Currencies compete against each other and their value may not reflect their true worth!
The Sterling Saviour: Why America’s Woes, Not Britain’s Brawn, Bolster the Pound
Across the pond, a curious spectacle unfolds. The British pound, battered and bruised for years, has suddenly found favour, flexing its muscles against the mighty dollar in December 2023. While headlines trumpet a resurgent Britain, let’s hold the Union Jack confetti for a moment. This newfound strength has less to do with Britannia’s biceps and more to do with Uncle Sam’s wobbly ankles.
UK business leaders and consumers need to peek beyond the celebratory bunting and understand the true story behind the pound’s ascent. It’s not solely a tale of British brilliance, but rather a reflection of America’s deepening economic and political quagmire.
Debt Avalanche: When Uncle Sam Gets Buried Under Bills
America’s national debt has ballooned to astronomical heights, surpassing a staggering $30 trillion. This mountain of red ink, fueled by years of government overspending and tax cuts for the wealthy, casts a long shadow over the US economy. It cripples the government’s ability to invest in crucial infrastructure and social programs, while simultaneously saddling future generations with a crushing burden.
This debt tsunami isn’t limited to Uncle Sam’s coffers. American consumers are drowning in their own ocean of debt, with student loans, mortgages, and credit card balances reaching record levels. This mountain of personal debt hampers economic growth, as consumers tighten their belts and reduce spending.
The Fragile Colossus: Cracks in the American Banking System
These anxieties spill over into the global financial system, impacting the dollar’s perceived safe-haven status. Investors, spooked by American financial fragilities, seek refuge in alternative currencies, including the pound.
Political Pendulum: When Washington Becomes a Wobbling Circus
American politics have become a spectacle of division and dysfunction. Hyper-partisanship and gridlock in Washington make it nearly impossible to address pressing issues like inflation, healthcare, and climate change. This political uncertainty breeds economic anxiety, further weakening the dollar’s allure.
In contrast, the UK, despite its own political challenges, appears relatively stable. Brexit anxieties have subsided, and a new Prime Minister offers a semblance of direction. This perceived stability, compared to the American political rollercoaster, makes the pound a more attractive proposition for some investors.
Britannia’s Balancing Act: Not All Roses and Tea
Let’s not paint a rosy picture for the UK either. Britain grapples with its own set of economic woes, including rising inflation, a labour shortage, and dependence on volatile global markets. The war in Ukraine and ongoing supply chain disruptions further complicate the picture.
The Bank of England’s recent interest rate hikes, aimed at curbing inflation, could also dampen economic growth. A potential recession on the horizon would undoubtedly weaken the pound.
Navigating the Currency Crossroads: Cautious Optimism for UK Businesses and Consumers
So, where does this leave UK businesses and consumers? The pound’s recent strength offers a welcome respite, but it’s not a magic bullet. Businesses should exercise caution when making currency-dependent decisions, hedging against potential fluctuations. Diversifying markets and currencies can mitigate risk and ensure long-term stability.
For consumers, the stronger pound could translate to slightly cheaper imported goods and travel. However, inflationary pressures may offset these gains. Responsible budgeting and financial planning remain crucial, regardless of the pound’s performance.
In conclusion, the pound’s December surge is less a testament to British might and more a symptom of American malaise. A confluence of debt, financial fragility, and political uncertainty across the Atlantic has pushed investors towards the perceived relative stability of the UK. However, it’s vital to remember that Britain’s own economic challenges loom large.
For UK businesses and consumers, the message is clear: embrace cautious optimism. Enjoy the currency tailwind while it lasts, but prepare for potential choppy waters ahead. Focus on building resilience, diversifying risk, and making sound financial decisions, lest the tide turn once again. Remember, currency markets are a fickle beast, and the sun rarely shines eternally on any single shore.
If you don’t have confidence in your risk management modelling system, then you cannot have confidence in your risk management plan!
The Cloudy Crystal Ball: Why Economic Models Can’t Predict the Future (and What We Can Do About It)
As business leaders and consumers in the UK navigate the ever-turbulent waters of the global economy, one question looms large: can we trust the forecasts? Economic models, once hailed as oracles of the future, have stumbled badly in recent years, failing to anticipate major events like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. This has left many wondering: are we all just flying blind?
The Limits of the Model Machine:
Economic models are not, and never will be, crystal balls. While these complex mathematical constructs can provide valuable insights into economic trends, they are inherently limited by a number of factors:
Incomplete Data: Economic models rely on historical data to identify patterns and relationships. However,the economy is a dynamic system,constantly evolving in unpredictable ways. New technologies, political upheavals, and natural disasters can all throw sand in the gears of even the most sophisticated model.
Human Factor Flaw: The economy is ultimately driven by human behaviour,which is notoriously difficult to predict. Models often struggle to account for factors like consumer confidence, investor sentiment, and political decision-making, leading to inaccuracies.
The Black Swan Problem: As Nassim Nicholas Taleb famously argued,unforeseen events – “black swans” – can have a profound impact on the economy. Models excel at predicting the familiar, but struggle to handle the truly unexpected.
The Governor’s Voice:
This point has been echoed by no less than Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, who, in a speech earlier this year, stated:
“Economic models are powerful tools, but they are not infallible. They are based on historical data and assumptions, and they can be blindsided by unexpected events. It is important to remember that models are not reality, they are just a simplified representation of it.”
Beyond the Model Maze:
So, if economic models cannot be relied upon for perfect foresight, are we doomed to make decisions in the dark? Absolutely not. While models may not provide infallible predictions, they can still be valuable tools for understanding the underlying dynamics of the economy. Here are some ways we can move beyond the limitations of models and make informed decisions in a world of uncertainty:
Embrace Scenario Planning: Instead of relying on a single “most likely” forecast, consider multiple scenarios, ranging from optimistic to pessimistic. This allows for a more nuanced understanding of potential risks and opportunities.
Focus on Leading Indicators: While lagging indicators, like GDP growth, tell us what has happened, leading indicators, like consumer confidence surveys, can provide clues about what might happen. By monitoring these signals, we can be better prepared for potential shifts in the economy.
Listen to the Ground: Don’t get lost in the data blizzard. Talk to businesses, consumers, and workers on the ground to get a sense of their lived experiences and concerns. This qualitative data can complement the quantitative insights from models and provide a more holistic understanding of the economic landscape.
Prioritise Adaptability: In a world of constant change, the ability to adapt is key. Businesses and consumers should focus on building resilience and flexibility into their plans, allowing them to adjust to unforeseen circumstances.
Conclusion:
Economic models are imperfect tools, but they are not useless. By understanding their limitations and employing additional strategies, we can move beyond the model maze and make informed decisions in an uncertain world. As Bank of England Governor Bailey reminded us, “The future is always uncertain, but by being prepared and adaptable, we can navigate the challenges ahead and build a more resilient economy.”
Some bank shares are still more than 90% off their peak pre 2008 financial crisis so there is no such thing as “safe as money in the bank”!
The Inflationary Storm: Are Cryptos Your Lifeboat?
