There is a finite amount of stuff available that people and businesses want. It is difficult to manage the risks of accessing, sharing and using limited resources. The problem of scarcity and choice lies at the heart of our immediate and at least medium term business risks and lifestyle quality. Scarcity requires choice from buyers and sellers.
How can we work together to overcome the problems of scarcity
How can we work together to overcome the problems of scarcity
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Working together to grow faster and shelter from bad risk events is the only way to survive and prosper in an increasingly dangerous world.
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The pandemic, the war, the energy crisis, the food crisis and the health crisis will create economic chaos over the next couple of years. That does not mean you might as well shut up shop and go home! When chaos causes other business leaders to fold you need to become even more creative, flexible and dynamic. To prepare for the ensuing economic disaster you need to build on your hard work managing effects of pandemic to cover more issues including continuing supply problems, rising costs and bad debt. You may have thought that now a couple of years after the pandemic started you could start to breath more easily. Unfortunately the economic effects of the pandemic were smoothed out with unprecedented monetary support from global governments. However their magic money tree has died! You are on your own now. Now we will see who really are the good business leaders.
We do not yet know and will never know with certainty, what key risks we will have to deal with in business. This is why we are horizon scanning for you. Our risk management experts are analysing and assessing new risks. We are researching and developing new risk management solutions. Subscribe for free to BusinessRiskTV to keep up to date with potential new threats and opportunities for your business.
Managing opportunities and risks better with BusinessRiskTV. Business opportunities come with business risks. External and internal risk drivers will impact on business objectives negatively and positively. Controlling business risks and opportunities can secure greater business success and build stronger business resilience. Identify assess and control business risks better with articles and videos on BusinessRiskTV. Monitor business risks to your business objectives to protect and grow your business faster.
What are the risk and opportunities in business
Managing business risks is a critical business issue all business leaders face. However not all business leaders face the same business risks. Similar businesses can have the same business risks but may have different resources deployed in business risk management. Opportunities for business leaders to grow their business fast are always available to you if you look and take the best course of action. Understand the top business risks facing your business with help tips and support from BusinessRiskTV
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How do we make the best use of available business assets and resources to maximise return of investment of time and money
Fear of loss often beats the desire to gain more. Fearing losing everything you have built is natural human reaction. However is your fear getting in the way of seizing new business opportunities? Keep innovating and growing with less uncertainty with BusinessRiskTV.
Develop a holistic risk management culture to drive your business forward. Up your risk appetite to achieve more with more controlled balanced risk taking.
The biggest factor in business leader decision making is fear of loss. People worry about loss more than securing gains.
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Develop a more assured risk management framework and risk assessment process to match your risk culture. Make sure your risk taking remains within your risk tolerance.
Do you have loss aversion bias in decision making?
Business leaders who are loss averse feel the pain of loss much greater that any joy from any gains from decisions made. They make strategic business decisions accordingly. The risk culture of the business models the loss aversion bias of the business leader.
If this works well for your business you should continue with status quo. However if you would like to experience faster business growth you may need to take more calculated risks.
Loss aversion refers to the tendency to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. It is better for you to not lose 10000 pounds than to make 10000 pounds in business.
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However most entrepreneurs and many business leaders are in their position to better themselves. If you mitigate the potential losses from taking more risks and manage the risks to maximise the return on your investment you should end up with faster growth with less uncertainty.
It is more common in people who are not entrepreneurs or business leaders to be biased against taking risks. Loss aversion is a reflection of a general bias in human psychology. People tend to want to stick with what they know than make changes that might not work well. People in general are resistant to change. When presented with the potential benefits of change they focus more on what might be lost rather than on what can be gained.
What is your business risk tolerance? If you can make changes to try to grow faster that if do not work fall within your risk tolerance would you take more risk?
If you adopted small changes rather than one big radical all eggs in one basket change would you feel more comfortable? Spreading your faster business growth changes across a few new ideas may be better for your business. When you know which one of the new changes works best perhaps then you can focus on one new idea.
Do not confuse more risk taking in business with gambling. Taking calculated risks to grow faster is about assessing and then managing the risks before you action more risk taking. You can mitigate the threats from more risk as well as maximise the returns from taking more risks.
Few things in business life are guaranteed other than taxes! Even maintaining the status quo comes with the threat of business failure. Kodack photography business was once one of the most successful businesses in the world. How many Kodack films do you buy for your camera now!
The desire to avoid business losses is motivated by fear. The more a business leader fears losses the more likely he or she is to be loss averse and the more likely they are to be disinclined to make changes to their business to be more successful. Having a better understanding of the risks that could be taken to achieve more will make loss averse business leaders more comfortable with changing the the business.
Often the perception of risks and reward are skewed to the belief that you are doomed to fail which means you do not make changes to the business. By the same token it is important that all stakeholders in the business are involved in assessing risks from changes to business. Business leaders who do like taking risks can miss the pitfalls to mitigate against whilst making changes that can cause the change project fail even if it was a great idea.
With a little input and engagement from all levels of the organisation your project to grow faster is more likely to be a success. Take risks that are worth taking which are achievable with everyone onboard.
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Harness the full innovative power of your business. Create a better future with your existing resources. Focus your assets on the opportunities offering the greatest return.
Innovate or wither and die?
Is your business in zombie mode? Is it ticking along but with a little inspiration could be zooming along! Businesses which do not innovate could wither and die in the changes which are already in motion.
