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Political Risks Forum

How can you manage political risks to improve your chance of survival or business progress

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Don’t Let Political Instability Disrupt Your Operations: How to Mitigate Risks

As a business manager, you know that political instability can disrupt your operations and supply chain, leading to financial losses and damage to your company’s reputation. But how do you know what risks to look out for and how to mitigate them?

  1. Changes in government policies and regulations
  2. Political instability and civil unrest
  3. Disruptions to international trade agreements
  4. Unforeseen changes in taxes and government spending
  5. Cybersecurity threats

These are the top 5 political risks facing businesses in the UK today. Let’s take a closer look at each one and discuss how to mitigate them.

Number one on the list is changes in government policies and regulations. It’s important to stay informed about new laws and regulations that may impact your industry, as well as changes in trade agreements and tariffs that could affect your ability to import or export goods.

Number two is political instability and civil unrest. These events can disrupt your operations and supply chain. It’s important to assess the potential impact of these events on your business and develop contingency plans accordingly. This may include finding alternative suppliers and transportation routes.

Number three is disruptions to international trade agreements. With Brexit, the UK is facing a lot of changes in its trade agreements with the EU and other countries. It’s important to stay informed about these changes and how they may affect your business.

Number four is unforeseen changes in taxes and government spending. These changes can have a significant impact on your business and it’s important to stay informed about any changes that may affect your industry.

Finally, number five is cybersecurity threats. As the world becomes increasingly digital, it’s important to protect your business from cyber-attacks. This may include implementing security measures such as firewalls, antivirus software, and regular security audits.

By being aware of the top 5 political risks and taking steps to mitigate them, you can protect your business from disruptions caused by political instability. Stay informed and stay prepared, and your business will be better equipped to navigate the ever-changing political landscape.

Don’t let political instability disrupt your operations. Take action now to mitigate risks and protect your business.

Identify Political Risks UK

As a business owner, it’s essential to be aware of the potential political risks that may affect your operations and supply chain. The UK is a relatively stable country, but changes in government policies and regulations can still have a significant impact on businesses. Additionally, political instability can disrupt supply chains and cause disruptions to your operations. In this article, we will discuss how to identify and mitigate political risks to your business in the UK.

Monitor changes in government policies and regulations

One of the most important things you can do to protect your business from political risks is to stay informed about changes in government policies and regulations. This includes keeping track of new laws and regulations that may impact your industry, as well as changes in trade agreements and tariffs that could affect your ability to import or export goods. Additionally, you should be aware of any changes in government spending or tax policies that could impact your business.

Assess the potential impact of political instability on your company’s operations and supply chain

Political instability, such as protests, strikes, and civil unrest, can disrupt your operations and supply chain. It’s important to assess the potential impact of these events on your business and develop contingency plans accordingly. For example, if your business relies on a specific supplier that is located in an area prone to political instability, it may be wise to find alternative suppliers in case of disruptions. Additionally, you should consider the potential impact of political instability on transportation routes, as disruptions could affect your ability to get goods to market.

Develop contingency plans for disruptions caused by political events

Once you have identified the potential political risks to your business and assessed the potential impact of these risks, it’s essential to develop contingency plans to mitigate these risks. This may include finding alternative suppliers and transportation routes, as well as implementing measures to protect your business operations in case of disruptions. Additionally, you should have a plan in place to communicate with employees and customers in case of disruptions.

In conclusion, political risks can have a significant impact on your business operations and supply chain. By monitoring changes in government policies and regulations, assessing the potential impact of political instability, and developing contingency plans, you can mitigate these risks and protect your business. Stay informed and stay prepared, and your business will be better equipped to navigate the ever-changing political landscape.

Helping you see both sides of the argument for free

Our main source of political news is, for many, unreliable. Good and bad politics is in the eye of the beholder. However, business leaders need to develop their on business intelligence network to enable them to develop their own business risk knowledge to inform their business decision-making. More informed business decisions are likely to be better business decisions. Better business decisions result in stronger business resilience and opening of more opportunities to grow faster. Businesses can grow faster on back of bad political decisions of our masters! We don’t always need the political decisions to be good ones but we always need early warning of changes coming from good and bad political decisions.

