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Do you want to invest in your business future today
Our future is here. We need to invest hard cash into the money innovative ideas that are just seedlings. In addition we need to invest money on old ideas that have legs but no backers. There are enormous opportunities for business and economic growth. Trouble is that we are still trying to make the obsolete ideas work for us now.
Global manufacturing has hit the buffers. There has been a rapid contraction of global manufacturing output largely due to global trade war between China and USA as well as Brexit uncertainty. Manufacturers have cut back on production and are making workers redundant.
Some parts of the world like USA Germany and UK have low unemployment levels and could cope with job losses but most of Europe cannot. Europe ha snot recovered the jobs lost in the last financial crisis.
Even in America USA manufacturers are suffering. Who is winning the trade war is unclear but it seems that there are two losers rather than one winner.
In the UK and broader European manufacturing marketplace manufacturers are suffering the double whammy of global slowdown and Brexit uncertainty. There could be two losers here too if they politicians do not agree a deal.
The world is seeing low levels of business activity not witnessed since the last recession in 2008 caused factories to shut up shop.
The global and UK manufacturing marketplaces are grinding to a halt. The solution is not to button down the hatches to weather the growing global economic storm. The solution is to invest in real opportunities for business growth we already have before us.
Businesses say that their biggest fear is of governments overspending. Borrowing to cover day to day expenses is the start of a slippery slope to perpetual poverty. UK governments borrowing to invest in infrastructure will support businesses to grow faster.
It is ridiculous that all parts of the UK do not have superfast broadband. So many opportunities could open up if this simple technology was available to all entrepreneurs.
Instead the world is shutting up shop. There is no shortage of great ideas. There is a shortage of money being invested in our future today.
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What is in focus for BusinessRiskTV and its online broadcasting partners? Our online business leader community explore the risks impacting on business success or failure.
Which businesses should inspire you to change your business management systems?
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Who or the business leaders blazing the trial to success? What could you learn from them?
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UK economic growth 2018 started more slowly than end of 2017. The UK economy news is normally weaker at the beginning of the calendar year. Most of the UKs economic growth comes as the calendar year progresses.
Governor of the Bank of England Mr Carney
Mr Mark Carney the head of the Bank of England says poor UK economic activity at the beginning of the calendar year 2018 was due to the weather and not UK economic climate.
In addition Mr Carney reports that all slack in the UK economy has been taken up and this is likely to push up UK prices and UK inflation.
With very high levels of employment low levels of unemployment and a million plus job vacancies unfilled it is more likely that wages will increase faster. UK employers will need to pay more to attract candidates and to keep existing staff.
Mr Carney paints a rosier future for the UK economy in 2018 with downside risks including global international trade war. UK interest rates more likely to rise later this year and this should boost value of the UK pound.
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Corporate or enterprise entities do not make mistakes or create a bad business culture, executives do. Illegal, unethical or bad business practices arise because that’s the way executives want a company to achieve corporate objectives. Executives may or may not consider their business practices as bad or unethical, but the result is the same – corporate misbehaviour.
Understanding corporate misbehaviour
It may be a pointless waste of money undertaking a business health check if the executives are going to be unreceptive to the final risk management report, or simple pay lip-service to the outcomes.
Many CEOs know what game needs to be played with enterprise risk management ERM before they can return to their own agenda for the business. Internal or external risk management audits can just play into the CEO’s attitude to risk management. Such executives short-term philosophy seems to rely on the hope that the shit doesn’t hit the fan during their time as CEO and whatever happens after they move on is not a concern for some incumbent CEOs.
Much of executive misbehaviour, and therefore corporate misbehaviour, is a direct result of executive pay and associated benefits. Misdirecting executive pay and rewards drives most if not all catastrophic corporate collapses. Before the collapse poor executive pay and rewards strategies poison business innovation and employee motivation.
To anticipate which companies will survive sustainably you could look at how executives are rewarded. It is the single biggest driver of corporate culture and long-term success, or not as the case maybe.
Executive managers cause corporate scandals, corporate scandals are not externally driven. The proximate cause of the corporate scandal or collapse doesn’t start further down the organisation nor does it start from outside the company. CEO bad behaviour is normally the proximate cost or the catalyst for corporate collapse.
Corporate scandals aren’t a surprise to most executives, never mind the CEO. They take the level of risk they think is required to achieve their business objectives. They roll the dice and sometimes it pays off and sometimes it doesn’t.
