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Latest Eurozone business and economy news headlines opinions debate business risk analysis and business reviews
16th December 2019 Eurozone Economys Worst Performance Since 2013
Influential survey IHS Markit Purchasing Managers Index PMI reports terrible economic performance by Eurozone. There are significant fears of increasing unemployment in the Eurozone countries.
The Eurozone needs to hope that China and USA sign the agreed trade to relieve global economic slowdown pressure impacting on the Eurozone economy.
2nd December 2019 Eurozone Manufacturing Output Reduced For 10th Month In Row In November
IHS Markits final manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index PMI for November 2019 shows poor Eurozone manufacturing production since February 2019.
22nd November 2019 Christine Lagarde President European Central BankECB Calls For Greater Eurozone Government Public Spending To Save Eurozone
The Eurozone may or may not survive without greater public spending but to date the Eurozone has been saved by pumping cheap money into the Eurozone economy including Quantitative Easing QE. QE has been reintroduced into the Eurozone economic plans but it is widely accepted that QE no longer works well and is unlikely to save the Eurozone economy from collapse. Only increased spending by Eurozone member countries will save the euro.
Lagarde has urged Eurozone countries to spend more. Eurozone inflation is way below healthy inflation target and eurozone economic growth is poor. Lagarde wants national governments to stimulate their economies by spending more. She acknowledges that the ECB tools to protect Eurozone economy will not be sufficient to pull the Eurozone economy out of the doldrums.
The ECB has restarted QE but it is not working like it used to and Eurozone member countries need to spend more to protect and grow the Eurozone economy and the Euro.
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The ECB has thrown everything at Eurozone economic recovery but it is running out of answers. Even with QE negative interest rates and cheap long term loans to banks the ECB monetary tools are faltering in effectiveness.
7th November 2019 Eurozone Economy Grown More Slowly In 2019 and Set To Grow More Slowly Than Forecast In 2020
France deficit will continue to break European Commission EC rules.
Germany and the Netherlands are being urged to invest more to help lift Eurozone economy.
16th October 2019 What Do You Do In The Eurozone If You Can Not Reach A Sensible Economic Target. Answer Change The Leader and Lower Or Change The Target
Just like the Bank of England BoE did under current governor Mark Carney The European Central Bank ECB key people are being lined up to change the economic target for the ECB.
The ECB will lower inflation rate target as it can not reach 2.0 percent the commonly accepted healthy inflation target for all central banks to aim for.
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When BoE found that UK unemployment fell below 7.0 percent many years ago they change the economic target required to trigger increase in interest rates. The BoE said it wanted transparency in the marketplace so business leaders could plan for the future so give out clear indicators on BoE policy. When they did not want to increase interest rates when UK unemployment rate fell below 7.0 percent they ditched their unemployment rate policy. Business leaders did not complain cause it meant interest rates stayed lower for longer but it shows how central bank policymakers words are not worth the paper they are written on.
Mark Carney Governor of Bank Of England BoE became known as the unreliable boyfriend as he constantly briefed one thing and did another
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The central bank governors of Austria Robert Holzmannn and the Netherlands Klaas Knot hate Mario Draghis ECB President cheap money policy chasing eurozone inflation target of 2.0 percent. They want the new President ECB Lagarde to lower inflation target or even dispense with one and chase unemployment reduction.
That would dictate interest rate cut and cheap money printing too if Spain France Greece and Italy were important to Germany Austria and Netherlands!
16th October 2019 Whilst Many People Would Welcome Lower Consumer Price Increases The Eurozone Is Facing Japanification Of Its Economy If Trade Wars Continue
The European Central Bank ECB is struggling with all the tools at its disposal to lift inflation to a healthy 2.0 percent. It is failing and its worsening. In addition the tools that arguably saved the Eurozone are no longer working. Interest rates are in negative territory and can not be reduced much further and cheap quantitative money is being pumped into Eurozone economy to make it easier to invest in business and the economy. And yet Eurozone inflation continues to fall.
Euro zone inflation slowed in September to its lowest rate since November 2016
European Union statistics agency Eurostat
Eurostat has reported Eurozone prices grew by just 0.8 percent year on year. Annual inflation rate for Eurozone in August was an unhealthy 1.0 percent. The economy in the Eurozone is worsening.
