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17th October 2018 UK Inflation Slows In September

UK consumer price growth slowed to 2.4 percent in September compared to 2.7 percent in August according to the Office for National Statistics ONS.

16th October 2018 UK Unemployment Continues To Fall Wages Rising Faster

  • UK unemployment has fallen by 47000 in the three months to August
  • UK unemployment rate is 4 percent
  • UK employment levels remain at near record highs
  • Average earnings with bonuses increased at 2.7 percent in three months to August
  • Average pay without bonuses jumped 3.1 percent year on year
  • Average pay without bonuses jumped at it fastest rate since 2009

A job seekers market has dawned. Job hunters are in the driving seat. UK employers will need to pay more to attract new talent to fill skills gap.

Bank of England predicting UK average weekly earnings will grow at 3.25 percent in 2019 and 3.5 percent in 2020

UK unemployment is at lowest level since 1975. Youth unemployment in UK is at a record all time low.

Wage increases in UK have outstripped UK inflation for 7 consecutive months increasing the standard of living in UK over the period

UK job vacancies remain at near record level suggests that wages are going to have to rise faster to attract talented workers out of their existing jobs.

If wages increase at low paid end of the jobs market this would reduce the cost to the public and lower government spending as low paid UK workers would get more from employer and less from the state.

There is an argument for pushing up the minimum wage in UK to reduce working poverty create a real living wage and reduce public spending.

Manufacturers in UK are struggling to find the skills needs to maintain supply. Much of the constraint on growth in UK manufacturing is down to lack of workers not other risk factors like lack of finance or capital access. This may lead to more automation. Alternatively UK employers will need to invest more in training their employees to fill the skills gap.

10th October 2018 UK Economic Growth Faster Than Many Experts Forecast

UK GDP in three months to August was faster than expected by many economists according to figures from the Office for National Statistics ONS.

Annual UK growth is currently running at 1.5 percent.

20th September 2018 Booming August UK Retail Sales

Actual UK retail sales outstripped most economic expert forecasts. As is normally the case the UK economic growth is accelerating as the year progresses.

UK retail sales in August were extremely buoyant according to figures from the Office for National Statistics ONS.

UK inflation jumped to a six month high of 2.7 percent in the 12 months to August.

UK infation still remains below average UK wage rises but only just. The ONS said sales in August were boosted by shops offering promotions on household goods such as furniture and electrical appliances.

17th September 2017 UK Consumer Spending Grows

According to Visa UK consumer spending grew over the three months to August at fastest pace since January 2018.

11th September 2018 UK Standard Of Living Continues To Improve

UK average wages continue to rise faster than inflation. UK wages increased at 2.9 percent in the 3 months to July according to figures from the Office for National Statistics ONS. UK inflation is 2.4 percent so on the standard of living in UK continues to improve.

  • UK unemployment has fallen 55000 to 1.36 million
  •  Unemployment stays at lowest rate in over 40 years
  • Numbers of people in work rose by 3000 to 32.397 million
  • UK job vacancies rose by more than 14000
  • UK job vacancies at record high of 833000 which could push wage increases even higher to attract new workers and retain existing employees
  • UK public sector deficit continues to narrow meaning that the tax take is increasingly covering the cost of public sector costs

The UK economy is growing faster than most economists predicted. A shortage of skilled workers in UK will worsen as the economy expands faster.

The recent increase in interest rate to 0.75 percent looks wise albeit at little late but normalisation of interest rates in UK is likely to continue.

10th September 2018 UK Economic Growth Accelerates

The economy economy grow 0.6 percent in the three months to July according to the Office for National Statistics ONS. This was the fastest growth since August 2017. The construction industry and services sector performed particularly strongly.

In addition to strong domestic growth exports from UK also grew. The UK’s trade deficit narrowed.

21st August 2018 Biggest UK Budget Surplus Reported In July Since 2000

According to the UK Office for National Statistics ONS in July 2018 instead of running a UK budget deficit the UK created a surplus. The UK tax income for the first time since July 2000 was high enough that the UK did not need to borrow money to pay its public sector bills.

Total UK borrowing for the 2018 financial year is at its lowest level for 16 years.

8th August 2018 UK Is Now At Full Employment Levels

A Bank of England policymaker Ian McCafferty thinks the UK is already at full employment level.

The theory is that when the UK hits full employment level wage increase will accelerate as UK employers have to pay more to attract and retain staff.

Faster UK wage growth should increase UK inflation. Prices will rise faster unless the Bank of England combats the extra pound in the pocket from higher wages with higher costs of borrowing. UK interest rate recently increased but that is not the end of interest rate increases in the UK.

20th July 2018 UK Government Borrowing April to June Fell to Lowest Level Since 2007

According to the Office of National Statistics ONS UK government borrowing for the first quarter of the financial year was the lowest for years.

Public sector net debt excluding public sector banks was nearly £1.8 trillion or 85.2 percent of GDP.

UK government borrowing is falling faster than the Office for Budget Responsibility OBR has forecast expected

This may give the UK Chancellor the opportunity to spend more or invest in the November 2018 budget announcement.

17th July 2018 UK Employment At Highest Level Since 1971

The number of people in the UK in employment has hit another record high according to Office for National Statistics ONS. Overall the employment rate was at 75.7pc. Unemployment rate is 4.2 percent according to the Office for National Statistics ONS which is lowest level since 1975.

Average weekly earnings in UK are increasing at 2.5 percent faster than inflation.

14th July 2018 UK Consumer Confident In UK Economy

UK consumer confidence has risen to highest level since Deloitte started measuring UK consumer confidence in 2011.

The UK consumers standard of living is rising as on average wages are now rising faster than prices. Job security is increasingly better due to a growing skills shortage.