Wherever you are in the world, whatever your business does, you need to know about good and bad political decisions so your business decisions are better. Make your business stronger and more able to react to changing political landscape so your business grows no matter which muppet is in power!

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Who sabotaged Nordstream 2

Joe Biden talking in February 2022

The European Union is blaming Russia for the recent attack on Nordstream pipelines – 1 and 2.

Three leaks caused by sabotage by somebody were reported on the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, which are filled with natural gas. While they are not currently delivering the fuel to Europe, the damage means the pipelines are unlikely to be able to carry any gas to Europe this winter even if the political will to bring them online emerged, according to risk analysts.

BusinessRiskTV

Russia is suggesting that the country who will benefit most from a shortage of gas will not be Russia or Europe but the USA which is picking up the slack of gas energy. What will happen to the price of energy on news of the attack in three places of the Nord stream pipeline?

What are the factors that could lead leaders to failure or success?

Risk events! Just risk events outside of my control! How do you control the controllable and prepare to mitigate downside risk; or seize opportunities from upside political risks?

What are some leadership failures successes or risk events that manifest change in political risks

3 August 2022 – US China limited military conflict could work well for both parties!

China’s property developers and possibly banking sector are in turmoil. Essentially the Chinese government is only just struggling to keep the plates spinning and the distraction of a war with USA would be useful.

If the Democratic party in America loses the midterms in November, the Biden family will be in a very tricky position in 2023. With the presidential election in 2024 there is a lot at stake. A war with China would be useful distraction.

If both parties could conduct a controlled war that did not involve nuclear weapons, their respective citizens would rally round their respective flags. In China nobody could complain. In USA there would be all sorts of political manoeuvrings from cancelled elections to change of leader. As long as we’re not all dead it could work!

US China limited military conflict could work well for both parties Political Risks Forum

3 August 2022 – Is the deep state worried about Liz Truss victory in Conservative Party leader election or was it just good political risk management in UK?

Allegedly, cyber security fears have led to delays in Conservative members receiving their postal ballots for the party’s leadership contest. Commonly, Conservative Party leader election ballot papers are expeditiously returned and the ballot papers were due to be falling on Conservative members door mats this week. A large proportion of those eligible to vote would have voted this week. Liz Truss is a country mile ahead of opponent Rishi Sunak in polls and if the vote was completed this week Liz Truss would win leadership race hands down. The delay in sending ballot papers out gives Sunak a chance to pull it back by end of month.

On the advice of the National Cyber Security Centre, an arm of GCHQ, the Conservative party has delayed sending out ballot papers to its members – originally expected last weekend.

BusinessRiskTV

It would appear that cyber experts warned that enabling members to change their vote after submission opens the risk of hackers changing the vote. it would appear that the Conservative party have decided to change the ballot paper submission to a once only vote to eliminate possibility of corruption on vote result by hackers. This is the official reason for the delay in ballot papers being issued to members of the Conservative party. Good political risk management? Will the intended result wanted by the members now today happen? Has Rishi Sunak been given a last chance to turn his leadership bid around? Have there been forces at work to manipulate the next leader of the Conservative party and if so why? The Conservative party seems to have settled for Liz Truss as their next leader and Prime Minister, but the mainstream media seem to be slating Liz Truss to boost Sunak. Why?

7 July 2022 – Boris Johnson next announcement?

Is it possible for Boris Johnson to remain in power after an August September food crisis, war escalation or health crisis?

(Editor 3 August 2022 – Major Conservative Party donor Lord Cruddas has just been reported in Telegraph newspaper calling for Boris Johnson to remain as Prime Minister and cancel new leader contest due to a threat of a cyber attack resulting in either Rishi Sunak, ex-Chancellor, or Liz Truss ex- Foreign Secretary being elected. So Lord Cruddas is saying that a Prime Minister kicked out of office by his own party should not be replaced by either candidate with apparent good CVs! could Lord Cruddas being using threat of cyber attack as an excuse to keep his man in power?)

