Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

Exploring preparation for a global recession with a businessrisktv.com

What happens to commodity prices in a recession

The coming global recession will slash demand for oil copper and the like. Prices for most commodities will fall. If the world falls into depression commodity prices will fall off a cliff including oil.

Some prices can rise temporarily as people seek a safe haven. People may flee to gold or a few commodities that they think will safe harbour their money during a recession. However a depression, which is more and more likely, causes most commodity prices to collapse.

June’s weaker demand for commodities signals that an economic global recession is coming closer.

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Global recession is necessary to stop runaway global inflation. The hard landing is the only option now available due to the lacklustre response to control inflation by Central banks and global national government.

Agricultural demand and energy demand is likely to keep rising during the autumn and winter and will sustain high commodity prices. This is likely to be aggravated by poor geopolitical decision-making by incompetent national leaders and global bodies like WHO, UN and WEF puppet masters and pied pippers particularly as it relates to food, water and energy. It is likely that another health crisis will emerge in the autumn winter and spring and this is likely to be managed in a restrictive way due to the propensity of these international bodies to take more and more health and economic risk management control. In addition, as demand falls due to rising inflation it can be combined with increased supply chain disruption imposed by recommended risk management action by international bodies that national governments adopt. Worse WHO wants overseeing overriding control of the next wave of the pandemic or next health pandemic.

Demand is likely to stay the same or slightly lower, but our leaders can change the supply up or down with their decisions. Reducing supply will push up prices.

Global stagflation is a certainty. When not if.

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Global commodity prices

Wheat and oil future prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures. Weaker commodity prices in June indicate we are transitioning to a global recession. Although commodity prices will fall, inflation will increase and stay high whilst growth turns to recession. For example there will be less demand for oil, oil prices will fall, but prices of goods and services will remain high.

Surviving global recession: how do you prepare for a recession

Businesses that can offer business discounts and consumer discounts are more likely to survive as more people become price conscious.

Businesses that supply essentials or luxury items at a discount offer more in the marketplace compared to those businesses who have let their own costs of being in business balloon and cannot offer deals and discounts.

  • Discount grocery and retail stores tend to have more footfall during a recession. Many supermarkets take advantage of their customers during the good times and suffer a loss of business and profitability when recessionary precious hit the consumers household budget.
  • People still die during recession! After the management of global risks over the last two years more people will die. businesses which cater for death are likely to perform strongly throughout a recession.
  • People turn to drink and drugs during a recession! Businesses providing alcohol and drugs will perform strongly during the coming recession.
  • You still have to pay your taxes! Accountants and tax advisors are likely to still perform well during the recession.
  • Everyone can afford a bit of lippy! Cosmetic businesses can perform well during a recession.

As for the rest of businesses, they must fully understand what’s important and what is not for their particular business model. Offering more value for money will become more important.

Wheat and oil prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures market
Global recession 2023

Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

Poor Risk Management Case Study

Exploring consequences of poor risk management with BusinessRiskTV

There are often good reasons for poor risk management. That does make poor risk management acceptable. Causes of poor risk management are varied. They include poor risk management culture, an inadequate enterprise risk management framework with accepted risk owners and risk supervisors as well as lack of effective enterprise-wide risk assessment process.

We believe there are business experts out there who want to improve the quality of enterprise risk management. Our introductory risk management toolbox talks are designed to open up your mind to more innovative ways to doing more business with less uncertainty. If you like our approach, you will have the opportunity to become a member of BusinessRiskTV for 12 months to protect your business better and grow your business faster.

Misconception Of Actual Real Risks Can Destroy A Good Business
Misconception Of Actual Real Risks Can Destroy A Good Business

Failure To Manage Enterprise Risks Vs Failure Of Risk Managers Risk Management Toolbox Talk

Northern Powerhouse Risk Management Online Seminars

In this context we do not just mean people with Risk Manager in their job title. We mean people who should take ownership of specific key enterprise risks as well as the people charged with monitoring or supervising risks including making sure risk management is embedded within the day to day activities of the business or enterprise.

