Tag: Informed risk taking risk management process analysis

Informed risk taking risk management process analysis

Who or what blocks intelligent risk-taking within a business?

Risk managers often become scapegoats!

Intelligent Risk-Taking: Friend or Foe of Effective Risk Management?

In the dynamic world of business, calculated risks are the lifeblood of innovation and growth. Yet, a robust risk management (RM) methodology forms the cornerstone of sustainable success. This begs the question: is risk management inherently opposed to intelligent risk-taking, or are there other culprits hindering strategic growth? This article delves into this complex relationship, analysing recent events like BlackRock’s ESG shift and Lloyd’s bank’s RM personnel redundancies to shed light on the true barriers to intelligent risk-taking.

The Balancing Act: RM vs. Growth

A well-defined RM methodology identifies potential threats, assesses their impact, and implements mitigation strategies. This proactive approach safeguards the organisation from unforeseen circumstances. However, overly stringent risk frameworks can stifle innovation. Fear of failure can paralyse decision-making, hindering the exploration of new ventures that may hold significant rewards. BlackRock’s recent partial withdrawal from rigid ESG (environmental, social, and governance) principles exemplifies this tension. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink acknowledged the need for a balance between ESG considerations and financial returns, suggesting overly restrictive ESG frameworks might inhibit investment opportunities [1].

The Culprits: Risk Owners or Risk Management?

The burden of promoting intelligent risk-taking shouldn’t solely fall on RM professionals. Risk owners – individuals accountable for specific risks – and senior management play a vital role. Risk owners might lack the necessary risk assessment skills, leading to a passive approach towards risk management. Similarly, senior management, preoccupied with short-term goals, may prioritise risk avoidance over calculated risks aligned with long-term strategy.

City A.M.’s report of Lloyd’s bank laying off RM personnel in the UK suggests a potential disconnect between RM practices and business strategy [2]. Here, the issue might lie in inadequate communication or a misalignment of risk appetite with the organisation’s goals. Layoffs may indicate a need for cultural change within the bank, promoting a risk-aware yet growth-oriented mindset.

The Role of Effective Risk Management

Effective RM methodologies are not inherently opposed to intelligent risk-taking. In fact, they can be powerful tools for promoting calculated risks:

  • Risk Identification: A comprehensive risk assessment identifies not only threats but also opportunities. Anticipating future trends helps identify potential areas for strategic growth.
  • Risk Prioritisation: By prioritising risks based on their likelihood and impact, resources can be strategically allocated. This allows for calculated risk-taking in areas with high potential rewards and lower risks.
  • Risk Mitigation Strategies: Developing effective mitigation plans minimises the downsides of pursuing strategic risks. This allows for bolder exploration while safeguarding core business operations.
  • Risk Appetite Definition: Setting clear risk tolerance levels empowers employees to make informed decisions within acceptable boundaries. This fosters a culture of calculated risk-taking while ensuring sound judgment.
  • Continuous Monitoring and Review: Regularly reviewing risks and RM strategies ensures adaptability. This allows for course correction and promotes taking advantage of favourable market conditions.

BlackRock’s ESG shift offers a valuable lesson: overly restrictive RM frameworks can stifle growth. Conversely, Lloyd’s bank’s layoffs suggest potential misalignment between risk management and business strategy.

Here are 9 ways to ensure a holistic RM methodology supports business strategy and goals:

  1. Integrate RM into Business Strategy: Embed RM principles at all organisational levels, ensuring alignment with strategic objectives.
  2. Foster a Risk-Aware Culture: Encourage open communication about risk at all levels, promoting a culture of calculated risk-taking.
  3. Empower Risk Owners: Equip risk owners with the necessary skills to effectively assess and manage risks.
  4. Define Clear Risk Appetite: Set clear risk tolerance levels to provide a framework for informed decision-making.
  5. Prioritise Risk Management: Allocate adequate resources to ensure a robust and adaptable RM programme.
  6. Promote Communication: Foster open dialogue between risk owners, RM professionals, and senior management.
  7. Invest in Risk Management Tools: Utilise data-driven risk assessment tools to support informed decision-making.
  8. Regular Review and Updates: Regularly review risk assessments and RM processes to ensure continuous improvement.
  9. Celebrate Calculated Risk-Taking: Acknowledge and reward successful ventures that embrace calculated risks.

By adopting these strategies, organisations can cultivate a balance between risk management and intelligent risk-taking, driving innovation and sustainable growth. Remember, effective risk management isn’t about eliminating risk entirely; it’s about embracing calculated risks for a prosperous future.