If you think the decade has been changing rapidly fasten your seat belt for the next decade! Even the best businesses growing healthily are going to be subject to existential choices.
Take banking industry for example. There is absolutely no reason you will not be banking online with Facebook Google or Amazon instead of Lloyds Barcalys or HSBC.
There are already internet only or app only banking businesses thriving in the UK. They do not have the costs of bank branch network. Fewer employees delivering what especially the younger generation want online. These apps will eventually sell car insurance house insurance mortgages credit cards et al that traditional banks offer. Why could Facebook Google or Amazon not do the same with their astronomical piles of cash. Yes I mean cash as they do not need to borrow money to lend money to you which will make them even more profitable should they start their banking arm of the business in UK.
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If traditional banking industry could fail to survive in future why do you think your business is safe?
Is it not a little arrogant to think your great business is going to survive the coming changes? If the UK ever gets up to speed with 5g which clearly it eventually will then another building block will be in place that will destroy many traditional businesses.
5G is both an opportunity and existential threat to many traditional businesses. Just because what you have done works for your business model does not mean it will work well in future.
are you really getting the most out of your solid business assets?
Even if you have a great business now are you sure it is operating productively? The greatest killer of UK economic growth is poor productivity. The UK does not perform any way near as productively as its developed competitors in the global marketplace.
Could your business grow faster if it took the slack from poor productivity out?
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Adversity is the mother of invention. Adversity and success have a close working relationship. However it does not have to be your business that suffers the business adversity. A strong business has a developed and tested business continuity plan BCP. The BCP will not only help you to maintain your business to survive adversity but it will help you identify ways to bring forward business improvements or seize new business opportunities.
Necessity is the mother of invention. If you have to find a new solution for your business you will find it. Human beings are very clever. Much more intelligent than we realise. However adversity can unveil otherwise hidden abilities to do things better than before adversity hit.
Entrepreneurs and business leaders who overcome adversity
Top entrepreneurs and business leaders quickly identify and exploit opportunities from adversity. The adversity suffered maybe that of your competitors rather than your own business.
Sometimes benefiting from adversity comes from increased demand. Private jet hire cannot cope with current demand due to the coronavirus or Covid19. Thousands of people have died and many tens of thousands have been infected most in China. Commercial airlines like British Airways stopped flying into or out of China due to coronavirus outbreak. Many cannot or do not want to book a flight out of China. Many do not want to fly anywhere with other people they do not know. The result for private jet hire companies is more demand than they can supply. This will boost private jet hire revenue and profit.
The opportunity to grow from adversity is mainly about the change of demand potentially with a reduction in supply. Sometimes profiting from adversity just comes from a reduction in supply. The collapse of a business in your industry may mean you then have the opportunity to sell more and sell more profitably. Thomas Cook holiday and travel business collapsed in September 2019. Many people lost their jobs but many were subsequently taken on by Hays Travel who massively expanded their business within just a few months. TUI travel business had its best month in January 2020. Other holiday and travel related businesses have massively grown on the back of the collapse of Thomas Cook.
The key is to protect your business with a business continuity plan and to be dynamic enough to be prepared to capitalise on potential shifts for demand for your type of business. This includes being very clear on where you want your business to be in x years time and how you could get there. If you know where you are going you can perhaps more easily bring forward your business development plans in the event of a significant risk event not affecting your business directly.
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What are the biggest risks to the global economy?
Although unpredictable lets try and predict the future! What is exciting is that clearly there are many threats particularly from the environment and trade wars. There are also massive opportunities for business leaders who are in control of their own business risks.
What are the biggest threats and opportunities to the world in the new decade?
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Some of the biggest global risks business leaders have little control over. Warfare and mass destruction global inequality between countries and unequal economic development creating mass economic migration global trade wars global pandemics political shift towards popularity driven left or right wing positions and systemic collapse of the financial markets. Contingency planning is the best that business leaders can do to manage most of such global catastrophic risks.
However there are risks business leaders do have the potential to have control over but do not always control such global occurring risks. Global risks falling into this category include deteriorating natural environment and global warming as well as cyber attacks.
Many of the risk management solutions for one global risk can manage the threat and opportunity from another risk without extra investment of time or money.
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BusinessRiskTV is scanning for threats and opportunities to the global economy in the new decade. If you look for it you can still see an abundance of wealth and opportunity globally and locally.
Global Recession?
Putting warfare and mass destruction risk to one side the most likely cause of a global recession is the continuing or deterioration of global trade wars.
The climate threat has come off age! The solutions are already known. However the will is less obvious. The financial services industry particularly banks will probably be the biggest influencers in driving environmental protection. Many banks and investors are refusing to finance coal businesses and are threatening divestment and lack of funding for other fossil fuel businesses. Even the governor of the Bank of England has told pension fund managers to sort out investment in fossil fuel based businesses.
The flip side of this is the opportunity to make money from environmental protection. Existing and developing environmental protection technologies are a real business opportunity. Even if your business does not sell environmental protection products or services your brand needs protecting via the adoption of good environmental protection policy.
The world is drowning in debt and fake money. Government corporate and personal debt. How future generations will cope with the weight of debt when many in the developed world are also going to suffer the effects of demographic time bomb detonation. Quite frightening! However one way to cope with future and present global risks is for governments to invest money in infrastructure particularly 5G communication and utilities. Many of the innovation and inventions are going to rely on power and the internet.Necessity is the mother of invention but with power and faster communication we will be trapped in the past with only a vision of how much better our future could be globally.