For example, many in the banking and finance industry look upon the financial crisis as an external risk that impacted on their business strategy. No, or little, blame can be placed at the bankers door! It was all the other bankers and financers who were at fault for their share price collapse, mass redundancies and lost business opportunities – not their fault as their business was doing just fine until the financial crisis tsunami hit their business.
Such egotistical responses stem from either self preservation, or lack of care for their part in the near global systemic financial collapse of the banking and financial sector and the very near global anarchy which would have ensued. Politicians, who were part of the problem, became part of the solution – make money as cheap as possible via low interest rates and massive almost unremitting quantitative easing QE.
Mothers forget how bad childbirth was
More than a decade after the start of the financial crisis there is still mass unemployment in the developed world and the developing world lost a decade of opportunity to crawl out of poverty. However, the key decision-makers in the business world have either forgiven themselves or reinvented themselves in position of power. In addition, a new raft of politicians are in place, or about to find positions of power, to facilitate the next financial crisis.
At its least useful, enterprise risk management ERM is a tool to spread the blame should the shit hit the fan, so one would have thought that ERM could be more popular than it is. At its most useful it helps business leaders make business decisions that are more likely to be good ones for the long-term sustainability of the business for the benefit of all stakeholders in the business – including the CEO.
Beating your competitors to top high performing talent
Fill your skills gaps faster to increase your business productivity with better access to more high-performing recruits. Attract develop and retain talent your competitors can’t find or attract.
A growing skills gap in the UK Australia and USA will hold back organisations who are not more innovative and creative with their recruitment process. It is one of the biggest threats to corporate objectives this year.
Retaining increasingly expensive employees is also key to improve business model sustainability.Its more profitable to keep talented high performers. They have the skills and knowledge to help you grow faster and replacing them will impact on your profit and make it less likely you will achieve your business objectives.
So you’ve got talented staff but how do you turn them into high performers
Attracting and retaining the best employees can be supported by selling and delivering better employee engagement strategy. Engage your employees more to help you achieve your business objectives with more certainty.
Recruitment strategies to attract and retain talent in UK
How do you attract the right employees to help you improve your business performance? Many employees are looking for an opportunity to help your business grow faster. To retain such employees you need to develop them to help develop your business.
We can work with you to turn new recruit enthusiasm into improved results working together with more established employees who know your business processes and objectives well.
There is enormous costs associated with recruiting employees. What a waste to let this talent pass leave quickly through high turnover of staff. Work harder at retaining staff and not only will you boost your business performance, but you will reduce your recruitment costs, as people will stick with you, not leave to join your competitor.
Get help from BusinessRiskTV to help you attract and retain the best people in the UK. Increase your chances of business success by developing your existing business leaders to implement a new improved business strategy.
High employee turnover costs you time, money and your personal productivity. Top talent is hard to attract and even harder to keep. Adopt new more creative ways to source, select and retain talented employees.
Get help restructuring your risk management framework
Upgrade your framework for implementing risk management. Pick up more information on designing the risk management framework that supports your risk management process.
Define your risk management framework for supporting enterprise risk management principles and practices.
If you have the mandate and commitment for enterprise risk management from the top of your organisation you can begin building the risk management framework to make the risk assessment process work well.
You need to clearly define where you are now and where you want to be including the benefits you want from embarking on embedding enterprise risk management.
What is the context or reasons for wanting to change the way you manage risks?
Develop you own risk management policy and communicate it to all stakeholders in the business. Work on what you need to do to embed enterprise risk management within your normal business decision making process.
Implement your new enterprise risk management framework
Implement your chosen risk management process
Monitor review and update your risk management systems
Constantly work at improving your risk management framework.
Your risk management framework should clearly define how you are going to communicate your enterprise risk management policy and procedures. Key people in the enterprise risk management framework should have clearly defined roles and responsibilities to support the risk management process.
Your risk management strategy should set out the objectives that risk management activities in the organisation are seeking to achieve.
Create a risk management framework to support better enterprise-wide decision making
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Read more about governance risk and compliance GRC
Will your strategy for business success fail or fail to achieve more?
Analysing your business strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats will help you understand your business better and the marketplace within which you need to succeed. By identifying where you are now within the market will facilitate any assessment of the best strategies for future business success.
Decide how best to allocate your limited resources to get the best return of your invest of money and time
Assess which weaknesses and threats to mitigate and which to accept
Assess which strengths you need to capitalise upon
Assess which new business opportunities will bring greatest reward from the same cost of capital and management time.