References:

  • (1) BlackRock’s recent withdrawal from ESG principles can be referenced from news articles or financial publications.
  • (2) The Lloyd’s bank layoffs can be referenced from City A.M.’s report:
  • Lloyds Bank is cutting jobs in risk management as it sees risk management principles and practices and methodology as being a block to its transformation progress. The group’s chief risk officer Stephen Shelley said in a memo last month that it was “resetting our approach to risk and controls” following an internal review. Shelley noted that two-thirds of Lloyds’ executives thought risk management was impeding progress, while less than half of its workforce believed “intelligent risk-taking” was encouraged. He said Lloyds’ “initial focus is on non-financial risks” and a new model would allow it to “move at greater pace” on its group strategy. “We know people are frustrated by time-consuming processes and ingrained ways of working that impede our ability to be competitive and leave us lagging behind our peers,” Shelley added. The Financial Times first reported the news. A person familiar with the matter told City A.M. that the restructuring would see around 175 permanent roles at risk of redundancy, including 153 in the risk unit. However, the person added that the lender expected to create 130 vacancies focused on specialist risk and technical expertise. Some 3,600 people currently work in Lloyds’ risk division. Will loosening its risk controls “could potentially have catastrophic consequences for the future of the bank”. In this case, there are around 45 role reductions, after new roles being created are factored in.” Lloyds, which has around 60,000 total employees, launched a plan in February 2022 to invest £4bn over the next five years to diversify away from interest rate-sensitive income streams like mortgages and become a “digital leader”.
  • Are risk management principles practices and methodology a block to corporate progression?

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Risk Management Planning Hampered By Vastly Inaccurate Risk Management Modelling Platforms

If you don’t have confidence in your risk management modelling system, then you cannot have confidence in your risk management plan!

The Cloudy Crystal Ball: Why Economic Models Can’t Predict the Future (and What We Can Do About It)

As business leaders and consumers in the UK navigate the ever-turbulent waters of the global economy, one question looms large: can we trust the forecasts? Economic models, once hailed as oracles of the future, have stumbled badly in recent years, failing to anticipate major events like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. This has left many wondering: are we all just flying blind?

The Limits of the Model Machine:

Economic models are not, and never will be, crystal balls. While these complex mathematical constructs can provide valuable insights into economic trends, they are inherently limited by a number of factors:

  • Incomplete Data: Economic models rely on historical data to identify patterns and relationships. However,the economy is a dynamic system,constantly evolving in unpredictable ways. New technologies, political upheavals, and natural disasters can all throw sand in the gears of even the most sophisticated model.
  • Human Factor Flaw: The economy is ultimately driven by human behaviour,which is notoriously difficult to predict. Models often struggle to account for factors like consumer confidence, investor sentiment, and political decision-making, leading to inaccuracies.
  • The Black Swan Problem: As Nassim Nicholas Taleb famously argued,unforeseen events – “black swans” – can have a profound impact on the economy. Models excel at predicting the familiar, but struggle to handle the truly unexpected.

The Governor’s Voice:

This point has been echoed by no less than Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, who, in a speech earlier this year, stated:

“Economic models are powerful tools, but they are not infallible. They are based on historical data and assumptions, and they can be blindsided by unexpected events. It is important to remember that models are not reality, they are just a simplified representation of it.”

Beyond the Model Maze:

So, if economic models cannot be relied upon for perfect foresight, are we doomed to make decisions in the dark? Absolutely not. While models may not provide infallible predictions, they can still be valuable tools for understanding the underlying dynamics of the economy. Here are some ways we can move beyond the limitations of models and make informed decisions in a world of uncertainty:

  • Embrace Scenario Planning: Instead of relying on a single “most likely” forecast, consider multiple scenarios, ranging from optimistic to pessimistic. This allows for a more nuanced understanding of potential risks and opportunities.
  • Focus on Leading Indicators: While lagging indicators, like GDP growth, tell us what has happened, leading indicators, like consumer confidence surveys, can provide clues about what might happen. By monitoring these signals, we can be better prepared for potential shifts in the economy.
  • Listen to the Ground: Don’t get lost in the data blizzard. Talk to businesses, consumers, and workers on the ground to get a sense of their lived experiences and concerns. This qualitative data can complement the quantitative insights from models and provide a more holistic understanding of the economic landscape.
  • Prioritise Adaptability: In a world of constant change, the ability to adapt is key. Businesses and consumers should focus on building resilience and flexibility into their plans, allowing them to adjust to unforeseen circumstances.

Conclusion:

Economic models are imperfect tools, but they are not useless. By understanding their limitations and employing additional strategies, we can move beyond the model maze and make informed decisions in an uncertain world. As Bank of England Governor Bailey reminded us, “The future is always uncertain, but by being prepared and adaptable, we can navigate the challenges ahead and build a more resilient economy.”

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Is it riskier to stick with what you have or make progress towards a better business?

Business Risks: Formation & Success

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Starting a business is a bold venture that requires careful consideration of the risks involved. Whether you are an aspiring entrepreneur or a small business owner looking to grow, understanding the potential risks is crucial. In this post, we will explore the risks associated with forming and running a business. We will delve into the three biggest risks faced by small businesses and discuss what you should avoid to achieve success. So, let’s explore the question: Is it riskier to stick with what you have or make progress towards a better business?