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The global landscape is changing rapidly, with new risks emerging every day. From geopolitical tensions to cybersecurity threats, businesses around the world are facing a complex and constantly evolving set of risks that they must manage in order to survive and thrive. In this article, we will explore some of the most pressing global risks that businesses need to be aware of and offer some strategies for managing them effectively.
Geopolitical Risks
Geopolitical risks are those that arise from political tensions between countries or regions. These risks can take many forms, including trade wars, sanctions, and military conflicts. One recent example of a geopolitical risk is the ongoing trade war between the United States and China, which has had significant implications for businesses around the world.
To manage geopolitical risks, businesses need to stay informed about political developments in the regions where they operate. They should also be proactive in diversifying their supply chains and hedging against currency fluctuations. In addition, businesses can consider partnering with local organisations or governments to gain a better understanding of the political environment and mitigate potential risks.
Cybersecurity Risks
Cybersecurity risks are those that arise from the increasing use of technology and the internet. As businesses become more reliant on digital systems and data, they also become more vulnerable to cyber attacks. These attacks can take many forms, including ransomware, phishing, and malware.
To manage cybersecurity risks, businesses need to invest in robust cybersecurity measures, such as firewalls, encryption, and regular system updates. They should also educate their employees about best practices for online security, such as avoiding suspicious emails and using strong passwords. In addition, businesses can consider purchasing cyber insurance to mitigate the financial impact of a cyber attack.
Climate Change Risks
Climate change risks are those that arise from the impact of climate change on the environment and society. These risks can take many forms, including extreme weather events, sea level rise, and food and water scarcity. The impact of climate change is already being felt around the world, and businesses need to be prepared for the potential consequences.
To manage climate change risks, businesses can take a number of steps. They can invest in renewable energy sources and other sustainable technologies to reduce their carbon footprint. They can also develop contingency plans for extreme weather events and other climate-related risks. In addition, businesses can consider partnering with governments and NGOs to address climate change at a systemic level.
Supply Chain Risks
Supply chain risks are those that arise from disruptions to the flow of goods and services. These disruptions can be caused by a variety of factors, including natural disasters, political unrest, and pandemics. The COVID-19 pandemic, for example, has had a significant impact on global supply chains, causing shortages of critical goods and disrupting manufacturing and distribution networks.
To manage supply chain risks, businesses need to develop contingency plans for disruptions, such as alternative suppliers and backup inventory. They should also be proactive in identifying potential risks in their supply chains and implementing measures to mitigate them. In addition, businesses can consider investing in technologies, such as blockchain and IoT, to improve supply chain visibility and resilience.
Financial Risks
Financial risks are those that arise from changes in the financial markets or economic conditions. These risks can take many forms, including fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. They can also be caused by systemic risks, such as a global recession or financial crisis.
To manage financial risks, businesses need to be proactive in monitoring financial markets and economic conditions. They should also develop contingency plans for potential disruptions, such as currency hedging strategies and diversified investment portfolios. In addition, businesses can consider partnering with financial institutions and other experts to gain a deeper understanding of financial risks and opportunities.
Managing global risks is a complex and ongoing process for businesses around the world. By staying informed about emerging risks and implementing proactive measures to mitigate them, businesses can reduce their exposure to potential losses and position themselves for long-term success.
It’s important to recognise that global risks are interconnected, meaning that a disruption in one area can have ripple effects across multiple industries and regions. For this reason, businesses need to take a holistic approach to risk management, considering the potential impact of each risk on their operations and stakeholders.
In addition to the strategies outlined above, businesses can also consider partnering with risk management experts and other organisations to stay informed about emerging risks and best practices for risk management. By taking a collaborative approach to risk management, businesses can better anticipate and manage global risks, while also positioning themselves for long-term success in an ever-changing landscape.
Overall, businesses that are able to effectively manage global risks will be better positioned to thrive in a rapidly changing world. By staying informed, developing contingency plans, and investing in resilience, businesses can reduce their exposure to potential losses and position themselves for long-term success.
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Unleashing the Power of Global Networking: Advantages for Businesses
In today’s interconnected world, businesses are increasingly recognising the significance of global networking. Building connections and fostering relationships across borders has become a crucial strategy for organisations seeking growth, innovation, and a competitive edge. In this article, we will delve into the numerous advantages that global networking offers to businesses of all sizes and industries. By leveraging the power of connectivity, businesses can unlock new opportunities, gain valuable insights, and expand their reach on a global scale. Read on to discover how global networking can propel your business to new heights.
Enhanced Collaboration and Knowledge Sharing: Global networking opens the doors to collaboration with individuals and organisations from diverse backgrounds, cultures, and expertise. By connecting with professionals worldwide, businesses can tap into a vast pool of knowledge, insights, and perspectives. This exposure to different ideas and approaches fosters innovation and creativity within organisations.
Moreover, global networking provides opportunities to participate in conferences, seminars, and industry events, where experts and thought leaders share their expertise. These interactions enable businesses to stay updated with the latest trends, technologies, and best practices, enhancing their competitiveness in the global market.
