Tag: Innovation Management Horizon Scanning

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Risks To Businesses From Population Decline

What plans do you have for the future?

A Shrinking World: Strategies for Business Growth in a Declining Population

A recent study by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), published in The Lancet, paints a picture of a world with a shrinking population by the year 2100. This demographic shift, driven by falling fertility rates, presents significant challenges for businesses across the globe. However, amidst the potential disruption, there are also opportunities for those who can adapt and innovate.

This article explores the implications of a declining population for businesses and outlines actionable strategies to navigate this new reality.

Understanding the Impact

Falling fertility rates translate to a smaller workforce, impacting both the supply of labor and the overall size of the consumer market. Here’s a breakdown of the key challenges:

  • Labour Shortage: A shrinking workforce pool will make it harder to find qualified employees. This could lead to wage inflation and potentially hinder business expansion plans.
  • Shifting Consumer Demographics: An aging population means a decrease in demand for certain goods and services traditionally targeted towards younger demographics. Businesses that cater to families with children or young professionals might see a decline in sales.
  • Social Security Strain: With fewer working-age adults supporting a larger elderly population, social security systems may face financial pressure. This could lead to increased taxes or reduced benefits, impacting disposable income and consumer spending.

Strategies for a Shrinking World

Despite the challenges, there are strategies businesses can employ to thrive in this new environment:

  • Embrace Automation and AI: Investing in automation and artificial intelligence (AI) can help offset labour shortages by automating routine tasks and improving efficiency. This allows businesses to do more with less manpower.
  • Focus on Innovation: Developing new products and services catering to the needs of an ageing population is crucial. This could include healthcare solutions, senior living facilities, or products designed for increased accessibility.
  • Reskilling and Upskilling the Workforce: Companies can invest in training and development programmes to equip existing employees with the skills needed for new technologies and changing market demands.
  • Attract and Retain Talent: In a competitive job market, attracting and retaining top talent becomes even more important. Businesses can do this by offering competitive compensation packages, flexible work arrangements, and a positive work culture.
  • Embrace Diversity and Inclusion: A shrinking workforce necessitates tapping into all available talent pools. Diversity and inclusion initiatives that attract women, minorities, and older workers can be a game-changer.
  • Expand into New Markets: Businesses can explore opportunities in countries with higher fertility rates or younger populations. This may involve setting up operations overseas or catering to these demographics through exports.
  • Sustainability and Resource Optimisation: A smaller population might lead to a decrease in resource consumption. Businesses can adapt by focusing on sustainability, developing resource-efficient products, and minimising waste.
  • Invest in Customer Experience: With potentially fewer customers, businesses need to prioritise customer loyalty and satisfaction. Building strong relationships and providing exceptional customer experiences will be critical for retaining a shrinking customer base.
  • Leverage Technology for Marketing and Sales: Marketing and sales efforts can be optimised by utilising big data and analytics to identify and target specific customer segments more effectively.

Examples of Business Adaptation

Several companies are already taking steps to adapt to a shrinking population:

  • Manufacturing: Companies are investing in automation and robotics to reduce reliance on manual labour.
  • Healthcare: Businesses are developing products and services catering to the growing elderly population, such as home healthcare solutions and assisted living facilities.
  • Retail: Retailers are focusing on online shopping experiences and offering delivery services to cater to a more homebound population.

A Call to Action

The declining global population is a long-term trend, but the effects will vary by region and industry. Businesses that proactively recognise this shift and implement adaptation strategies will be best positioned for continued success. By embracing innovation, reskilling their workforce, and catering to the needs of an aging population, businesses can not only survive but also thrive in this new demographic landscape.

Looking Forward

The future may hold a smaller global population, but it also presents exciting opportunities for innovation and growth. Businesses that are proactive and adaptable will be the ones to shape this new economic landscape. The time to plan for a shrinking world is now.

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Be wrong with more confidence for greater success in business

If you are not prepared to be wrong, you will never come up with anything original. Mistakes and errors of judgment are key to success! Has your creative mindset been beaten out of you bye your own frustrations with creative process or by other people with various motivations? You’ve just found a place where you can revitalise your creativity and drive your business ideas forward for greater success in future.

