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17th May 2018 – USA 30 Year Mortgage Rates At 7 Year High
Interest rates on USA 30 year fixed rate mortgages rose to highest levels since May 2011 as reported by Freddie Mac averaging 4.61 percent.
30th March 2018 – USA Consumer Confidence At Highest Level Since 2004
The University of Michigan says that its consumer confidence index rose in March 2018 to the highest level since 2004.
21st March 2018 – USA Raises Interest Rates
The Fed has confirmed it has decided to raise interest rate by 0.25 percent to a target range of 1.5-1.75 percent. Two more interest rate rises can be expected during 2018.
The Federal Open Markets Committee thinks USA economy is growing even faster now than they thought in December 2017. The American economy is now forecast to grew by at least 2.7 percent in 2018.
8th March 2018 – USA Imposes Tariffs On Steel and Aluminium Imports
In around 15 days America will apply large tariffs to steel (25 percent) and aluminium (10 percent) imported into USA to make steel and aluminium made in America more competitive in America. Canada and Mexico will be exempted from tariffs, at least initially until discussions on current North America Free Trade Agreement Nafta are complete.
Those countries affected by tariffs have warned that if the USA introduces tariffs they will retaliate with tariffs on American products, particularly products made in swing states to target Republican party. It appears at this stage a trade war has started.
8th March 2018 – “The job market is redhot and threatens to overheat” Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody Analytics
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) March 8, 2018
Bank Earnings Are Soaring, But Congress Wants To Gut Post-Crisis Safeguards https://t.co/2swzYhJEog #Banking #FrankDodd #consumerprotection #CorpGov #Governance #RiskManagement #Leadership pic.twitter.com/DmimCsTPEC
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) March 7, 2018
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) February 23, 2018
23rd February 2018 – USA Borrowing More To Invest In Plant Equipment and Machinery
USA firms are borrowing more to spend on capital investment. 10 percent more was borrowed in January year-on-year according to the Equipment Leasing and Finance Association ELFA.
22nd February 2018 – USA 30-Year Mortgage Rates Rise Again
For the 7th straight week, USA mortgage rates have increased. The borrowing cost on 30-year mortgage averaged 4.4 percent in the week ended 22nd February.
17th February 2018 – Mortgages Already Increasing Ahead Of USA Interest Rate Rises
House prices in most states are at record highs. Receiving the money to buy a home in America is getting harder to afford.
Average long-term mortgages in America have been rising for a while. The are close to a 4-year high which means what you pay each month is at a near 4-year high before the Fed commits to 3 or 4 rate rises this year.
Freddie Mac reports the average 30-year fixed rate mortgages rose to 4.38 percent, the highest since April 2014. The rate on 15-year fixed-rate loan rose to 3.84 percent.
13th February 2018 – USA Small Businesses Confident In Future
According to the National Federation Of Independent Business NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, small business owners have rarely been more confident in the economy in the last 45 years.
The biggest threat to future growth is the lack of qualified and skilled workers.
8th February 2018 – USA Is Deliberately Keeping Dollar Low
In the opinion of European Central Bank ECB policymaker Ewald Nowotny, the USA Treasury Department is deliberately putting downward pressure on the dollar.
Nowotny is head of the Austrian National Bank and was quoted saying the USA is trying hard to keep the value of the dollar as low as possible in an interview with Wiener Zeitung newspaper.
8th February 2018 – USA Jobless Claims Fall To Near 45-Year Low
The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week to lowest level since January 1973. The unemployment rate is 4.1 percent, the lowest rate in 17 years.
7th February 2018 – Number Of Americans Choosing To Move Jobs Rises
The numbers of American workers voluntarily quitting their jobs jumped in December to highest level in nearly 17 years.
The statistic is an indication that Americans are highly confident in USA jobs market and are moving jobs for higher pay and or better work conditions.
USA wages are increasingly likely to rise much faster in 2018 due to skills shortages and near full employment which means interest rates could rise 4 times in 2018 instead of 3 suggested.
The expectation of much faster interest rate rises caused shares to have their biggest ever one day fall earlier this week. Share prices don’t like interest rate rises as this pushes the value of the dollar up impacting on earnings and dividends.
Labor Department’s monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS)
2nd February 2018 – USA Hiring Accelerates In January
USA created more jobs in January (200,000) than December (160,000) according to the Labor Department.
In addition, USA annual wage growth was at its strongest since 2009, which suggests an interest rate rise soon and may result in 4 increases this year instead of 3 forecast, as the Fed try’s to cool an overheating economy and rocking value of the dollar.