Access to New Markets and Business Opportunities: One of the most significant advantages of global networking is the ability to access new markets and expand business opportunities beyond borders. By establishing connections with international partners, businesses can gain valuable insights into local markets, consumer preferences, and cultural nuances. This knowledge allows organisations to tailor their products or services to meet the specific needs of diverse markets, increasing their chances of success.
Furthermore, global networking provides a platform for businesses to showcase their offerings to a wider audience. Through cross-border collaborations, joint ventures, or strategic partnerships, companies can enter new markets with reduced risks and enhanced market knowledge. This enables them to tap into untapped customer segments, diversify their revenue streams, and drive sustainable growth.
Building a Stronger Brand and Reputation: Global networking offers businesses the opportunity to build a stronger brand and reputation on a global scale. By connecting with influential individuals and organisations, companies can enhance their visibility and credibility within their industry and beyond. Positive endorsements and collaborations with reputable international partners can significantly impact a business’s brand image and attract new customers.
Additionally, active participation in global networking events, industry forums, and online communities allows businesses to showcase their expertise, thought leadership, and unique value propositions. This exposure positions them as industry leaders and trusted authorities in their respective domains, further strengthening their brand reputation.
Recruitment of Global Talent: Global networking provides businesses with access to a vast talent pool from around the world. By establishing connections with professionals and organisations internationally, companies can tap into a diverse range of skills, experiences, and perspectives. This enables them to recruit top talent from different cultural and educational backgrounds, bringing fresh ideas and innovative approaches to their teams.
Moreover, global networking facilitates the identification of potential partners, suppliers, and collaborators who can contribute to a business’s growth and success. By connecting with like-minded professionals, businesses can build strategic relationships that foster innovation, create synergies, and drive mutual growth.
Global networking has emerged as a vital tool for businesses seeking growth, innovation, and success in the global marketplace. By leveraging the advantages of global networking, businesses can enhance collaboration, access new markets, build a stronger brand, and recruit top talent from around the world. Embracing a global mindset and actively participating in networking activities can open doors to unprecedented opportunities and pave the way for long-term success.
In an increasingly interconnected world, businesses cannot afford to operate in isolation. Establishing and nurturing global connections allows organisations to stay ahead of the curve and adapt to the rapidly changing global business landscape. Whether it’s through attending international conferences, leveraging online platforms, or forging partnerships with organisations worldwide, businesses can harness the power of global networking to propel their growth.
The advantages of global networking for businesses are undeniable. From enhanced collaboration and knowledge sharing to accessing new markets and business opportunities, building a stronger brand and reputation, and recruiting global talent, the benefits are vast. Embracing a global networking mindset is no longer a luxury but a necessity in today’s hyperconnected world.
To make the most of global networking, businesses should actively seek opportunities to connect with professionals, industry experts, and potential partners on a global scale. They can explore online networking platforms, join industry-specific communities, participate in international events and conferences, and establish strategic partnerships with organisations in different countries.
However, it’s essential to approach global networking with a genuine intent to build meaningful relationships and provide value to others. Networking is not just about self-promotion; it’s about establishing mutually beneficial connections and fostering a collaborative ecosystem.
By capitalising on the advantages of global networking, businesses can expand their horizons, tap into new markets, stay abreast of industry trends, and unlock innovation. In this fast-paced and interconnected world, building a strong global network is a powerful asset that can set businesses apart from the competition and pave the way for sustained success.
So, don’t wait any longer. Start exploring the world of global networking and unlock the limitless opportunities it offers to take your business to new heights of success in the global marketplace. Embrace the power of connectivity, foster collaborations, and position your business as a global player in your industry. The possibilities are endless when you dare to connect, engage, and grow on a global scale.
What is global risk?
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Taking more risks to achieve more success comes down to risk knowledge and business intelligence. A lack of risk knowledge leads to increased fear. This can result in missed opportunities to grow faster.
What are the potential costs of taking more risks?
What are the potential benefits of taking more risks?
How will taking more risks benefit your business?
What are the alternatives?
How much better would your business perform if the best case scenario came true?
What are the worst outcomes that could happen if you took extra risks and how could you reduce the risk?
How bad would it be if the worst case scenario risk event materialised?
What would your business look like in 5 years if your risk decisions were taken?
Assessing the risks incorporating both upside and downside risks will enable you to make more balanced business decisions to improve performance.
Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance
Negativity bias means in part we focus more on stopping bad things from happening than creating the environment for great good things to happen. For example, we focus on stopping climate damage instead of investing money in better natural environment. We spend more money to risk control instead of seizing new business opportunities which create risk but also create more rewards for risk takers.
Welcome the threats in the 2020s as they bring opportunities
Embrace the opportunities in the new decade but be risk aware about the threats that come with the opportunities to grow. Work together with our network of business leaders and risk management experts to finish the 2020s better than you started.
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Do not get nervous get prepared! Being better prepared will give you more risk insight. Having a better handle on your business risk profile will give you more confidence. Taking more risks with confidence will increase chances of improve business performance and better business results.
Do not press the panic button
Understanding your business risk profile better will enable you to identify analyse assess and manage business threats and opportunities for greater business resilience and success. Stay calm with risk management knowledge and business intelligence. Know what you do when you need to do it whatever the business environment throws at your business.