A dark cloud hangs over the global economy. Whispers of recession turn into shouts, and governments, desperate to keep the ship afloat, resort to the familiar mantra: fiscal stimulus and quantitative easing. But what does this mean for your hard-earned money? Enter cryptocurrencies: a digital life raft in a sea of potential devaluation.
As a currency and economics expert, I’m here to navigate these choppy waters. Today, we’ll explore the potential for crypto as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation. We’ll dive into the economic storm, examine the limitations of traditional safeguards, and assess whether venturing into the crypto realm could be your best bet.
The Looming Devaluation:
Governments and central banks worldwide have injected trillions into their economies since the pandemic. This, coupled with supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, is fuelling an inflationary fire. Fiat currencies, backed by nothing but government promises, are losing their purchasing power. A loaf of bread that cost $2 yesterday may cost $2.10 tomorrow, silently eroding your savings and future.
Traditional Safe Havens Fail:
Historically, gold and other precious metals have been go-to hedges against inflation. But their limited supply and physical constraints don’t cater to everyone’s needs. Real estate or property, another traditional option, suffers from high entry barriers and illiquidity.
This is where cryptocurrencies enter the picture. With their decentralised nature, limited supply, and global reach, they present a new, albeit volatile, option.
The Crypto Advantage:
Limited Supply: Unlike fiat currencies,many cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin,have a predetermined cap on their supply. This scarcity helps limit inflation and potentially increases their value over time.
Decentralisation: Cryptocurrencies aren’t subject to the whims of governments or central banks. Their decentralised networks offer a buffer against devaluation policies used to stimulate economies.
Global Accessibility: Anyone with an internet connection can access and trade cryptocurrencies, regardless of location or financial standing. This democratises wealth management and opens doors to previously excluded individuals.
Store of Value: While their volatility often grabs headlines, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have exhibited long-term value appreciation. Their potential to act as a digital gold, a secure store of value in a turbulent economy, is undeniable.
The Risk Factor:
However, venturing into the world of cryptocurrencies isn’t without its risks:
Volatility: The crypto market is notoriously volatile. Prices can swing wildly, making them potentially unsuitable for risk-averse individuals.
Regulation: The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is still evolving, creating uncertainty and potential for government intervention.
Security: Crypto wallets and exchanges have been targets for hackers, highlighting the importance of choosing secure platforms and practicing safe storage methods.
Navigating the Crypto Waters:
So, should you dive into the crypto ocean as a hedge against devaluation? The answer depends on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. If you’re looking for a safe haven, traditional options like gold might be better suited. However, if you have the risk appetite and are willing to do your research, cryptocurrencies could be a valuable addition to your portfolio.
Remember, diversification is key. Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket. Start with a small allocation, understand the risks involved, and invest only what you can afford to lose.
For Business Leaders:
Explore crypto’s potential as a payment option:Accepting cryptocurrencies can attract tech-savvy customers and expand your reach.
Educate your employees: Equip your team with the knowledge they need to understand and potentially utilise cryptocurrencies.
For Consumers:
Do your research: Understand the different types of cryptocurrencies and their underlying technologies before investing.
Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket.
Start small: Invest only what you can afford to lose, and remember the market is volatile.
Choose secure platforms: Store your cryptocurrencies in reputable wallets and exchanges.
Cryptocurrencies present a fascinating blend of opportunity and risk in the face of potential fiat currency devaluation. While not a guaranteed solution, they offer a novel approach to securing your financial future. Remember, knowledge is power in this realm. Educate yourself, assess your risk tolerance, and make informed decisions to weather the coming economic storm. The crypto lifeboat might just be the key to staying afloat in the inflationary seas ahead.
Who will be your landlord in future and what does it mean in the short and long term?
The Rise of Institutional Homeownership: Will Banks Become Your Landlord?
The traditional image of a homeowner – an individual or family purchasing a property for personal use – is undergoing a significant shift in the United Kingdom. Enter the institutional investor, specifically banks like Lloyds, venturing into the single-family home market on a grand scale. This trend, while nascent, poses intriguing questions about the future of housing affordability, rents, and the very nature of homeownership in the UK.
Banks as Landlords: A New Game in Town
Driven by factors like low interest rates, a perceived hedge against inflation, and the potential for stable rental income, institutional investors are increasingly eyeing the residential property market. Lloyds Bank, the UK’s largest mortgage provider, stands as a prime example. In 2021, they partnered with the housebuilder Taylor Wimpey to acquire thousands of newly built homes for rental purposes. This move isn’t isolated; similar initiatives are underway across the pond in the US, with major players like Blackstone and Goldman Sachs amassing vast portfolios of single-family homes.
Impact on Housing Prices: A Double-Edged Sword
The immediate impact of institutional buying on house prices is a complex issue. On the one hand, their deep pockets could inject significant capital into the market, potentially driving up prices, particularly in desirable locations. This could exacerbate affordability concerns, especially for first-time buyers already struggling with rising costs.
On the other hand, some argue that institutional investors might act as a stabilising force, purchasing excess inventory during market downturns and preventing price crashes. Additionally, their focus on energy-efficient, modern homes could contribute to long-term improvements in the housing stock.
Ultimately, the net effect on prices will depend on various factors, including the scale of institutional buying, government policies, and broader economic trends.
Rents on the Rise? Not So Simple Either
While the prospect of institutional landlords might raise concerns about rent hikes, the reality is likely to be more nuanced. Firstly, these investors are primarily interested in long-term, stable returns, which incentivises them to offer competitive rents to attract and retain tenants. Additionally, regulations like rent control measures could play a role in curbing excessive rent increases.
However, concerns remain. The sheer volume of homes owned by institutions could give them significant market power, potentially allowing them to exert upward pressure on rents, particularly in areas with limited housing options. Moreover, the focus on professional property management might lead to a less personal and potentially less responsive landlord-tenant relationship compared to traditional setups.
The Long View: Redefining Homeownership
The long-term implications of this trend are far-reaching. A future with a significant portion of homes owned by institutions could fundamentally alter the concept of homeownership in the UK. Traditional homeowner aspirations, centred around property ownership and wealth accumulation, might give way to a renter-centric model, where stability and affordability become the primary concerns.
This shift could have profound social consequences, potentially impacting wealth distribution, community dynamics, and even political landscapes. It’s crucial to have open and informed discussions about the potential benefits and drawbacks of this new paradigm, ensuring that policies and regulations are in place to protect tenants and safeguard a healthy housing market for all.
Beyond the Numbers: Humanising the Equation
In the rush to analyse statistics and market trends, it’s important to remember that housing is more than just an investment or a commodity. Homes are where families build memories, communities thrive, and lives unfold. As we navigate this changing landscape, it’s essential to keep the human element at the centre of the conversation. We must ensure that this new wave of institutional ownership doesn’t come at the cost of affordability, stability, and the very essence of what makes a house a home.
The rise of institutional homeownership presents a complex and multifaceted challenge for the UK. While it holds the potential to boost the housing market and offer stability, it also raises concerns about affordability, renter rights, and the long-term social impact. As we move forward, careful consideration, informed policy decisions, and a focus on human needs are crucial to ensure that this new chapter in UK housing benefits everyone, not just the bottom line of institutional investors.
