Risk Communication In Business With BusinessRiskTV

Boosting business performance with enhanced key risk information with BusinessRiskTV.com

BusinessRiskTV giving business leaders to make more informed risk management decisions. Protect and grow your business faster with less uncertainty. Poor risk communication can exasperate bad risk events and result in missed business opportunities. Embed the concepts of enterprise risk management ERM. Manage key risks critical for success better. Effectively communicate risks to all business stakeholders.

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Develop effective risk communication strategy for your business

Use more effective risk communication to inform your risk assessment process. Risk owners get help get help to develop their risk management plan for their business.

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There is always trouble ahead for business leaders

Finding a better way to manage business challenges with BusinessRiskTV.com

And there are always opportunities to grow a business faster too. There are always leadership challenges regardless of era in business. Improve management of the biggest issues facing the business world today.

Inspiring Leadership To Strive To Achieve More In Business

Learn how to overcome leadership challenges. Being a successful business leader means there will always be challenges. The business problems will change but it is naive to thing that your challenges are more difficult than the challenges other leaders have overcome in the past.

Under the radar for many business leaders is the 4th industrial revolution. This new decade will see threats to the survival of some traditional businesses and opportunities to develop new income.

Many thing the coronavirus is a short term problem we need to get to grip with. However the coronavirus outbreak will kill people interrupt business activity and reduce global business growth for the whole of 2020 and much of 2021. However the coronavirus will also drive new ways of working that will last after the virus has been brought under control.

In the UK the biggest issues combined that impact on future business success is poor productivity and lack of skills. UK business leader must invest in capital assets including automation or machinery as well as people. Workers in the UK need dramatic upskilling. There has been a distinct lack of investment over the last decade that needs redressing over the next decade. Instead of whinging about lack of immigration UK business leaders need to be more innovative and invest in engaging existing workforce more.

We can achieve so much more than we are currently doing. There is a significant lack of investment in innovation and new ideas to overcome business challenges. Perhaps it is a hangover from the slow recovery from the 2008 financial crisis. Business leaders have thought about survival for so long that it has suppressed a more creative and innovative business world.

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We need to change our business thinking. Invest in innovative thought processes to discover new ways of overcoming business problems in front of us.

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There is always trouble ahead for business leaders

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Risk Magazine Subscription With BusinessRiskTV

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Scan the horizon for risks that will impact on your business objectives. Inform your foresight and scenario planning processes to be better prepared for threats and opportunities to grow faster. Stay up to date with the best enterprise risk management practices. Avoid the pitfalls of business management others have fallen into.

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Exploring the key risk management trends and practices

Helping you identify and manage better key risks to your business. Business leaders get the latest news on whats happening in the business world. Read risk analysis articles or participate in online debate and discussion.

Improve your risk knowledge and business intelligence to make best business decisions more often.

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We welcome business leader and risk management professionals contributions. BusinessRiskTV was founded by Keith Lewis and is published by C&C Associates. We work with our risk management partners to provide tips advice and support to business leaders around the world. Seize the day with more confidence in your risk management decision making process.

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Top risks in world economy the threats and the opportunities

Global economic issues and trends with BusinessRiskTV.com

Although unpredictable lets try and predict the future! What is exciting is that clearly there are many threats particularly from the environment and trade wars. There are also massive opportunities for business leaders who are in control of their own business risks.

What are the biggest threats and opportunities to the world in the new decade?

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Some of the biggest global risks business leaders have little control over. Warfare and mass destruction global inequality between countries and unequal economic development creating mass economic migration global trade wars global pandemics political shift towards popularity driven left or right wing positions and systemic collapse of the financial markets. Contingency planning is the best that business leaders can do to manage most of such global catastrophic risks.

However there are risks business leaders do have the potential to have control over but do not always control such global occurring risks. Global risks falling into this category include deteriorating natural environment and global warming as well as cyber attacks.

Many of the risk management solutions for one global risk can manage the threat and opportunity from another risk without extra investment of time or money.

