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A business risk management plan is a comprehensive strategy that outlines the potential risks a company may face and the steps that will be taken to minimise or mitigate those risks. The following are some key components that should be included in a business risk management plan:
Risk Identification: The first step in developing a risk management plan is to identify the risks that your business may face. This can include operational, financial, strategic, and regulatory risks.
Risk Assessment: Once you have identified the risks, the next step is to assess their potential impact and likelihood. This involves evaluating the probability of a risk occurring and the potential consequences if it does.
Risk Mitigation: After assessing the risks, you should develop a plan to mitigate or minimise them. This may involve implementing new policies or procedures, improving physical security, or investing in insurance or other risk transfer mechanisms.
Risk Monitoring: Even with a plan in place, risks can change over time. Therefore, it is important to continually monitor risks and adjust your risk management plan as needed.
Crisis Management: In the event that a risk does materialize, you should have a plan in place to manage the crisis. This can include communication plans, emergency procedures, and business continuity plans.
Training and Education: To ensure that your risk management plan is effective, it is important to provide training and education to your employees. This can include training on risk identification and management, as well as regular updates on new risks and how to respond to them.
Regular Review: A risk management plan should be regularly reviewed and updated to ensure that it remains relevant and effective. This can include reviewing the plan after significant changes to the business or operating environment, or on a regular schedule (e.g., annually).
If you don’t have confidence in your risk management modelling system, then you cannot have confidence in your risk management plan!
The Cloudy Crystal Ball: Why Economic Models Can’t Predict the Future (and What We Can Do About It)
As business leaders and consumers in the UK navigate the ever-turbulent waters of the global economy, one question looms large: can we trust the forecasts? Economic models, once hailed as oracles of the future, have stumbled badly in recent years, failing to anticipate major events like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. This has left many wondering: are we all just flying blind?
The Limits of the Model Machine:
Economic models are not, and never will be, crystal balls. While these complex mathematical constructs can provide valuable insights into economic trends, they are inherently limited by a number of factors:
Incomplete Data: Economic models rely on historical data to identify patterns and relationships. However,the economy is a dynamic system,constantly evolving in unpredictable ways. New technologies, political upheavals, and natural disasters can all throw sand in the gears of even the most sophisticated model.
Human Factor Flaw: The economy is ultimately driven by human behaviour,which is notoriously difficult to predict. Models often struggle to account for factors like consumer confidence, investor sentiment, and political decision-making, leading to inaccuracies.
The Black Swan Problem: As Nassim Nicholas Taleb famously argued,unforeseen events – “black swans” – can have a profound impact on the economy. Models excel at predicting the familiar, but struggle to handle the truly unexpected.
The Governor’s Voice:
This point has been echoed by no less than Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, who, in a speech earlier this year, stated:
“Economic models are powerful tools, but they are not infallible. They are based on historical data and assumptions, and they can be blindsided by unexpected events. It is important to remember that models are not reality, they are just a simplified representation of it.”
Beyond the Model Maze:
So, if economic models cannot be relied upon for perfect foresight, are we doomed to make decisions in the dark? Absolutely not. While models may not provide infallible predictions, they can still be valuable tools for understanding the underlying dynamics of the economy. Here are some ways we can move beyond the limitations of models and make informed decisions in a world of uncertainty:
Embrace Scenario Planning: Instead of relying on a single “most likely” forecast, consider multiple scenarios, ranging from optimistic to pessimistic. This allows for a more nuanced understanding of potential risks and opportunities.
Focus on Leading Indicators: While lagging indicators, like GDP growth, tell us what has happened, leading indicators, like consumer confidence surveys, can provide clues about what might happen. By monitoring these signals, we can be better prepared for potential shifts in the economy.
Listen to the Ground: Don’t get lost in the data blizzard. Talk to businesses, consumers, and workers on the ground to get a sense of their lived experiences and concerns. This qualitative data can complement the quantitative insights from models and provide a more holistic understanding of the economic landscape.
Prioritise Adaptability: In a world of constant change, the ability to adapt is key. Businesses and consumers should focus on building resilience and flexibility into their plans, allowing them to adjust to unforeseen circumstances.
Conclusion:
Economic models are imperfect tools, but they are not useless. By understanding their limitations and employing additional strategies, we can move beyond the model maze and make informed decisions in an uncertain world. As Bank of England Governor Bailey reminded us, “The future is always uncertain, but by being prepared and adaptable, we can navigate the challenges ahead and build a more resilient economy.”