5 July 2022 – Boris Johnson‘s grip on reality

Political risks forum
Boris Johnson‘s grip on reality

22nd May 2022 – If you combine new UK Emergency Alerts System With Digital Currency and Digital Passport You Could Confine People To Their Local Area and If You Are In The Wrong Area In Governments Opinion, You Could Be Warned To Return Home. It Is A Choice, Not An Impossibility!

Ingestible Pills With Wireless Connection Coming

Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla WEF
Ingestible Pills With Wireless Connection Coming

You may not have to have a mobile phone if you have ingested a wireless pill that can be programmed to make you do what you mist do – for your safety!

Using a Social Credit System you would have both a carrot and a stick. You get a roof over your head and money each month to buy stuff. However if you don’t behave, you will be punished. If you behave, you may get a bonus at Christmas time to spend on your kids!

How’s your Social Credit Score this month?

  • Will it enable you to go on holiday this year?
  • Got your latest x Vaxx to boost your Social Credit Score yet? Without it you will not be able to use your digital currency outside 5km from your home address. Those with ingested wireless pill will receive painful warning alert until the return to within 5km.
  • Are you in Green or Red?
  • Can you afford to …

Think this is all far fetched?

A social credit system which rewards the ‘righteous citizen’ is going to be introduced after this summer in Bologna (Italy) with the ‘smart citizen wallet.’ You ‘get points’ if you recycle, use public transports, etc…

BusinessRiskTV

The “Smart Citizen Wallet” was unveiled at a news conference on digital innovation in Bologna on 29 March 2022. Mayor Matteo Lepore and Massimo Bugani, director of the city’s “Digital Agenda,” spoke about the initiative.

Digital Passports
Bologna smart citizen wallet

The app is already operating in Rome, as per local newspaper Corriere di Bologna, which characterised the approach as “similar to a supermarket points collection.” It is now in its trial phases. This September 2022, it will be introduced in Bologna.

Citizens who use the program will be rewarded for things like recycling, taking public transportation, managing their energy efficiently, and avoiding fines.

By rewarding some residents for their behavior through a point system, a new software recently developed in Italy bears remarkable resemblance to China’s social credit system.

The Social Credit System is a national credit rating and blacklist being developed by the government of the People’s Republic of China. The program initiated regional trials in 2009, before launching a national pilot with eight credit scoring firms in 2014.

Wikipedia

If you were starving cause food shortage, were homeless cause you were now destitute and had no way of getting money as you didn’t have a job cause we are in decade long depression – would you welcome a Social Credit System that gave you money to buy food, a home and money whether you worked or not?

18th May 2022 – Seizing and holding personal assets with international agreement of G7 countries is acceptable to many. However, once you sell off those assets and spend the money on things you value it is a slippery slope down to G7 countries seizing assets of other people they don’t like and spending money on things G7 government’s like.

How would you like it if they sold all your seized assets to fund saving the planet from environmental collapse? The G7 decide you don’t need assets cause they will look after your housing, food and give you enough digital money to survive – if you comply!

Can you trust your government to pick whose assets to use in the way they choose?

G7 nations are looking at how Russian assets can be used to fund the rebuilding of Ukraine, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss said today. When they come for you, WHO (World Health Organisation, United Nations, G7, IMF – think technocrats and patsy politicians care what you want for your family?) will protect you! Seizing assets is one thing. Selling them to use money to fund what you want to fund? Slippery slope?

30th April 2022 – The Nationality and Borders Bill

Introduces new laws that will allow asylum cases to be processed overseas. The laws will also see people assigned fewer rights or denied asylum in the UK entirely because they arrived here by a route or mode of transport the government classes as illegal, such as by dinghy across the channel. 

It also puts refugees already naturalised in the UK at risk of losing their citizenship if the way they entered the UK is recategorised as illegal under the new law.

30th April 2022 – The Police, Crime, Sentencing and Courts Bill

Police will have greater powers to clamp down on protests, including the power to restrict protests for being too noisy.

The new powers will undoubtedly increase the power of the state to circumvent the right to free speech by deterring people from taking part in protests. The new powers will enable police to criminalise otherwise law abiding citizens who simply want the chance to have their opinions heard as a group on the streets.

This is just one example of the steady erosion of Human Rights not just in the Uk but increasingly around the world.