Reduce anxiety about making key business decisions and do not let fear of risks stop you or make you procrastinate
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Use our business risk watch service to look ahead at enterprise risks that may impact on your business objectives. Share risk exposure and risk event knowledge with BusinessRiskTV network.
Read our risk reviews of developments in risk management practices. Understand what is increasingly vital to your business success in future. Manage risk in the business better.
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Develop leaders in your business. Build your business intelligence for better business decision making. Become more proficient at enterprise risk management ERM. Improve your expertise and business competence. Finesse your risk management process. Understand your readiness to take more risks to achieve more in business. Be more savvy with your risk knowledge. Use latest risk management techniques.
Use risk management experts to help you make right choices.
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Ways mindfulness can improve your work performance
Maximise your performance by restoring your mind and body with mindfulness techniques. Focus your mind and body on the most difficult task at the beginning of your working day. Do not try to do everything when you start work. Assess what is the most important thing to do to achieve your objectives and do it. This may not be the most urgent thing that needs doing.
Doing what is most important is better for you in long run than doing most urgent things.
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Your business performance may come down to your attitude to risk. However focusing your resources on managing risks better could allow you to embrace business risks more build resilience and achieve better results.
Mindfulness can help you shift your response to business risks.
Be more relaxed that your business risks are under control.
Encourage a positive risk management culture.
Be more creative and innovative.
Improve decision making.
Encourage more responsible attitude to all stakeholders affected by your business activities
Rebalance your risk management process to take more holistic business risk management decisions. Optimise your business performance.
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Importance Of Risk Taking In Business
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An effective enterprise risk management framework and risk assessment process will identify assess and manage your enterprise risks.
Your enterprise risk management system should help you ensure enterprise risk awareness to mitigate threats and seize new business opportunities.
Control the impact of uncertainty on your business objectives. Create and development new opportunities for business growth. Focus limited business resources on key limiting issues holding your business back. Build business resilience.
Our holistic risk management approach to business decision making can help you develop a new risk based business strategy for greater success. Combat key business threats. Create new profitable revenue streams.
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How to identify and analyse enterprise opportunities and threats
Improve your identification and analysis of business opportunities and threats. Subject your business processes to better risk identification and analysis to boost your business performance.
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Use your business strengths to mitigate the threats your business faces. Reduce your weaknesses to control the threats to your business objectives. Seize new business opportunities to build your business resilience.
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Use enterprise risk identification and analysis to help you grow your business with less uncertainty.
Enhance what you are doing well for greater returns on your investment of time and money.
Identify new opportunities for your business that you are currently missing or failing to capitalise upon.
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Recognise that you do have opportunities to improve your business and what you need to do to make them work well regardless of the business or economic environment.
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Create a business risk management plan after identifying key threats and opportunities for your business: PESTLE example
A business risk management plan for a business leader in the UK could include the following:
Political risks:
Monitor changes in government policies and regulations that may affect the business
Assess the potential impact of political instability on the company’s operations and supply chain
Develop contingency plans for disruptions caused by political events
Economic risks:
Monitor economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates
Assess the potential impact of economic downturns on the company’s revenue and profitability
Develop strategies to mitigate the effects of economic fluctuations on the business
Social risks:
Monitor changes in consumer behavior and preferences
Assess the potential impact of social trends on the company’s products and services
Develop strategies to adapt to changes in consumer demand
Technological risks:
Monitor advances in technology that may disrupt the company’s business model
Assess the potential impact of technological innovations on the company’s competitiveness
Invest in research and development to stay ahead of technological changes
Legal risks:
Monitor changes in laws and regulations that may affect the business
Assess the potential impact of legal changes on the company’s operations and compliance costs
Develop strategies to mitigate legal risks, such as insurance or implementing compliance programs
Environmental risks:
Monitor changes in environmental regulations and standards
Assess the potential impact of environmental factors on the company’s operations and supply chain
Develop strategies to mitigate environmental risks, such as implementing sustainable practices or investing in renewable energy.
Note: PESTLE Analysis is a framework for assessing the external factors that may affect a business. It is a useful tool for identifying potential risks and opportunities for a business.
PESTLE BUSINESS RISK PLAN
Risk Type
Key Considerations
Potential Impact
Mitigation Strategies
Political risks
Changes in government policies and regulations
Disruptions to operations and supply chain
Monitor political developments, develop contingency plans
Economic risks
Economic indicators such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates
Reduced revenue and profitability
Monitor economic indicators, develop strategies to mitigate effects of economic fluctuations
Social risks
Changes in consumer behavior and preferences
Reduced demand for products and services
Monitor social trends, develop strategies to adapt to changes in consumer demand
Technological risks
Advances in technology that may disrupt business model
Loss of competitiveness
Monitor technological developments, invest in R&D to stay ahead of changes
Legal risks
Changes in laws and regulations
Increased compliance costs and legal liabilities
Monitor legal developments, implement compliance programs and insurance
Environmental risks
Changes in environmental regulations and standards
Negative impact on operations and supply chain
Monitor environmental developments, implement sustainable practices and invest in renewable energy.
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Business reinvention with BusinessRiskTV
Change management thinking to a more balanced risk approach to threats and opportunities. Reinvent your business risk management model. Work with top thought leaders in the world of business thinking.
Evaluate your current business situation
Make more informed business decisions on how to proceed
Think about your appetite and business risk tolerance when considering what you want to achieve
The business marketplace is always changing. What people and business leaders want or expect changes. Change your business thinking to respond with more confidence. Proactively manage potential future risks better today.