10th July 2018 UK Economy Expands Faster As The Year Progresses

According to the Office for National Statistics ONS the UK economy picked up growth expansion in May.

Year on year in May the UK economy grew 1.5 percent. Whilst 1.5 percent GDP is not rapid growth it is still significant growth and much better than contraction feared by many.

4th July 2018 UK Economy Is Much Stronger Than Many Economists Want To Talk About

UK services sector reported its fastest rise in activity since last October in June this year according to the Purchasing Managers’ Index PMI from IHS Markit.

UK services sector makes up around 80 percent of total UK economic growth. Recent UK economic performance in May and June indicates that the UK economy is performing better than most economic commentators are prepared to express.

Overall UK economic activity in June grew at the strongest pace since October 2017.

29th June 2018 UKs Economic Growth Revised Up 1st Quarter of 2018

According to the Office for National Statistics ONS the UK grew faster in the first quarter than the ONS initially thought. The UK economy grew 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2018. Whilst this is much slower than growth in the last quarter of 2017 the UKs growth tends to be faster at the end of the year rather than the beginning. UK growth each year starts slow and accelerates as the year progresses.

The ONS also reported that the UK services sector grew 0.3 percent in April which was the fastest monthly increase since November 2017. The UK services sector powers around 80 percent of the UK economy.

29th June 2018 Exports Goods and Services At Record High and Trade Gap Narrows

Trade figures released by UK government revealed that in the 12 months to March 2018 UK exports were at an all time high.

EU countries represent around 40 percent of all exports from UK.

Research from Barclays Corporate Banking found that around two thirds of consumers in India and China and around half of consumers in the UAE were prepared to pay more for goods made in the UK because they perceive the quality as higher.

The trade deficit with the world continued to narrow to 80 billion pounds which is the narrowest UK trade deficit since 2012.

The UK Department for Trade and Industry DTI has set up 14 trade working groups covering 21 countries to scope the UKs overseas trading deals and strengthen ties with key trading partners.

21st June 2018 UK Government Borrowing Continues To Fall

The UKs debt is still rising but not as fast as was forecast. UK owes 1.85 trillion pounds.

UK government  borrowing fell to 5bn pounds in May down 2bn pounds from a year earlier. Borrowing for the financial year to date to 11.8bn pounds 4.1bn pounds less than in the same period in 2017. 

Last financial years borrowing was not as high as previously stated. The Office for National Statistics ONS revised down its figure for government borrowing in 2017 2018 to 39.5bn pounds. This is the lowest annual level of UK borrowing in 11 years.

Once again it looks like the economic experts economic forecasts of misery for the UK appear to be oversold. Take most economic forecasts with a pinch of salt. However you are in control of your own destiny whatever the economic experts predict.

Business Solutions

20th June 2018 Big Jump In UK Industrial Orders In June

According to the Confederation of British Industry CBI British manufacturers have reported a big rise in orders in June.

The UKs rising standard of living due to wages rising faster than inflation suggests that the consumer in UK will also give a boost to the services sector throughout the rest of 2018.

The services sector accounts for around 80 percent of the UKs Gross Domestic Product GDP. The UKs GDP should also start to increase faster for the rest of 2018.

If the UKs construction industry could chip in with some growth the UK economy will be pretty productive for 2018 as a whole.

Now is the time to invest in your business in UK. Do not listen to the doom mongers! Your competitors maybe waiting to see what happens regarding trade wars Brexit immigration or for the cow to jump over the moon but you must not wait. Do not procrastinate. Seize the opportunity to beat your competitors to new business today.

18th June 2018 UK Household Income Growth Creates Spending Power and UK Economic Growth Potential For Rest 2018

UK consumers to benefit from fastest income growth for years in June according to Household Finance Index HFI from IHS Markit. This was biggest jump since the surveys started in 2009.

If UK consumers spend instead of save or pay off existing debt then the UK economy should get a boost during 2018.

13th June 2018 UK Inflation In May Steady

UK inflation stuck at 2.4 percent in May according to Office for National Statistics ONS. On average the standard of living is improving on the basis that average wages are now increasing faster than prices are rising. Average UK wages excluding bonuses are currently rising at 2.8 percent year on year.

UK unemployment rate remains at its lowest since 1970s at 4.2 percent. There are more people in work in UK and job vacancies in UK are very high. Wage growth in UK should accelerate though wage inflation has been kept stubbornly low.

5th June 2018 Should Experts Be Surprised Retail Sales In May Bounced Back?

UK retail sales bounce back in May after the Beast From The East bad weather in April deterred consumers from spending. Consumers bought summer fashion and hit the pubs and restaurants  or splashed out on garden gear and dusted off BBQs. Retailers saw the fastest growth in sales since January 2014 according to British Retail Consortium BRC.

Barclaycard said consumer spending grew by 5.1 percent year on year in May the highest level recorded since April 2017. Spending in garden centres jumped 50 percent over the three day early May bank holiday weekend compared with the same long weekend in 2017 according to Barclaycard.

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23rd May 2018 UK Public Finances More Healthy Than Forecast

The UK started the new financial year in April with a lower than forecast budget deficit.

According to the UK Office for National Statistics ONS the budget deficit this financial year is more than a billion pounds less than April last year.

UK budget deficit for 2017 2018 is 2 percent of gross domestic product GDP which is the smallest budget deficit as a share of GDP since 2001 2002

24th April 2018 UK Government Borrowing 11 Year Low

UK borrowing fallen to lowest annual level in 11 years. Office for National Statistics ONS reports borrowing of nearly 43 billion pounds. Last financial year borrowing was below forecast of 45 billion pounds.

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