  • The European Union EU is actively changing the laws to stop what the state considers misinformation – not necessarily what is actually misinformation.
  • The European Union is bringing in digital Covid passports and digital currency which combined have the ability to totally restrict EU citizens whole lives.

29th April 2022 – The Building Safety Bill

The Building Safety Bill was granted royal assent into new law in UK. The bill details how leaseholders caught up in the crisis will be protected from paying for repairs to the buildings where they live. Property developers are to pay up to £5bn to cover the costs of remediating cladding in buildings between 11 metres and 18 metres in height as well as a building safety pledge to force developers to carry out works.

While the UK government’s £5.1bn Building Safety Fund will cover the costs of fixing dangerous cladding in buildings above 18 metres in height, leaseholders could still face bills for non-cladding fire defects. The bill caps these costs at £10,000 per leaseholder – £15,000 in London – for “all but the most expensive properties”.

Many people are still unhappy with the impact on existing leaseholders and they seem to have quite a strong lobbying power which maybe in part of their possible power at a time of a General Election, particularly where there are small majorities in constituencies in UK.

24th April 2022 – Macron Guaranteed Victory and Re-election President France 

Exit poll gives Macron 58.2 percent victory over Le Pen. Exit polls in France traditionally accurate.

23rd April 2023 – The Conservatives will “reap the whirlwind” of partygate at the local elections on 5th May, according to former Boris Johnson backer Steve Baker Conservative MP.

Most political pundits think Boris Johnson will be safe as Prime Minister until after the elections. Sue Gray’s report will not be issued until after police investigations are completed. The police will not report on fines issued for partygate until after the elections (strange that state police are working around elections in this way). Some Labour opposition MPs think Boris Johnson will be gone by end of end. MPs in Boris Johnson’s own party have said in UK parliament that Boris johnson should be long gone already (Steve Baker MP!

The only people who can directly bring Boris Johnson’s dictatorship to end are his own MPs. What voters say at the ballot box on 5th May may influence what his own Conservative MPs do next and when.

21st April 2022 – Steve Baker, Conservative MP, says today that Boris Johnson UK Prime Minister should have resigned after breaking the law and the spirit of the law.

“I have to say I’m sorry, but for not obeying the letter and spirit (of the law) – and I think we have heard that the Prime Minister did know what the letter was – the Prime Minister now should be long gone,” Steve Baker, a member of Johnson’s Conservatives, told parliament.

“The prime minister should just know that the gig’s up.”

21st April 2022 – Boris Johnson Stops His Attempt To Block An Investigation Into Whether He Lied To Parliament

Be in no doubt if Boris Johnson could have persuaded his own MPs to vote in his favour he would have. His own MPs clearly want him to be investigated by a Commons committee. The Commons committee investigation, if it is voted for by all MPs today, will be conducted by 4 Conservative MPs, one Labour MP and one SNP MP. If the committee finds that he did lie, he will be expected to resign as Prime Minister.

21st April 2022 – Japan governing coalition, which faces upper house elections pencilled in for 10th July 2022 trying to buy electorate in Japan with free money.

Japan’s economy is struggling with higher fuel import costs, falling value of yen and rising food crisis in Asia Pacific region and globally.

Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s government aims to give poor families in an emergency supplementary budget that will include giving 50,000 yen to low-income families in Japan.

21st April 2022 – Significant number of Tory MPs might abstain from vote on whether to investigate Boris Johnson’s alleged misleading of parliament.

The UK government has been forced by its own Tory MPs to seek delay on vote over whether Boris Johnson misled parliament. Tory whips have realised their own MPs may abstain from voting in such numbers that the investigation into Boris Johnson may actually proceed. The Whips are now scrambling to get enough support from their own MPs to agree to a delay of the vote which is supposed to take place today.

There are huge questions on all MPs over their acquiescence to all pandemic rules over last couple of years from vaccine mandates to mask wearing but that question mark is for a General Election in 2024. For now most members of the public in UK believe Boris Johnson is a liar and will judge at the ballot box those that stop an investigation into whether or not he lied to parliament. If he did not lie why stop an investigation into whether he did lie or not?