What is the Biggest Risk in Forming a Business?

Forming a business comes with its fair share of risks, and identifying the biggest risk can help you make informed decisions. One significant risk is the uncertainty of the market demand for your product or service. Without proper market research and analysis, you may find yourself investing time and resources into a business that lacks consumer interest. Conducting thorough market research, understanding your target audience, and assessing the demand for your offering can help mitigate this risk.

Another critical risk is financial instability. Starting a business often requires significant upfront investments, and without proper financial planning, you may face cash flow issues. It’s crucial to create a realistic budget, secure sufficient funding, and closely monitor your expenses to avoid running into financial trouble.

Legal and regulatory risks also pose a significant challenge for businesses. Failure to comply with laws and regulations relevant to your industry can lead to legal repercussions and damage your reputation. It’s essential to stay updated on legal requirements, obtain necessary licenses and permits, and establish compliant business practices to mitigate this risk.

What do You Think are the Risks Associated with Putting up a Business?

Putting up a business involves a myriad of risks that require careful consideration. One of the primary risks is competition. Regardless of the industry, competition is inevitable. Failing to identify and understand your competition can hinder your business’s growth. Conduct a competitor analysis, differentiate your offerings, and develop a unique value proposition to stand out from the crowd.

Another risk is operational inefficiency. Inadequate processes, poor resource allocation, and lack of effective management can result in wasted time, money, and effort. It’s crucial to streamline your operations, invest in technology and automation, and empower your team with the necessary tools and training.

Financial mismanagement is yet another risk that can cripple a business. Inadequate financial planning, overspending, and ineffective pricing strategies can lead to cash flow issues, debt accumulation, and even bankruptcy. Developing sound financial management practices, seeking professional advice, and regularly reviewing your financial performance are essential to mitigate this risk.

What do You Think the 3 Biggest Risks are for Small Businesses?

Small businesses face specific risks that can significantly impact their success. Firstly, limited resources pose a considerable challenge. Small businesses often operate with tight budgets, limited manpower, and fewer marketing opportunities. The lack of resources can impede growth and hinder your ability to compete effectively. Careful resource allocation, strategic partnerships, and innovative marketing strategies can help overcome this challenge.

Secondly, market volatility can be a significant risk for small businesses. Economic downturns, changing consumer trends, and disruptive technologies can quickly disrupt small businesses. To mitigate this risk, staying informed about industry trends, diversifying your offerings, and adapting your business model to the changing landscape is crucial.

Lastly, inadequate scalability can be a risk for small businesses with ambitions to grow. Scaling up operations without proper planning and infrastructure can lead to operational inefficiencies, compromised quality, and overwhelmed staff. It’s important to develop a scalable business model, invest in technology, and build a strong foundation that can support growth.

What Should I Avoid to be Successful in Business?

To achieve success in business, it’s crucial to avoid certain pitfalls and mistakes. Here are some key points to consider:

  1. Lack of Planning: Failing to create a comprehensive business plan can be detrimental to your success. A well-thought-out plan serves as a roadmap, outlining your goals, strategies, target market, and financial projections. It helps you stay focused, make informed decisions, and adapt to changes effectively.
  2. Poor Financial Management: Neglecting financial management can lead to severe consequences. It’s important to establish sound financial practices, including budgeting, tracking expenses, managing cash flow, and staying on top of tax obligations. Seeking professional advice from accountants or financial advisors can provide valuable insights and ensure your financial stability.
  3. Ignoring Market Research: Conducting market research is vital for understanding your target audience, identifying their needs, and evaluating your competition. Skipping this step can result in launching products or services that don’t align with market demand, wasting resources and time. Invest in market research to make informed decisions and develop strategies that resonate with your customers.
  4. Lack of Adaptability: In today’s rapidly changing business landscape, adaptability is crucial for survival. Failing to embrace new technologies, consumer trends, or industry shifts can leave you behind. Stay agile and open-minded, constantly seeking opportunities for innovation and improvement. Embrace change as a chance to grow and evolve.
  5. Poor Customer Service: Neglecting customer satisfaction can be detrimental to your business. Your customers are the lifeblood of your company, and their positive experiences are essential for building a loyal customer base. Focus on providing exceptional customer service, promptly addressing their concerns, and continuously improving their overall experience.
  6. Ineffective Marketing: Even if you offer a great product or service, without effective marketing, your business may go unnoticed. Develop a strong marketing strategy that utilises various channels such as social media, content marketing, SEO, and advertising to reach your target audience. Tailor your messaging to resonate with your customers and consistently monitor and adjust your marketing efforts for optimal results.