Unlocking Originality: Embracing the Power of Being Wrong

Imagine the world without electricity, penicillin, or the Wright Brothers’ first flight. These groundbreaking innovations were born not from the pursuit of guaranteed success, but from the willingness to challenge established norms and embrace the possibility of being wrong. This seemingly counterintuitive approach forms the bedrock of originality, a vital force in art, science, business, and every facet of human endeavour.

However, ingrained fears of judgment, failure, and societal expectations often create a formidable barrier to embracing “wrongness.” This article delves into the profound connection between accepting the possibility of being wrong and unlocking our capacity for genuine originality.

We’ll explore the psychological and societal factors that fuel the fear of being wrong, illuminating its detrimental effects on creativity and innovation. We’ll then showcase the transformative power of embracing “wrongness” as fuel for growth, highlighting how mistakes can be stepping stones to remarkable breakthroughs. Finally, we’ll equip you with practical strategies to cultivate a growth mindset, fostering an environment where experimentation, open dialogue, and learning from failures are celebrated.

By the end of this journey, you’ll be armed with the knowledge and tools to dismantle the fear of being wrong, unlocking a world of creative possibilities and propelling yourself towards truly original contributions in your chosen field.

1. The Fear of Being Wrong: A Creativity Killer

Our aversion to being wrong is deeply ingrained. From childhood, we’re conditioned to avoid mistakes, fearing punishment and social disapproval. This fear stems from a complex interplay of psychological factors:

  • Fear of judgment: We dread the negative evaluations of others, the potential ridicule and ostracisation that might accompany being wrong. This fear, rooted in our need for social belonging, can stifle creative expression and risk-taking.
  • Fear of failure: Being wrong often equates to failure, a potent symbol of inadequacy and self-doubt. This fear can paralyse us, preventing us from venturing beyond the familiar and comfortable, even when it limits our potential.
  • Fear of the unknown: Stepping outside established norms often means venturing into uncharted territory, a realm fraught with uncertainty. This fear of the unknown can trap us in safe but stagnant routines, hindering the exploration necessary for originality.

Beyond individual psychology, societal pressures also contribute to the fear of being wrong. Educational systems often prioritise conformity and repetition over critical thinking and experimentation. Similarly, many workplaces reward adherence to established norms, discouraging the questioning of existing processes and the pursuit of unconventional solutions.

The consequences of these fears are far-reaching. In art, it can lead to derivative works, uninspired by the exploration of new ideas. In science, it can stifle groundbreaking discoveries born from challenging established paradigms. In business, it can limit innovation and hinder the development of solutions that truly address evolving needs.

2. Embracing “Wrongness”: The Seedbed of Originality

Embracing the possibility of being wrong isn’t about condoning recklessness or promoting ignorance. It’s about recognising the inherent value of mistakes as stepping stones in the learning process. This shift in perspective unlocks a powerful force for originality:

  • Fuel for growth: Mistakes provide invaluable feedback, highlighting areas for improvement and propelling us towards better solutions. This iterative process, where we learn from wrong turns and refine our approaches, is the lifeblood of innovation.
  • Gateway to exploration: The fear of being wrong often confines us to the familiar. By embracing the possibility of missteps, we open ourselves to exploring new avenues, experimenting with unconventional ideas, and venturing beyond the well-trodden paths.
  • Catalyst for breakthroughs: History is replete with examples of groundbreaking discoveries born from embracing “wrongness.” Alexander Fleming’s serendipitous discovery of penicillin, or the accidental invention of Post-it notes, are testaments to the power of unexpected outcomes leading to remarkable breakthroughs.

Beyond individual stories, organisations that foster a culture of open dialogue, experimentation, and learning from mistakes have reaped significant rewards. Google’s “20% time” policy, where employees are encouraged to dedicate time to personal projects, has led to the development of Gmail and other successful products. Similarly, Pixar’s “Braintrust” culture, where ideas are openly critiqued and refined, has contributed to the studio’s consistent production of critically acclaimed animated films.