9th October 2019 The Eurozone Clearly Needs Negative Interest Rates and Quantitative Easing QE Expansion But The Germans Want Higher Rates And An End To QE
The big political and economic battle is not Brexit but European Central Banks ECB policy on cheap money to help southern European countries recover from last financial crisis.
German savers especially retired Germans are being crucified by low and negative ECB interest rates over recent years. Their money is going down without them spending it. This is politically difficult within Germany. Anti Eurozone sentiment is rising in Germany as they feel they are paying more to support financially incompetent southern European countries.
Trouble is if Germany achieves what it wants which is ever closer union common budget and higher interest rates then southern European countries will never recover from the last financial crisis and be forced into national budget cuts that will eventually lead to the collapse of the euro.
Germans have a choice. Support the eurozone project with long term low interest rates or the collapse of the euro.
7th October 2019 European Central Bank ECB Concludes Eurozone Banks Are Very Weak More Than A Decade After The Financial Crisis
Half of the euro zones biggest banks would not survive a six months if financial counterparties and commercial clients withdrew their cash depsoits.
The ECBs Sensitivity Analysis of Liquidity Risk report effectively concluded Eurozone banks are very weak heading towards worsening of economic slowdown political risks of the trade wars and growing governmental debt.
There is a chance these banks would survive even less time if the credit rating agencies credit reports on banks spooked the marketplace.
7th October 2019 Current Economic Political And Debt Risks Threaten Stability Of Eurozone Banks and Sustainability of the Eurozone
The slide towards an economic recession in the eurozone is one of the key threats to Eurozone banks.
The second biggest threat to Eurozone banks is international trade wars with UK and USA.
Growing government debt is the third biggest threat to the stability to Eurozone banks and the Eurozone itself.
The European Central Bank ECB has very little room left manoeuvre now to protect the Eurozone economy from falling into recession. Cutting interest rates helped after the 2008 financial crisis first started. However Eurozone interest rates are very near their their lowest point and already in negative territory. The ECB can now do little to pump other cheap money into the Eurozone economy.
If the last few measures do not work and the above three key threats persists then the Eurozone banks and the Eurozone itself will fall.
3rd October 2019 The Mood Music In Eurozone Is Ever Closer Union Where Eurozone Citizens Are More and More Governed By Brussels Not Their Own Government
De Guindos Vice President European Central Bank ECB advocates creating a sizable and agile centralised fiscal capacity in the euro zone which should play a more substantive role than usual in boosting the euro zone economy. In short people and businesses of the Eurozone this is the thin end of the wedge.
The Eurozone and indeed the rest of European Union will increasingly look to centralised forces to set budgets raise taxes and pay for public services. They will have less and less control over their future though their future will be more secure.
Do you want a secure less risky future in Eurozone or self determination outside of it?
1st October 2019 Manufacturing Output In Eurozone Continues To Contract
Manufacturing activity in the euro zone contracted at its steepest rate in almost seven years in September.
IHS Markits September final manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index PMI was at its lowest since October 2012.
Although output is poor now worse is expected in the coming months by many economists.
30th September 2019 The Delight Most Economic Commentators Took To Eurozone Latest Unemployment Figures Shows Just How Bad The Eurozone Economy Has Been and Is
The unemployment rate in the euro zone fell in August to its lowest level since May 2008. The jobless rate in the 19 country Eurozone fell to 7.4 percent in August.
- Unemployment rate in Spain was 13.8 percent
- Unemployment rate in Italy was 9.5 percent
- Unemployment rate in Greece was 17.0 percent
- Unemployment rate in France was 8.5 percent
- Unemployment rate in Germany was 3.1 percent
Germany is certainly winning out of the formation of the Eurozone but is the rest of the Eurozone benefiting? Southern Eurozone countries in particular are struggling to recover from the financial crisis in 2008. More than a decade after the start of the financial crisis the Eurozone has failed to recover.
Have a look at above links to see the current true cost of the failure of the euro which is more than a decade of extraordinary youth unemployment in the Eurozone.
In the UK the unemployment rate is 3.8 percent. In USA the unemployment rate is 3.7 percent. Unemployment in these countries is around half that in the Eurozone and the UK and USA is supposed to be in economic disaster zone!