Fools gold or once in a lifetime opportunity in 2024?
The Crystal Ball of Crypto: Predicting Spot ETF Acceptability and Market Impact in 2024
The nascent world of cryptocurrencies has been on a rollercoaster ride, its trajectory heavily influenced by regulatory decisions, particularly when it comes to Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Spot ETFs, tracking the underlying price of a crypto asset directly, promise to unlock unprecedented mainstream access and potential legitimisation for this new asset class. With multiple applications currently under review in various countries, the question remains: Where will these applications land? And what does it mean for cryptocurrency valuations in 2024? Predicting the future is always precarious, but by analysing current trends, regulatory landscapes, and industry sentiment, we can paint a picture of potential scenarios.
The Global Regulatory Landscape: Shades of Gray across Borders
The regulatory landscape for crypto assets, and Spot ETFs by extension, remains fragmented and diverse. Different countries approach the issue with varying degrees of receptiveness and caution. Let’s take a peek into some key regions:
North America: The US, the world’s largest financial market, has been notoriously hesitant. Despite numerous applications, the SEC hasn’t approved any Spot ETFs yet, citing concerns over market manipulation and investor protection. However, recent developments like BlackRock’s application and a court favouring Grayscale’s case signal a potential shift towards approval in 2024. Canada, on the other hand, has already approved several Spot ETFs, setting a precedent for the region.
Europe:Europe has taken a more pragmatic approach, with Germany approving its first Spot ETF in 2021. Several other European countries are actively considering applications, with Switzerland and France potentially following suit in 2024. However, stricter regulatory frameworks like MiCA could impose additional hurdles.
Asia: The picture in Asia is complex. Hong Kong, known for its financial openness, recently broke new ground by approving its first Spot ETF, the CSOP Bitcoin Futures ETF. This marks a significant departure from the stance of mainland China, which has banned individual crypto trading entirely. Meanwhile, Japan, after initial apprehension, has recently approved a Bitcoin futures ETF, potentially paving the way for further developments.
Predicting the Domino Effect: Acceptance Scenarios and their Impact
Based on these regional variations, let’s consider three potential scenarios for Spot ETF acceptance by the end of 2024:
Scenario 1: The Dam Breaks Open
A wave of approvals sweeps across major markets like the US, Canada, and several European countries. This scenario, fueled by growing institutional interest and industry pressure, could trigger a surge in demand for crypto assets, driving up valuations significantly. Increased liquidity and accessibility could attract new investors, further amplifying the bull run. This scenario, however, also carries risks, as rapid price climbs could be followed by sharp corrections if regulatory crackdowns or technological limitations arise.
Scenario 2: A Measured Waltz
Acceptance occurs but at a controlled pace. Regulators take time to carefully vet applications, prioritising robust safeguards and investor protection. This scenario would result in a gradual rise in valuations without the intense volatility of Scenario 1. New investors would enter cautiously, ensuring a more sustainable growth trajectory. However, this also means the full potential of Spot ETFs would be realised over a longer timeframe.
Scenario 3: The Cold Shoulder
Regulatory hurdles persist, with major markets like the US remaining hesitant. This scenario would keep the crypto market confined to its current niche, hindering mainstream adoption and limiting valuation growth. However, it could also foster further innovation within the crypto ecosystem, driving development towards greater decentralisation and security.
Beyond the Crystal Ball: The Unknowns and Opportunities
Predicting the future of crypto valuations is an intricate dance with numerous variables. Even the most robust analysis must acknowledge the presence of unforeseen black swans: unforeseen regulatory shifts, technological breakthroughs, or major market events. However, regardless of the specific scenario that unfolds, Spot ETFs are destined to be a game-changer for the crypto landscape. Increased institutional involvement, improved access, and potential regulatory legitimacy will undoubtedly have a profound impact on valuations, shaping the trajectory of this emerging asset class in 2024 and beyond.
As investors navigate this new frontier, it’s crucial to stay informed, manage risks responsibly, and remain adaptable to the ever-evolving nature of the cryptoverse. The crystal ball may be blurry, but the potential of Spot ETFs shines brightly, illuminating a future where mainstream adoption and institutional acceptance could propel cryptocurrencies into the heart of the global financial system.
Once again central banks in USA, EU and UK have been too slow to react and when they do they’ll be too late and overreact perpetuating our economic boom bust cycle
The Looming Storm: Declining Inflation, Rising Recession Risk in 2024
While headlines tout slowing inflation in the US, EU, and UK, a shadow lurks beneath the surface. Contrary to popular belief, this seemingly positive development may in fact be a harbinger of imminent recession in 2024. Understanding why requires peeling back the layers of economic realities and acknowledging the nuanced interplay between inflation, monetary policy, and economic behaviour.
From Scorching to Smoldering: The Inflation Slowdown Narrative
Over the past year, inflationary flames have licked across global economies, driven by pandemic-induced supply chain disruptions, soaring energy prices, and fiscal stimulus packages. Central banks, armed with the blunt instrument of interest rate hikes, sought to tamp down the heat. And indeed, recent data reflects a cooling trend. US inflation has dipped from a peak of 9.1% in June 2023, with similar softening observed in the EU and UK.
This downward trajectory has fueled a wave of optimism. Policymakers and pundits alike herald the successful execution of monetary tightening, envisioning a soft landing for the global economy. Some even predict inflation returning to target levels within the year.
Beneath the Surface: The Cracks in the Facade
However, this rosy outlook rests on shaky ground. The disinflationary trend, while seemingly positive, can also be a potent predictor of impending recession. Let’s explore the three key reasons why:
1. Demand Destruction, Not Harmony: Declining inflation is often achieved through demand destruction. Rising interest rates make borrowing more expensive, impacting both businesses and consumers. Business investment slows, hiring freezes become commonplace, and consumer spending weakens as disposable income shrinks. This domino effect ultimately saps economic activity, paving the way for recession.
2. The Lag Effect’s Looming Bite: Monetary policy operates with a time lag. Today’s interest rate hikes primarily impact economic activity months down the line. This means the full force of recent tightening may not be felt until 2024, potentially triggering a sudden and sharp economic downturn just as policymakers believe they’ve tamed the inflation beast.
3. Stagflationary Spectre : The disinflationary process carries the risk of morphing into stagflation, a nightmare scenario characterised by stagnant economic growth and persistent, albeit lower, inflation. This arises when businesses, burdened by higher input costs, maintain price hikes even as demand weakens. Such a scenario would severely constrain central banks’ ability to respond, trapping the economy in a quagmire.
A Perfect Storm Brewing in 2024:
Considering these factors, 2024 appears primed for a perfect economic storm. The lagged effects of aggressive interest rate hikes are likely to coincide with continued geopolitical uncertainties, energy price volatility, and ongoing supply chain disruptions. This potent cocktail could push vulnerable economies over the edge, plunging them into recession despite disinflationary trends.
Evidence Mounts, The Case Strengthens:
Empirical evidence further substantiates this gloomy outlook. Leading economic indicators, such as the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and consumer confidence surveys, are already flashing red. Business investment has plateaued, and layoffs are increasing across various sectors. Additionally, inverted yield curves, historically reliable recession predictors, have emerged in all three economies, signaling heightened investor anxiety about future economic prospects.