3. Cultivating a Growth Mindset: Embracing the Journey

Cultivating a growth mindset, where mistakes are seen as opportunities for learning and growth, is key to unlocking the power of “wrongness.” Here are some strategies to embrace this shift:

  • Reframe mistakes: Instead of viewing mistakes as failures, view them as learning experiences. Ask yourself, “What can I learn from this?” and use this knowledge to improve your next attempt.
  • Practice self-compassion: Forgive yourself for mistakes. Remember, everyone makes them, and they are often stepping stones to success. Be kind to yourself and avoid dwelling on negativity.
  • Embrace risk-taking: Stepping outside your comfort zone is crucial for innovation. Don’t be afraid to experiment, even if it means encountering setbacks. Remember, the only true failure is not trying at all.
  • Seek feedback: Actively seek constructive feedback from others. This can be invaluable in identifying blind spots and refining your ideas. Be open to different perspectives and use them to improve your work.
  • Celebrate “wrongness”: Create a culture where mistakes are celebrated as learning opportunities. Encourage open dialogue and discussions about challenges, highlighting the valuable insights they bring.
  • Foster a growth mindset in others: Share your experiences and insights with others,encouraging them to embrace “wrongness” as a catalyst for personal and collective growth.

4. Caveats and Considerations

Embracing “wrongness” doesn’t imply a free pass for recklessness or the spread of misinformation. It’s crucial to approach this concept with responsibility and discernment:

  • Balance calculated risk with informed decision-making: While experimentation is encouraged, it’s important to have a basis for your actions. Conduct research, analyse data, and seek expert advice when necessary.
  • Responsible communication: Avoid misinformation and harmful ideas, even if they arise from experimentation. Be mindful of the potential consequences of your words and actions.
  • Critical thinking and discernment: Evaluate information critically, seeking evidence-based solutions and avoiding confirmation bias. Learn to separate valuable insights from mere speculation.

Conclusion

The fear of being wrong is a potent force, but it doesn’t have to dictate your journey. By embracing the possibility of error, you unlock a treasure trove of creativity and innovation. Remember, the most groundbreaking discoveries often arise from unexpected turns, from the willingness to challenge assumptions and venture beyond the familiar.

Embrace the power of “wrongness” as a catalyst for growth. Reframe mistakes as learning experiences, foster a culture of openness and experimentation, and equip yourself with the tools to navigate the journey with self-compassion and critical thinking. By doing so, you unlock your true potential for originality, leaving your unique mark on the world.

So, the next time you encounter a challenge or feel the fear of being wrong, remember this: It’s not a roadblock, but a stepping stone. Embrace the possibility of error, embark on the journey of exploration, and discover the hidden potential within yourself to create something truly original.

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Measuring Team Innovation

10 Steps To Innovating Your Business To Remain Resilient and Thrive Through Recession

Measuring Innovation in Your Team: A Comprehensive Guide

Innovation has become a key driver of success in today’s fast-paced and ever-evolving business landscape. As a team leader or manager, it is essential to measure and evaluate the level of innovation within your team. This article aims to provide you with a comprehensive guide on how to effectively measure innovation and foster a culture of creativity and continuous improvement within your team.