What business leaders need to know when preparing to manage business risks effectively in 2023
Calculated Risk Taking In Business In 2023
As a risk management expert, I can confidently say that taking calculated risks in business is essential for survival and success in the year 2023 and beyond. In today’s fast-paced and constantly evolving business landscape, it is imperative that companies stay ahead of the curve and adapt to new challenges and opportunities as they arise. This often requires taking calculated risks, or carefully considered and planned actions that have the potential to bring about significant rewards.
There are several reasons why taking calculated risks in business is important for survival and success in 2023.
First and foremost, calculated risks can lead to innovation and growth. In a world where competition is fierce and the pace of change is rapid, businesses that are able to think outside the box and take calculated risks are often the ones that are able to stay ahead of the game. By embracing new ideas and approaches, and taking calculated risks to bring them to fruition, businesses can drive innovation and open up new growth opportunities.
Calculated risks can also help businesses stay relevant and competitive in their industry. In today’s rapidly changing market, it is essential that businesses stay up-to-date with the latest trends and technologies, and be willing to adapt and pivot as needed. By taking calculated risks and embracing change, businesses can stay ahead of the competition and maintain their relevance in the market.
Another reason why taking calculated risks is important for survival and success in business is that it can help companies overcome challenges and setbacks. While it is always important to minimize risk as much as possible, it is inevitable that businesses will face challenges and setbacks along the way. By taking calculated risks and being proactive in addressing these challenges, businesses can find creative solutions and bounce back from difficult situations.
Finally, taking calculated risks can help businesses achieve long-term success. While it is important to carefully consider the potential risks and rewards of any action, it is also important to take a long-term perspective and be willing to take calculated risks in order to achieve larger goals and aspirations. By taking calculated risks, businesses can create new opportunities for growth and success that would not have been possible otherwise.
In summary, taking calculated risks in business is essential for survival and success in 2023 and beyond. By embracing innovation and change, staying competitive and relevant, overcoming challenges and setbacks, and taking a long-term perspective, businesses can thrive by taking calculated risks and embracing new opportunities as they arise.
Top 10 business risks to manage in 2023:
Cybersecurity risks: With the increasing reliance on technology and the internet in business, it is essential to protect against cyber attacks and data breaches. This includes investing in robust cybersecurity measures and regularly training employees on how to identify and prevent cyber threats.
Economic risks: Economic instability and recession can have significant impacts on businesses, including reduced demand for products and services, supply chain disruptions, and financial difficulties. It is important for businesses to regularly assess and monitor economic conditions and have contingency plans in place to mitigate potential risks.
Regulatory risks: Changes in laws and regulations can have major impacts on businesses, including increased costs and compliance requirements. It is important for businesses to stay up-to-date on changes in regulations and ensure that they are in compliance to avoid potential penalties and fines.
Reputation risks: A company’s reputation is a valuable asset that can be easily damaged by negative events or negative perceptions. It is important for businesses to actively manage their reputation and address any issues or concerns promptly to prevent reputational damage.
Market risks: Changes in consumer preferences, competition, and market conditions can all pose risks to businesses. It is important to regularly assess and monitor market conditions and adapt strategies as needed to stay competitive and respond to changing conditions.
Financial risks: Financial risks can include things like unexpected expenses, cash flow issues, or difficulty securing funding. It is important for businesses to have strong financial management practices in place and to regularly assess and monitor their financial health to mitigate potential financial risks.
Talent risks: Attracting and retaining top talent is essential for business success. Talent risks can include difficulty finding qualified candidates, high employee turnover, or inadequate training and development. It is important for businesses to have strategies in place to attract and retain top talent, and to provide ongoing support and development for employees.
Supply chain risks: Disruptions in the supply chain can have major impacts on businesses, including delays, increased costs, and reduced quality. It is important for businesses to have contingency plans in place and to regularly assess and monitor their supply chain to mitigate potential risks.
Natural disasters: Natural disasters such as hurricanes, earthquakes, and wildfires can disrupt business operations and cause significant damage. It is important for businesses to have contingency plans in place and to regularly assess and update their disaster preparedness plans.
Political risks: Political instability or changes in government policies can have major impacts on businesses, including changes in regulations and trade agreements. It is important for businesses to stay up-to-date on political developments and have contingency plans in place to mitigate potential risks.