A Call to Action: Navigating the Coming Storm
The potential for a 2024 recession demands immediate and proactive action. Policymakers must adopt a nuanced approach, acknowledging the dual threat of inflation and recession. Continued, albeit calibrated, interest rate hikes may still be necessary to tame inflation, but fiscal measures aimed at supporting vulnerable populations and stimulating aggregate demand become crucial (boom to bust ie bailing out financial system again. Open communication with the public, emphasising transparent risk assessment and contingency plans, is also essential to maintain confidence and mitigate potential financial panic.
Individuals and businesses, too, must brace themselves for turbulent times. Building robust financial buffers, diversifying investments, and exercising prudence in spending decisions are key to weathering the storm.
Conclusion: The Coming Recession – Not a Certainty, But a Clear and Present Danger
While declining inflation may initially appear as a victory, it can mask a deeper malaise. In the context of current economic vulnerabilities and aggressive monetary tightening, the disinflationary trend in the US, EU, and UK presents a significant risk of recession in 2024. Ignoring this risk would be akin to celebrating a pyre’s dimming flames while neglecting the smoldering embers beneath. By acknowledging the impending danger and taking decisive action, policymakers and individuals alike can navigate the coming storm and emerge stronger on the other side.
Understand the growing threat of financial collapse
The Dangers to Businesses and People from Eurozone Bank Stress and Loan Defaults: An Expert Perspective
The Eurozone banking sector is facing a number of challenges, including rising interest rates, slowing economic growth, and increased loan defaults. These factors are putting stress on banks’ balance sheets and making it more difficult for them to lend to businesses and consumers. If these trends continue, they could lead to a financial crisis that would have severe consequences for businesses and people across the Eurozone.
The Impact of Eurozone Bank Stress on Businesses
Businesses rely on banks to provide them with the credit they need to operate and grow. When banks are under stress, they are more likely to tighten lending standards and raise interest rates. This can make it difficult for businesses to get the loans they need to invest in new equipment, hire new employees, and expand their operations. As a result, businesses may be forced to cut back on their spending, which can lead to slower economic growth and job losses.
In addition, businesses that are unable to obtain loans from banks may turn to riskier forms of financing, such as borrowing from high-interest lenders or taking on more debt. This can increase their financial risk and make them more vulnerable to economic downturns.
The Impact of Eurozone Bank Stress on People
People also rely on banks for a variety of financial services, such as checking and savings accounts, mortgages, and auto loans. When banks are under stress, they may reduce their hours of operation, close branches, and increase fees. This can make it more difficult for people to access the financial services they need.
In addition, if banks are forced to raise interest rates, this will make it more expensive for people to borrow money. This could lead to an increase in household debt and make it more difficult for people to make ends meet.
The Dangers of Loan Defaults
Loan defaults are a major concern for banks because they can significantly erode their capital. When a borrower defaults on a loan, the bank loses the money it lent out, and it may also have to pay legal fees and other expenses to collect the debt. This can quickly eat into the bank’s capital, which is the money it needs to operate and withstand financial shocks.
If banks are not able to maintain adequate capital levels, they may be forced to reduce their lending activities or even go bankrupt. This would have a devastating impact on the economy, as it would make it even more difficult for businesses and consumers to get the credit they need.
Policy Options to Address Eurozone Bank Stress
There are a number of policy options that could be taken to address Eurozone bank stress and reduce the risk of loan defaults. These include:
Providing additional regulatory capital relief to banks: This would help banks to build up their capital buffers and make them more resilient to financial shocks.
Encouraging banks to securitise their loans: Securitisation is a process of pooling loans together and selling them to investors as securities. This can help banks to reduce their exposure to individual borrowers and spread out their risk.
Implementing stricter lending standards: This would help to ensure that banks are only lending to borrowers who are able to repay their loans.
Improving the quality of credit data: This would help banks to make better lending decisions and reduce the risk of loan defaults.
Conclusion
Eurozone bank stress and loan defaults pose a significant threat to businesses and people across the Eurozone. If these trends continue, they could lead to a financial crisis that would have severe consequences. Policymakers need to take action to address these challenges and reduce the risk of a financial crisis.
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Success normally comes from taking controlled risks not hunkering down, crossing fingers or hoping it will work out for you
Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance
Even if you do not seek business risks, they will find you! Risk taking is part and parcel of the job description of business leaders. Most business leaders seek greater rewards from their business. Greater rewards normally come from taking on more risk. Taking on more risk does not automatically mean you need to take on a higher level of risk. If you control the risks you take on the net level of risk can remain the same, but the rewards can be greater.
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There are many ways to improve your business performance. Are you suffering interruptions to your normal business trading ability? Could you be missing opportunities to increase your online sales? Are you really making your existing assets and resources work productively and efficiently?
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Online Exhibition Platform With BusinessRiskTV
We have a number of virtual exhibition platforms to showcase the best of your business online. Pick the best online exhibition platform for your country or industry.
Virtual Exhibition Platform To Showcase Your Business Products and Services To Buyers Already Interested In Your Type Of Business Offering
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Use our livestream selling platform to grow your business faster more profitably
LiveStream Shopping Will Grow Your Business With Help From BusinessRiskTV
Our Live Stream Shopping Platform will boost your profit. Increase your reach to new customers to expand your online sales. Adopt good eCommerce solutions to improve your cash flow and strengthen your business resilience. Tap into rising demand for an online shopping experience with live video shopping. Our live video selling opportunities will increase your online sales conversions. Our LiveStream shopping experience incorporates live video content, interactive communication with potential new buyers and the ability for new customers to seamlessly buy or save featured products or services directly from you online.
Livestream Shopping enables your new audience explore your offering. Potential new customers will interact through their comments, likes and eCommerce opportunities to sell more online.
Offer LiveStream Shopping to your online audience with BusinessRiskTV
Sell your products or services direct to new buyers who discover your brand online with our help. Sell more locally nationally and even globally. Our live-shopping platform will increase your online sales and your profit.
Solve new potential customer problems before they move on.
Grab their online purchasing power before your competitors do.
Ask buyer blocking questions to make it easier for people to buy there and then online.
The heightened level of engagement with potential new customers gives you more time to showcase why new customers should buy from you and buy today!
Flash Sales To Fill Unused Service Capacity Or Unsold Stock
Deploy our LiveStream Shopping Service to maxise your profit when you want to. Give more people the opportunity to grab and bargain whilst you boost your profit.
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Create a new brand live experience for your potential new customers.
Expand your online sales faster.
Our flexible cost-effective Live Shopping Service will more rapidly flex your online sales. Start selling more products or services online with our new live selling service. Live streaming combine with E-commerce will secure boost your online sales. Our interactive live-streaming ecommerce platform brings potential new customers to your business more quickly more profitably.
Sell to new customers down the road or to the other side of the world
Make Products Shoppable With Livestream
To make your products or services more shoppable through live streaming in the UK, you can follow these tips:
Showcase the products: Make sure to highlight the key features and benefits of your products during the live stream. Demonstrate how the products can be used and what makes them unique.