Set a new strategy for business success with more confidence
Not only must you protect your business but you must explore the opportunity cost of not doing something that could bring greater rewards with the same cost.
By getting the most from your money and time you can maximise the profitability of your business.
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Assuming you are managing enterprise risks well can be dangerous
You might be taking too much risk unknowingly but you might also be taking too little risk and failing to make the best use of your business assets.
How confident are you that you are managing enterprise risks cost effectively?
What are the hidden costs of your failure to manage risk properly
Missed opportunities cost
Over protection of business wasting resources and increasing your costs
Under protection leaving you exposed threatening your survival or prosperity and stopping you getting a quiet night’s sleep
Can you demonstrate to your business stakeholders that significant enterprise-wide risks are being effectively managed? Have you a balanced risk -reward risk management plan that prioritises the allocation of resources for best potential effect on business objectives? When was the last time you reviewed your enterprise risk management plan?
Controlling the risks in the workplace is not just about safety and business insurance. Your business must control enterprise wide risks. What is the aggregate effect of risk on your business objectives? Do you understand the threats to objectives and the opportunities you have in front of you?
Find out how enterprise risk management can help you monitor your overall business’s performance
Identify and manage both external risk drivers and internal risk drivers impacting on your business success.
Do you have confidence your business is ready for emerging risks?
We are only at the beginning of the 4th Industrial Revolution. Many jobs are going to disappear. Many jobs are going to change. Businesses that don’t change to reflect emerging risks will not survive the rapid changes that have started but will accelerate over next few years.
Maximising business opportunities for growth
There is a yin and yang to all threats and opportunities.
Every threat comes with an opportunity to change for the better.
Every opportunity comes with a threat that the new will destroy existing value.
Business decision makers have tougher choices now than many recent business leaders have faced and many choices may threaten survival if you choose badly. Making good choices could also drive your business forward much faster than recently possible due to the financial crisis of 2008 and recovery therefrom.
Have you identified and assessed your enterprise-wide risks?
What have you done about the more significant risks to your business objectives? Managing risk is increasingly central to the art of business management. It is not a science. What is right for one business may not work for another in the same industry. Much will depend on the leaders of each business within the same industry.
Give your managers more confidence in your company to prperly assessing all the signiciant business risks to your organisation.
There is a risk to every business decision you make. Systematically look at all the risks across your business to enable you to focus your limited resources on the options most likely to boost your business performance, productivity and profitability.
Armed with the right risk management tools and techniques, risk knowledge and business intelligence you can manage risk more cost effectively more successsfully.
Answering your workplace and business protection and growth questions
SME entrepreneurs and business leaders face many barriers to business resilience and sustainable business growth. Our business management experts help you overcome barriers to business success.
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Small and medium sized business owners and managers can find out business solutions to their problems for free on BusinessRiskTV SME Business Question Time workshops.
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Common business risks facing your business could be managed better. Learn new ways to manage risk more productively with more certainty.
Running a business can be very satisfying but it can also be dangerous for the health of your finances! Potential risks will present ways to threaten business survival or reduce profitability. Other risks may present opportunities to grow faster. Both types of risk need to be managed to maximise your success both personally and corporately.
The business environment sets the scene for successful businesses it does not dictate your success or failure
Anyone can cross their fingers and hope for success but clever business leaders don’t leave their success to luck!
Not everything is going to go well no matter how hard you plan things. Life often gets in the way of the best business plans! In the real world you have to take calculated risks to achieve more than the next business leader who is risk averse.
How do you get the enterprise risk balance right though?
There are many ways to get the right enterprise risk management ERM balance right. First of all you need to know where you are now and how much of an appetite for risk your key decision makers have.
Once risk appetite and risk tolerance are clear then the culture of risk management can be tailored to strike the right risk management balance for your organisation.
How to identify manage and control the effect of risk on your business objectives
Some risk has to be accepted. How much? What is not acceptable has to be managed. How will risk is managed will dictate how sustainable your business will be in future as well as how successful it will be.
Leaders in business may benefit from learning more about mindfulness
Your not working alone!
Lloyds plc CEO is recently reported in Financial Times to have advocated the use of mindfulness for himself and his executives.
The Job Can Kill You
Antonion Horta-Osorio was interviewed by Financial Times and he said the stress of the job nearly broke him within months of becoming the chief executive of Lloyds bank at perhaps one of the banks most risky times. The bank had narrowly avoided total collapse and nearly half of it was taken into public ownership by the UK government.