Do you know if your business is making good or bad enterprise risk management decisions? Pandemic risk management is a good example of good and bad risk management – under pressure we make good and bad decisions. Every day pre-pandemic managers of business risk are under pressure. Post-pandemic managers of risk will remain under pressure.

This enterprise risk management toolbox talk focuses on understanding business risks better and how to make better business decisions to build business resilience and boost business performance. Because your time is so valuable we will complete our introduction to better enterprise risk management in no more than 30 minutes.

Title: Failure To Manage Enterprise Risks Vs Failure Of Risk Managers
Date: Wednesday, 6th January, 2021
Time: 5:00-5:30 p.m. GMT
Speaker: Keith Lewis, BusinessRiskTV

In this enterprise risk management toolbox talk we will cover:

  • Taking personal ownership of enterprise risks.
  • Understanding the true level of risk facing your business.
  • Identifying risk management action to protect your business better and grow it faster.

Save the date for introduction to how to improve your management of business risks to boost your business resilience and performance.

Northern Powerhouse Risk Management Online Seminars

Participants at introductory online risk management toolbox talk can also put themselves forward as business risk experts at future more advanced online workshop events to share your expert business knowledge and promote their business interests. Are you a risk management expert in your country, industry or specific risk topic? Get in touch with us if this is you.

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Develop your risk management tools and techniques. Pick up how to expand your business tips. Network with top business leaders and risk management experts locally and globally.

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Enterprise wide risk consulting and enterprise risk management solutions training

Discover new ways to handle uncertainty in business.

  • What if the worst was to happen to your business? What maybe the worst for your business might be manna from heaven for other businesses. Your enterprise risk management plan must be bespoke to your business.
  • Engage the best assets your people more fully. Inspiring more from your workforce will build business resilience and faster growth.
  • Focus your business resources for optimal business performance.

Reap the rewards from business risk to benefit your business. Understand and manage key risk factors better to boost performance. Protect your business. Grow it faster.

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Discover fresh marketing ideas. Adopt marketing strategies to fuel your business growth sustainably. Set up a profitable campaign to sell more products and services online. More easily enter a fast growing marketplace.

Cost effective ways to market your business online with BusinessRiskTV

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Target your best audience to grow your business and make your marketing strategy more profitable. Learn how to run a successful marketing campaign with BusinessRiskTV. Boost sales and improve your bottom line.

Work with us to identify the most effective way to reach your new customers inexpensively. Achieve young marketing promotion and business development goals from brand awareness to engagement to driving new business. Generate leads and drive website traffic.

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Identifying and managing business risks

How can a business identify risk and manage business resources to manage business risks better? Undertake risk profile analysis to inform your business decision making. Practical enterprise risk management ERM tips advice training and consultancy.

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How To Take Over The World

Many risk events are possible. However how do you manage your resources cost effectively to control risks whilst boosting business performance?

When beginning the risk management process identify risks that could impact on your business objectives. Look at the whole business at once rather than individual silos functions or departments.

Do not make assumptions at the beginning about the level of risk or effectiveness of risk control measures. Assume that what you currently do risk management wise will not work or not work well enough to control risks.

Consult experts within your business at all levels and experts outside of your business who may have an understanding of your risks. Focus your attention on key internal and external drivers of risk that may have significant impact on your business objectives.

Your business risk exposure needs to be right for your risk management culture. What is your appetite for risk? How much risk can your business tolerate? Getting the balance right is key for sustainable business success.

Reduce or eliminate threats as soon as they appear on the horizon. Seize new business opportunities before your competitors do. Anticipate and plan for future risks. React quickly to current or unexpected risk events.

Risk analysis and Holistic Enterprise Wide Risk Management Approach Will Improve Your Business Decision Making To Boost Business Performance

Manage risks better. Minimise the impact of risk on your business plans. Manage potential problems easier quicker and less expensively. Stop the undermining of key business initiatives or projects by risk events. Explore possible future threats.