19th April 2022 – In UK parliament a top Tory MP and Conservative party ex Chief Whip Mark Draper urged Boris Johnson to quit as Prime Minister and leader of the Tory party over partygate

Mark Draper also publicly showed his letter addressed to Sir Graham Brady, the Chairman of the 1922 Committee, declaring his lack of confidence in Boris Johnson as leader of Conservative party and Prime Minister of UK. He wrote: “Our party still has so much to offer the country, but sadly not under Mr Johnson’s leadership.” Mark Draper said today in House of Commons, “I regret to say that we have a Prime Minister who broke the laws that he told the country they had to follow, hasn’t been straightforward about it and is now going to ask the decent men and women on these benches to defend what I think is indefensible.

“I’m very sorry to have to say this, but I no longer think he is worthy of the great office that he holds.”

Under Conservative party rules a no confidence vote in leader by just the Tory MPs is triggered at this time if 54 Tory MP letters are sent to Conservative party 1922 Committee. A vote of no confidence is held, with Conservative MPs voting in support or against Boris Johnson as leader. If more than 50 per cent vote against the leader, they are ousted as leader and are not permitted to run in the subsequent leadership contest to appoint new leader of party. The new leader of the party is automatically the Prime Minister of UK and does not have to call a General Election. He or she simply takes on the roles and responsibilities of the UK Prime Minister as leader of the Tory party.

19th April 2022 – Boris Johnson will face a vote on whether he should be investigated over claims he misled the Commons about partygate.

Boris Johnson will win vote but opposition parties have forced Tory MPs to publicly back Boris Johnson which the opposition parties hope people will remember when voters go to future ballot boxed local and General Election.

  • Sue Gray’s full report into Downing Street parties still to be published
  • The results of police investigations into other parties still to be included wjich could mean more fines for Boris Johnson
  • Local election results in May 2022 may give better idea of whether voters think Boris Johnson is a liar who has demeaned the post of Prime Minister and whether they are still prepared to back their own Tory MP at next General Election.

19th April 2022 – The most common word used to describe Mr Boris Johnson, Prime Minister of UK was “liar”, according to the JL Partners poll for The Times.

The first hurdle Boris Johnson has to overcome is his own Tory MPs. One known fine on Boris Johnson for partying at height of UK lockdown rules which he imposed on the rest of England may be followed by more fines for other parties he attended around same time. Many Tory MPs were saying to their constituents that they would try to trigger Boris Johnson’s dethroning if he had any fines imposed for partying during lockdowns. Seems unlikely they will do so now. How will the Tory MPs constituents vote upon hearing their MP backed a liar? The local elections in May will not impact directly in Tory MPs but the local elections results will give Tory MPs an insight into their likelihood of being re-elected as an MP in a couple of years. Nothing will happen in significant way in relation to Boris Johnson until after May elections. Events may change things before then including election result France, Australia, war in Ukraine, pandemic development, multiple financial bubbles bursting causing financial services sector collapse, food crisis including starvation and immigration; and unknown unknowns!

14th April 2022 – It is already clear now that democracy in UK is dead and we are now living in an authoritarian state.

The ability of Boris Johnson to deflect any kind of accountability for his lies in UK parliament means we in UK will live in an authoritarian state for a couple of years. We are witnessing the death of democracy in the UK.

Existing political parties in UK, not just the Tories incl Labour, SNP and the rest, have seized on the ability to control the people of the UK by breaking people’s belief in justice and repeatedly frightening them with all manner of risks including Covid, climate disaster and social division.

It is so difficult for a new party to band people together. Maybe such a party of untarnished individuals can come together but it seems at the moment that the elite have successfully created a fully controlled, subservient, disheartened electorate in UK and globally.

13th April 2022 – The only thing more dangerous of professed ignorance of the law is arrogance that the laws do not apply to you

Boris wrote the laws on assembly at height of pandemic in UK. Boris Johnson isn’t going to go willingly and as his fines mount up for parties he attended neither will his Tory MPs force him out. Over to you voters? Does it matter to you or not?