You could argue that the USA and UK caused the last financial crisis but that is a different matter. these countries have turned round near economic collapse. The Eurozone is not even close.
30th September 2019 Eurozone Needs To Move Away From Fiscal Rules Countries May or May Not Obey With To Common Budget Agreed and Enforced
Mario Draghi President of European Central Bank ECB speaking to Financial Times says Eurozone leaders need to create a common budget. He said the Eurozone needs to move from a rules based national fiscal policy to an institution based fiscal capacity which was an existential part of the euro area that needs to be completed.
Draghi recognised the introduction of a common budget would create tensions surrounding the loss of national sovereignty but argued it was necessary for the Eurozone to survive.
Year of pumping cheap money into the Eurozone has not worked well. Unemployment levels in many countries is very high and growth is slow if not recessionary.
In addition there is a north south divide in the Eurozone with Germany and the rest in north calling for higher interest rates with those like Greece and Italy in the south needing low interest rates.
Instead of quantitative easing or cheap fake money helping southern Eurozone countries out of an economic hole some have used it to break Eurozone fiscal rules and not be disciplined budget wise which includes France one of the biggest Eurozone countries economically. German economists are in despair that cheap fake QE money has restarted.
28th September 2019 Business Confidence In Eurozone Biggest Monthly Fall Since Financial Crisis
As the Eurozone slips slowly into recessionary mode business leaders lose confidence in politicians to stop the slide.
Business confidence in the Eurozone economy has fallen to a 6 year low according to reports from the European Commission.
23rd September 2019 Eurozone Economic Outlook Poor And Could Become Existential If Things Do Not Change In The World Economy Or In The Way The Eurozone Is Managed
Euro zone business growth stalled in September driven largely by German industrial activity collapse.
Recent data and forward looking indicators such as new export orders in manufacturing do not show convincing signs of a rebound in growth in the near future and the balance of risks to the growth outlook remains tilted to the downside.
Mario Draghi President European Central Bank ECB speaking to the European Parliaments committee on economic affairs
Draghi also suggested that the current saviour of Eurozone economy the Eurozone services sector could soon reflect recessionary look experienced in the eurozone industrial sector.
The longer the weakness in manufacturing persists the greater the risks that other sectors of the economy will be affected by the slowdown.
Mario Draghi President of European Central Bank ECB
Draghi thinks the Eurozone is in trouble and it needs to be saved by ever closer union or a centralised fiscal instrument like the federal budget in the United States.
23rd September 2019 Eurozone Banks May Know More Than We Do About The Risks To Eurozone Economy and Eurozone Banking Industry Stability
Euro zone banks have raised not cut the rates at which they lend to each other since the European Central Bank cut its own rates earlier this month, which negates part of the ECBs stimulus effort.
If Eurozone banks are charging other Eurozone banks more to lend to them they could be doing this as the banks are worried about the strength of the Eurozone economy and the stability of Eurozone banks. They want more money for the increased risks to Eurozone banks and economy.
The rates on unsecured loans longer than a month which are used to price some mortgages and derivative contracts have risen as have yields on Italian bonds with a two year maturity. This further indicates the perception of increased risk to Eurozone economy.
13th September 2019 European Central Bank ECB Quietly Does About Turn On Quantitative Easing QE And Is Effectively Keeping Eurozone Afloat
The ECB is effectively on a course to use QE to finance public sector sector spending in Eurozone countries. This is against the rules but once again the key bureaucrats in the European Union EU change the rules at their own whim. In this case it is to save the Eurozone from collapse.
The Eurozone countries are currently incapable of sustaining the Eurozone with organic economic growth. It has to return again to fake money called QE. If the global economic slowdown is not resolved soon even fake money will not work.
12th September 2019 ECB President Sees More Downside Risks For Eurozone In Future
incoming information since the last Governing Council meeting indicates a more protected weakness of the euro area economy the persistence of prominent downside risks and muted inflationary pressures
Mario Draghi President Of European Central Bank ECB
12th September 2019 ECB Cuts Eurozone Interest Rate And Pours Cheap Money Into Eurozone To Try To Prevent A Recession
The European Central Bank ECB introduces new measures to save the Eurozone from recession. It may even realises this is required to save the euro.