Interact with your audience: Encourage your audience to ask questions and engage with them in real-time. This not only helps build trust but also provides valuable insights into what your audience is looking for.
Offer special promotions: Consider offering exclusive deals or discounts to viewers who make a purchase during the live stream. This can create a sense of urgency and drive sales.
Make the process seamless: Ensure that your e-commerce platform is integrated with your live stream so that viewers can easily make a purchase. Make the checkout process smooth and secure to minimise any friction.
Partner with influencers: Consider partnering with influencers or social media personalities who have a large following in the UK. This can help you reach a wider audience and increase brand awareness.
Utilise social media: Promote your live stream on your social media channels and engage with your followers. This can help drive traffic to your live stream and increase the chances of making a sale.
Provide excellent customer service: Make sure to provide excellent customer service during and after the live stream. Respond promptly to any questions or concerns and follow up with customers to ensure they are satisfied with their purchase.
Do not tar Lloyds bank with the same toxic brush of the UK banking industry
People think Lloyds bank is a big bad bank that was part of the financial crisis of 2008. Lloyds bank was in fact one of the hero’s of the financial crisis. Lloyds bank saved the Halifax brand including the Bank Of Scotland whose executives were the real baddies along with the Royal Bank of Scotland now Natwest. By saving the Halifax plc group of bank brands it helped stop the implosion of the UK economy.
If Lloyds bank had not stepped in when it did, Halifax plc group of bank brands would have collapsed and a major domino would have irreparably damaged the UK economy. If we thought it was bad economically with austerity and job losses in UK, without Lloyd’s intervention to takeover Halifax plc it would have been catastrophic. Anarchy on the streets would have resulted and the UK would have entered a period of lifespan that would have been worse than World War 2. We came back economically after Word War 2. If Lloyd’s bank had not stepped in the UK would be more like Venezuela now.
From the financial crisis Lloyds Bank has tried hard to make matters worse including but not limited to PPI scandal where more than £20 billion pounds worth of shareholder value was destroyed. Incompetent greedy executives poorly directed employees to make repeated missteps post financial crisis 2008 to make matters worse. Added to this Lloyds bank has had to manage the risks from external sources including Brexit and Covid-19 pandemic.
However Lloyds bank is now very far from the perceived bad bank it had become. Prior to the 2008 financial crisis Lloyds bank was a boring bank. Investors loved the fact it was a traditional boring bank. It’s share price was £6 plus and it paid out relatively gigantic dividends every year to support pension funds, pensioners and other investors. Lloyds bank had no choice but to take over basket case Halifax plc. If Lloyds bank did not takeover Halifax plc basket of bank brands it is likely that Lloyd’s bank would have collapsed due to the domino effect. As Halifax plc and Royal Bank of Scotland folded they would have swamped the position of Lloyds bank as the UK economy went into a nosedive it is unlikely to have recovered from for many decades, if ever.
The only positive for Lloyds bank’s takeover of Halifax plc bank brands is that in all other circumstances Lloyds bank would never have been allowed to takeover Halifax plc by the UK competition authorities. Lloyds would have become too powerful in the marketplace. As it is, the only real risk to Lloyds bank is that it could be broken up as it is too dominant in for example the mortgage market.
Lloyds is the biggest player in the UK mortgage market. In a marketplace where the UK housing market is booming a share price of less than £0.45 is a joke!
Lloyds bank has come through the PPI scandal. Having destroyed shareholder value in the past, the laws have been changed to largely cap any future payouts under the PPI heading.
Brexit has now happened. Whether this is good or bad for the UK economy depends on which half of the UK adult population stand on Brexit. What is perhaps clear is that if it is going to impact negatively on the UK business community it is not going to be catastrophic. It may even been hugely beneficial to UK businesses. Lloyds bank will not be significantly impacted negatively by Brexit and may be impacted on the positive side.
The Covid-19 pandemic is far from over. However the UK vaccination programme and its likely adaptation to combat virus variations means the UK economy is now through the worst. The only question is how good will the future be? Lloyds bank can easily navigate the future risks if, as it has done, navigated the worst of the pandemic in the UK.
Another enterprise risk management article looks at the UK economy as a whole in the spring of 2021. Essentially most things point to exceptional UK economic growth through 2021 and 2022. Lloyds bank is perhaps uniquely placed to take advantage of any such economic growth. Its strategy is based on making money from UK consumer and UK business confidence and growth, both of which are at record all time highs.
If interest rates rise it will give all banks more opportunities to be profitable. With UK interest rate at record low of 0.1 percent banks will win from interest rate rises. Interest rates are not going to go negative.
Unemployment in UK is a key threat to UK banks. However many predict the UK unemployment is not going to be any way near as bad as was feared due to pandemic. Indeed if the vaccination roll out continues as hoped, unemployment rates are likely to be slightly above pre-pandemic levels. Certainly not at levels that would threaten Lloyds bank profit.
Lloyds bank has comparatively high profit margin compared to many UK banks so is more protected from downside risks.
UK consumers have paid off debt and saved more during the pandemic. When their spending power is fully unleashed on the UK economy post June 2021 the UK is going to see an economic growth not experienced since post World War 2 period. Lloyds bank is ideally placed via mortgage and non-mortgage lending to take advantage of this revitalisation of UK economy.
Lloyds bank was never the bad bank. It had to takeover the greedy and incompetent at Halifax plc. During that process it has had to manage internal and external risk drivers. It is likely that Lloyds bank’s worst days are behind it. Lloyds bank would have to work really hard to screw up its current opportunities for exponential growth.
Affordable Online Small Business Coaching Packages | eBusiness Mentor Service
Unlock your business potential with BusinessRiskTV.com’s eBusiness Mentor Service! Our tailored online small business coaching packages provide affordable, one-on-one mentorship designed specifically for entrepreneurs. Benefit from practical tools and techniques to accelerate your growth and navigate challenges effectively. Whether you’re starting a new venture or looking to expand your established business, our flexible coaching blocks allow you to choose the support you need. Gain insights from experienced business coaches and transform your approach to risk management and decision-making. Invest in your success today – sign up for our coaching packages and join a community of thriving small business leaders at BusinessRiskTV.com!
A flexible small business coaching package is affordable and delivered online
Business coaches for entrepreneurs. Use our eBusiness Mentor Service. Online small business coaching packages are tailored to your business priorities. Start or grow your small business with help from small business coach. ebusiness coaching mentoring provides practical tools and techniques to grow your business faster. A one to one business mentor will work with you to help you achieve greater success quicker. Get more out of your investment of time and money in your business. Every small business coaching package is arranged in blocks. You can buy more support if it works for your business.
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Guide On Saving A Struggling Small Business With BusinessRiskTV
Struggling Small Business Guide
A Guide to Saving a Struggling Small Business in the UK
Small businesses play a crucial role in the UK economy, contributing to job creation, innovation, and local communities. However, even the most resilient businesses can face challenging times. Economic downturns, unforeseen circumstances, or poor management can lead to a struggling business. If you find yourself in this situation, it’s essential to take proactive steps to turn the tide and revitalise your small business. In this guide, we will explore strategies to save a struggling small business in the UK and set it on a path towards success.