Identify business opportunities for growth. Back the best ones to maximise return in investment of time and money. Boost the profit from the best new ideas. Manage opportunities for greater success better.

Create the right risk management framework and enterprise wide risk assessment process for your business

The source of your business risks can be wide and varied. Often they are specific to your business. Sometimes the affect just your industry or geographic location. Occasionally they affect most of the world like the financial crisis of 2008 or global pandemic like 2020.

The impact on your business maybe life giving like if your business is a deep cleaning business or face mask manufacturer in coronavirus outbreak. Or risk events can destroy your business and it may never recover. Your risk management assessment and approach to risk control needs to be tailored to your business.

Not all risks are bad and bad risk events can be good for your specific business in so many different ways. For example the coronavirus tragically will kill thousands of people. In addition many businesses will fail including many of your competitors. Out of the flames the phoenixes will rise. The challenge is to make sure your business and your people survive and prosper no matter what risks are thrown at your business.

Put your great ideas into action with more confidence. Continue to be optimistic about your future. The way your business could and perhaps should change forever not just to get through coronavirus. Learn the lessons from horrifically tragic risk events. Seize the opportunities coming from the 4th industrial revolution. Survive and prosper today tomorrow and then next day no matter what risks you face no matter where you do business and no matter what industry you are in.

Some risks hit you like a ton of bricks. Other risks are more subtle. They creep up on you. You do not know that you are at risk until it can be too late. Enterprise wide risk management means continuous tweaking and adjustment. What is right today may not work tomorrow. The key is to review what has happened but keep your eye on the horizon to ensure you are prepared. Whether you produce the risks internally or have external risks imposed upon your business know what to do when to do it and get to where you want to be regardless.

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Taking more calculated risks

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How can a business take more risks to perform better?

Taking more calculated risks in the next decade. Do not fear taking more calculated risks. Business leaders are often afraid to take risks.

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Taking more risks to achieve more success comes down to risk knowledge and business intelligence. A lack of risk knowledge leads to increased fear. This can result in missed opportunities to grow faster.

  • What are the potential costs of taking more risks?
  • What are the potential benefits of taking more risks?
  • How will taking more risks benefit your business?
  • What are the alternatives?
  • How much better would your business perform if the best case scenario came true?
  • What are the worst outcomes that could happen if you took extra risks and how could you reduce the risk?
  • How bad would it be if the worst case scenario risk event materialised?
  • What would your business look like in 5 years if your risk decisions were taken?

Assessing the risks incorporating both upside and downside risks will enable you to make more balanced business decisions to improve performance.

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Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance

Negativity bias means in part we focus more on stopping bad things from happening than creating the environment for great good things to happen. For example, we focus on stopping climate damage instead of investing money in better natural environment. We spend more money to risk control instead of seizing new business opportunities which create risk but also create more rewards for risk takers.

Welcome the threats in the 2020s as they bring opportunities

Embrace the opportunities in the new decade but be risk aware about the threats that come with the opportunities to grow. Work together with our network of business leaders and risk management experts to finish the 2020s better than you started.

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Emerging trends in business management

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Emerging trends in business management debated risk analysed and risk controls reviewed. What emerging trends in business management must you know about today? Consumers and business decision makers have easy access to business intelligence so business leaders need to use business intelligence more in risk management strategy setting to grow faster. Due to the rapidly changing business environment and increased nationalism it may be better to have shorter supply chains. Alternatively restructure your supply chains to embrace new cost saving opportunities in supply.

Spot emerging trends before your competitors to protect your business better and grow business faster

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Fully adopt new technology to react faster and lower business costs. Evolve more business from existing customers by engaging customers more in your business. Redfine they way you do business to do more business.

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Identify and understand emerging risks better to inform your decision making quicker. Keep up to date with global and local trends in your industry and country. Tap into our risk management experts networks to solve business problems faster and cheaper.