The ECB:
- Cut its deposit rate. It now costs eurozone banks 0.5 percent to keep money on deposit. The theory is the banks are better off lending their money to make money instead of stockpiling cash through fear of recession that would lose banks money.
- Introduces new QE quantitative easing with bond purchases in region of 20 billion euros worth per month for the foreseeable future.
- Introduces a package of measures to save the euro and encourage inflation towards its healthy target of 2 percent.
However the eurozone economy is far from healthy. It is teetering on the edge of a recession in next 6 months. It takes at least 6 months for a change in interest rates to make an impact on an economy as big as the eurozone.
The package of cheap money reduced the value of the euro and will make it easier for the eurozone countries to export.
12th September 2019 Eurozone Industrial Output Fell Faster Than Expected By Many Economists Forecasts
Euro zone production fell 2.0 percent year on year according to Eurostat.
Eurozone GDP fell from 0.4 percent in first quarter to 0.2 percent in the second quarter. The European Central Bank will have to make borrowing cheaper to encourage investment and consumer spending in the Eurozone if it is to avoid a recession.
4th September 2019 Eurozone Banks Are Very Exposed To Economic Downturn
Banking profitability in the euro zone is so weak that lenders resilience to a downturn may be limited even if they have spent years building up capital buffers
European Central Bank policymaker Madis Müller told Eurofi Magazine
Eurozone banks revenue earned by banks has been too small to cover the losses incurred in the past 10 years Müller was quoted as saying.
This suggests that Eurozone banking resilience is vulnerable to an economic downturn in the future even if their capital ratios have improved in recent years Müller said.
2nd September 2019 Eurozone Manufacturing Continues To Perform Poorly In Difficult Global Marketplace
Eurozone manufacturing activity contracted for a seventh month in a row in August
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The global economy is contracting largely due to trade war between China and USA. The resulting turmoil is washing across the rest of the world including the Eurozone.
The manufacturing figures indicate that more quantitative easing lower interest rates and other ways to pump cheap money into the eurozone economy is inevitable and imminent.
New manufacturing orders in Eurozone fell for an eleventh month.
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30th August 2019 Eurozone Unemployment Stays At 7.5 Percent In July
According to European Unions statistics agency Eurostat unemployment across the eurozone held steady in July. However youth unemployment in eurozone rose to 15.6 percent in July.
22nd August 2019 European Central Bank ECB Economic Growth Weaker Than Thought and ECB Needs To Introduce More Cheap Money
ECB policymakers believe eurozone economic growth is weaker than thought and it needs to introduce measures stop eurozone economy deteriorating further according to ECB July 25 meeting notes.
Each new set of economic data on eurozone economic performance shows an economy that is performing very poorly and its worsening.
The ECB is now more likely to cut interest rate in September and scale up quantitative easing QE.
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The banking sector in the eurozone particularly in Italy needs protecting and business leaders need cheap money to invest for better future.
The eurozone can not wait for the new ECB President Christine Lagarde to act in October or November. The eurozone economy needs more cheap money now.
The economic headwinds necessitate swift action as any action will take time to benefit the eurozone economy. Headwinds include global trade war Brexit Italian political turmoil impacting on Italian banks and Chinas continuing slowing growth.
Unemployment in most eurozone countries remains very high compared to Japan USA and UK. The last things the euro zone countries need is an increase in unemployment levels from eurozone recession.
20th August 2019 Eurozone Needs Lower Interest Rates and More QE Now To Avoid Recession
Inflation in the eurozone block of countries fell to 1 percent in July. This needs to double to just get to a healthy inflation level targeted by European Central Bank ECB.
The central banks of all the biggest developed countries in the world agree that a healthy inflation target is 2 percent.
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The ECB needs to urgently expand its quantitative easing QE pumping more cheap money into the eurozone economy. In addition it needs to cut lending costs to zero. This will also lower the value of the euro and make it easier to export from the eurozone.
The eurozone has to cope with the legacy of the last financial crisis in 2008. If the ECB does not pump more cheap money into the eurozone it will help push the eurozone into another recession.