The CEO had to seek psychological support and advice to prevent a possible nervous breakdown. He realised he was not Superman and sought the guidance of a psychiatrist. Prior to his near breakdown he hadn’t looked after his mental health enough. He was speaking out to raise awareness of mental health problems at work.
From the CEO’s own experience he is now introducing a programme for his senior leadership team of 200 executives to make them aware of the measures the CEO learnt including mindfulness and psychological testing. From these executives, it is hoped that the culture within Lloyds will change to prevent people further down the organisation quitting especially at a time where there is a skills shortage.
Not only could this improve the lives of all Lloyds staff, it could boost individual performance, retain staff and boost corporate performance.
Mindfulness Business Training For Executives
There is a business value for mindfulness. Practicing mindfulness can help prepare you to become a more effective business leader for your own benefit and for the benefit of the enterprise.
Become more personally resilient so the business is more resilient
Reduce your own stress and the potential stress on the business should you not work productively, or at all
Increase your emotional involvement in life and the life of your business
Work with mindfulness techniques and tools to improve teamwork and business results from more coordinated risk management practices. Develop your own mindfulness knowledge and increase the corporate mindfulness for a more resilient enterprise. You might even become a better leader with mindfulness training and development.
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Improving Small Business Performance and Sustainability
Helping small business leaders to grow faster with less uncertainty. Learn how to grow your small business. Find out how to promote your business more profitably. Develop skills to take your business to the next level.
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Push your business forward faster
Take your business forward with the help of your most valuable assets – your employees by squeezing every last penny out of them without alienating them!
You may have already built a successful business. Or you want to start your own new business. Kicking on is not easy. Would you welcome some free help to make better business decisions?
Business leaders should never stop learning how to work better with their employees to find a way to achieve business and personals goals.
Small business owners and managers could improve the leadership and management skills with BusinessRiskTV. You may well be brilliant at what you do, but how can you inspire and encourage those who work for you to be brilliant too?
Get help to motivate your employees to be more creative and more risk aware. Let them see how this will benefit them personally as well as the business. Your business success may will depend on how inclusive your business culture is.
BusinessRiskTV offers business leaders the opportunity to ask questions that are answered directly by risk experts around the world
Join our business risk experts to help your business grow faster with less uncertainty. We welcome questions from business leaders or risk professionals. Ask our our business experts about business threats and opportunities to improve your business performance.
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UK Business Leaders Finding Innovative Ways To Be More Successful
Business innovation is the most important way to beat other companies to find new income streams and develop profitability in the UK.
UK Business Leaders must seize the opportunities which will flow from Brexit if they are to survive and prosper. Even incremental gains in existing business practices can help secure a more resilient future.
Business innovation doesn’t grow on trees! It needs a framework and a creative business culture to provide a real insight into how a business can change to take the opportunities it has in front of it.
Develop new business strategy to increase sales more profitably more sustainable for continued business growth. Our ideas to increase sales fits many a small marketing budget. So how do you plan to boost sales online? Are you asking yourself How do I improve my small business? How do I increase business growth? We have small business improvement ideas for you.
Work With Us To Increase Sales Growth For Your Business
You don’t need to become a merchant to advertise more cost-effectively with us, but it is one option to increase your revenue.
Find out how to increase your sales with help of BusinessRiskTV.com.
Pick up new ideas to increase sales more profitably.
Improve your sales performance with simple and effective ways for SMEs in UK.
Tap into our quick and cheap marketing tools
If you are looking for a new business strategy for business growth you have found it with BusinessRiskTV.
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Dealing with reckless management of UK pension schemes
How do you manage financial services industry better to avoid another financial crisis? What is fair and reasonable in the delivery of financial services? What must Treating Customers Fairly TCF really look like?
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Financial Services Industry Risk Management
Management of risk in financial services industry.
Scores of bankers have been jailed for their part in the financial crisis but the rest of the world should hang its head in shame for its lack of demonstration of accountability for actions and inaction in face of corporate risk
Financial services industry leaders not just bankers were highly culpable for the financial crisis upon which people committed suicide and a lost their shirts. Financial leaders should lose their liberty.
The next financial crisis is just around the corner. We have seen many incidents since the financial crisis that haven’t quite been systemic risk events but they have cost financial services companys billions in fines for poor and deliberate malpractice. Financial services leaders haven’t learnt their lesson. They are just paying lip-service to good corporate governance. Only the real threat of the jail will stop the next financial crisis happening.