In the world of business, there are inherent risks associated with both sticking with what you have and pursuing progress. However, it is often riskier to remain stagnant, as it can lead to missed opportunities and eventual decline. By understanding the risks involved in forming a business, putting up a business, and running a small business, you can take proactive steps to mitigate them. Additionally, by avoiding common pitfalls such as lack of planning, poor financial management, and ineffective marketing, you can increase your chances of success. Embrace adaptability, prioritise customer satisfaction, and invest in market research to stay ahead of the competition. Remember, progress and growth are essential for long-term success in business.

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Is it riskier to stick with what you have or make progress towards a better business

Business Risk Management Planning For 2023

What business leaders need to know when preparing to manage business risks effectively in 2023

Calculated Risk Taking In Business In 2023

As a risk management expert, I can confidently say that taking calculated risks in business is essential for survival and success in the year 2023 and beyond. In today’s fast-paced and constantly evolving business landscape, it is imperative that companies stay ahead of the curve and adapt to new challenges and opportunities as they arise. This often requires taking calculated risks, or carefully considered and planned actions that have the potential to bring about significant rewards.

There are several reasons why taking calculated risks in business is important for survival and success in 2023.

First and foremost, calculated risks can lead to innovation and growth. In a world where competition is fierce and the pace of change is rapid, businesses that are able to think outside the box and take calculated risks are often the ones that are able to stay ahead of the game. By embracing new ideas and approaches, and taking calculated risks to bring them to fruition, businesses can drive innovation and open up new growth opportunities.

Calculated risks can also help businesses stay relevant and competitive in their industry. In today’s rapidly changing market, it is essential that businesses stay up-to-date with the latest trends and technologies, and be willing to adapt and pivot as needed. By taking calculated risks and embracing change, businesses can stay ahead of the competition and maintain their relevance in the market.

Another reason why taking calculated risks is important for survival and success in business is that it can help companies overcome challenges and setbacks. While it is always important to minimize risk as much as possible, it is inevitable that businesses will face challenges and setbacks along the way. By taking calculated risks and being proactive in addressing these challenges, businesses can find creative solutions and bounce back from difficult situations.

Finally, taking calculated risks can help businesses achieve long-term success. While it is important to carefully consider the potential risks and rewards of any action, it is also important to take a long-term perspective and be willing to take calculated risks in order to achieve larger goals and aspirations. By taking calculated risks, businesses can create new opportunities for growth and success that would not have been possible otherwise.

In summary, taking calculated risks in business is essential for survival and success in 2023 and beyond. By embracing innovation and change, staying competitive and relevant, overcoming challenges and setbacks, and taking a long-term perspective, businesses can thrive by taking calculated risks and embracing new opportunities as they arise.

 Top 10 business risks to manage in 2023:

  1. Cybersecurity risks: With the increasing reliance on technology and the internet in business, it is essential to protect against cyber attacks and data breaches. This includes investing in robust cybersecurity measures and regularly training employees on how to identify and prevent cyber threats.
  2. Economic risks: Economic instability and recession can have significant impacts on businesses, including reduced demand for products and services, supply chain disruptions, and financial difficulties. It is important for businesses to regularly assess and monitor economic conditions and have contingency plans in place to mitigate potential risks.
  3. Regulatory risks: Changes in laws and regulations can have major impacts on businesses, including increased costs and compliance requirements. It is important for businesses to stay up-to-date on changes in regulations and ensure that they are in compliance to avoid potential penalties and fines.
  4. Reputation risks: A company’s reputation is a valuable asset that can be easily damaged by negative events or negative perceptions. It is important for businesses to actively manage their reputation and address any issues or concerns promptly to prevent reputational damage.
  5. Market risks: Changes in consumer preferences, competition, and market conditions can all pose risks to businesses. It is important to regularly assess and monitor market conditions and adapt strategies as needed to stay competitive and respond to changing conditions.
  6. Financial risks: Financial risks can include things like unexpected expenses, cash flow issues, or difficulty securing funding. It is important for businesses to have strong financial management practices in place and to regularly assess and monitor their financial health to mitigate potential financial risks.
  7. Talent risks: Attracting and retaining top talent is essential for business success. Talent risks can include difficulty finding qualified candidates, high employee turnover, or inadequate training and development. It is important for businesses to have strategies in place to attract and retain top talent, and to provide ongoing support and development for employees.
  8. Supply chain risks: Disruptions in the supply chain can have major impacts on businesses, including delays, increased costs, and reduced quality. It is important for businesses to have contingency plans in place and to regularly assess and monitor their supply chain to mitigate potential risks.
  9. Natural disasters: Natural disasters such as hurricanes, earthquakes, and wildfires can disrupt business operations and cause significant damage. It is important for businesses to have contingency plans in place and to regularly assess and update their disaster preparedness plans.
  10. Political risks: Political instability or changes in government policies can have major impacts on businesses, including changes in regulations and trade agreements. It is important for businesses to stay up-to-date on political developments and have contingency plans in place to mitigate potential risks.
Risk CategoryRisk Description
Cybersecurity risksProtecting against cyber attacks and data breaches
Economic risksEconomic instability and recession
Regulatory risksChanges in laws and regulations
Reputation risksManaging and protecting company reputation
Market risksChanges in consumer preferences, competition, and market conditions
Financial risksUnexpected expenses, cash flow issues, and difficulty securing funding
Talent risksAttracting and retaining top talent
Supply chain risksDisruptions in the supply chain
Natural disastersNatural disasters such as hurricanes, earthquakes, and wildfires
Political risksPolitical instability or changes in government policies