14th August 2019 Eurozone Economy Continues To Struggle
Anemic Eurozone growth in the second quarter of 2019 according to European Union statistics office. Germanys economy contracted. The global trade war and uncertainty over Brexit is threatening to push the eurozone into recession.
Eurozone is estimated to grow by 1.1 percent in 2019
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Industrial production in the eurozone fell by 2.6 percent in June year on year. Unemployment rate in Germany is 4.9 percent and unemployment rate in France is 8.5 percent compared to UK unemployment rate of just 3.9 percent.
1st August 2019 Euro Zone Purchasing Managers Index PMI For Manufacturing Firms In July Fell To Lowest Level Since 2012
Many economists in UK say the UKs drop off of manufacturing activity is down to Brexit uncertainty. However eurozone manufacturers drop off in production and indeed global manufacturing production drop off is not down to Brexit uncertainty.
The global economy is suffering largely due to trade wars and worldwide geopolitical uncertainty.
What the figures indicate is that the European Central Bank ECB needs to follow the lead of the Federal Reserve and reduce interest rates in the eurozone area to try to incentivise businesses to invest and grow in global slowdown marketplace.
17th July 2019 Consumers Prices In Eurozone Increased By 1.3 Percent Year On Year
European Union EU statistics agency Eurostat reported eurozone inflation was 1.3 percent year on year in June.
The European Central Bank ECB has targeted healthy inflation as 2 percent. There is a good argument for increasing the supply of money across the eurozone to make it cheaper to borrow to invest. The European Central Bank ECB should cut interest rate across the eurozone countries and restart quantitative easing QE.
Italy and Germany are close to recession. Italy and Germany both need interest rate cut to boost economic activity. The whole of the eurozone needs Germany to avoid recession as it is the economic powerhouse of the eurozone.
22nd March 2019 Eurozone Economy Performing Poorly In March
Eurozone factory activity in March contracted at the fastest pace since April 2013 according to IHS Markit Purchasing Managers Index PMI.
German manufacturing output is getting worse. It is the powerhouse of Europe and its contracting.
7th March 2019 European Central Bank ECB Pumping More Money Into Eurozone
The ECB reckons eurozone growth has slowed to 1.1 percent from an already slow 1.7 percent. To try to stop eurozone economic growth stalling the ECB is to offer cheap loans to banks to enable banks to lend more money to consumers and businesses in eurozone. It is hoped that this Targeted Longer Term Refinancing Operation will support economic growth in the eurozone. Banks will be able to lend more at a lower interest rate. This new initiative will begin in September 2019 and continue until 2021.
The ECB is worried that Brexit and the trade war between China and USA will further damage economic growth in the eurozone going forward. The ECB programme will also help vulnerable European banks survive.
27th February 2019 Eurozone Business and Economic Confidence Continues To Fall
Euro zone economic business confidence fell for eighth consecutive month to a new two year low in February according to European Commission EC. Business confidence in Eurozone has fallen to lowest level since since November 2016.
13th February 2019 Euro Zone Product Fell In Last 12 Months
The European Unions EUs statistics office Eurostat reported 19 country eurozone industrial output fell 4.2 percent year on year decline.
The fall in industrial production is part of the trend of slowing economic growth in the euro zone. The European Commission EC expects growth to decelerate to 1.3 percent in 2019.
EC says economic growth in the eurozone in 2018 was 1.9 percent
8th February 2019 European Commission EC Confirms Economic Growth Slowdown To Continue in 2019
The EC has cut its economic growth forecast for the Eurozone for 2019. The EC forecasts growth of only 1.5 percent down from an already slow 1.9 percent forecast in November last year.
The economic slowdown is expected due to reducing demand in China the trade war between China and USA and Brexit. One potentially catastrophic risk could come from the collapse of the banking system in Italy and then the world economy will be threatened.
With the biggest economies of Germany and France struggling the Eurozone will have a very difficult year economically and perhaps politically with the European Union EU elections in May 2019.
5th February 2019 Eurozone Economic Growth Stalled
According to IHS Markits Euro Zone Composite Final Purchasing Managers Index PMI the euro zone businesses expanded at their weakest rate since July 2013 at the beginning of 2019.