Not only have the culprits for the financial crisis got away with it, they have gone on to be leaders in the financial services industry or other leading businesses.
From leading bankers to leading politicians to leading regulators to leading credit rating agency leaders to leading central bankers they have all prospered despite the financial crisis and many have gone from causing the financial crisis to other positions of power without being held to account for their actions or inaction.
There has been limited tightening of global financial services regulations but the ultimate sanction of losing your liberty is still highly unlikely. It still more likely that financial services leaders will depart their employer with handsome pay-offs and pension packages rather than serving time in a USA or UK jail.
Until individual financial services industry leaders face and are convicted of criminal prosecutions business leaders will continue to lead their employers to hefty financial penalties and even liquidation. If you kill someone at work, you at least have some real chance of going to jail. If you kill a corporate entity, you will almost certainly not go to jail in UK and USA. Appearing in court to face charges is not the same as losing your liberty for 7 to 10 years.
European countries have been a little more robust at jailing the guilty but only a few can be proud of their resolve to improve corporate governance in practice.
Financial Services Industry Risk News Headlines Industry Analysis and Risk Reviews
15th October 2019 Reckless Business Leaders Who Mismanage Pension Schemes May Face Up To 7 Years In Jail Under New UK Legislation.
The Pension Schemes Bill will bring in a new sentence of up to seven years in prison for business leaders who are reckless in the management of their pension schemes.
Pick up the latest financial services news opinions reviews and jobs
20th June 2017 SFO charges former Barclays chief executive John Varley and three others Roger Jenkins Tom Kalaris and Richard Boath. After a five-year investigation into the £12bn bailout fundraising recapitalisation of Barclays bank by Qatar
Barclays strategy was to go to Qatar for money instead of UK government. The bank and the ex-bank executives will officially respond to SFO charges on 3rd July. The charges include conspiracy to commit fraud by false representation in relation to a fundraising in June 2008. The ex bank executives are facing potential jail of up to 10 years if convicted.
Other charges for some of those accused and the bank include providing unlawful financial assistance through a loan.
Barclays said it was considering its position in relation to these developments and awaiting further details of the charges.
BusinessRiskTV can help your business get prepared for the risks that threaten your resilience as well as the opportunities for business growth
Is your business prepared for the risks it faces in future?
Who or what will protect your business in future?
No one person or type of business protection will ensure your resilience and survival but you must at least be very clear how you are manage all business risks.
How well prepared your business will directly correlate with your ability to recover in the event of a major risk event. The lack of a practical plan of recovery could be the difference between business survival and business failure.
Although enterprise risks vary in scope form and size a well thought out business plan tailored to your business, will speed up your business recovery in the event of a disaster physical or reputation threatening.
Do not risk fatally damaging your business and all the investment in your key asset. The most resilient businesses have already thought through all types of risks and have a clear business sustainability plan regardless of the risk occurring.
With each risk your business faces, you need to know how to minimise the downside and maximise the upside outcomes.
What is the key to business success for your company
Want help with your business growth strategy?
If you do not grow you may not survive
Most businesses lose business for existing customers. You can lose revenue from existing customers for a variety of reasons not all within your control. You are business could die a death of a thousand cuts. Gradually losing many customers over long period of time.
To survive and prosper you need to grow your customers. Either more income from existing customers or find new customers to sell more to. What is your strategy for business growth?
The right key for your business may differ slightly from the key that works for another business. BusinessRiskTV can help you find the right key for driving your business performance to greater business success.
Let us help you tell the world about your great business products or services
The risks that surround growing your business faster can be as daunting as the risk of an event interrupting normal existing business activities. Our holistic risk management approach will manage upside and downside risks better to help upgrade and expand your business with more confidence in your decision making. Improve the outcomes from your preferred business choices.
Global growth and contraction news analysis and review with BusinessTiskTV
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World Economic News Headlines
Read global economy articles and watch video updates on global economic news headlines business risk analysis business leader debate and discussion. Entrepreneurs executives and business leaders take part in our strategic growth business forum online events from you phone pc or mobile device.
Inform your business decision making from expert panel and member discussions and sign up for innovative business development online workshops from anywhere in the world where business innovators operate.
18th October 2019 Weakest Global Economy Since Financial Crisis 2008
International Monetary Fund IMF says global economy weakest since the start of the last financial crisis.