Example of business risk management action plan for leaders for each 2023 business risk in table

Here is a business risk management action plan for leaders for each risk in the table above:

  1. Cybersecurity risks:
  • Implement robust cybersecurity measures such as firewalls, antivirus software, and secure passwords
  • Regularly train employees on how to identify and prevent cyber threats
  • Develop a cybersecurity incident response plan
  1. Economic risks:
  • Monitor economic conditions and trends regularly
  • Develop contingency plans to mitigate potential impacts of economic instability or recession
  • Consider diversifying business operations and sources of revenue
  1. Regulatory risks:
  • Stay up-to-date on changes in laws and regulations that may impact the business
  • Ensure compliance with all relevant regulations
  • Develop contingency plans for potential changes in regulations
  1. Reputation risks:
  • Monitor and manage company reputation through proactive communication and addressing any issues or concerns promptly
  • Implement a crisis management plan to address potential reputational risks
  • Foster a positive corporate culture and values
  1. Market risks:
  • Monitor market conditions and trends regularly
  • Conduct market research to understand consumer preferences and competition
  • Develop strategies to adapt to changing market conditions
  1. Financial risks:
  • Implement strong financial management practices, including budgeting, forecasting, and risk assessment
  • Monitor financial health regularly and take proactive measures to address potential financial risks
  • Develop contingency plans for unexpected expenses or cash flow issues
  1. Talent risks:
  • Develop strategies to attract and retain top talent, including competitive compensation and benefits packages and ongoing training and development
  • Foster a positive company culture and work environment to reduce employee turnover
  • Implement a talent management plan to identify and address any talent risks
  1. Supply chain risks:
  • Monitor and assess supply chain risks regularly
  • Develop contingency plans to mitigate potential supply chain disruptions
  • Consider diversifying sources of supplies and vendors
  1. Natural disasters:
  • Develop a disaster preparedness plan and regularly assess and update it as needed
  • Implement measures to protect against potential damage from natural disasters, such as backup power sources and securing important documents and equipment
  • Train employees on disaster response protocols
  1. Political risks:
  • Monitor political developments and changes in government policies that may impact the business
  • Develop contingency plans to mitigate potential political risks
  • Consider diversifying business operations and sources of revenue to mitigate potential impacts of political instability.

Why business leaders need to create their own business risk management action plan to manage these key business risks facing their business in 2023

Business leaders are faced with a multitude of risks in today’s rapidly changing business landscape, and it is essential that they have a plan in place to manage these risks effectively. A business risk management action plan is a strategic approach to identifying, assessing, and mitigating potential risks that may impact the business.

Creating a business risk management action plan is important for several reasons. First and foremost, it helps leaders anticipate and prepare for potential risks that may arise. By identifying and assessing potential risks, leaders can develop strategies to mitigate or eliminate these risks before they become a problem. This proactive approach can help prevent significant disruptions to business operations and protect the long-term viability of the company.

A business risk management action plan also helps leaders prioritise their risk management efforts and allocate resources accordingly. By understanding the potential impacts and likelihood of different risks, leaders can prioritize their efforts and allocate resources to the areas that will have the greatest impact on the business.

Another reason why business leaders need to create a business risk management action plan is that it helps to build resilience and adaptability within the organisation. By regularly reviewing and updating the action plan, leaders can ensure that the business is continuously adapting to changing circumstances and able to weather any potential storms that may arise.

Finally, a business risk management action plan helps to promote transparency and accountability within the organisation. By clearly outlining the steps that will be taken to mitigate risks, leaders can foster a culture of transparency and accountability, which is essential for building trust with stakeholders and customers.

In conclusion, business leaders need to create a business risk management action plan to effectively manage the key business risks facing their business in 2023 and beyond. This strategic approach helps to anticipate and prepare for potential risks, prioritize risk management efforts, build resilience and adaptability, and promote transparency and accountability within the organization. By taking a proactive and structured approach to risk management, business leaders can protect the long-term viability of their company and ensure its success in an uncertain and rapidly changing business landscape.

Who should be preparing a risk management action plan to manage business risks in 2023?