  1. Establish Clear Objectives and Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) Defining clear objectives is crucial to measuring innovation. Identify the specific goals you want to achieve through innovation and break them down into measurable KPIs. These KPIs could include the number of new ideas generated, the successful implementation of innovative solutions, or the impact of innovation on business outcomes.
  2. Foster an Innovation-Friendly Environment Creating a culture that encourages and supports innovation is essential. Provide your team with the necessary resources, such as time, tools, and training, to explore new ideas and experiment. Encourage risk-taking and embrace failure as a valuable learning opportunity. Foster collaboration and open communication to stimulate the exchange of ideas.
  3. Encourage Idea Generation and Brainstorming Actively promote idea generation sessions and brainstorming activities within your team. Encourage team members to share their thoughts, insights, and suggestions freely. Implement techniques such as mind mapping, design thinking, or hackathons to stimulate creativity and problem-solving.
  4. Measure Idea Conversion Rate Tracking the conversion rate of ideas generated into implemented innovations provides valuable insights into the effectiveness of your team’s innovation process. Monitor the progression of ideas through various stages, from concept development to implementation. Analyze the reasons behind successful conversions and learn from those that did not materialise.
  5. Assess the Quality and Impact of Innovations Evaluate the quality and impact of implemented innovations to measure the effectiveness of your team’s efforts. Consider factors such as customer satisfaction, revenue growth, cost savings, or process improvements. Use surveys, interviews, or data analysis to gather feedback from stakeholders and assess the impact of innovations on the organization.
  6. Embrace Continuous Learning and Improvement Encourage a mindset of continuous learning and improvement within your team. Provide opportunities for training and professional development to enhance individual and collective innovation skills. Regularly review and reflect on the innovation process, seeking areas for improvement and implementing necessary changes.
  7. Foster Collaboration and Cross-Functional Teams Collaboration is a key driver of innovation. Encourage cross-functional teams that bring together diverse perspectives, skills, and expertise. Facilitate knowledge sharing and create platforms for team members to collaborate on innovative projects. Measure the level of cross-functional collaboration and the resulting synergies.
  8. Utilise Technology and Digital Tools Leverage technology and digital tools to streamline the innovation process and capture relevant data. Use innovation management software or project management tools to track ideas, monitor progress, and analyse results. Analyze the data collected to identify patterns, trends, and areas for improvement.
  9. Recognise and Reward Innovation Recognise and reward team members who contribute to the innovation process. Celebrate achievements and acknowledge innovative ideas, successful implementations, or creative problem-solving. Create a reward system that reinforces a culture of innovation and motivates individuals to continue their innovative efforts.
  10. Seek External Benchmarks and Feedback Look beyond your team and seek external benchmarks and feedback. Engage with industry experts, attend conferences, or participate in innovation-related networks. Benchmark your team’s innovation efforts against industry standards and best practices. Gather feedback from customers, partners, or other stakeholders to gain external perspectives on the impact and value of your team’s innovations.Measuring innovation in your team is essential for fostering a culture of creativity, continuous improvement, and ultimately driving success. By establishing clear objectives and KPIs, creating an innovation-friendly environment, encouraging idea generation, and assessing the quality and impact of innovations, you can effectively measure and evaluate your team’s innovative capabilities. Embrace collaboration, utilize technology, recognise and reward innovation, and seek external benchmarks and feedback to further enhance your team’s innovation initiatives. Remember, innovation is a journey, and by continuously measuring, learning, and improving, your team can stay at the forefront of change and drive long-term success.

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Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

Exploring preparation for a global recession with a businessrisktv.com

What happens to commodity prices in a recession

The coming global recession will slash demand for oil copper and the like. Prices for most commodities will fall. If the world falls into depression commodity prices will fall off a cliff including oil.

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Some prices can rise temporarily as people seek a safe haven. People may flee to gold or a few commodities that they think will safe harbour their money during a recession. However a depression, which is more and more likely, causes most commodity prices to collapse.

June’s weaker demand for commodities signals that an economic global recession is coming closer.

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Global recession is necessary to stop runaway global inflation. The hard landing is the only option now available due to the lacklustre response to control inflation by Central banks and global national government.

Agricultural demand and energy demand is likely to keep rising during the autumn and winter and will sustain high commodity prices. This is likely to be aggravated by poor geopolitical decision-making by incompetent national leaders and global bodies like WHO, UN and WEF puppet masters and pied pippers particularly as it relates to food, water and energy. It is likely that another health crisis will emerge in the autumn winter and spring and this is likely to be managed in a restrictive way due to the propensity of these international bodies to take more and more health and economic risk management control. In addition, as demand falls due to rising inflation it can be combined with increased supply chain disruption imposed by recommended risk management action by international bodies that national governments adopt. Worse WHO wants overseeing overriding control of the next wave of the pandemic or next health pandemic.

Demand is likely to stay the same or slightly lower, but our leaders can change the supply up or down with their decisions. Reducing supply will push up prices.