Step guide to reinventing your business with BusinessRiskTV
Our guide to reinventing your business. Start with your risk management culture. Identify your management team risk appetite and risk tolerance. Identify your corporate tolerance to risk. The key to your business reinvention is your risk culture. You can then change your
risk management principles
risk management framework and
risk assessment process
This will help you deploy a risk management plan that works better for your business.
Develop a new business model for today and tomorrow
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Overcome resistance to become a more forward thinking business with stronger resilience. Build greater business success with less uncertainty. Get ahead of the current business curve.
First step to reinventing a business
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Refresh your thinking and that of your business management team. Focus your resources on whats important to your business success. Manage the significant uncertainties impacting on your business objectives.
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Recommended articles and videos
Reinvent your thinking. Reinvent the way you respond emotionally to risk.
Is your risk perception reality?
How should you respond to risk events affecting other businesses and your business?
How do you prioritise risk management action plan?
Choose a more certain more positive business risk management plan for your business.
Make sure you have the risk tolerance capacity to manage threats and right risk appetite to achieve greater business success.
Adversity and failure can help you become more successful especially if you mitigate downside risk.
Grow your business regardless of how tough the economic climate is. Overcome all roadblocks.
Drive your business forward. Change course if you need to but keep on track to achieve business objectives
Find greater comfort and a quiet nights sleep knowing you have adopted best risk management plan for your business
Get help to find the best way forward for your business. Create more value with less uncertainty from existing resources. Start planning for greater business success.
Process of business opportunity identification and evaluation
Identify and evaluate all the opportunities for a better future for your business. Proactively keep all business opportunities under review and assess the potential outcomes of pursuing each opportunity. Focus your resources on winners using a risk-based decision-making process. Optimise the return of your investment of time and money. Create greater value and optimise outcomes.
Optimise Risk For New Business Opportunities For Your Company
How do you become more successful as a leader? The answer is to reduce the risks and maximise the opportunities for our company.
It is most certainly a challenge to grow a business faster with less uncertainty, but that is what we help business leaders do.  Don’t miss out on the new opportunities for your business to grow faster.  Minimise the extra threats from taking more risk and maximise the opportunities for your business with your existing resources.
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How to manage risk in business with BusinessRiskTV.com
Is your business taking too much or too little risk? Have more confidence in your business risk management decision making process. Improve your business performance and build business resilience.
Assuming you are managing enterprise risks well can be dangerous
You might be taking too much risk unknowingly but you might also be taking too little risk and failing to make the best use of your business assets.
Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance
How confident are you that you are managing enterprise risks cost effectively?
What are the hidden costs of your failure to manage risk properly
Missed opportunities cost
Over protection of business wasting resources and increasing your costs
Under protection leaving you exposed threatening your survival or prosperity and stopping you getting a quiet night’s sleep
Can you demonstrate to your business stakeholders that significant enterprise-wide risks are being effectively managed? Have you a balanced risk -reward risk management plan that prioritises the allocation of resources for best potential effect on business objectives? When was the last time you reviewed your enterprise risk management plan?
Controlling the risks in the workplace is not just about safety and business insurance. Your business must control enterprise wide risks. What is the aggregate effect of risk on your business objectives? Do you understand the threats to objectives and the opportunities you have in front of you?
Find out how enterprise risk management can help you monitor your overall business’s performance
Identify and manage both external risk drivers and internal risk drivers impacting on your business success.
Improve your risk knowledge to solve business problems today and in future
Do you have confidence your business is ready for emerging risks?
We are only at the beginning of the 4th Industrial Revolution. Many jobs are going to disappear. Many jobs are going to change. Businesses that don’t change to reflect emerging risks will not survive the rapid changes that have started but will accelerate over next few years.
Prepare Your Business For The Fourth Industrial Revolution
Maximising business opportunities for growth
There is a yin and yang to all threats and opportunities.
Every threat comes with an opportunity to change for the better.
Every opportunity comes with a threat that the new will destroy existing value.
Business decision makers have tougher choices now than many recent business leaders have faced and many choices may threaten survival if you choose badly. Making good choices could also drive your business forward much faster than recently possible due to the financial crisis of 2008 and recovery therefrom.
Have you identified and assessed your enterprise wide risks?
What have you done about the more significant risks to your business objectives? Managing risk is increasingly central to the art of business management. It is not a science. What is right for one business may not work for another in the same industry. Much will depend on the leaders of each business within the same industry.
Enterprise Wide Risk Assessment For Faster Business Growth With Best Use Of Business Assets
Give your managers more confidence in your company to prperly assessing all the signiciant business risks to your organisation.
There is a risk to every business decision you make. Systematically look at all the risks across your business to enable you to focus your limited resources on the options most likely to boost your business performance, productivity and profitability.
Armed with the right risk management tools and techniques, risk knowledge and business intelligence you can manage risk more cost effectively more successsfully.
Improving business performance with BusinessRiskTV.com
Taking risks is critical for heightened business success. Too much or too little risk taking exposes an enterprise unnecessarily or restricts business performance unwittingly. Missed opportunities can be as expensive as massive business losses.
New Business Strategies Are Increasingly Important To Be More Successful For Longer
Strategic foresight consultants can help business leaders and entrepreneurs to make a success of their business regardless of the business environment. They inform the decision making process to reduce uncertainty and improve productivity.