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The word on the street on business risk management

How to do a risk assessment of the key threats and opportunities for your business with BusinessRiskTV.com

Understand your business exposure to risks better. Get help to manage business risks better. Network with your peers and risk management experts locally and around the world to help solve your business problems faster. Good business risk management is good business!

  • Improve your business risk management process.
  • Develop a better risk management strategy.
  • Set the right risk management culture for your business.

Identify evaluate and control the risks impacting on your business objectives. Develop practical steps to protect your business and grow business faster with less uncertainty. Understand the risk assessment process better.Tap into free risk management guidance online. Enterprise risk management is a fundamental element of business success and business resilience.

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Do you know your business risk profile

Help to complete your own business risk assessment to be better prepared for your future

Understanding your business risk profile is an important step to making better risk based business management decisions. Identify the threats and opportunities your business faces now or will do in future. Assess the risks of this uncertainty to your business objectives. Your resulting business risk profile will help you make better business decisions. Focus your limited business resources on the risks which will bring you greatest reward of business resilience and business growth.

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Profiling your business risks will help you to stop wasting time and money. You can also use your business risk profile to monitor the impact or lack of impact on your business performance.

Prepare for and manage key business risks your business faces today and tomorrow. Learn from past business risk management events your business experienced or other businesses experienced so you do not have to.

Make sure all your employees know your critical business risks. Create a more effective business risk management framework to allocate responsibilities and accountability for managing business risks.

Your business risk profile should not be a one off exercise. It should not just sit in a file with a to do list ticked. Use your own business risk to mitigate potential threats and maximise business development opportunities. Holistically manage the whole business with the best use of available existing business resources.

Enterprise risk management methodology should be applied to strategic operational and project uncertainties. Inform your decision making process with the whole picture not just part.

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Key factors that lead to successful businesses

Why will your business be successful?

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Understand business risks. Explore the key factors that lead to successful business. Apply the relevant risk management measures. Take the risk first before the competition clicks on.

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There are a number of key factors that led to successful business. Successful business leaders understand that being in business is about managing the risks from change. Unsuccessful business leaders tend to blame their failures on economic climate changes and their successes on their brilliant business management skills!

The UK retail sector is suffering major painful changes. Tens of thousands of jobs have been lost as major retailers collapsed or contracted. Yet the UK retail marketplace has some examples of major retailers bucking this trend blamed on the UK economy by unsuccessful retail business managers.

By applying their risk management knowledge successful businesses can act quicker and with more confidence it will work out

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Not taking risks is not an option for most business leaders. However many risk factors coming together can appear daunting. Enterprise risk management looks at the big picture and helps you identify the steps to a better business in future.

Find out how to improve your chances of business success with BusinessRiskTV. Take calculated risks to help your business grow faster with less uncertainty. Embrace change and the risks to your business.

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What a business risk assessment should include

Business risk assessment elements should fit your business culture. Some people do not like numbers. Some do. Your business risk assessment template should reflect the culture of your organisation.

A business risk assessment is a systematic process that helps organisations identify, evaluate, and prioritise risks that may impact their operations, financial performance, and reputation. It is an essential tool for managing risk and ensuring the long-term viability of a business.

There are several key elements that a business risk assessment should include:

  1. Identifying the risks: The first step in the risk assessment process is to identify the potential risks that the business may face. This can include internal risks, such as operational inefficiencies or employee misconduct, as well as external risks, such as market changes or natural disasters.
  2. Evaluating the risks: Once the risks have been identified, the next step is to evaluate their potential impact on the business. This includes considering the likelihood of each risk occurring, as well as the potential consequences if it does.
  3. Prioritising the risks: After evaluating the risks, the next step is to prioritise them based on their potential impact on the business. This will help the organisation focus its resources on the most significant risks and develop strategies to mitigate them.
  4. Developing risk management strategies: Once the risks have been prioritised, the next step is to develop strategies to mitigate them. This can include implementing control measures to prevent or reduce the likelihood of risks occurring, or transferring the risk to another party through insurance or other means.
  5. Monitoring and reviewing the risks: The risk assessment process is ongoing and should be regularly reviewed and updated to ensure that it remains relevant and effective. This includes monitoring the risks and identifying any new or emerging risks that may have arisen since the last assessment.