Risk Category
Risk Description
Cybersecurity risks
Protecting against cyber attacks and data breaches
Economic risks
Economic instability and recession
Regulatory risks
Changes in laws and regulations
Reputation risks
Managing and protecting company reputation
Market risks
Changes in consumer preferences, competition, and market conditions
Financial risks
Unexpected expenses, cash flow issues, and difficulty securing funding
Talent risks
Attracting and retaining top talent
Supply chain risks
Disruptions in the supply chain
Natural disasters
Natural disasters such as hurricanes, earthquakes, and wildfires
Political risks
Political instability or changes in government policies
Example of business risk management action plan for leaders for each 2023 business risk in table
Here is a business risk management action plan for leaders for each risk in the table above:
Cybersecurity risks:
Implement robust cybersecurity measures such as firewalls, antivirus software, and secure passwords
Regularly train employees on how to identify and prevent cyber threats
Develop a cybersecurity incident response plan
Economic risks:
Monitor economic conditions and trends regularly
Develop contingency plans to mitigate potential impacts of economic instability or recession
Consider diversifying business operations and sources of revenue
Regulatory risks:
Stay up-to-date on changes in laws and regulations that may impact the business
Ensure compliance with all relevant regulations
Develop contingency plans for potential changes in regulations
Reputation risks:
Monitor and manage company reputation through proactive communication and addressing any issues or concerns promptly
Implement a crisis management plan to address potential reputational risks
Foster a positive corporate culture and values
Market risks:
Monitor market conditions and trends regularly
Conduct market research to understand consumer preferences and competition
Develop strategies to adapt to changing market conditions
Financial risks:
Implement strong financial management practices, including budgeting, forecasting, and risk assessment
Monitor financial health regularly and take proactive measures to address potential financial risks
Develop contingency plans for unexpected expenses or cash flow issues
Talent risks:
Develop strategies to attract and retain top talent, including competitive compensation and benefits packages and ongoing training and development
Foster a positive company culture and work environment to reduce employee turnover
Implement a talent management plan to identify and address any talent risks
Supply chain risks:
Monitor and assess supply chain risks regularly
Develop contingency plans to mitigate potential supply chain disruptions
Consider diversifying sources of supplies and vendors
Natural disasters:
Develop a disaster preparedness plan and regularly assess and update it as needed
Implement measures to protect against potential damage from natural disasters, such as backup power sources and securing important documents and equipment
Train employees on disaster response protocols
Political risks:
Monitor political developments and changes in government policies that may impact the business
Develop contingency plans to mitigate potential political risks
Consider diversifying business operations and sources of revenue to mitigate potential impacts of political instability.
Why business leaders need to create their own business risk management action plan to manage these key business risks facing their business in 2023
Business leaders are faced with a multitude of risks in today’s rapidly changing business landscape, and it is essential that they have a plan in place to manage these risks effectively. A business risk management action plan is a strategic approach to identifying, assessing, and mitigating potential risks that may impact the business.
Creating a business risk management action plan is important for several reasons. First and foremost, it helps leaders anticipate and prepare for potential risks that may arise. By identifying and assessing potential risks, leaders can develop strategies to mitigate or eliminate these risks before they become a problem. This proactive approach can help prevent significant disruptions to business operations and protect the long-term viability of the company.
A business risk management action plan also helps leaders prioritise their risk management efforts and allocate resources accordingly. By understanding the potential impacts and likelihood of different risks, leaders can prioritize their efforts and allocate resources to the areas that will have the greatest impact on the business.
Another reason why business leaders need to create a business risk management action plan is that it helps to build resilience and adaptability within the organisation. By regularly reviewing and updating the action plan, leaders can ensure that the business is continuously adapting to changing circumstances and able to weather any potential storms that may arise.
Finally, a business risk management action plan helps to promote transparency and accountability within the organisation. By clearly outlining the steps that will be taken to mitigate risks, leaders can foster a culture of transparency and accountability, which is essential for building trust with stakeholders and customers.
In conclusion, business leaders need to create a business risk management action plan to effectively manage the key business risks facing their business in 2023 and beyond. This strategic approach helps to anticipate and prepare for potential risks, prioritize risk management efforts, build resilience and adaptability, and promote transparency and accountability within the organization. By taking a proactive and structured approach to risk management, business leaders can protect the long-term viability of their company and ensure its success in an uncertain and rapidly changing business landscape.
Who should be preparing a risk management action plan to manage business risks in 2023?