Business Threats and Opportunities Live
Understand the threats and opportunities in front of you. Make decisions now to protect your business better and grow it faster. Identify evaluate and manage risks to exploit the creative insight of your existing employees to become more productive and more successful.
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BusinessRiskTV works with partners and clients to maximise the opportunities and minimise the threats to business objectives.
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Take The Courage To Embrace Potential Failure Of Business
You Control the Solutions to Your Business Problems: Exploring Creative Thinking and Problem Solving in Business
In the dynamic landscape of business, problems are inevitable. From operational inefficiencies to market challenges, businesses face a myriad of obstacles that require strategic thinking and effective problem-solving skills. The ability to identify, analyse, and resolve these issues is crucial for organisational success and growth. This article explores the significance of problem solving in the business realm, delving into the BusinessRiskTV model as a powerful tool for addressing challenges. Furthermore, it highlights the role of creative thinking in problem solving and provides three practical ways businesses can leverage creativity to overcome obstacles.
Understanding the Solution to Business Problems Before diving into the solutions, it is essential to grasp the concept of business problems and their significance. Business problems can range from operational bottlenecks to strategic dilemmas, and their resolution plays a vital role in maintaining competitive advantage and ensuring sustainability. By identifying the root causes of problems and employing appropriate problem-solving techniques, businesses can create innovative solutions that drive progress and success.
The BusinessRiskTV Model of Problem Solving The BusinessRiskTV model offers a structured approach to problem solving, enabling businesses to navigate challenges effectively. This model involves six key steps: problem identification, analysis, solution generation, evaluation, implementation, and review. By following these steps, organisations can systematically address problems, ensuring comprehensive and sustainable solutions. The model encourages a proactive mindset, emphasising the importance of continuous improvement and learning from past experiences.
The Importance of Solving Business Problems Solving business problems holds numerous benefits for organisations. Firstly, it helps optimise operational efficiency by identifying and eliminating inefficiencies, reducing costs, and improving productivity. Secondly, problem solving enables businesses to adapt to changing market conditions, seize opportunities, and stay ahead of the competition. Furthermore, effective problem-solving fosters a culture of innovation, empowering employees to think critically and contribute to the organisation’s growth.
Leveraging Creative Thinking in Problem Solving Creative thinking plays a crucial role in solving complex business problems. By encouraging fresh perspectives, challenging assumptions, and exploring unconventional solutions, businesses can unlock new possibilities and generate innovative ideas. This section explores three key ways in which organisations can utilise creative thinking:
a. Divergent Thinking: Encouraging brainstorming sessions and open discussions enables teams to generate a wide range of ideas. By embracing diversity and inclusivity, businesses can tap into the collective wisdom of their workforce and uncover unique solutions.
b. Design Thinking: This human-centered approach emphasises empathy, understanding, and collaboration. By immersing themselves in the customer’s perspective, businesses can develop innovative solutions that cater to their needs, preferences, and pain points.
c. Reverse Thinking: This approach involves challenging the status quo and flipping the problem on its head. By questioning assumptions and exploring alternative perspectives, businesses can discover fresh insights and uncover unconventional solutions.
Solving business problems is an imperative aspect of organisational success. By embracing the BusinessRiskTV model and incorporating creative thinking, businesses can take control of their challenges and pave the way for innovation and growth. The ability to identify problems, analyse their root causes, and generate effective solutions enables organisations to adapt to dynamic market conditions and gain a competitive edge. Moreover, by fostering a culture of creative thinking, businesses can unlock new perspectives and ideas, fueling continuous improvement and long-term success. Ultimately, the power to control the solutions to business problems lies within the organisation itself, and by leveraging their resources, knowledge, and creativity, businesses can overcome obstacles and thrive in an ever-evolving business landscape.
Know with more certainty what your business could achieve if it makes some changes.
Use risk management experts to help you make right choices
Once you know what your biggest business problems are you can identify how to best use limited business resources to reap the quickest gains to achieve greater business success more quickly.
Too often people in business at all levels of the organisation are working extremely hard. This can be a problem because they can burn out whilst solving problems that do not matter to the achievement of key business objectives. Solutions include employing more staff to work on the same minor business problems then business leaders wonder why they are spending more without any increase in business productivity and no business performance improvement.
Improving business performance requires better use of existing key business assets for a better return in your investment of time and money.
Develop the quality and capacity of your workforce to achieve more for themselves and the business
Training employees to help themselves will help your business achieve its objectives by overcoming the biggest business problems more easily with existing resources.
Get Help To Grow Your Business Faster – BusinessRiskTV.com
If you can answer this question immediately and with near absolute certainty then you should be performing pretty efficiently already. If not why haven’t you taken steps to remove barriers to your greater business and personal success?
Develop a new business management strategy with a new decision making process designed to help you identify evaluate and manage your biggest business problems more cost-effectively. If you can’t tell us what your biggest problems are in a very short summary of the key information then you haven’t truly identified your biggest critical business problems impacting on your business objectives.
Discover How To Beat The Competition In Sales
You could develop a new business strategy for success that is less complicated, cheaper to implement and brings greatest rewards if you change your thinking about business management.