However the global economy is in a worse place now than the start of the last financial crisis. Central banks around the world back in 2008 2009 could dramatically cut interest rates to support businesses in significant debt and encourage new investment. There is very little room or no room for central banks around the world to cut interest rates.
In short the global economy is in a very high risk zone with few tools to protect itself. One way the global economy can navigate further distress is to resolve and settle all global trade wars and trade more freely.
15th October 2019 International Monetary Fund IMF Says Global Growth Slipping and Could Get Much Worse If Trade Wars Continue
The trade war between USA and China will cut global economic growth in 2019. It is forecast by IMF to be slowest since financial crisis in 2008.
Latest IMF World Economic Outlook projections for 2019 GDP growth reduced to 3.0 percent down from 3.2 percent in July forecast.
If the international trade disputes continue or worsen then there could be a spiral into a global recession as central banks around the world have fewer tools to protect their economies. Interest rates have already been slashed and quantitative easing or other forms of cheap money are already being deployed.
9th October 2019 Asia and Africa Are The Business Growth Zones To Focus On
Even though China is in middle of trade war with USA the rest of Asia is expanding rapidly. Growth in Asia is not as fast but compared to Europe many countries in Asia are growing around 5 times as fast with the exception of Hong Kong.
Several African countries are still growing extremely fast despite the global economic slowdown. Those that are not have massive growth potential over the next decades.
There is a global economic slowdown. A global recession is perhaps on its way if the trade wars continue. However there are parts of the world that remain in massive growth phase. Many are exporters but that does not mean its impossible to export to Asia and Africa. The low currency in the UK creates a massive opportunity for quality goods and services to be sold in Asia and Africa.
1st October 2019 Fear Of Lack Of Government Fiscal Control Is Biggest Risk Facing Businesses Around the World
The risk of a fiscal crisis is the biggest threat to business globally according to a survey from World Economic Forum.
However the biggest risk everyone can agree on is fiscal risk for governments overextending themselves which will eventually snap back to punish future generations.
Governments around the world are being partially protection by low interest rates and quantitative easing QE or cheap fake money.
As the UK cheers the end of austerity with both key political partys pledging to spend spend spend we should maybe consider the effects of UK governments excessively borrowing to spend.
Many economists are comfortable with borrowing to invest in infrastructure improvements especially when money is so cheap right now. This creates wealth in future that can payoff previous borrowing.
However borrowing more to cover in effect just daily government expenditure is very dangerous as eventually you will not be able to borrow still have same expenditure but will have a massive outstanding debt hangover that needs paying off.
The UK and USA seem to think that they can run up huge borrowing bill now. Lets hope they are right. Businesses fear they could be wrong.
4th September 2019 Expert Analysis Of Global Economy Argues The Global Economy Is Contracting Rapidly
UBS bank slashed its forecasts for world growth. The global trade war is biting harder than they thought. UBS reckons central banks around the world will have to cut interest rates to protect economic growth prevent recessions or pull some economies out of recession.
World economic growth will not be 3.2 percent as previously forecast but just 2.5 percent
1st September 2019 Tit For Tat Tariffs From USA and China Will Drag Global Economy Down Further
The USA has imposed 15 percent tariffs on Chinese imported goods from today. In total America has imposed tariffs on around 150 billion dollars of Chinese imports and has plans to impose tariffs on 300 billion dollars worth by end of 2019. The original plan was for 10 percent tariff but this has been increased to 15 percent by USA.
China has imposed 5 percent tariffs on US crude oil. In total China has imposed tariffs on around 100 billion dollars of American imports.
5th August 2019 USA Plans Additional Tariffs On China Creating More Concern About Global Slowdown
Donald Trump plans to add tariffs to more Chinese imports. The escalating trade war between USA and China is creating havoc in the global economy. Many central banks around the world have lowered interest rates to try to support business leaders investments. However more tariffs means more global pain until America and China can agree a mutually beneficial compromise.
Donald Trump plans 10% tariffs on 300 billion dollars of current Chinese imports into USA as from 1st September 2019
Only a new trade agreement will stop the a degeneration of the global economic climate. The tit for tat trade war with USA and China is affecting the whole world but is also hurting both China and USA too.
6th March 2019 OECD Cut Forecasts Global Economy In 2019 And 2020
The OECD has already downgraded global economic growth forecasts in November 2018.
International trade disputes around the world and uncertainty over Brexit will reduce world trading and lower business growth according to OECD.