Assess the Current Situation: To save a struggling small business, the first step is to conduct a thorough assessment of its current situation. Start by analysing your financial records, including cash flow statements, profit and loss statements, and balance sheets. Identify areas where costs can be reduced or revenue can be increased. Look for patterns or trends that indicate underlying issues. Additionally, assess your business’s market position, competition, and customer feedback to gain insights into areas that require improvement.
Develop a Turnaround Plan: Once you have a clear understanding of your small business’s challenges, it’s time to develop a comprehensive turnaround plan. This plan should outline specific objectives, strategies, and tactics to address the identified issues. Consider the following key elements:
a) Financial Restructuring: Explore options for debt consolidation, renegotiating contracts, or seeking additional financing. Develop a realistic budget and cash flow forecast to ensure financial stability.
b) Operational Efficiency: Streamline operations by identifying inefficiencies, eliminating redundant processes, and optimising resource allocation. Look for ways to reduce overhead costs without compromising quality.
c) Marketing and Sales: Evaluate your marketing and sales strategies. Identify target markets, refine your value proposition, and leverage cost-effective marketing channels. Enhance customer engagement and explore new avenues for revenue generation.
d) Customer Experience: Focus on improving customer satisfaction by delivering exceptional products or services. Encourage feedback, implement suggestions, and address any issues promptly. Cultivate customer loyalty and retention through personalised experiences.
Seek Professional Advice: In challenging times, seeking professional advice can provide valuable insights and guidance. Consider engaging the services of a business consultant, accountant, or financial advisor experienced in turnaround strategies. They can help you analyse your business, identify blind spots, and offer tailored solutions. Additionally, they may provide recommendations on accessing government support schemes or grants designed to assist struggling businesses.
Embrace Innovation and Adaptation: In a rapidly changing business landscape, embracing innovation and adaptability is crucial. Identify opportunities to diversify your offerings or enter new markets. Stay up to date with industry trends and technological advancements that can enhance your competitive edge. Explore digital transformation initiatives, such as e-commerce integration, online marketing, or process automation. By continuously evolving, you can keep your business relevant and resilient.
Engage and Motivate Employees: Your employees are vital assets in turning around a struggling small business. Engage them in the turnaround process by fostering open communication, transparency, and a shared sense of purpose. Encourage their creativity and input, as they may offer valuable suggestions for improvement. Recognise and reward their efforts to boost morale and motivation during challenging times. Provide training and development opportunities to enhance their skills and adapt to changing business needs.
Monitor Progress and Adjust: Implement key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor the progress of your turnaround plan. Regularly review financial and operational metrics to gauge the effectiveness of your strategies. Stay agile and be prepared to adjust your plan based on emerging trends or unforeseen circumstances. Learn from both successes and failures, and continuously refine your approach to ensure sustainable growth.
Saving a struggling small business in the UK requires a proactive and strategic approach. By assessing the current situation, developing a comprehensive turnaround plan, seeking professional advice, embracing innovation, engaging employees, and monitoring progress, you can increase the chances of revitalizing your business and setting it on a path towards success.
Remember that turning around a struggling business takes time, effort, and resilience. It requires a willingness to adapt to changing market conditions, make tough decisions, and implement necessary changes. Be open to feedback, stay focused on your objectives, and remain flexible in your approach.
Furthermore, don’t hesitate to leverage available resources and support networks. The UK government provides various initiatives, grants, and support schemes for struggling businesses. Stay informed about these opportunities and explore how they can assist you in your turnaround efforts.
Lastly, remember that you are not alone. Seek support from fellow entrepreneurs, industry associations, or business networks. Sharing experiences and learning from others who have successfully navigated similar challenges can provide valuable insights and inspiration.
While saving a struggling small business is undoubtedly challenging, it is not impossible. With determination, strategic planning, and a willingness to adapt, you can overcome obstacles and breathe new life into your business. By implementing the strategies outlined in this guide and seeking the necessary support, you can set your small business on a path towards long-term viability and success.
Remember, every setback is an opportunity for growth and improvement. Stay committed, stay focused, and never lose sight of your vision for your small business.
Make Most Of Your Business Opportunities With Executive Coaching Services From BusinessRiskTV
Empowering Small Businesses Through Tailored Coaching Packages
Starting and growing a small business can be both an exhilarating and challenging journey. With numerous responsibilities and ever-evolving market dynamics, entrepreneurs often find themselves navigating a landscape filled with uncertainty. This is where BusinessRiskTV.com steps in, offering flexible and affordable online small business coaching packages designed to meet the unique needs of each entrepreneur.
The Need for Small Business Coaching
Understanding the Challenges
Small businesses face a myriad of challenges that can hinder their growth and success. From managing finances and marketing to navigating regulatory requirements and competitive pressures, entrepreneurs must juggle multiple tasks. Often, they may lack the necessary experience or resources to tackle these challenges effectively. This is where a business coach can make a significant difference.
The Value of Coaching
A business coach serves as a mentor, guide, and strategist, helping small business owners develop the skills and knowledge necessary to overcome obstacles. With tailored coaching, entrepreneurs can gain fresh perspectives, practical tools, and actionable strategies to enhance their business performance.
Introducing Our eBusiness Mentor Service
At BusinessRiskTV.com, we offer an innovative eBusiness Mentor Service that provides personalised coaching for small business leaders. Our online coaching packages are designed to be flexible, affordable, and easily accessible, ensuring that entrepreneurs can receive the support they need, no matter where they are located.
Key Features of Our Coaching Packages
1. Tailored Approach: Each coaching package is customised to align with your specific business priorities and goals. This ensures that you receive the most relevant and impactful guidance.
2. One-on-One Mentorship: You will work directly with an experienced business mentor who will focus on your unique challenges, providing insights and strategies that drive success.
3. Practical Tools and Techniques: Our coaching packages equip you with actionable tools and techniques to implement immediately, allowing you to grow your business faster.
4. Flexible Blocks of Sessions: Our coaching is arranged in blocks, giving you the flexibility to purchase additional support as needed. This allows you to scale your coaching experience according to your business’s evolving requirements.
5. Affordable Investment: We understand the financial constraints small businesses often face. Our coaching packages are designed to be budget-friendly, ensuring you can invest in your growth without breaking the bank.
How Our Coaching Packages Work
Initial Consultation
Your journey begins with an initial consultation where we assess your current business landscape. During this session, we identify your primary challenges and establish a clear set of goals. This foundational step allows us to customise your coaching experience effectively.
Structured Coaching Sessions
Our coaching packages typically consist of a series of structured sessions. Here’s how it works:
1. Identifying Goals: In the early sessions, we work together to define your business objectives and outline a roadmap to achieve them.
2. Strategic Planning: We delve into strategic planning, analysing your business model, target market, and competitive landscape. This helps in creating a solid plan for growth.
3. Practical Implementation: As we progress, we focus on implementing strategies and tools that facilitate growth. This includes marketing techniques, financial management strategies, and operational improvements.
4. Ongoing Support: You will have access to ongoing support through additional sessions, allowing for continuous improvement and adjustment of strategies as your business evolves.