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What are the biggest risks to the global economy in 2020?

BusinessRiskTV is scanning for threats and opportunities to the global economy in the new decade. If you look for it you can still see an abundance of wealth and opportunity globally and locally.

Global Recession 2020?

Putting warfare and mass destruction risk to one side the most likely cause of a global recession in 2020 is the continuing or deterioration of global trad wars.

USA China is the linchpin of the global recession risk in 2020 and 2021. By the same token this trade war offers the greatest salvation for global economic boom. It is our feeling that the upside risk is more likely. Neither party is concerned with the world outside their own backyard but will pragmatically compromise with an agreed trade deal or two by the end of 2020 or beginning of 2021. When they do the rest of the world will boom along with them.

Of lessor importance is an agreement between the UK and the European Union. If a deal can be signed within 2020 and this is in addition to a USA China trade deal then it will be up to governments around the world to play their part. If countries invest in their own infrastructure particularly communication infrastructure then the global economy will face the 4th industrial revolution on steroids!

The climate threat has come off age! The solutions are already known. However the will is less obvious. The financial services industry particularly banks will probably be the biggest influencers in driving environmental protection. Many banks and investors are refusing to finance coal businesses and are threatening divestment and lack of funding for other fossil fuel businesses. Even the governor of the Bank of England has told pension fund managers to sort out investment in fossil fuel based businesses.

The flip side of this is the opportunity to make money from environmental protection. Existing and developing environmental protection technologies are a real business opportunity. Even if your business does not sell environmental protection products or services your brand needs protecting via the adoption of good environmental protection policy.

The world is drowning in debt and fake money. Government corporate and personal debt. How future generations will cope with the weight of debt when many in the developed world are also going to suffer the effects of demographic time bomb detonation. Quite frightening! However one way to cope with future and present global risks is for governments to invest money in infrastructure particularly 5G communication and utilities. Many of the innovation and inventions are going to rely on power and the internet.Necessity is the mother of invention but with power and faster communication we will be trapped in the past with only a vision of how much better our future could be globally.

Keep up to date with economic issues in the world that could impact on your business objectives

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Shared Problems Shared Solutions Collaborative Meetings

Cross business and industry collaboration with BusinessRiskTV.com

BusinessRiskTV Collaborative Business Solutions. Do you want to create more time for your business to grow faster with less uncertainty? Faced with a small budget for business protection and growth would you choose an online group session with other business leaders to save time and money? It is an idea some business leaders are investigating

Group online sessions solve common business problems faster and gives business leaders chance to collaborate with other business leaders with same attitude to business development and protection.

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Demand on business leaders time outweighs time available to manage all business risks cost effectively. In recent years the speed of change in the business environment has accelerated putting increased pressures on business leaders wearing many business responsibility hats.

In addition many businesses have complex business systems and business needs which can make finding the best business solutions more difficult to identify.

The traditional one to one business consultation can be prohibitively expensive and the business problem can seem unique when in fact it affects many businesses.

With limited risk management funding or possibility of employing inhouse risk management expert specialists business leaders may need to find innovative ways to find best business solutions quickly within available budget.

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Business leaders collaborating on solving business problems together faster and cheaper

Many businesses have the same need for commercial insurance cover and other solutions to protect the business that do not involve insurance. Most if not all business want to increase their opportunities to sell more and increase profitability. Business leaders may seek advice from risk management experts independently to advise on managing such business risks.

Instead of seeing a risk management consultant or business adviser on your own you could get together with a group of other business leaders needing to discuss the same business problems.

If a group of up to 10 business leaders came together with the same business problems could they share experiences to solve risk management problems faster and potentially cheaper?

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BusinessRiskTV risk management network partners facilitate online business leader meetings. The risk management facilitator gathers together business leaders with the same or similar business problems problems before the online meetings. The risk management facilitator also compiles a list of questions the participating business leaders want to ask the group that will include attending and participating risk management experts.