Global stagflation is a certainty. When not if.

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Global commodity prices

Wheat and oil future prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures. Weaker commodity prices in June indicate we are transitioning to a global recession. Although commodity prices will fall, inflation will increase and stay high whilst growth turns to recession. For example there will be less demand for oil, oil prices will fall, but prices of goods and services will remain high.

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Businesses that can offer business discounts and consumer discounts are more likely to survive as more people become price conscious.

Businesses that supply essentials or luxury items at a discount offer more in the marketplace compared to those businesses who have let their own costs of being in business balloon and cannot offer deals and discounts.

  • Discount grocery and retail stores tend to have more footfall during a recession. Many supermarkets take advantage of their customers during the good times and suffer a loss of business and profitability when recessionary precious hit the consumers household budget.
  • People still die during recession! After the management of global risks over the last two years more people will die. businesses which cater for death are likely to perform strongly throughout a recession.
  • People turn to drink and drugs during a recession! Businesses providing alcohol and drugs will perform strongly during the coming recession.
  • You still have to pay your taxes! Accountants and tax advisors are likely to still perform well during the recession.
  • Everyone can afford a bit of lippy! Cosmetic businesses can perform well during a recession.

As for the rest of businesses, they must fully understand what’s important and what is not for their particular business model. Offering more value for money will become more important.

Wheat and oil prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures market
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Businesses must be able to benefit from change. We explore the importance of adapting to change in a business. What are the benefits of change in the workplace. Changes in business can be necessary due to external and internal business risk factors. Not all change has to be major. Small incremental changes, combined, can be more effective and beneficial to your business than giant leaps. Constant major changes can also be counterproductive.

  • What are the negative effects of change in business?
  • What are the positive effects of change in business?
  • Learn how to embrace change and innovation in your company.

Today’s organisation’s must embrace change to survive and prosper. Ensure your business has a culture of looking at change as an opportunity to improve not something to fear or resist. Explain the importance of accepting change positively to your employees and customers.

  • Employees will develop new skills which will make them more valuable to you but also more valuable in the marketplace.
  • Employees will have new opportunities to be more creative in alignment with new business objectives so both can navigate choppy market conditions.
  • Employees will become more engaged with and committed to your business as their ideas will help grow the business and their role within the business.

Sell the benefits of a constantly changing business to your employees so they can help you not run away from your business.

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We look at why change is important. Explain the importance of accepting change positively. Not forgetting both the negative and positive effects of change in the workplace. Control the negative effects of change while enhancing the positive effects of change.

Embracing change means embracing failure. Not all changes will be successful. However if employees feel that their ideas and failure of ideas will be accepted without recrimination and even rewarded, you will find the gems in the rough that will boost your business development.

You need and plan and a process to filter the ideas. Your plan needs to engage all levels of your organisation not just the management team.

Embracing change will help your business find and develop new ideas and opportunities to grow faster. Change in business is inevitable so why not embrace it positively at all times to get the best out of it and mitigate anything bad about change. Embracing change is essential for the future success and growth of your business so adopting a culture and a habit of embracing change will supercharge your growth. Change will no longer threaten your survival in business.

What are the benefits to customers when a business changes?

Adapt your business and embrace change to benefit old and new customers. A culture of embracing change and a process for managing risks of change will lead to more satisfied customers as well as more engaged workforce.

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Much innovation is born out of necessity – for example during times of war. The COVID period maybe our time of war. It as certainly led to the worst economic period for several hundred years including from two world wars. What we can learn from Abandoned Engineering on Yesterday Channel is that our forefathers have invested incredible amounts of money and energy in ideas that failed for various different reasons. If you want your business to be resilience regardless of the economic environment you need to adopt the right risk management strategy to give your business the best chance of surviving in all economic weather. We may think we have been unlucky. However, all previous generations have had their challenges. Our challenge is to be innovative, creative and resilient no matter what is thrown at us.