What are the factors that could lead leaders to failure?
  • Boris Johnson and his wife Carrie, and Chancellor Rishi Sunak, have been notified that they will be issued with fines for breaking lockdown rules. Will this change anything at the top of political management in UK? If Rishi Sunak resigns due to being fined out of honour what would Boris Johnson do then? It’s clear Boris was at more than one party. What happens to Tory belief Boris will retain Tory seats is crucial and the only real marker is in May local elections.
  • Imran Khan has gone, Pakistan, blamed for failing to revive the economy although some say he was manipulated out by USA deep state forces.
  • Sri Lanka’s Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa took to the airwaves to try to calm civil unrest in Sri Lanka as protests continued over the government’s handling of a deepening economic crisis in Sri Lanka.
  • Joe Biden could face impeachment proceedings on back of his son’s laptop information. The FBI has now confirmed that the laptop exists when its mere existence was disputed as Russian lies and disinformation during the last USA presidential election which Joe Biden subsequently won.
Boris Johnson Resignation Debate 12 April 2022. Boris will not resign and his Tory MPs will not push him. Will voters remember their Tory MPs lack of action when they see a ballot box?

Who will win election in Australia 2022?

What will it mean for:

Australia Election Result is …

Grand Political Plans Rarely Turn Out Well

Few business plans turn out as planned. Our great politicians, and not so great, are no different from us in one respect. Plans rarely go as intended!

Grand Political Plans

You may feel self righteous. When you have to choose between a rock and a hard place it is pretty easy. Its when you have to grab the shitty-end of a stick then eat your sandwiches that it begins to become difficult!

Global Risk Report April 2022

There is no doubt the world is moving rapidly to a place it has never been before. Whether this is a deliberated plan guided by a few powerful people or by the random throw of dice is for you to decide. Most economic indicators demonstrate the world is in a very dangerous environment and not just climatically! Great forces are being expended. How your business weathers the political and geopolitical storm depends on the things you can control not the things you can’t control.

  • What is your corporate risk profile?
  • What is your attitude to risk?
  • What is your perception of political and geopolitical risks?

Once you have assessed the real and perceived risks to tour business you need to act. What are you going to do to control the risks to your business?

If you think some things are a pile of tosh then put your money where your mouth is – accept any and all risks and do not waste your time and resources on fantasies. If on the other hand if you believe a global depression is coming by end of 2024 you need to act now to do what you can do to protect and grow your business through the depression.

What is positive risk in risk management

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How does politics after your business and how can you manage political risks better. What are the politicians saying today and what do you think about what the politicians are saying? How will political developments impact on your life and living?

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Where will the biggest political threats come from this year?When should you change your business strategy to protect your business or take advantage of new business opportunities? Why do the experts think the world is doomed or why are they optimistic about your business prospects? How will you react to the political news?

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How To Manage Political Risk To Your Business

Learn how to understand and control political risk to your business

Many people are not interested in politics. However to be unconcerned about the geopolitical risks facing both business and society as a whole is to play Russian Roulette with your future. Business political risk management should be at the forefront of most businesses even SMEs.

What is your political risk assessment? How will political risks impact on your business objectives? Don’t compound national governance failure with corporate governance failure. Consciously accepting political risks is perfectly sensible.   Being unaware of your exposure to political risks may be foolhardy.

Most business leaders prefer to make decisions in a certain stable marketplace.   Geopolitical unpredictability has perhaps created unprecedented uncertainty. The worst environment for making informed business decisions.

Most business problems can be fairly easily resolved over time if there is a stable platform upon which to grow. Illogical counter productive geopolitical decisions from unpredictable leaders at least complicates the world of business.

Geopolitical risks require a holistic approach due to their interconnected features and potential risk scenarios. Events that seemingly have little importance can quickly or over a long period of time create a severe negative impact on a business. They can also create new opportunities for more rapid business growth.

“Join our political risk management forum to discuss possible political risk management strategies to protect your business.”

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  1. Protect Your Business from Political Risks: A Step-by-Step Guide
  2. Don’t Let Political Instability Disrupt Your Operations: How to Mitigate Risks
  3. Navigating the Political Landscape: A Masterclass in Business Risk Analysis
  4. The Top 5 Political Risks Facing UK Businesses Today
  5. Preparing for the Unknown: How to Create a Contingency Plan for Political Disruptions
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