A risk management action plan should be prepared by business leaders and key decision-makers within the organisation. This typically includes the CEO, CFO, and other top executives who have the authority and responsibility to implement risk management strategies. In some cases, the board of directors may also be involved in the development and implementation of the risk management action plan.
In addition to senior leadership, it is also important for other key stakeholders within the organisation to be involved in the risk management process. This may include department heads, team leaders, and individual employees who have relevant knowledge and expertise. Engaging a diverse group of stakeholders in the risk management process can help to identify a wider range of potential risks and ensure that the risk management action plan is comprehensive and effective.
It is also important to involve external advisors and experts, such as risk management consultants or legal experts, in the development of the risk management action plan. These individuals can provide valuable insights and guidance on industry-specific risks and best practices for risk management.
Overall, the development of a risk management action plan should involve a collaborative effort across the organization, with input and involvement from senior leadership, key stakeholders, and external advisors. By bringing together a diverse group of individuals, businesses can create a comprehensive and effective risk management action plan that helps to mitigate potential risks and protect the long-term viability of the company.
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What are the risk and opportunities in business
Managing business risks is a critical business issue all business leaders face. However not all business leaders face the same business risks. Similar businesses can have the same business risks but may have different resources deployed in business risk management. Opportunities for business leaders to grow their business fast are always available to you if you look and take the best course of action. Understand the top business risks facing your business with help tips and support from BusinessRiskTV
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Identify and treat risks to your business better
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Explore your organisations opportunities for innovation and development
Capture competitive advantages you have in your marketplace
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Develop your organisations effectiveness at managing enterprise risks. Improve all employees risk awareness. Reduce your enterprises vulnerability. Build business resilience. Open up new business development opportunities.
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Improve the whole business with proactive integrated holistic enterprise risk management ERM
A risk based approach can improve all business functions. Improving each function will grow your whole business faster. Stop your business management being driven by events. Take control of your own destiny. Get ahead of the game.
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Aligning your management of risk with your business objectives
Enterprise risk management ERM principles and practices can help you achieve your business objectives with less uncertainty. What are your business goals and initiatives? How well is your business currently performing? Could you do better? What is stopping your business from achieving its full potential?
If you could ERM could help you do better. Bring everyone together to achieve more with the same resources. Redirect these limited resources for better effect on business performance.
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Business reinvention with BusinessRiskTV
Change management thinking to a more balanced risk approach to threats and opportunities. Reinvent your business risk management model. Work with top thought leaders in the world of business thinking.
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The business marketplace is always changing. What people and business leaders want or expect changes. Change your business thinking to respond with more confidence. Proactively manage potential future risks better today.
Step guide to reinventing your business with BusinessRiskTV
Our guide to reinventing your business. Start with your risk management culture. Identify your management team risk appetite and risk tolerance. Identify your corporate tolerance to risk. The key to your business reinvention is your risk culture. You can then change your
risk management principles
risk management framework and
risk assessment process
This will help you deploy a risk management plan that works better for your business.
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Overcome resistance to become a more forward thinking business with stronger resilience. Build greater business success with less uncertainty. Get ahead of the current business curve.
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Refresh your thinking and that of your business management team. Focus your resources on whats important to your business success. Manage the significant uncertainties impacting on your business objectives.
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Reinvent your thinking. Reinvent the way you respond emotionally to risk.
Is your risk perception reality?
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Choose a more certain more positive business risk management plan for your business.
Make sure you have the risk tolerance capacity to manage threats and right risk appetite to achieve greater business success.
Adversity and failure can help you become more successful especially if you mitigate downside risk.
Grow your business regardless of how tough the economic climate is. Overcome all roadblocks.
Drive your business forward. Change course if you need to but keep on track to achieve business objectives
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BusinessRiskTV Reinventing Your Business Thinking Reinvent Your Business Stay Positive
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An holistic business risk management approach ensures the best use of business resources.
How To Manage Risk In Business
Practical ways to manage risk better. Tackle common business risks holistically enterprise wide. Learn best practice risk management techniques in business.
Its not about how to reduce risk
External or internal driven risks threaten your business. They also create new business development opportunities. Reducing the effect of uncertainty on your business is important.
How do you manage enterprise risks? Do you put risk into different silos like safety, insurance, cyber risk, sales strategy etc? They can be rolled into one holistic risk based approach.