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The opportunities for increasing retail-based business income remain huge for innovative retailers looking to the future not to return to past

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Even if we wanted to return to pre-pandemic days, this will not be for months, perhaps years. However, we should not aspire to return to pre-pandemic days with the dawning of a new era of business innovation, creativity and aspiration to change to something better.

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Make tomorrow today. Do not procrastinate another day. Transform your business tomorrow today. Things will be better in business tomorrow cause of what you did today and every day.

The business world today and the business world tomorrow will be hugely different after coronavirus pandemic. We need to tackle tomorrow today even in lockdown before peak infection comes.

There are better ways of working that can help alleviate and even solve the coronavirus pandemic. We can learn the better ways to make post coronavirus pandemic better.

We will not manage this crisis quicker by doing what we have always done. Neither will post crisis be better by going back to business as as normal.

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Take action today for a better business tomorrow. Transform your business today. Tomorrow is not a given. Ask yourself how can I make tomorrow better than today? Work with people who can help you make your business better tomorrow.

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There is always trouble ahead for business leaders

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And there are always opportunities to grow a business faster too. There are always leadership challenges regardless of era in business. Improve management of the biggest issues facing the business world today.

Learn how to overcome leadership challenges. Being a successful business leader means there will always be challenges. The business problems will change but it is naive to thing that your challenges are more difficult than the challenges other leaders have overcome in the past.

In the UK the biggest issues combined that impact on future business success is poor productivity and lack of skills. UK business leader must invest in capital assets including automation or machinery as well as people. Workers in the UK need dramatic upskilling. There has been a distinct lack of investment over the last decade that needs redressing over the next decade. Instead of whinging about lack of immigration UK business leaders need to be more innovative and invest in engaging existing workforce more.

We can achieve so much more than we are currently doing. There is a significant lack of investment in innovation and new ideas to overcome business challenges. Perhaps it is a hangover from the slow recovery from the 2008 financial crisis. Business leaders have thought about survival for so long that it has suppressed a more creative and innovative business world.

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Deutsche Bank currency guru says it’s ‘time to sell the dollar’ as greenback sees longest losing streak since 2021

The dollar has been on a losing streak in recent weeks, and a top currency strategist at Deutsche Bank is betting that the trend will continue.

George Saravelos, global co-head of FX research at Deutsche Bank, said in a note to clients on Thursday that he’s once again betting that the dollar will weaken against the euro, Japanese yen, British pound, and other major currencies.

“We believe that the dollar’s recent weakness is more than just a temporary correction,” Saravelos said. “We see a number of factors that are likely to keep the dollar under pressure in the coming months.”

One of the factors that Saravelos is pointing to is the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates. The Fed is expected to raise rates several times this year in an effort to combat inflation. However, Saravelos believes that the Fed’s rate hikes will be less effective than they have been in the past because the global economy is now in a different phase.

“The global economy is no longer in a synchronised growth upswing,” Saravelos said. “This means that the Fed’s rate hikes are likely to have a more muted impact on economic activity and inflation than they would have in the past.”

Another factor that Saravelos is pointing to is the strength of the euro. The euro has been rising in recent weeks, and Saravelos believes that this trend is likely to continue.

“The euro is benefiting from a number of factors, including the strong performance of the European economy,” Saravelos said. “We believe that the euro is likely to continue to outperform the dollar in the coming months.”

Saravelos’s call is a reversal of his previous stance. In January, he said that the dollar was “oversold” and that he expected it to rebound. However, he has since changed his view, and he now believes that the dollar is likely to continue to weaken.

Saravelos’s call is in line with the views of other currency analysts. A recent survey by Bloomberg found that 60% of currency analysts believe that the dollar will weaken in the coming months.

If Saravelos is right, it could have a significant impact on the global economy. The dollar is the world’s reserve currency, and its value has a major impact on the prices of commodities, assets, and goods. If the dollar weakens, it could lead to higher inflation and lower economic growth.

Of course, it’s impossible to say for sure what will happen to the dollar in the future. However, Saravelos’s call is a warning that the greenback’s days of dominance may be coming to an end.

In addition to the factors mentioned by Saravelos, there are a few other reasons why the dollar could continue to weaken.