A risk management action plan should be prepared by business leaders and key decision-makers within the organisation. This typically includes the CEO, CFO, and other top executives who have the authority and responsibility to implement risk management strategies. In some cases, the board of directors may also be involved in the development and implementation of the risk management action plan.

In addition to senior leadership, it is also important for other key stakeholders within the organisation to be involved in the risk management process. This may include department heads, team leaders, and individual employees who have relevant knowledge and expertise. Engaging a diverse group of stakeholders in the risk management process can help to identify a wider range of potential risks and ensure that the risk management action plan is comprehensive and effective.

It is also important to involve external advisors and experts, such as risk management consultants or legal experts, in the development of the risk management action plan. These individuals can provide valuable insights and guidance on industry-specific risks and best practices for risk management.

Overall, the development of a risk management action plan should involve a collaborative effort across the organization, with input and involvement from senior leadership, key stakeholders, and external advisors. By bringing together a diverse group of individuals, businesses can create a comprehensive and effective risk management action plan that helps to mitigate potential risks and protect the long-term viability of the company.

How can you get help to prepare your business risk management plan and implement a more effective risk management strategy to boost your business resilience and performance?

Our network of enterprise risk management experts can help you. Email editor@businessrisktv.com for more information.

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Business Risk Management Planning For 2023

What are the things you need to avoid in order for your business to grow and be successful?

Make sure you focus your business resources on the key threats and opportunities facing your business

How do you make sure your business does not fail?

Avoid mistakes your team know are too risky. Pick up business tips help and support to protect and grow your business. What do you need to make sure doesn’t happen in your business in next 5 years if you are to look back and assess your business plan to have been a success? What do you not want your business to look like in five years time? How are you going to ensure you are successful? Collaborate with other business leaders on a better business risk management strategy. Adopt a more creative innovative approach to business risk taking.

  • Find and solve business problems more cost-effectively.
  • Manage your business risks better.
  • Learn how to sell more online to grow your business faster.

Analyse key business risks currently impacting on your business and risks on the horizon. Understand the benefits of balanced business risk management strategy. Focus your available resources on what really matters for your business.

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What are the things you need to avoid in order for your business to grow and be successful?

Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

Exploring preparation for a global recession with a businessrisktv.com

What happens to commodity prices in a recession

The coming global recession will slash demand for oil copper and the like. Prices for most commodities will fall. If the world falls into depression commodity prices will fall off a cliff including oil.

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Some prices can rise temporarily as people seek a safe haven. People may flee to gold or a few commodities that they think will safe harbour their money during a recession. However a depression, which is more and more likely, causes most commodity prices to collapse.

June’s weaker demand for commodities signals that an economic global recession is coming closer.

BusinessRiskTV

Global recession is necessary to stop runaway global inflation. The hard landing is the only option now available due to the lacklustre response to control inflation by Central banks and global national government.

Agricultural demand and energy demand is likely to keep rising during the autumn and winter and will sustain high commodity prices. This is likely to be aggravated by poor geopolitical decision-making by incompetent national leaders and global bodies like WHO, UN and WEF puppet masters and pied pippers particularly as it relates to food, water and energy. It is likely that another health crisis will emerge in the autumn winter and spring and this is likely to be managed in a restrictive way due to the propensity of these international bodies to take more and more health and economic risk management control. In addition, as demand falls due to rising inflation it can be combined with increased supply chain disruption imposed by recommended risk management action by international bodies that national governments adopt. Worse WHO wants overseeing overriding control of the next wave of the pandemic or next health pandemic.

Demand is likely to stay the same or slightly lower, but our leaders can change the supply up or down with their decisions. Reducing supply will push up prices.

Global stagflation is a certainty. When not if.

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Global commodity prices

Wheat and oil future prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures. Weaker commodity prices in June indicate we are transitioning to a global recession. Although commodity prices will fall, inflation will increase and stay high whilst growth turns to recession. For example there will be less demand for oil, oil prices will fall, but prices of goods and services will remain high.

Surviving global recession: how do you prepare for a recession

Businesses that can offer business discounts and consumer discounts are more likely to survive as more people become price conscious.

Businesses that supply essentials or luxury items at a discount offer more in the marketplace compared to those businesses who have let their own costs of being in business balloon and cannot offer deals and discounts.

  • Discount grocery and retail stores tend to have more footfall during a recession. Many supermarkets take advantage of their customers during the good times and suffer a loss of business and profitability when recessionary precious hit the consumers household budget.
  • People still die during recession! After the management of global risks over the last two years more people will die. businesses which cater for death are likely to perform strongly throughout a recession.
  • People turn to drink and drugs during a recession! Businesses providing alcohol and drugs will perform strongly during the coming recession.
  • You still have to pay your taxes! Accountants and tax advisors are likely to still perform well during the recession.
  • Everyone can afford a bit of lippy! Cosmetic businesses can perform well during a recession.

As for the rest of businesses, they must fully understand what’s important and what is not for their particular business model. Offering more value for money will become more important.