Flexible Coaching Blocks
Our coaching packages are arranged in flexible blocks, allowing you to choose the number of sessions that best fits your needs. If you find that you require more support, you can easily purchase additional blocks to continue your mentoring journey.
Benefits of Our Small Business Coaching Packages
Accelerated Growth
By leveraging the expertise of a business coach, small business owners can accelerate their growth trajectory. Coaches provide the insights and strategies needed to make informed decisions quickly, enabling businesses to capitalise on opportunities faster.
Enhanced Accountability
Having a business mentor fosters a sense of accountability. Regular check-ins and goal-setting sessions encourage entrepreneurs to stay focused on their objectives, making it easier to track progress and make necessary adjustments.
Improved Decision-Making
Coaching provides small business leaders with access to a wealth of knowledge and experience. This guidance enhances decision-making capabilities, allowing entrepreneurs to navigate challenges more effectively.
Networking Opportunities
Through our coaching programme, entrepreneurs gain access to a network of like-minded individuals. This community can offer additional support, resources, and opportunities for collaboration, further enriching the coaching experience.
Who Can Benefit from Our Coaching Packages?
New Entrepreneurs
For those just starting their entrepreneurial journey, our coaching packages offer essential guidance. New business owners can benefit from mentorship that helps them navigate the early stages of business development, laying a strong foundation for future growth.
Established Small Business Owners
For established businesses, our coaching can help refine existing strategies and explore new growth opportunities. Coaches can provide insights into market trends, operational efficiencies, and innovative approaches to expand your business.
Non-profit Organisations
Our coaching services are not limited to for-profit businesses. Non-profit organisations can also benefit from our tailored coaching, helping them improve their operations, fundraising strategies, and community impact.
Success Stories from Our Clients
To illustrate the impact of our coaching services, let’s explore some success stories from clients who have experienced transformative growth through our eBusiness Mentor Service.
Case Study: Tech Startup Growth
Client: Jane D., Founder of a Tech Startup
Challenge: Jane launched her tech startup but struggled with market positioning and attracting customers.
Coaching Impact: Through tailored sessions, Jane identified her target audience and refined her marketing strategy. She implemented actionable steps provided by her coach, resulting in a 150% increase in customer acquisition within six months.
Case Study: Non-profit Expansion
Client: Mark T., Director of a Non-profit Organisation
Challenge: Mark’s organisation faced challenges in fundraising and community engagement.
Coaching Impact: With guidance from his business mentor, Mark developed a comprehensive fundraising strategy and enhanced community outreach efforts. Within a year, the organisation doubled its funding and increased volunteer participation by 40%.
Case Study: Retail Business Revamp
Client: Linda K., Owner of a Local Retail Store
Challenge: Linda faced declining sales and increased competition from online retailers.
Coaching Impact: Through targeted coaching sessions, Linda revamped her business model, incorporated e-commerce, and improved customer service. As a result, her store saw a 30% increase in sales over the following year.
Getting Started with BusinessRiskTV.com
How to Sign Up
Joining our eBusiness Mentor Service is simple. Explore our coaching packages with one of our consultants. You can choose the option that best fits your needs and schedule your initial consultation. Our team will guide you through the process, ensuring a seamless experience.
Choosing Your Coach
We understand that the right coaching relationship is critical to your success. At BusinessRiskTV.com, we take the time to match you with a mentor whose expertise aligns with your business goals. This personalised approach ensures that you receive the most relevant guidance.
Flexible Scheduling Options
Our online platform allows for flexible scheduling, making it easy to fit coaching sessions into your busy calendar. Whether you prefer morning or evening sessions, we strive to accommodate your needs.
Conclusion
Starting and growing a small business is an exciting journey filled with challenges and opportunities. With the right support, entrepreneurs can navigate the complexities of business management and achieve greater success.
BusinessRiskTV.com offers flexible, affordable online small business coaching packages that empower you to take control of your business’s future. Our eBusiness Mentor Service provides tailored guidance, practical tools, and one-on-one mentorship to help you grow your business faster and more efficiently.
If you’re ready to invest in your business’s success, explore our coaching packages today and discover how BusinessRiskTV.com can help you turn your entrepreneurial dreams into reality. Join our community of empowered small business leaders and start your journey towards success!
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Striving for perfection is not our goal. Do not let perfection be the enemy of the good enough. Focus on making realistic changes for the better happen. Dreaming of a better world tomorrow does not make the real world good enough today.
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Aspiration to live better wherever you live in the world can be fulfilled by solving all our problems together at once not by a piecemeal approach. Good words do not put food on the table or a roof over your head. Sodding your neighbour does not protect you from destroying everything you have built around you.
People can work together for common good
We do not need to be in the same country culture or place to work as a team to achieve what we want for ourselves. Getting what you want can help others to get what they want out of the investment of time.
Putting up trade barriers does not work for the builder of walls. Forcing people to be in your gang does not make progression towards goals fast enough. Seeing the mutual benefit at the end for all people on the bus does.
Our holistic approach to making decisions for the common good will be successful for all who lend support
If you put your shoulder to the wheel you can reap the rewards from the effort.
We are not looking for constant companions but do seek constant progress. Moving it forward a little everyday is better than big leaps now and again. We do not need to be beside you for every step but would like to be with you at the end of the journey. We can achieve more together than on our own.
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What is your appetite for risk? Is this reflected across the whole organisation. Your risk management culture should reflect the attitude to risk of its business leaders for a consistent approach that is less confusing or contradictory further down the organisation. If you are not all singing from same hymn sheet you are losing productivity. In addition you maybe taking too much risk or not enough risk to achieve your business objectives.
Everybody should be clear about their role in your risk management framework and risk assessment process. Lack of clarity produces gaps through which failure in your risk management system can squeeze!
Everyone should be rewarded based on achievement of risk management plan. If your risk management plan has been correctly drafted and embedded it will bring business success. Your risk management plan should be to achieve business objectives set with enterprise risk management methodology. A holistic approach to business decision will produce greater resilience and longer term sustainable success.
Understand that your risk assessment process has weaknesses. Peoples perceptions of risk can skew risk management actions inappropriately. This can result in the failure of your risk management system and business.
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If you improve your confidence in your risk management system you can actually take more risks to achieve more in business.
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Emerging trends in business management debated risk analysed and risk controls reviewed. What emerging trends in business management must you know about today? Consumers and business decision makers have easy access to business intelligence so business leaders need to use business intelligence more in risk management strategy setting to grow faster. Due to the rapidly changing business environment and increased nationalism it may be better to have shorter supply chains. Alternatively restructure your supply chains to embrace new cost saving opportunities in supply.
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The regulation of investment funds insurance companies and banks in Europe is fragmented in terms of consumer protection. This may expose the individual consumer of financial products and services to unnecessary risks. Trying to change this is near impossible for practical and political time reasons. It would take too long to change this and there is not the political timetable to make it happen ever. However it means that the financial services industry needs to accept duplication of reporting and higher than needed regulatory and risk management compliance costs.
The way to protect consumers of financial products is to adopt enterprise risk management principles and practices in the management of investment fund insurance company and banking risks.