30th January 2019 Eurozone Economic Confidence Drops To 2 Year Low In January
According to the European Commission EC eurozone economic confidence fell for the seventh consecutive month which is the lowest level of confidence since November 2016.
14th January 2019 Eurozone Industrial Output Suffers Biggest Fall Since Febrary 2016 In November
The European Unions EUs statistics office Eurostat estimated that industrial production in the 19 nation euro zone fell by 1.7 percent in November month on month.
The next eurozone crisis has already started #EurozoneRecession https://t.co/bWXCsQEXdE
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) January 11, 2019
Tweets from https://twitter.com/HolisticRiskMgt/lists/business-eurozone-forum
10th January 2019 Eurozone Unemployment Falls
The eurozone unemployment rate has fallen to 7.9 percent in November according to European Unions EU statistical office Eurostat. which is lowest since October 2008.
18th December 2018 European Central Bank ECB Stops Quantitative Easing QE This Month
ECB bows to pressure from bigger economic countries like Germany and will stop QE this month. Other countries like Greece Spain and Italy need the QE cash flow taps to remain open to help create more jobs and business opportunities for growth. Even France is struggling economically as it is breaking European Commission EC fiscal rules unofficially.
Inflation in eurozone is only 1.1 percent far from the target of health inflation of 2 percent. QE encourages inflation closing monetary taps depresses inflation. The Eurozone could be heading for deflation which will require a restarting of QE by ECB.
14th December 2018 Euro Zone Economy Continues To Perform Poorly At End 2018
Euro zone business expanding at slowest pace in over four years due to global trade barriers and particularly poor economic performance in in France.
This month France economy contracted due to anti government protests on streets of France.
The European Central Bank ECB has decided to end its QE monetary easing asset buying scheme. The eurozone economy is slowing and the ECB is withdrawing economic stimulus.
20th November 2018 Ever Closer Eurozone Gets Closer
Eurozone is set to have a Euroz Zone wide budget by 2021. The Franco-German proposal does not have unanimous accpetance that it is a great idea but is set to have approval for 19 eurozone countries.
The plans inlcude linking the first eurozone wide budget to the European Union EU framework and be part of the next EU long term budget and subject to same budgetary rules. This includes financial penalties for non compliance with rules.
The new budget will bind eurozone countries ever closer together. The Franco German proposal has been welcomed by the Eurogroup.
12th November 2018 Slowing Eurozone Growth Is Normalisation Of Trend Growth Levels
Euro zone growth is simply returning to normal trend pattern after an exceptional 2017. The current eurozone economic growth slowdown is primarily due to weaker external demand according to European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos.
8th November 2018 Eurozone Unemployment 8.1 Percent
European Commission EC is forecasting slowing euro zone growth in future. Eurozone Economic Risks include
- Trade war with USA
- Brexit
- High member country debt levels
- Banking collapse particularly Italian banks
The EC thinks euro zone inflation is 1.8 percent and thinks it will stay below target of 2 percent in 2019.
Eurozone growth in 2018 is forecast to be 2.1 percent and 1.9 percent in 2019.
30th October 2018 Euro Zone Growth Slowed To 1.7 Percent
Compared to same period as last year eurozone annualised growth has slowed to 1.7 percent.
The eurozones third biggest economy has stopped growing which makes the Italian governments 2019 budget even more out of kilter with European Union EU fiscal rules. The EU has rejected Italys 2019 budget proposal.
Germanys car manufacturing emissions scandal has led to a slowdown in the car buying marketplace which is impacting negatively on EU economic performance.
24th October 2018 Euro Zone Growth Slowed Faster Than Expected
IHS Markit survey in October found that euro zone business growth slowed more than expected.
Internal eurozone problems include the first time a member country has had its budget rejected by the European Commission EC for breaking European Union EU rules.
External eurozone problems include the growing problems arising from global trade disputes particularly between USA and EU and USA and China.
ECB to focus on bond-buying exit as threats mount https://t.co/EFXKns4ZIb #ECB #EuropeanUnion #EU #Eurozone
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) October 23, 2018
19th September 2018 Eurozone Banking Union Getting Closer?
German Finance Minister Olaf Scholz said that he wants euro zone governments to this year on next steps for completing their banking union in order to make the single currency bloc resilient for the next crisis.