The collaborative group of business leaders and risk management experts will know the business problems to be focused on and details of the businesses involved in the online discussion ahead of the online meeting. This will enable attendees to be aware of the potential value of the meeting to them and prepare for the meeting. The participants in the online problem solving meeting must not only prepare to solve their business problems but must be prepared to help share solutions to help other attendees problems.

Sharing problems and helping solve others problems is the purpose of the meeting.

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The problem solving group may well discuss sensitive issues. This does not need to constrain those attending. Trust quickly develops as participants quickly realise they are not alone with their business problem and that they are talking to people who have already solved their problem. You create a bond with your fellow business leaders. The more you open up the more you get out of the meeting for your business. The sharing of experiences with other business leaders can be empowering.

The aim of the collaborative online meetings is to quickly find solutions to business problems to save time and money for the participants. Participants access more practical problem solving information that has worked already. The meetings help business leaders to more cost effectively use their own time and resources in solving their business problems and the business problems of others. As they are common problems experienced by all those attending then common solutions that actually work well will come to light without the need for discussion duplication.

You may prefer a one to one meeting with a business risk management consultant if you have the budget. However why reinvent the wheel. Other business leaders have solved your business problem already. Tap into their experience to solve your business problems quicker and potentially cheaper.

Collaborative business problem solving online meetings are for business leaders who already know what their business problems are. They just want to know the solutions quickly so they can go off and implement them for themselves and their business.

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It is unlikely that people will attending the meeting will diagnose the problem that is holding your business back. That is not the purpose of the online meetings. You identify what your business risks are and come to the meeting to find risk management solutions or ideas that have worked and could work for your business.

There are measures in place to ensure the confidentiality of information shared within the group and you can see one of our risk management experts from our risk management network on an online one to one appointment who will have seen your business problem before. However collaborative group sessions can quickly overcome barriers to your business growth and a valuable peer support network.

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Taking more calculated risks

Why calculated risk taking is important with BusinessRiskTV.com

Taking more calculated risks in the next decade. Do not fear taking more calculated risks. Business leaders are often afraid to take risks.

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Taking more risks to achieve more success comes down to risk knowledge and business intelligence. A lack of risk knowledge leads to increased fear. This can result in missed opportunities to grow faster.

  • What are the potential costs of taking more risks?
  • What are the potential benefits of taking more risks?
  • How will taking more risks benefit your business?
  • What are the alternatives?
  • How much better would your business perform if the best case scenario came true?
  • What are the worst outcomes that could happen if you took extra risks and how could you reduce the risk?
  • How bad would it be if the worst case scenario risk event materialised?
  • What would your business look like in 5 years if your risk decisions were taken?

Assessing the risks incorporating both upside and downside risks will enable you to make more balanced business decisions to improve performance.

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Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance

Welcome the threats in the 2020s as they bring opportunities

Embrace the opportunities in the new decade but be risk aware about the threats that come with the opportunities to grow. Work together with our network of business leaders and risk management experts to finish the 2020s better than you started.

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Should strong business leaders take personal responsibility

Leadership taking responsibility BusinessRiskTV.com

In an increasingly litigious and unforgiving society should business leaders take personal responsibility for business mistakes? In previous decades business leaders and politicians were often seen falling on their sword following risk events whether they were personally responsible or not.

However either through fear of legal action or fear of being lynched online or offline leaders now rarely fess up to being to blame. There have been some exceptions but over recent decades leaders have toughed it out or doubled up on their mistakes.

It was on my watch so I am responsible

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Is the fear of blame or blame culture led us to the position that we are failing to learn from mistakes?

Regardless of the cause there is a definite change in the honour or moral standing of our leaders. Leaders who make mistakes have to be brought screaming and shouting to be held to account when mistakes happen. More often than not they are then retired early literally or metaphorically to avoid personal accountability.

Many people respect people who make mistakes more if they take responsibility for mistakes. To err is human after all even when it is a computer fault!

