal inflation rate of 2.0 percent and if the Governor of the Bank of England was a balanced analyst he would know that he needs to help the Monetary Policy Committee to increase UK interest rate to 0.5 percent in 2017.

Mr Carney has today admitted UK businesses are investing more as the global economy is set to boom. The UK economy will probably grow at least as fast as 2016 and by the end of 2017 growth in UK will be a healthy 2.0 percent.

Increasing UK interest rate will support the value of the UK pound and this will make it slightly harder to export and slightly easier to import to UK which will help control inflation.

The UK needs to prepare for the next financial disaster that the financial services industry cook’s up. Part of the preparation is increasing interest rate towards the long-term UK average of 5.0 percent yes 5.0 percent not 0.5 percent. Even if the Bank of England did increase UK interest rate to 0.5 percent it would still be at a rate that is a tenth of the normal for the UK. Thats how far interest rates will go and it will go relatively fast to stop consumer bubble like that in car sales by finance.

So if you want to borrow money in the UK you will never get a better time to borrow than now. Mr Carney flip flops about when it comes to monetary guidance. One minute the economic data points to a UK interest rate rise the next Mr Carney thinks the same data points to maintaining UK interest rate, or even cutting UK interest rate. Mr Carney will soon be going on a mid career break with Mrs May. She will bore him to death about her policy of a strong and stable government, and he can bore her about his kangeroo petrol monetary guidance policy.

The new and enlightened and emboldened MPC should increase UK interest rate this year. If the MPC doesn’t then we need a new MPC.

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Scores of bankers have been jailed for their part in the financial crisis but the rest of the world should hang its head in shame for its lack of demonstration of accountability for actions and inaction in face of corporate risk

Financial services industry leaders not just bankers were highly culpable for the financial crisis upon which people committed suicide and a lost their shirts.   Financial leaders should lose their liberty.

The next financial crisis is just around the corner. We have seen many incidents since the financial crisis that haven’t quite been systemic risk events but they have cost financial services companys billions in fines for poor and deliberate malpractice. Financial services leaders haven’t learnt their lesson. They are just paying lip-service to good corporate governance. Only the real threat of the jail will stop the next financial crisis happening.

Not only have the culprits for the financial crisis got away with it, they have gone on to be leaders in the financial services industry or other leading businesses.

From leading bankers to leading politicians to leading regulators to leading credit rating agency leaders to leading central bankers they have all prospered despite the financial crisis and many have gone from causing the financial crisis to other positions of power without being held to account for their actions or inaction.

There has been limited tightening of global financial services regulations but the ultimate sanction of losing your liberty is still highly unlikely. It still more likely that financial services leaders will depart their employer with handsome pay-offs and pension packages rather than serving time in a USA or UK jail.

Until individual financial services industry leaders face and are convicted of criminal prosecutions business leaders will continue to lead their employers to hefty financial penalties and even liquidation. If you kill someone at work, you at least have some real chance of going to jail. If you kill a corporate entity, you will almost certainly not go to jail in UK and USA. Appearing in court to face charges is not the same as losing your liberty for 7 to 10 years.

European countries have been a little more robust at jailing the guilty but only a few can be proud of their resolve to improve corporate governance in practice.

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20th June 2017 SFO charges former Barclays chief executive John Varley and three others Roger Jenkins Tom Kalaris and Richard Boath. After a five-year investigation into the £12bn bailout fundraising recapitalisation of Barclays bank by Qatar

Barclays strategy was to go to Qatar for money instead of UK government. The bank and the ex-bank executives will officially respond to SFO charges on 3rd July. The charges include conspiracy to commit fraud by false representation in relation to a fundraising in June 2008. The ex bank executives are facing potential jail of up to 10 years if convicted.

Other charges for some of those accused and the bank include providing unlawful financial assistance through a loan.

Barclays said it was considering its position in relation to these developments and awaiting further details of the charges.

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Guide to Enterprise Risk Management ERM

What role should enterprise risk management play in business and not for profit organisations? Do you like enterprise risk management ERM and want to learn more. Looking for practical enterprise risk management solutions for your business?

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Leadership perspective to enterprise risk management

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Positive Risk Management
Positive Risk Management

Enterprise risk management will not provide any net benefit to the organisation if its leaders don’t buy in to the principles the benefits of risk assessment process and the framework the best performing companies conform to.

Business leaders must agree the risk appetite and risk tolerance of the organisation before the risk assessment process can begin

The risk assessment process is a good management tool but it can be nullified corrupted and cost the organisation money and performance if it doesn’t operate within and support the risk culture of the business.

Enterprise wide perspective on corporate risks

Strategic operational and project risks all need to be included in the risk management framework and risk assessment process to provide consistency of business decision-making to improve performance of the business.

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