In summary, a business risk assessment should include the following key elements:

  • Identifying the risks
  • Evaluating the risks
  • Prioritizing the risks
  • Developing risk management strategies
  • Monitoring and reviewing the risks

Every business faces risks that could be a threat to its success

The business leaders who are better prepared for these risks and have a cost effective risk management plan and business strategy are more likely to be more successful.

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Enterprise Wide Risk Assessment For Faster Business Growth With Best Use Of Business Assets

Develop a suitable risk assessment process to assist with your risk management plan preparation. Review your existing risk management process to ensure it is fit for purpose in a rapidly changing marketplace. Successful entrepreneurs have a good strategic operational and project risk management attitude and business culture that is flexible enough to cope with any economic environment.

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Factors for successful business

There are numerous factors that can contribute to the success of a business. Here are some key factors that are often considered critical for building and maintaining a successful business:

Clear Vision and Strategy: A successful business requires a clear vision and a well-defined strategy. This includes setting goals, defining the direction of the business, and developing a roadmap to achieve those goals.

Market Research and Understanding Customer Needs: Understanding the market and identifying customer needs are essential for success. Conducting thorough market research, identifying target customers, and tailoring products or services to meet their needs is critical in building a successful business.

Strong Leadership: Effective leadership is crucial for the success of any business. It involves providing direction, making decisions, motivating employees, and fostering a positive work culture. Strong leadership skills help in guiding the business through challenges and achieving the desired outcomes.

Financial Management: Proper financial management, including budgeting, cash flow management, and financial planning, is vital for the long-term success of a business. Sound financial management practices help in ensuring that the business remains financially stable and can weather economic uncertainties.

Quality Products or Services: Delivering high-quality products or services is essential for building a loyal customer base. Providing value to customers and consistently meeting or exceeding their expectations builds trust and helps in retaining customers, which is critical for the success of any business.

Effective Marketing and Branding: Successful businesses understand the importance of effective marketing and branding. Creating a strong brand presence, developing marketing strategies to reach the target audience, and promoting products or services effectively can lead to increased visibility, customer acquisition, and revenue growth.

Innovation and Adaptability: In today’s dynamic business environment, innovation and adaptability are crucial for success. Successful businesses continuously innovate, adapt to changing market trends, and find new ways to stay relevant and competitive in the market.

Efficient Operations and Processes: Streamlining operations and processes can improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer satisfaction. Implementing effective systems and processes, optimising the supply chain, and leveraging technology can lead to improved productivity and operational excellence.

Talented and Engaged Workforce: A skilled and motivated workforce is vital for the success of any business. Hiring and retaining top talent, providing opportunities for growth and development, fostering a positive work culture, and promoting employee engagement can lead to higher productivity and overall business success.

Customer Relationship Management: Building strong customer relationships is crucial for long-term success. Providing excellent customer service, maintaining open lines of communication, addressing customer feedback, and building customer loyalty are key factors that contribute to the success of a business.
These are some of the key factors that can contribute to the success of a business. However, it’s important to note that success is multifaceted and can vary depending on the industry, market, and individual circumstances. It’s essential to carefully plan, execute, and continuously adapt to changing circumstances to achieve long-term business success.

Strategic Partnerships and Networking: Collaborating with strategic partners and building a strong network can provide valuable opportunities for business growth. Strategic partnerships can help access new markets, share resources, and leverage complementary strengths, while networking can lead to new business leads, partnerships, and valuable industry insights.

Risk Management: Successful businesses recognize the importance of managing risks. This includes identifying and mitigating potential risks, having contingency plans in place, and being prepared to handle unexpected challenges. Effective risk management can help protect the business from potential setbacks and ensure its resilience.