Would it not be better if our leaders accept responsibility for mistakes and then created a written plan to avoid making the same mistakes again in future

Does a business organisation or political party not lose the opportunity to truly learn from mistakes made if the leaders are immediately jettisoned following mistakes. Leaders voluntarily stepping down following mistakes or failures are actually taking the easy way out for themselves not necessarily the business.

Why do our leaders not clear up their own mess more often?

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Our next online enterprise risk management conference event is exploring the need for greater accountability in business and in society in general.

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BusinessRiskTV Leadership Conference online events seek to engage top business leaders around the world in enterprise risk management topics. The result of the online discussions and interactions are not published. Instead the participants who have contributed reap the benefits for their own organisations. Their takeaways can be embedded to improve their own organisation risk management performance.

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Managing business risks better with BusinessRiskTV
Managing business risks better with BusinessRiskTV

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The best time to plant a tree was 20 years ago and the second best time is right now

Overcoming procrastination with BusinessRiskTV.com

Procrastination is one of the biggest risks business leaders face. Putting business decisions off until tomorrow is delaying success and future growth. The best time to act to improve your business performance is now.

Manage out the uncertainty of your business decision making process to make better decisions quicker to improve business performance faster

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If you do not make the decision presented to you at least you can say it was not your fault it went tits up! Right? Maybe but your procrastination may be impeding your business performance.

With procrastination you are not managing business risks. You are just delaying the management of risks. Face up to your business risks today!

Many business leaders procrastinate on business risks because they think that risk events will not affect their business or that they have commercial insurance so are adequately protected from business risks. Simply effectively burying head in sand will not change a thing about your business risks. Commercial insurance may provide some money when you really need it however most business risks are uninsured or uninsurable even when you have an insurance policy!

Why procrastination is bad for your business

If you are leading your business and you are a procrastinator you may well miss business growth opportunities. Worse you maybe threatening the survival of your business should a risk event occur and you buried your head in the sand leaving your business unable to cope with the consequences of the risk event materialisation.

A big drain on your business success could be having business planning meetings without actually making changes to the business. Decide what is best and act with more confidence with enterprise risk management ERM!

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Too often business leaders take comfort in talking about changes to the business but do not like the responsibility or accountability arising from actual actions to change the business. It is easy to talk a good game!

Stop avoiding the tough decisions in business

Initiate the changes necessary to improve your business performance. Accomplish more with your existing business resources and stop making excuses or blaming others! Take action and stop procrastinating. Take the right risks for your business success in future.

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Deferring business decisions frustrates most people in your business. Confident business leaders assess the risks and become action takers proactively putting in place cost effective risk management controls.

Get ahead of your competition before the opportunity for business growth disappears for your business

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You may think your procrastination is not damaging your business. Chances are it is in one way or another.

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Develop better business leader skills

Learn effective leadership skills with BusinessRiskTV.com

Develop leaders in your business. Build your business intelligence for better business decision making. Become more proficient at enterprise risk management ERM. Improve your expertise and business competence. Finesse your risk management process. Understand your readiness to take more risks to achieve more in business. Be more savvy with your risk knowledge. Use latest risk management techniques.

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Help to become a more successful risk leader

What is risk leadership and risk management

Our purpose is to help you solve important problems. Overcome barriers to growth and business resilience. Our focus is to keep you focused on your business key risks that matter to your success. Free tips advice and support to understand your most important risks.

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Importance Of Risk Taking In Entrepreneurship
Importance Of Risk Taking In Business

Are you responsible for risk management and accountable for business strategy?

If you are a risk leader become more effective within your business. Read risk management leadership articles and watch video stream online. Find answers to your business questions for free. Discover risk management solutions to embed in your business. Ask the experts for solutions to your business problems.

Balancing Risk and Reward
Balancing Risk and Reward

Risk Leadership Conference

Complete the form below to register for free to receive free alerts and bulletins. Discover upcoming online risk leadership conference workshops events debates and webinars.