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The financial services industry should maintain its focus on whether high quality financial services best practices are being provided for the benefit of the consumer the financial services business and the financial services business leaders.
Amber Rudds proposal to jail people for up to 7 years who wilfully or recklessly manage or handle pension funds in UK may be another indicator of a desire to tackle the financial services industry’s inability to properly protect the end benefactor of investment related products.
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In terms of governance risk culture and conduct outcomes for customers there is increasing focus on named individuals and clarity of roles. Risk Management governance and compliance failure will increasingly result in repercussions for those charged with the responsibility for governance and compliance.
Product conduct risk governance and disclosures are rising. Financial advisers will become more accountable to act in best interest of clients. BusinessRiskTV can help with your duty of care.
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Tips advice and support for better decision making in financial services industry. Improve conduct risk. Change the way your business relates to your customers. Upgrade your risk management and conduct risk governance framework to ensure everyone knows who does what and when. This should embrace accountability for the consequences of not managing conduct risks in accordance with clear risk management principles risk appetite of the business.
Develop new financial conduct risk compliant products to boost business performance and sustainable business growth
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The whole business needs to report on conduct risk performance. The risk function should help monitor conduct risks within the risk management plan but everyone in the business should be accountable for good customer outcomes. Internal Audit should check the documentation for conduct risk management challenging the whole business and the risk function to improve conduct risk effectively.
The Board executives and senior managers need to develop and embed the right risk management culture for the business risk tolerance and risk appetite. However all staff should be held to account by ensuring that all remuneration and incentives are linked to good risk management practices.
If people are to be held to account the business the board and senior managers must provide the tools to ensure that all staff are capable of delivering conduct risk management principles and practices. This includes training staff developing good risk management systems and early risk warning indicators to enable rapid corrective action to prevent severe impact on business objectives and major personal failure.
What is your financial services business appetite for risk?
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Cut through the management information overload to focus on the conduct risks that matter to your business success and key customer outcomes. Do not procrastinate. Act to remedy deteriorating conduct risks and monitor the effectiveness of your risk management action plan.
Identify the best Key Risk Indicators KRIs and Key Control Indicators KCI for your financial services buisness.
Change your technological solutions to deliver better conduct risk management
Improve organisational behaviour and your risk culture to boost business performance more sustainably
Senior managers and executives will increasingly become accountable for conduct risk in UK. Protect yourself better and find new ways to comply with regulatory obligations whilst increasing your business growth.
Embed a positive risk management culture. Assess from clients point of view whether good customer outcomes are achieved consistently. Analyse trends to identify areas which may need further more in depth investigation and conduct risk assessment. The conduct risk assessment should not just focus on known risks but encompass emerging risks from external and internal risk factors.
Improve customer outcomes from financial services and products. Embed conduct risk in your holistic risk management framework.
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Take steps to make it more likely that your financial products and services meet your customers needs. Deliver better outcomes for your customers with better conduct risk management framework principles and risk assessment process.
What is your risk management capability? How does it address conduct risk. All financial services industry businesses need to develop the right skillset. Organisations need to gather the right management information at the right time and disseminate risk controls have appropriate risk assessment. Does your risk management information system RMIS help you make the right decisions at the right time?
Mitigate the disadvantages of conduct risk and maximise the opportunities from conduct risk management with
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Are you personally accountable? Do you want more comfort that you are doing the right things at the right time? Improve you overview of regulatory compliance and supervisory expectations of conduct risk management.
Effectively empower your colleagues to manage conduct risk better. Treat your customers fairly and protect them and your business from poor conduct risk management.
The Financial Conduct Authority FCA in UK expects your financial services business to embed conduct risk management into your enterprise risk management framework. You need to use risk based management information to make better conduct risk management decisions.
Upgrade your governance risk and compliance GRC in a more holistic integrated way to achieve more with less uncertainty in UK.
Review your risk management framework principles and risk assessment process to boost business performance. Do not just comply with regulations. Prosper with more certainty.
Understand emerging conduct risks. Manage known existing risks better. Allocate existing resources for better return in conduct risk management. Improve customer outcomes. Know what customers want and need. Gain a competitive advantage within financial services industry.
Treat customers fairly do not just look at process improvement. Be reasonable as a minimum and look to build upon existing conduct risk management. Make sure when you develop financial products and services you meet the objectives and interests of your target market.
Does your risk appetite statement cover conducts risks? Proactively identify conduct risks. Tackle possible unfair customer outcomes before they occur. React more positively when adverse customer outcomes arise.
Develop the best strategic risk management plan for your business to
Improve a weak compliance system
Improve poor risk management culture
Build a more sustainable business model
Provide better financial advice
Avoid mis selling scandals
Protect customers interests
Create the conduct risk management plan that works for your business. Understand conduct risk better. Know what you can get out of conduct risk management.
Drive your business forward more confidently without impinging on good customer outcomes.
Identify key conduct risks
Take meaningful action to manage risks better
Audit and report against your business conduct risk appetite
Produce evidence of good customer outcomes as well as negative outcomes
Make first line business units responsible for conduct risk management supported by good risk management guidance and oversight
Make your management information systems and technology support business objectives
Do you own or manage a financial services business?
Yes you can get your wrists slapped with non compliance fines and destruction of your brand reputation but you could be missing the opportunity to win new market share in the financial services industry.
Overcome weaknesses
Build on existing strengths
Seize new business development opportunities
Mitigate the threats to your business objectives
Develop open transparent communication across the organisation on conduct risk management. Stop paying lip service to the principles of good conduct risk management. Keep conduct risk management simple. Measure and report on conduct risk in accordance with the level of risk to corporate objectives. Involve the whole organisation in the management of conduct risks.
Improve your governance risk culture and risk management capability
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2008 should have been the watershed moment for the financial services sector and banking in particular to implement systemic changes to incorporate enterprise risk management principles and practices.
FCA and Financial Services Review Into Banking Risk Culture
Financial services companies have continued to bring to market products that have led to claims for compensation. Nonsense of putting the customer first is often uttered in the financial services sector.
The reality is that the financial services sector risk management culture is still systemically broken and it is likely to lead to the next financial crisis. A financial crisis comes along roughly every 10 years. As we look towards 2019 the next financial crisis is overdue.
How will the next financial crisis manifest itself? Not known. Will it happen? Almost certainly. Most countries have not fully recovered from the last financial crisis. Their economies are still very weak. Even the strong are comparatively weak. This means we may never recover from the next financial crisis and so should do more to make sure the next financial crisis is avoided or mitigated.
Most likely cause of the next financial crisis is the compounding and aggregation of financial risk.
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The last financial crisis grew and exploded from the productionisation of simple debt prototype ideas thought up by people who thought they were masters of the world. Despite the new false perception that after ten years we have now paid our dues we are in fact drowning in more unpaid debt than ever.
Unpaid debt will continue to be wrapped up in shiny new marketing material designed to protect the buyers from the toxicity of the core material. Piled high and sold cheap these debt instruments will be combined and recombined. The new for old debt products will build the tower that will be the start of the beginning of the end for many a business in the next financial crisis.
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