Wheat and oil prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures market
Global recession 2023

Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

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Guide To Business Enterprise Risk Management ERM
Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance

Taking calculated risks is the business of the entrepreneur or business leaders. Taking the right risks will make your business more successful. Taking mo risk is condemning your business to a slow death, at best.

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Take the Risk or Lose the Chance to Be Better in Business

In business, as in life, there are always risks involved. But sometimes, the only way to achieve success is to take a chance.

A ship in the harbour is safe but that’s not what ships are for.

There are many reasons why it’s important to take risks in business. Here are a few:

  • Risks can lead to innovation. When businesses take risks, they often come up with new and innovative products or services. This can help them to differentiate themselves from their competitors and gain a competitive advantage.
  • Risks can lead to growth. When businesses expand into new markets or launch new products, they often experience growth. This can lead to increased revenue, profits, and market share.
  • Risks can lead to learning. When businesses take risks, they often learn from their mistakes. This can help them to improve their products, services, and processes.

Of course, there is also the risk of failure when taking risks in business. But the potential rewards often outweigh the potential risks.

So, if you’re thinking about starting a business or expanding your existing business, don’t be afraid to take some risks. Just make sure you do your research and plan carefully. And be prepared to learn from your mistakes.

Is it better to take the risk or lose the chance?

The answer to this question depends on your individual circumstances and goals. If you’re willing to take a risk and have a good chance of success, then it may be worth it. However, if you’re not willing to take a risk or the chances of success are slim, then it may be better to play it safe.

Why is it important to take risk in business?

There are several reasons why it’s important to take risks in business. Here are a few:

  • Risk can lead to innovation. Businesses that are willing to take risks are more likely to innovate and come up with new products and services. This can help them to stay ahead of the competition and grow their business.
  • Risk can lead to growth. Businesses that are willing to take risks are more likely to grow their business. This can be done by expanding into new markets, launching new products, or acquiring other businesses.
  • Risk can lead to learning. Businesses that are willing to take risks are more likely to learn from their mistakes. This can help them to improve their products, services, and processes.

Is it worth it to take risk business?

Whether or not it’s worth it to take risks in business depends on a number of factors, including the size of the risk, the potential reward, and the likelihood of success.

In general, it’s only worth taking risks that have a good chance of success and that are worth the potential reward. For example, it may not be worth taking a risk on a new product that has a small market potential. However, it may be worth taking a risk on a new product that has a large market potential and that can be produced at a low cost.

What does take risks mean in business?

Taking risks in business means being willing to try new things, even if there is a chance of failure. It means being willing to step outside of your comfort zone and explore new opportunities. It also means being willing to learn from your mistakes and keep moving forward.

Taking risks is not always easy, but it can be very rewarding. When you take risks, you have the potential to achieve great things. You can grow your business, innovate new products, and reach new markets. So, if you’re looking to achieve success in business, don’t be afraid to take some risks.

Here are some tips for taking risks in business:

  • Do your research. Before you take any risks, make sure you do your research and understand the potential risks and rewards.
  • Plan carefully. Once you’ve done your research, create a plan for how you’re going to mitigate the risks and maximize the rewards.
  • Be prepared to fail. Even if you do everything right, there’s always a chance that you’ll fail. Be prepared to learn from your mistakes and move on.
  • Don’t give up. If you fail, don’t give up. Learn from your mistakes and keep trying.

Taking risks can be scary, but it’s also an essential part of business success. If you’re willing to take some risks, you’ll be well on your way to achieving your goals.

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If your business risk management strategy is to not take risks it is likely that your business will die quickly or slowly, but fail it will. The consequences of not taking risks in business is that your risk control costs will make your business uncompetitive in your marketplace, or you will miss business opportunities to grow faster. The risk of doing nothing is an inevitable death of your business. Intelligently taking more risk can mitigate the risks not working out and boost the return on your investment of time and money in your business. Take a business risk with more confidence with BusinessRiskTV.

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The biggest risk is taking no risk at all

Business leaders have to take risks to survive and prosper in their chosen marketplace. This does not mean business leaders should be reckless. It just means they need to be mindful of the key business risks that do impact on the objectives of the business.

Failing to plan does mean you are planning to fail. However even the best laid business plan can fail when exposed to the vagaries of the business marketplace. Your business risk management plan needs to be flexible and it needs regular reviewing to ensure it is working efficiently.

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The best risks to take are the ones you can direct into your favour. Luck will always play its part in risk taking, but you can take risk with confidence if you have the right risk management process embedded in your business decision-making.

Why taking no risk is the biggest risk

The world of business is changing at an ever faster rate. Children born today will do jobs that have not even been invented yet.