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Business leadership and management practices

Best practices in business management with BusinessRiskTV.com

Learn how to improve leadership and management practices. Explore best practices in business management. Develop management and leadership skills.

  • Build stronger risk management capability
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Improve your business performance with less uncertainty impacting on business decision making.

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Leadership Disruption

Be a leader in business disruption with BusinessRiskTV.com

Find out how to lead your business to disrupt the marketplace. Discover how to react to disruption imposed on your business by other business leaders. Lead your business to faster growth. Protect your business from business disruptors.

Learn to thrive in disruptive business environment with BusinessRiskTV

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Be the best leader your can be in an age of business disruption. Rethink your business strategy with enterprise risk management principles and practices.

Whatever is driving risk whether it is geopolitical events financial crisis or other economic risk factors be in the driving seat for your business. Make business decisions with more confidence with BusinessRiskTV.

Learn how to survive and thrive with a more resilient business with BusinessRiskTV tips advice and support.

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No Such Thing As Bad Economic Environment Just Bad Business Planning

What can a business do to survive an economic crisis

Many business leaders claim external risk factors are the cause of poor business performance. They then claim full credit when the business has performed well!

Brexit uncertainty has been the perfect cover for poorly performing business leaders. No doubt their expert hand on the tiller will be responsible for improved performance after Brexit uncertainty has been removed one way or another.

The best example of excusers are retail business leaders. Worst of all is the British Retail Consortium BRC that frequently and consistently over the last 3 years have winged how difficult their members are finding the marketplace. The cause? All down to Brexit uncertainty as if it has just been sprung on retail business leaders!

The actual cause of losses shop closures and job losses has been that some retail businesses have incredibly bad business leaders who have lacked innovation and creativity. Some retail business leaders have stuck by what has worked for them in the past when in fact they needed to take action to prepare their business for a global economic slowdown and Brexit uncertainty.

Not all retail business leaders fall into this incompetent business leader camp. Many inspired and creative retail business leaders have prepared their business to changing economic environment and have or are starting to reap the rewards of being excellent business leaders.

If your CLICK here you will find some more business retail business leaders who know their onions. One company I have not heard being proclaimed as master of the High Street is Iceland. Take a walk along their food retail isle and you will soon discover that the Iceland management team have polished a turd and created a wonderful new retail business experience. Quality food is presented in great shops and offer fantastic value for money. Move over Lidl and Aldi as iceland are beating you at your own game.

What does ASDA and Sainsburys try to do? They go for a stock market solution. After trying to merge to destroy shareholder value and boost senior management team personal earnings before they retire then resort to price cuts. How innovative!

Best Retail Business Leaders To Watch – Iceland Management Team

My tip for the future is not because I am rewarded by Iceland. It is because I buy their products every week and so should you if you like quality food and great prices provided by impressive food retailers.

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Business Innovation and Creativity

What strategies can a company use in an economic downturn?

There is no doubt that the global economy is slowing in activity. No business leader can change the economic environment. Business leaders can however change how they manage the risks coming out of an economic slowdown.

Check in with BusinessRiskTV to find out what your peers are doing and what risk management experts recommend you do.

Bad situations can often be the spark and drive for better business management. Starting and growing a business in a bad economic climate can be the best situation to be in. Be prepared and do not listen to the naysayers in life and business!

Get help from BusinessRiskTV to overcome poor planning poor management and poor marketing.

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Identify the next steps for a better future regardless of the economic environment. Update your business plan and risk management strategy.

A bad economy could be the best thing for your business. Fewer competitors and more business opportunities for growth. Do not procrastinate. the perfect moment to make changes or start a business will never come until it is too late to take advantage of the opportunity. There is no such thing as a no risk business. Manage the risks to maximise performance with available business resources.