  • The US trade deficit is widening. This means that the US is importing more goods and services than it is exporting. This puts downward pressure on the dollar.
  • The US economy is growing more slowly than other major economies. This means that investors are less likely to hold dollars as a safe haven.
  • The US political landscape is becoming more polarised. This could lead to uncertainty and volatility in the markets, which could also weigh on the dollar.

Of course, there are also some factors that could support the dollar. For example, if the Fed raises interest rates more aggressively than expected, it could boost the dollar’s value. However, overall, the trend seems to be pointing towards a weaker dollar.

What does this mean for investors?

If you are an investor who is holding dollars, you may want to consider hedging your bets by investing in other currencies. You may also want to consider investing in assets that are less sensitive to changes in the dollar’s value.

If you are a business that exports goods or services, you may benefit from a weaker dollar. This is because a weaker dollar will make your goods or services cheaper for foreign buyers.

Overall, the outlook for the dollar is uncertain. However, there are a number of factors that could lead to a weaker dollar in the coming months. Investors and businesses should be aware of these factors and should adjust their strategies accordingly

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Fear of loss often beats the desire to gain more. Fearing losing everything you have built is natural human reaction. However is your fear getting in the way of seizing new business opportunities? Keep innovating and growing with less uncertainty with BusinessRiskTV.

Develop a holistic risk management culture to drive your business forward. Up your risk appetite to achieve more with more controlled balanced risk taking.

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Do you have loss aversion bias in decision making?

Business leaders who are loss averse feel the pain of loss much greater that any joy from any gains from decisions made. They make strategic business decisions accordingly. The risk culture of the business models the loss aversion bias of the business leader.

If this works well for your business you should continue with status quo. However if you would like to experience faster business growth you may need to take more calculated risks.

Loss aversion refers to the tendency to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. It is better for you to not lose 10000 pounds than to make 10000 pounds in business. 

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However most entrepreneurs and many business leaders are in their position to better themselves. If you mitigate the potential losses from taking more risks and manage the risks to maximise the return on your investment you should end up with faster growth with less uncertainty.

It is more common in people who are not entrepreneurs or business leaders to be biased against taking risks. Loss aversion is a reflection of a general bias in human psychology. People tend to want to stick with what they know than make changes that might not work well. People in general are resistant to change. When presented with the potential benefits of change they focus more on what might be lost rather than on what can be gained.

  • What is your business risk tolerance? If you can make changes to try to grow faster that if do not work fall within your risk tolerance would you take more risk?
  • If you adopted small changes rather than one big radical all eggs in one basket change would you feel more comfortable? Spreading your faster business growth changes across a few new ideas may be better for your business. When you know which one of the new changes works best perhaps then you can focus on one new idea.
  • Do not confuse more risk taking in business with gambling. Taking calculated risks to grow faster is about assessing and then managing the risks before you action more risk taking. You can mitigate the threats from more risk as well as maximise the returns from taking more risks.

Few things in business life are guaranteed other than taxes! Even maintaining the status quo comes with the threat of business failure. Kodack photography business was once one of the most successful businesses in the world. How many Kodack films do you buy for your camera now!

The desire to avoid business losses is motivated by fear. The more a business leader fears losses the more likely he or she is to be loss averse and the more likely they are to be disinclined to make changes to their business to be more successful. Having a better understanding of the risks that could be taken to achieve more will make loss averse business leaders more comfortable with changing the the business.

Often the perception of risks and reward are skewed to the belief that you are doomed to fail which means you do not make changes to the business. By the same token it is important that all stakeholders in the business are involved in assessing risks from changes to business. Business leaders who do like taking risks can miss the pitfalls to mitigate against whilst making changes that can cause the change project fail even if it was a great idea.

With a little input and engagement from all levels of the organisation your project to grow faster is more likely to be a success. Take risks that are worth taking which are achievable with everyone onboard.

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Is your business in zombie mode? Is it ticking along but with a little inspiration could be zooming along! Businesses which do not innovate could wither and die in the changes which are already in motion.