It is often said that me learn more from our mistakes than from our successes. Not taking risks may mean you make fewer mistakes, but you may also miss the opportunities to grow faster from ways you could not have envisaged prior to taking a risk. Taking a known risk, even if you don’t know all the possible outcomes, can teach you something that can drive your business forward faster. Without business risk there is no innovation in business. Being good at taking risks means you can optimise your business performance.

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Do not manage your business from the stand point of fear of business risks. Overcoming fear in business starts with improving your ability to inform your decision-making. With less risk information you have more uncertainty. Increased uncertainty increases negative impact on your business objectives.

Success normally comes from taking controlled risks not hunkering down, crossing fingers or hoping it will work out for you

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Even if you do not seek business risks, they will find you! Risk taking is part and parcel of the job description of business leaders. Most business leaders seek greater rewards from their business. Greater rewards normally come from taking on more risk. Taking on more risk does not automatically mean you need to take on a higher level of risk. If you control the risks you take on the net level of risk can remain the same, but the rewards can be greater.

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Do you fear losing what you have created instead of valuing what you might gain from taking more risk?

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Fear of loss often beats the desire to gain more. Fearing losing everything you have built is natural human reaction. However is your fear getting in the way of seizing new business opportunities? Keep innovating and growing with less uncertainty with BusinessRiskTV.

Develop a holistic risk management culture to drive your business forward. Up your risk appetite to achieve more with more controlled balanced risk taking.

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Do you have loss aversion bias in decision making?

Business leaders who are loss averse feel the pain of loss much greater that any joy from any gains from decisions made. They make strategic business decisions accordingly. The risk culture of the business models the loss aversion bias of the business leader.

If this works well for your business you should continue with status quo. However if you would like to experience faster business growth you may need to take more calculated risks.

Loss aversion refers to the tendency to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. It is better for you to not lose 10000 pounds than to make 10000 pounds in business. 

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However most entrepreneurs and many business leaders are in their position to better themselves. If you mitigate the potential losses from taking more risks and manage the risks to maximise the return on your investment you should end up with faster growth with less uncertainty.

It is more common in people who are not entrepreneurs or business leaders to be biased against taking risks. Loss aversion is a reflection of a general bias in human psychology. People tend to want to stick with what they know than make changes that might not work well. People in general are resistant to change. When presented with the potential benefits of change they focus more on what might be lost rather than on what can be gained.

  • What is your business risk tolerance? If you can make changes to try to grow faster that if do not work fall within your risk tolerance would you take more risk?
  • If you adopted small changes rather than one big radical all eggs in one basket change would you feel more comfortable? Spreading your faster business growth changes across a few new ideas may be better for your business. When you know which one of the new changes works best perhaps then you can focus on one new idea.
  • Do not confuse more risk taking in business with gambling. Taking calculated risks to grow faster is about assessing and then managing the risks before you action more risk taking. You can mitigate the threats from more risk as well as maximise the returns from taking more risks.

Few things in business life are guaranteed other than taxes! Even maintaining the status quo comes with the threat of business failure. Kodack photography business was once one of the most successful businesses in the world. How many Kodack films do you buy for your camera now!

The desire to avoid business losses is motivated by fear. The more a business leader fears losses the more likely he or she is to be loss averse and the more likely they are to be disinclined to make changes to their business to be more successful. Having a better understanding of the risks that could be taken to achieve more will make loss averse business leaders more comfortable with changing the the business.

Often the perception of risks and reward are skewed to the belief that you are doomed to fail which means you do not make changes to the business. By the same token it is important that all stakeholders in the business are involved in assessing risks from changes to business. Business leaders who do like taking risks can miss the pitfalls to mitigate against whilst making changes that can cause the change project fail even if it was a great idea.

With a little input and engagement from all levels of the organisation your project to grow faster is more likely to be a success. Take risks that are worth taking which are achievable with everyone onboard.

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Taking more risks to achieve more success comes down to risk knowledge and business intelligence. A lack of risk knowledge leads to increased fear. This can result in missed opportunities to grow faster.

  • What are the potential costs of taking more risks?
  • What are the potential benefits of taking more risks?
  • How will taking more risks benefit your business?
  • What are the alternatives?
  • How much better would your business perform if the best case scenario came true?
  • What are the worst outcomes that could happen if you took extra risks and how could you reduce the risk?
  • How bad would it be if the worst case scenario risk event materialised?
  • What would your business look like in 5 years if your risk decisions were taken?

Assessing the risks incorporating both upside and downside risks will enable you to make more balanced business decisions to improve performance.

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Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance

Negativity bias means in part we focus more on stopping bad things from happening than creating the environment for great good things to happen. For example, we focus on stopping climate damage instead of investing money in better natural environment. We spend more money to risk control instead of seizing new business opportunities which create risk but also create more rewards for risk takers.

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Embrace the opportunities in the new decade but be risk aware about the threats that come with the opportunities to grow. Work together with our network of business leaders and risk management experts to finish the 2020s better than you started.

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