Creation of new jobs this year is only going to slow due to lack of people to fill vacancies as the USA reaches full employment this year, pushing up wages even faster by the end of 2018.
2nd February 2018 – USA Factory Orders 5th Straight Monthly Increase
New orders for USA made goods increased in December for fifth straight month, according to the Commerce Department.
Investment in American businesses increased in the fourth quarter of 2017 at fastest rate in more than three years.
26th January 2018 – UK USA Trade To Increase Post-Brexit
The UK will be at the “front of the queue” in free-trade talks to create a new trading partnership post-Brexit. The man in charge of overseeing the USA economy, Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin, says the UK will be “at the front of the line” when it comes to negotiating a free trade agreement with the United States”. As soon as the UK can sign a free trade deal, the USA will be prepared to negotiate an attractive trade deal.
USA President, Donald Trump, said at the UK can expect “tremendous” UK trade increase with America post-Brexit. He said “Trade is going to increase many times and we look forward to that.” In addition, he said talks would soon take place and “are going to lead to tremendous increases in trade between our two countries, which is great for both in terms of jobs“.
25th January 2018 – USA Business Borrowing To Improve Equipment Used In Business Increased December
USA companies borrowing to spend on capital investment rose 6 percent in December according to Equipment Leasing and Finance Association ELFA. The forecast for the next 12 months is even more of the same borrowing to invest in the future productivity of businesses in America.
Confidence in America’s ability to finance borrowing for capital investment has never been higher. Business leaders in America should be loading up with borrowing to invest in business future because by the end to 2018 cheap money will have vanished from the marketplace. The Fed will most likely increase interest rates three time s during 2018 as the economy overheats and the Fed try’s to mitigate rising inflation and trying to stop an economic bubble bursting.
Now is the best time to borrow if your business borrows to invest in its future. The USA is approaching full employment levels as joblessness in America continues to fall. Automating business processes will be essential to keep costs down and maintain business services.
18th January 2018 – Jobless Claims In USA At 45 Year Low
The number of Americans applying for unemployment benefits fell to a 45-year low last week, according to the Labor Department. Jobless applications are now at lowest level since February 1973.
The unemployment rate in America is at 17-year low of 4.1 percent. America is near its full employment level which should push wages up faster in 2018. There is a growing skills shortage in the USA.
11th January 2018 – Three Rate Rises In 2018
Credit Suisse economists are forecasting 3 Fed interest rate increases during 2018.
8th January 2018 – Weather and Climate-Related Disasters Cost USA A Record $306 Billion In 2017
According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration NOAA, America suffered its worst ever losses in 2017. Events include wildfires and hurricanes.
5th January 2018 – USA Wages Rising Faster With Full Employment In December
USA unemployment rate is unchanged at 17 year low of 4.1 percent. USA average wages are increasing at 2.5 percent, up from 2.4 percent in November.
America is approaching full employment levels so wages are set to rise even faster in 2018.
Many economists expect the Fed to increase interest rate 3 times during 2018, perhaps starting in March. The economy is set to boom during 2018.
4th January 2018 – USA Factory Activity Increased Faster Than Forecast In December 2017
The Institute for Supply Management ISM said its index of USA national factory activity jumped to its second highest reading in six years in December 2017.
In addition, construction spending in November was at a record high.
The USA economy is set to take off in 2018 and will need tempered by further interest rate rises that will boost the value of the dollar still further as the international currency of choice.
Strong USA domestic is gong to be topped up with growing international orders despite the value of the dollar being so high, as the global economy recovers and international customers for USA goods and services increases.
Furthermore, the strength of the USA dollar will help USA firms takeover companies around the world including the UK as USA firms go on a buying spree that will further boost performance when money is repatriated.
USA corporate taxation reductions means that USA stock market listed firms valuations are also set to rocket in 2018, due to all of the above, unless some geopolitical event gets in the way, like an armed conflict with North Korea.
8th December 2017 – Strong Growth Forecast For American Economy 2018
USA job growth increased in November and hints at continued business growth in 2018.
Nonfarm payrolls rose by 228,000 jobs last month, according to Labor Department. The unemployment rate was unchanged at a 17-year low of 4.1 percent. Job openings are near a record high.
USA economy grew at a 3.3 percent annualised rate in the third quarter, the fastest in three years.
The U.S. central bank has increased borrowing costs twice this year and has forecast three rate hikes in 2018. Economists believe the shrinking labour market slack will unleash a faster pace of wage growth next year.
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