The Organisation for Economic CoOperation and Development OECD forecasts world economic growth of 3.3 percent in 2019 and 3.4 percent in 2020.
25th February 2019 Hopes Rise For More Global Trade
President Trump has decided to delay raising tariffs on Chinese goods. This has encouraged a brighter outlook on global trade. Hopes are rising that America and China will agree a trade deal which will support an increase in global trade.
9th January 2019 World Bank Forecasting 2.9 Percent Global Economic Growth For 2019
The World Banks assessment of global risks in 2019 has led it to conclude the global economy will continue to slow in 2019 and 2020. Global economic growth in 2020 has been pitched at 2.8 percent.
Some emerging markets may fail to fulfil potential growth opportunities
2nd January 2019 Slower Global Economic Growth In 2019
Global economic growth will slow if the hangover from 2018 continues in 2019.
Political risks on the downside threaten the fluidity of global trade which will slow economic growth. Trade tensions between USA and China and USA and Europe top the list of political risks in 2019.
Less money sloshing about in the global economy will slow global economic growth. Examples include the Eurozone closing the cash flow taps with the end of quantitative easing QE by European Central Bank ECB. In addition and perhaps more significantly the Federal Reserve in USA seem intent on continuing to increase interest rates in America which will make money a lot more expensive thus negatively impacting on economic growth in USA.
Businesses across the globe will find it harder to make a profit in 2019 and this will reduce sovereign state income from taxation and reduce corporate free money available for investment in future which will hit global economic growth.
In addition if political risks ease or reverse the global economy could actually receive a boost. For example there are indications that China is prepared to do a deal with USA. If this happens then 2019 could become a lot more positive.
Germanys private sector expansion slowed to a four year low
China November retail sales grew at the weakest pace since 2003 and industrial output rose the least in nearly three years due to trade dispute with USA.
The European Union EU has not thrown UK Prime Minister a bone to help her get her Brexit deal through UK parliament. This indicates it is highly likely she will have to pivot but to what?
21st November 2018 Trade Disputes and Higher Central Bank Interest Rates Are Slowing Global Economy
On the positive side there are currently no signs of a sharp economic downturn according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD.
The OECD is currently forecasting that global growth would slow from 3.7 percent this year to 3.5 percent in 2019 and 2020. It had previously projected 3.7 percent for 2019.
13th November 2018 Global Growth Is Slowing
According to the International Monetary Fund IMF a number of the bigger economies are slowing and they could suddenly contract should there be a major risk event.
Key global growth risk factors include
USA China trade war could increase costs globally.
Higher energy costs. Oil prices have increased by more than 60 percent in two years.
Certain higher USA interest rates are on their way but how will this impact on global consumption?
Higher USA interest rates will strengthen the dollar the worlds currency of choice. How will a significant strengthening impact on global growth.
Parts of the world are still trying to recover from the global financial crisis including Italys banks and sovereign debt. A collapse of the banking system in Italy would reverberate around the world. Greece can be bailed out Italy can not.
Global growth for 2018 to 2019 to remain at its 2017 level of 3.7 percent but the growth outlook for a number of major economies has been marked down.
17th April 2018 Global Economic Growth 3.5 Percent
Institute of International Finance IIF forecasting faster global economic growth. IIF increased global economic growth for 2018 to 3.5 percent. Much of the increase in growth down to USA tax cuts. These will not only power USA growth but global growth.
16th March 2018 Global Growth Strongest In 7 Years
According to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD global economic growth is growing faster than at any other time in last 7 years. It is forecasting economic growth at 3.9 percent for 2018.
Threats to global economic growth include growing trade war between most other countries and USA as well as other geopolitical issues like Russia v EU / UK, North Korea and the ever present tensions in Middle East.
14th March 2018 A Credit Rating Agency Fitch Has Suggested Global Economic Growth Is Strong and Accelerating
Global economic growth is rising faster now than it has for around a decade.
Unemployment is falling, money is still cheap in most parts of the world and corporate investment is strong.
Fitch is forecasting global economic growth of 3.3 percent in 2018 and 3.2 percent in 2019. Last year it was 3.2 percent according to Fitch.
27th February 2018 You Should Be Optimistic About Your Future
Global growth prospects for 2018-19 are improving and accelerating. Most parts of the world are looking to a better 2018 than 2017 in terms of economic growth and 2017 was one of the best year’s for growth in close to a decade.
Not every business will take advantage of increasing global economic growth, just like not all businesses went bust during the financial crisis starting in 2007 to 2008. The rising tide of business opportunities creates the environment for your business to grow much faster in 2018.