If you think the decade has been changing rapidly fasten your seat belt for the next decade! Even the best businesses growing healthily are going to be subject to existential choices.

Take banking industry for example. There is absolutely no reason you will not be banking online with Facebook Google or Amazon instead of Lloyds Barcalys or HSBC.

There are already internet only or app only banking businesses thriving in the UK. They do not have the costs of bank branch network. Fewer employees delivering what especially the younger generation want online. These apps will eventually sell car insurance house insurance mortgages credit cards et al that traditional banks offer. Why could Facebook Google or Amazon not do the same with their astronomical piles of cash. Yes I mean cash as they do not need to borrow money to lend money to you which will make them even more profitable should they start their banking arm of the business in UK.

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If traditional banking industry could fail to survive in future why do you think your business is safe?

Is it not a little arrogant to think your great business is going to survive the coming changes? If the UK ever gets up to speed with 5g which clearly it eventually will then another building block will be in place that will destroy many traditional businesses.

5G is both an opportunity and existential threat to many traditional businesses. Just because what you have done works for your business model does not mean it will work well in future.

are you really getting the most out of your solid business assets?

Even if you have a great business now are you sure it is operating productively? The greatest killer of UK economic growth is poor productivity. The UK does not perform any way near as productively as its developed competitors in the global marketplace.

Could your business grow faster if it took the slack from poor productivity out?

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Our showcasing of your products or services will demonstrate why your competitors customers should buy from you. Pull in new customers to your business more profitably. Land more notice of what your business has to offer.

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Formula 1 teams with smaller budgets have to fight for every last point by thinking and acting differently from their bigger competitors. You need to grab the attention of new customers in a different way from competitors unless you have unlimited advertising and marketing budget.

It is a challenge to capture more bang for your buck. BusinessRiskTV can help you attain more from every pound you spend.

What makes your business unique?

If your business is unique then great, but for many businesses this simply isn’t true. However if potential buyers don’t know what you’re offering then they will buy from your competitors instead. You’ve lost the sales not because your inferior but because you weren’t even in the running.

The most successful businesses are not necessarily the ones offering the best product or service, never mind a unique service. However there are innovative ways to make your business stand out from the crowd and gain a competitive advantage.

We can direct new customers towards your business products or services more profitably more sustainably for longer business growth with less uncertainty.

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The 4th Industrial Revolution is upon us. For some it will be a plague but for others it’ll will be a feast.

Every day you can find multiple great ideas that could potentially disruptive the current way of doing things. My favourites at the moment are flying modes of transport that could easily replace vehicles that have to travel on roads and flying machines that briefly go to space to get to their destination quicker. They may seem like far off technological developments, but the technology works now.   Its flight rules and regulations that will hold them back to protect carmakers and airplane makers not technology risks.

Everyday new innovative ideas and products flood onto the market. For most it will be like Tomorrows World. The innovative ideas will not be sustainable. We want to work with people who want to take over the world in a good way!

Pull in our resources to make innovation-driven business growth more likely to succeed and maximise the return of your investment of time and money.

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If you don’t have time to be innovators you may need to find time to protect against business market disruptors

Fatal existential business decisions are easy to see in hindsight. Foresight consultants can help you take steps to protect yourself from your own poor business decisions.

Anyone can take a wrong turn. If you’re lucky the decision may not be malignant. You might survive to fight another day. On the other hand.

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Your brand maybe vulnerable to others who have been thinking differently, or from changes to the marketplace. It may fail cause your performance ain’t good enough, or because your competitors change the rules of the game.

How you fail may not matter too much after you’ve failed. It will be too late to consider what you are doing wrong. Kodak didn’t want to change when they had to change to survive. They were making too much money from photographs to change to embrace digital photography. Market changes can kill the best businesses.

The best form of defence is often attack

Being more innovative or creative can be frightening. Picking the wrong horse in a paddock of new opportunities can be very costly. Innovation can also be exciting and highly rewarding.

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We aim to make innovation for you more exciting and rewarding as well as reducing the uncertainties that accompany innovation and creativity. Disruptive innovators can draw on our tips advice and support to become more successful with more certainty.

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