Flexibility and Adaptability: Business environments can change rapidly, and successful businesses are agile and adaptable. Being open to change, willing to pivot when necessary, and embracing innovation can help a business stay ahead of the competition and navigate through uncertainties.

Continuous Learning and Improvement: Successful businesses are always learning and improving. Keeping up with industry trends, staying updated with technology, and seeking feedback from customers and employees can provide valuable insights for making informed decisions and driving continuous improvement.

Strong Customer Focus: Putting the customer at the center of the business is crucial for success. Understanding customer preferences, delivering excellent customer experiences, and building customer loyalty can lead to repeat business, positive word-of-mouth, and a strong brand reputation.

Ethical and Responsible Business Practices: Operating with integrity, practicing ethical business standards, and being socially responsible can build trust and credibility with customers, employees, and other stakeholders. Demonstrating responsible business practices can contribute to long-term success and sustainability.

Resilience and Persistence: Building a successful business is not always easy, and setbacks and failures are inevitable. Successful businesses demonstrate resilience, learn from failures, and persist in the face of challenges. Perseverance, determination, and the ability to bounce back from setbacks are key traits of successful entrepreneurs.

Long-term Planning and Goal-setting: Having a long-term vision and setting realistic goals is important for business success. Long-term planning allows for strategic decision-making, resource allocation, and monitoring progress towards achieving business objectives.

Adapting to Digital Transformation: In today’s digital age, successful businesses embrace digital transformation. This includes leveraging technology for automation, digital marketing, data analysis, and online presence to stay competitive and meet changing customer preferences.

Monitoring and Measuring Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): Successful businesses monitor and measure key performance indicators (KPIs) to track progress, identify areas for improvement, and make data-driven decisions. Regularly analysing KPIs provides insights into the health and performance of the business and helps in making informed decisions.

In conclusion, building and maintaining a successful business requires a combination of various factors. It’s important to have a clear vision, understand the market and customer needs, demonstrate effective leadership, manage finances wisely, deliver quality products or services, market and brand effectively, innovate, and adapt to changing environments. Additionally, building a strong team, managing risks, focusing on customer satisfaction, practicing responsible business ethics, and being resilient and persistent are key factors that contribute to long-term business success.

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How to identify and analyse enterprise opportunities and threats

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Use enterprise risk identification and analysis to help you grow your business with less uncertainty.

  • Enhance what you are doing well for greater returns on your investment of time and money.
  • Identify new opportunities for your business that you are currently missing or failing to capitalise upon.
  • Control the risks holding your business development back.

Recognise that you do have opportunities to improve your business and what you need to do to make them work well regardless of the business or economic environment.

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Create a business risk management plan after identifying key threats and opportunities for your business: PESTLE example

A business risk management plan for a business leader in the UK could include the following:

  1. Political risks:
  • Monitor changes in government policies and regulations that may affect the business
  • Assess the potential impact of political instability on the company’s operations and supply chain
  • Develop contingency plans for disruptions caused by political events
  1. Economic risks:
  • Monitor economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates
  • Assess the potential impact of economic downturns on the company’s revenue and profitability
  • Develop strategies to mitigate the effects of economic fluctuations on the business
  1. Social risks:
  • Monitor changes in consumer behavior and preferences
  • Assess the potential impact of social trends on the company’s products and services
  • Develop strategies to adapt to changes in consumer demand
  1. Technological risks:
  • Monitor advances in technology that may disrupt the company’s business model
  • Assess the potential impact of technological innovations on the company’s competitiveness
  • Invest in research and development to stay ahead of technological changes
  1. Legal risks:
  • Monitor changes in laws and regulations that may affect the business
  • Assess the potential impact of legal changes on the company’s operations and compliance costs
  • Develop strategies to mitigate legal risks, such as insurance or implementing compliance programs
  1. Environmental risks:
  • Monitor changes in environmental regulations and standards
  • Assess the potential impact of environmental factors on the company’s operations and supply chain
  • Develop strategies to mitigate environmental risks, such as implementing sustainable practices or investing in renewable energy.