Great businesses can start and grow in any economy

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Threat and opportunity management

Exploiting Opportunities Mitigating Threats Cost Effectively With BusinessRiskTV

An effective enterprise risk management framework and risk assessment process will identify assess and manage your enterprise risks.

Your enterprise risk management system should help you ensure enterprise risk awareness to mitigate threats and seize new business opportunities.

Control the impact of uncertainty on your business objectives. Create and development new opportunities for business growth. Focus limited business resources on key limiting issues holding your business back. Build business resilience.

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Do you want to invest in your business future today

Our future is here. We need to invest hard cash into the money innovative ideas that are just seedlings. In addition we need to invest money on old ideas that have legs but no backers. There are enormous opportunities for business and economic growth. Trouble is that we are still trying to make the obsolete ideas work for us now.

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Global manufacturing has hit the buffers. There has been a rapid contraction of global manufacturing output largely due to global trade war between China and USA as well as Brexit uncertainty. Manufacturers have cut back on production and are making workers redundant.

Some parts of the world like USA Germany and UK have low unemployment levels and could cope with job losses but most of Europe cannot. Europe ha snot recovered the jobs lost in the last financial crisis.

Even in America USA manufacturers are suffering. Who is winning the trade war is unclear but it seems that there are two losers rather than one winner.

In the UK and broader European manufacturing marketplace manufacturers are suffering the double whammy of global slowdown and Brexit uncertainty. There could be two losers here too if they politicians do not agree a deal.

The world is seeing low levels of business activity not witnessed since the last recession in 2008 caused factories to shut up shop.

The global and UK manufacturing marketplaces are grinding to a halt. The solution is not to button down the hatches to weather the growing global economic storm. The solution is to invest in real opportunities for business growth we already have before us.

Businesses say that their biggest fear is of governments overspending. Borrowing to cover day to day expenses is the start of a slippery slope to perpetual poverty. UK governments borrowing to invest in infrastructure will support businesses to grow faster.

It is ridiculous that all parts of the UK do not have superfast broadband. So many opportunities could open up if this simple technology was available to all entrepreneurs.

Instead the world is shutting up shop. There is no shortage of great ideas. There is a shortage of money being invested in our future today.

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BusinessRiskTV was created by Keith Lewis as a hub for business leaders to connect with business management experts and other business leaders to solve business problems quicker.

With BusinessRiskTV you can pick up free business risk management tips advice and support. Our risk management tools and facilities provide various ways to gain support when making important business decisions wherever you are in the world.

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Come back time and again for the latest business risk management news headlines opinions and reviews.

How can BusinessRiskTV help your business

With our support uncertainty will have less of a negative impact on your business. Be more positive about future of your business.

It is our mission to help protect your business better and help you grow it faster more profitably for longer. Without making the right decisions at the right time you expose your business to losses and may miss opportunities for business development.

We have a range of services to help you. Most of them are free. We are constantly evolving our range of services to keep you covered. You develop a more holistic approach to business problem solving for a greater chance of more success.

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You may have already built a successful business. Or you want to start your own new business. Kicking on is not easy. Would you welcome some free help to make better business decisions?

Business leaders should never stop learning how to work better with their employees to find a way to achieve business and personals goals.

Small business owners and managers could improve the leadership and management skills with BusinessRiskTV. You may well be brilliant at what you do, but how can you inspire and encourage those who work for you to be brilliant too?

Get help to motivate your employees to be more creative and more risk aware. Let them see how this will benefit them personally as well as the business. Your business success may will depend on how inclusive your business culture is.

Learn how to work better with key business assets to improve return on your investment of time and energy. Build a better team by improving your leadership capability.

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Global Economy Risk Analysis and Review

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25th June 2020 International Monetary Fund IMF Says Global Economy To Shrink Nearly 5 Percent In 2020

The IMF is now predicting a deeper global recession caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Even if the spread of the virus reduces which it is not consumers will be too frightened to spend at the same level as prepandemic. This will hit the the global economy hard.