Corporate business leaders in UK who look for new business development opportunities will find them.
If you do not think you have time to explore business growth opportunities, you may get the opportunity to reflect at your leisure after your business collapses. Those companies that fail to grow may find they contract or even fail to survive.
7th February 2018 International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Says Global Economy Growing Faster
The IMF’s chief economist is reported as saying that world economic fundamentals are strong. There is increased trading and more business investment. As a result major economies are the world are growing faster than expected. He sees very broad-based global growth.
2nd February 2018 BusinessRiskTV Forecasts The Economic Forecasts Will Get Global Growth Wrong For 2018
Many economists are forecasting around the 4 percent mark for global economic growth in 2018. BusinessRiskTV forecasts this will underplay the global economic boom that is set to happen in 2018.
If a major global event occurs like World War 111 then growth will be slower but if World War 3 happens we will not care about economic forecasts any longer! Such geopolitical risk events aside we can look around the world and see great news unfolding:
America is feeding in huge corporate and personal tax cuts into its economy. When America grows so does the rest of the world. In addition, low unemployment and faster wage increases in USA will turbo-charge the USA economy in 2018.
Eurozone is experiencing is fastest growth period in around a decade and this will continue, but accelerate in 2018, as people find jobs and property values start to rise making people in the Eurozone feel wealthier. Manufacturing is returning to countries in Eurozone that may have once have forgotten how to make things.
Africa is a sleeping giant that will fail to get its act together in 2018 but will improve on recent economic performance.
Asia Pacific is set to expand faster with the likes of India in particular racing ahead. China will continue to find more and more people jobs in 2018 and will lift more people out of poverty further increasing demand for domestic and international consumption. Japan will finally put decades of deflation behind it and new technology will begin to overcome demographic time-bomb to the benefit of Japanese economy.
The Americas, and Brazil in particular, was once a fast growing area of the globe. South American expenditure will be healthier in 2018 and help develop continental and global growth faster than 2017.
The UK is constantly put down by people in the UK but the UK economy will continue to surprise most UK economists trying to subvert Brexit and grow faster than 2 percent in 2018. Low unemployment, faster wage growth due to skills shortages and rising housing prices will encourage UK consumers to spend more and manufacturing and services sectors will push UK growth faster supported by a return of the construction sector.
Middle Eastern countries will benefit from rising oil prices and rebuilding of some physically damaged countries.
8th January 2018 Global Economy Forecasts: Increasingly More Positive Business Outlook
Previously poorly performing eurozone helping to drive more upbeat global economic outlook.
A survey for Sentix index indicated eurozone business leader confidence is at its highest level since August 2007. The global economy in all regions is looking more positive.
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The importance of leadership in business is either underestimated or played down. Your team or business functions will operate in line with the inspiration you create or fail to create. Zombie businesses can survive in most business climates, but few will thrive in the business marketplace without good leadership, either from the top, or from middle managers who pick up the baton where the actual leaders have dropped it.
Whats worse is that few businesses invest sufficiently in developing future business leaders
There are many reasons for this. For some businesses, existing business leaders fear training those below them in case they walk away from the business to competitors or to become a new competitor business.
One way to overcome this fear is to share the rewards developing leaders bring to the business and not be too greedy over short term spoils of new business generated and instead look to the long term benefit of fairly rewarding key business team members.
All hugely successful organisations and businesses need effective leaders
To become a great business leader requires much more than technical business skills that say accountants and lawyers may have. Great business leaders have bundles of emotional intelligence to bring in everybody into improve business performance not just the Board.
Top business leaders are not always brilliant business managers. You can be an amazing business manager, but may never be a business leader. Often great business leaders are not in management positions. Their talent is wasted cause they never get into a position to fully express themselves for the benefit of the business as a whole and themselves.
How do you find the business leaders in your business and bring business leaders together to focus on sustainable business growth?
Enterprise risk management methodology will help in this regard. Many SMEs and large businesses can benefit from developing the leaders who will guide us to a better future.
A look at the business news headlines in most week’s will reveal examples of bad business leadership. W need to help educate business leaders better to reduce frequency of bad business events and increase the occurrence and size of business successes. How we get there does not matter too much, but too often we don’t.
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Sell more to people and businesses on your doorstep and dip your toe into the export marketplace on the back of a low value pound which could be making your products and services more than 10 percent cheaper abroad.
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