Note: PESTLE Analysis is a framework for assessing the external factors that may affect a business. It is a useful tool for identifying potential risks and opportunities for a business.

PESTLE BUSINESS RISK PLAN

Risk TypeKey ConsiderationsPotential ImpactMitigation Strategies
Political risksChanges in government policies and regulationsDisruptions to operations and supply chainMonitor political developments, develop contingency plans
Economic risksEconomic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest ratesReduced revenue and profitabilityMonitor economic indicators, develop strategies to mitigate effects of economic fluctuations
Social risksChanges in consumer behavior and preferencesReduced demand for products and servicesMonitor social trends, develop strategies to adapt to changes in consumer demand
Technological risksAdvances in technology that may disrupt business modelLoss of competitivenessMonitor technological developments, invest in R&D to stay ahead of changes
Legal risksChanges in laws and regulationsIncreased compliance costs and legal liabilitiesMonitor legal developments, implement compliance programs and insurance
Environmental risksChanges in environmental regulations and standardsNegative impact on operations and supply chainMonitor environmental developments, implement sustainable practices and invest in renewable energy.
PESTLE BUSINESS RISK PLAN

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The Threat of Rising Bond Yields in European and American Bond Markets

By Keith Lewis 20th October 2023

Bond yields are the interest rates that investors receive when they lend money to governments or corporations. Bond yields have been rising steadily in recent months, both in Europe and the United States. This is due to a number of factors, including the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates and concerns about inflation.

Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses. For investors, rising bond yields can lead to losses on existing bond holdings. For businesses, rising bond yields can make it more expensive to borrow money.

This article will explore the threat of rising bond yields in European and American bond markets in more detail. It will also discuss some of the risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from this threat.

Why are bond yields rising?

There are a number of reasons why bond yields are rising in European and American bond markets. One reason is the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates. The Federal Reserve raises interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. When interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing money increases. This can lead to a decrease in demand for bonds, which can cause bond yields to rise.

Another reason for rising bond yields is concerns about inflation. Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services are rising. When inflation is high, investors demand higher returns on their investments to compensate for the loss of purchasing power. This can lead to an increase in bond yields.

What are the risks of rising bond yields?

Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses.

For investors, rising bond yields can lead to losses on existing bond holdings. When bond yields rise, the prices of existing bonds fall. This is because investors can buy new bonds with higher yields, which makes older bonds with lower yields less attractive.

For businesses, rising bond yields can make it more expensive to borrow money. Businesses often borrow money to finance growth and investment. When bond yields rise, the cost of borrowing money increases. This can make it more difficult for businesses to finance their growth and investment plans.

What can investors and businesses do to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields?

There are a number of risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields.

Investors

Investors can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by diversifying their portfolios and investing in shorter-term bonds.

Diversification means investing in a variety of different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, Bitcoin and property. By diversifying their portfolios, investors can reduce their overall risk.

Investing in shorter-term bonds can also help investors to protect themselves from rising bond yields. Shorter-term bonds have less interest rate risk than longer-term bonds. This is because shorter-term bonds are more likely to mature before interest rates rise significantly.

Businesses

Businesses can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by hedging their interest rate risk and borrowing money at fixed interest rates.

Hedging interest rate risk involves using financial instruments to offset the risk of changes in interest rates. There are a number of different hedging instruments available, such as interest rate swaps and options.

Borrowing money at fixed interest rates can also help businesses to protect themselves from rising bond yields. When businesses borrow money at fixed interest rates, they lock in the interest rate for the life of the loan. This protects them from the risk of rising interest rates during the term of the loan.

Conclusion

Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses. However, there are a number of risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from this threat.

Investors can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by diversifying their portfolios and investing in shorter-term bonds. Businesses can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by hedging their interest rate risk and borrowing money at fixed interest rates.

I urge investors and business leaders to take risk management action to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields. By taking action now, you can minimise the potential impact of rising bond yields on your investments and your business.

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