8th June 2020 World Bank Forecasting COVID-19 Pandemic To Shrink Global GDP By 5.2 Percent In 2020

The forecast if it is right will be worst global economic contraction since World War II. The World Bank is forecasting global economic growth of 4.2 percent in 2021.

26th May 2020 The Second Wave Is Often The Biggest Killer

Going back centuries we can see that it is often the second wave of infections that kill more people than the first hit of the pandemic. While some countries are getting to grips with the Covid19 pandemic others have yet to feel the full force of the new deadly virus.

The game changer will be a vaccine but without that most countries will experience second third or more waves of Covid19. How big these waves impact will depend on learning the lessons from the first wave and not repeating the same or similar mistakes.

A large second wave of the virus with run away exponential spreading that forces reinforcement of social and economic lockdown would be catastrophic. The reproduction rate in countries where the virus is under control must be kept below 1. Countries which do not have the virus under control need to be quarantined to prevent them spreading the virus back into controlled country environments.

Even without a second wave of deaths the first wave tsunami economic wave may hurt localised areas whole continents and the world:

  • Some countries will not be able to pay their debts built up prior to pandemic or during the pandemic.
  • The eurozone and wider European union could implode from within. Alternatively some weaker countries may be forced to leave for the sake of survival of the rest as a homogeneous economic unit.
  • Systemic banking collapse could yet occur. Italian Indian and Chinese banks are particularly weak. However unknown weaknesses in other national banking systems could be the first domino to fall.
  • Corporate entities soaked in debt may have to close creating bad debt others may struggle to cope with.
  • Commercial and private valuations will in the short term be overpriced. Investments which have such assets are also overpriced. If there is not a V-shaped recovery in the economy then in the medium term this could create an unstable finance sector that could be a lot more damaging than lost revenue for a few months.
  • The political fundamentals could change when people react to the dawning that not only have thousands of people died but their financial futures are ruined for decades or perhaps lifetimes. Russia Brazil and India could presently be smoldering in embers of political change which could affect oil prices and the global economy.

Most of all debt was a problem for many countries prior to pandemic. With the pandemic debt has been posted as the saviour. It could become a bigger killer than the virus.

14th April 2020 International Monetary Fund IMF Reports The Global Economy Shrinking 3 Percent Due To The Coronavirus Pandemic

The IMF had forecast a growth of 3.5 percent for the the global economy pre pandemic. This means the IMF is forecasting a 6.5 percent swing from growth to global recession.

The financial crisis in 2009 only saw a global recession of 0.1 percent. This economic and financial crisis is 30 times worse than 2009 financial crisis. Next year the IMF expects a massive bounce back to global economic growth. Not all businesses will survive to see it.

23rd March 2020 Global Recession Due To Coronavirus COVID19 Pandemic Is Guaranteed

The only uncertainty is whether the global economy will deteriorate so much that a long term global economic depression happens.

20th January 2020 International Monetary Fund IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecasts 2020 and 2021

The IMF is now forecasting global growth of 3.3 percent in 2020 and 3.4 percent in 2021. Risks to the global economy include:

  • High levels of inequality within countries and between countries
  • The rapid development of 4th industrial revolution technology threatening unemployment rises
  • High geopolitical risks and trade wars
  • Financial meltdown due to very high levels of debt

The IMF can see signs that some risks are stabilising but still significant threat to global growth.

9th January 2020 Now The Iran USA Immediate Threat Of War Is Dissipating The Global Economic Threat Returns To International Trade Wars

The signs are that both USA and Iran can agree to disagree again within killing thousands of people. The biggest threat to the global economy is the trade wars around the world particularly USA China trade war. Even this threat appears to be unwinding in its severity especially if they can do a partial deal soon.

If America and China can do a trade deal sign it and implement it the global economy can expand aggressively. It will be like the cork in a bottle of champagne.

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Until then and in addition to such a trade deal governments around the world need to invest heavily in infrastructure to support the global economy and prepare for rapid expansion 2021 onwards.

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