For those who think that every closer union is off the table should again realise that eventually the European Union EU countries will all have the euro and all have banking union. It is the only way for the Eurozone and wider European Union to work well.
It may not happen in the next decade but it is going to happen in the next 100 years. You may or may not think this is a good idea but it will become reality sooner rather than later.
31st August 2018 Euro Zone Countries Must Do More To Grow Faster
European Central Bank ECB President Luis de Guindos thinks the euro zone block of countries must do more to protect itself from another financial crisis. The euro zone block of countries must transform their institutions at national and European Union EU level.
National governments and the EU must do more to support economic growth instead of relying on the ECB for QE and low interest rates.
31st August 2018 Eurozone Interest Rates Should Be Increased
Austrias central bank governor Ewald Nowotny thinks the European Central Bank ECB should begin normalising interest rates. Getting interest rates out of negative territory would be a fundamental step on the recovery process.
However the ECB does not plan to increase interest rates until autumn 2019. The ECB does plan to end quantitative easing QE by the end of 2018.
31st July 2018 Eurozone Economic Growth Slows
Eurozone growth slowed in second quarter. The eurozone economy is growing at an annualised rate of 2.1 percent in the second quarter compared to 2.5 percent in the first quarter of the year.
- Eurozone inflation in July was 2.1 percent compared to 2 percent in June.
- Unemployment in eurozone continues to fall but is still very high compared to other modern industrialised areas of the world. Eurozone unemployment rate in June was 8.3 percent.
The eurozone continues to recover from the financial crisis in 2008 but a decade later progress is slow.
21st July 2018 Eurozones Biggest Threat Is Political Not Economics
Eurozone growth is already under pressure after a period of relief from the 2008 financial crisis. Joint threats from USA and UK could kill eurozone growth in coming months.
The UK is more likely to leave the European Union EU without a deal. Such a position could send the Eurozone into a recession as its current growth trend is very weak. Add into the mix a growing threat of a trade war with USA then the Eurozone could fall into recession in coming months.
18th July 2018 Euro Zone Inflation Is 2 Percent
Eurostat the European Union EU official statistics office confirmed Eurozone inflation was 2 percent in June 2018.
The Eurozone will probably keep interest rates at record lows until the autumn of 2019 but is expected to stop making money so cheaply available via its Quantitative Easing QE programme at the end of 2018 calendar year.
12th July 2018 Euro Zone Economic Growth Slowing
European Commission EC cuts eurozone economic growth forecast for 2018. The EC says eurozone growth will now be 2.1 percent not 2.3 percent previously forecast. Eurozone economic growth was 2.4 percent in 2017 so growth in the eurozone is slowing.
22nd June 2018 The Problem For Eurozone Is Not Lack of Money But Lack Of Businesses To Invest In
According to the European Central Bank ECB lending survey the availability of money is not an issue for banks. The problem is finding firms with viable business plans worthy of banking loans.
Have you got a Eurozone business worthy of investing in?
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Managing Eurozone business risks better for better protection and faster growth regardless of the biggest threats to Eurozones recovery. What are the key threats to the Eurozone this year?
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Despite the 2008 financial crisis seeming like along time ago, given the rapidly changing global political and economic developments the old problem of systemic banking collapse in the Eurozone is still the biggest risk that could be the prelude the break-up of the Eurozone.
After the banks or as part of the banking risk Brexit is perhaps the next biggest threat to the sustainability of the Eurozone. Business leaders just want certainty when it comes to the economic environment they operate in. It is in the European Union EU and UKs mutual interest to conclude Brexit negotiations well before the two-year period ends after article 50 is triggered by the UK in late March 2017. Stringing out the agreed deal is damaging for the whole of Europe. The UK leaving the EU swiftly is better for all concerned. Political uncertainty is putting the Eurozones financial stability at risk.
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Feature How can corporate governance risk management and regulatory compliance GRC help with Eurozone risks?
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What do you want out of the Eurozone? Access help to make your business objectives in the Eurozone more successful.
What contingency plans does your business have for the break-up of the Eurozone? Could business contingency plans BCPs promote business growth if the Eurozone sticks together too.
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