What is the most effective way for a business to manage risk? Look at what you are trying to achieve? Could you achieve more with your existing assets? Has good luck been saving you from disaster?
Understand the bigger picture first. When you know what risk you have then manage it.
There is danger being in business. Danger that you could blow your value. Danger you could under perform.
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Corporate Misbehaviour Is A Misnomer
Corporate or enterprise entities do not make mistakes or create a bad business culture executives do. Illegal unethical or bad business practices arise because that’s the way executives want a company to achieve corporate objectives. Executives may or may not consider their business practices as bad or unethical but the result is the same corporate misbehaviour.
Understanding corporate misbehaviour
It may be a pointless waste of money undertaking a business health check if the executives are going to be unreceptive to the final risk management report, or simple pay lip-service to the outcomes.
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Many CEOs know what game needs to be played with enterprise risk management ERM before they can return to their own agenda for the business. Internal or external risk management audits can just play into the CEO’s attitude to risk management. Such executives short-term philosophy seems to rely on the hope that the shit doesn’t hit the fan during their time as CEO and whatever happens after they move on is not a concern for some incumbent CEOs.
Much of executive misbehaviour, and therefore corporate misbehaviour, is a direct result of executive pay and associated benefits. Misdirecting executive pay and rewards drives most if not all catastrophic corporate collapses. Before the collapse poor executive pay and rewards strategies poison business innovation and employee motivation.
To anticipate which companies will survive sustainably you could look at how executives are rewarded. It is the single biggest driver of corporate culture and long-term success, or not as the case maybe.
Executive managers cause corporate scandals, corporate scandals are not externally driven. The proximate cause of the corporate scandal or collapse doesn’t start further down the organisation nor does it start from outside the company. CEO bad behaviour is normally the proximate cost or the catalyst for corporate collapse.
Corporate Scandals
Corporate scandals aren’t a surprise to most executives, never mind the CEO. They take the level of risk they think is required to achieve their business objectives. They roll the dice and sometimes it pays off and sometimes it doesn’t.
Taking Risks To Achieve More In Business With BusinessRiskTV
For example, many in the banking and finance industry look upon the financial crisis as an external risk that impacted on their business strategy. No, or little, blame can be placed at the bankers door! It was all the other bankers and financers who were at fault for their share price collapse, mass redundancies and lost business opportunities – not their fault as their business was doing just fine until the financial crisis tsunami hit their business.
Such egotistical responses stem from either self preservation, or lack of care for their part in the near global systemic financial collapse of the banking and financial sector and the very near global anarchy which would have ensued. Politicians, who were part of the problem, became part of the solution – make money as cheap as possible via low interest rates and massive almost unremitting quantitative easing QE.
Mothers forget how bad childbirth was
More than a decade after the start of the financial crisis there is still mass unemployment in the developed world and the developing world lost a decade of opportunity to crawl out of poverty. However, the key decision-makers in the business world have either forgiven themselves or reinvented themselves in position of power. In addition, a new raft of politicians are in place, or about to find positions of power, to facilitate the next financial crisis.
At its least useful, enterprise risk management ERM is a tool to spread the blame should the shit hit the fan, so one would have thought that ERM could be more popular than it is. At its most useful it helps business leaders make business decisions that are more likely to be good ones for the long-term sustainability of the business for the benefit of all stakeholders in the business – including the CEO.
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We’ll break down the steps you need to take for heightened success into manageable bites that you’ll quickly digest and move onto the next mouthful without indigestion! Your diet of business advice will increase your appetite for more and more success, but you’re eyes will not become too big for your belly!
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Identify and assess your business risks. Identify risks to your business objectives. Control strategic operational and project risks. Prioritise the use on your limited resources after assessment of the key risks.
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Learn how to assess risk and create a risk management plan to improve business performance. Identify cost effective controls to mitigate and reduce risks.
Evaluate business risks. Identify and assess factors with downside impact on corporate objectives, or upside potential to boost business performance.
Find out about a different more risk based approach to planning your business’s future success.
Develop a new process of identifying risks, assessing risks and developing new strategies to manage risks facing your organisation.
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Learn from peers and risk assessment experts. Continuously improve your own risk assessment process. Pick up tips on how to embed and integrate risk assessment into your enterprise’s strategic, operational and project decision-making.
Regularly meet online wherever you are in the world to speak to your peers and risk assessment experts. Collaborate on agreed risk assessment projects or learn during risk assessment workshops to improve your risk knowledge and risk management skills.
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