This could be a pivotal moment for your business
You either know exactly what you need to do today to change your business trajectory or you may need a little outside help. BusinessRiskTV can provide that help. If you do not need help we wish you well for the future. If you do need help get in touch below and tell us what you need help with.
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Read articles and view videos on the latest Brexit developments opinions and reviews. Network with top business leaders to manage Brexit threats and opportunities better.
19th March 2020 Fishing Is Symbolic Of Taking Back Control
Many people perhaps most people in the city of London would happily sacrifice fishing rights to maintain financial services rights in Brexit negotiations.
Economically the fishing industry produces are 3 percent of UK economic output. Financial services produces many time that. The scales of economic sensibility suggest that it would be better for the UK economically to support the city of London.
However this is slightly misguided. The UK produces so little from fishing industry because of European Union quotas decimating the number of UK fishing boats. The UK could increase growth from fishing by increasing more boats in the fishing industry.
However the UK fishing industry will never overpower the economic sense of supporting financial services over the fishing industry.
The UK government must not submit to pressures to allow the same access to UK fishing areas. UK fishing industry should be rewarded for its support of Brexit. There can be ways of increasing income even with tariffs on UK fish products. Countries like Norway and Iceland can make it work.
Socially and democratically even with some economic detriment the UK government must support the UK fishing industry. Yes EU boats must have rights to fish in UK waters but rights to fish for UK fishing boats must be significantly increased at the end of 2020. Democracy is more important than economic prosperity.
Will there be a Brexit? If there is a Brexit what are the threats to businesses and economies? What opportunities will arise from a Brexit? Discuss the Brexit threats and opportunities live online. Network with business leaders who want to manage the Brexit risk better.
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BusinessRiskTV presents the Brexit Risk Watch to identify assess and provide recommendations on the threats and opportunities to business from the Brexit vote in June 2016.
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Brexit Guide Brexit Business Risk Assessment Analysis News and Opinions
Read our latest analysis on the consequences of Brexit. What is your Brexit risk assessment? How do you seize the opportunities a Brexit will present to your business? How do you mitigate the threats from Brexit? Only a careful, positive risk management approach will ensure that Brexit will work well for everybody in the UK.
Brexit Risk Assessment for Small Medium Sized Businesses in UK. Come back for more Brexit news opinions debates and business risk reviews. You can receive Brexit Breaking News Reports and Features on your smartphone tablet pc or TV.
14th February 2020 With The Departure Of The Chancellor The Last Significant Remainer Forced Out Of UK Government
With the UK Chancellor resignation yesterday Boris Johnson has purged his government of the last significant block on a no deal Brexit. The European Union EU must now know it must do a fair deal with the UK or face no deal Brexit at the end of 2020.
The UK is now closer to a no deal Brexit than it ever has been.
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With the next UK budget in March expected to open the spending taps to new infrastructure and an uplift in government investment the UK will be better prepared for a no deal Brexit than it ever has.
It is likely that the UK will face face short term economic bumps from no deal Brexit but the length of the disruption will depend on how well the UK plans for its future outside the EU.
Prepare your business for all eventualities with our Brexit Marketplace.
20th December 2019 German Economy Saved From Recession By Brexit
A clear programme for progress on Brexit has helped Germany avoid a recession according to Germany Economy Minister Peter Altmaier in remarks published on Friday.
Although there could yet be a no deal Brexit at the end of 2020 if the EU and UK do not agree a deal during transition period at least German businesses know with certainty that the UK is leaving the European Union.
Germany still faces a potential trade war with USA as part of European Union. The UK will look to strike a free trade deal with USA that would avoid any trade war between USA and EU.
12th December 2019 Exit Poll Suggest Conservative Party Majority For Brexit Majority
30th October 2019 Brexit Not Resolved Yet Vauxhall Vans Commit To UK Van Production
Vauxhall announces further commitment to automotive production in UK regardless of Brexit outcome. Next generation of Vivaro vans will be built in Luton.
23rd October 2019 Still Most Likely That Brexit Deal Will Pass But After A Brexit Extension
Ex Tory MPs who lost the whip would not be able to stand as Tory candidates at the next General Election if Boris Johnson gets a General Election now. The exTory MPs that blocked Brexit on 31st October 2019 with their Surrender Act presumably will want the Whip reinstated if they want to present themselves as a Conservative Party candidate at the next General Election.
An extension to Brexit is unavoidable now due to the application of the Surrender Act. Before it was brought into force in days by MPs intent on blocking Brexit it would have been possible though not guaranteed that Brexit could have been done on the 31st October 2019. Surely Boris Johnson would not take such MPs into a General Election with the Conservative Party?
The most likely outcome at this stage is for the UK parliament to approve Britains Withdrawal Agreement with the European Union. To enable such a legal position to pass it will need more time. An extension is inevitable but it will either be a technical extension to get the Withdrawal Agreement through parliament or an extension to end of January 2020 to enable a General Election to take place.
It is unlikely that the Tory rebels and Labour Remainer MPs will succeed in their attempt to block delayed Brexit. The UK will then hold a General Election.
Ideally the Labour Party leadership probably favour the Conservative Party taking the UK out of the European Union EU and then then suffering the inevitable short term business lifestyle and economy disruption. Labour could then capitalise on that with their policies that would otherwise have been blocked by EU rules and moderate the Brexit achieved by Conservative Party by opting in for a softer Brexit. However we do not live in an ideal world so the Labour Party will probably need to fight the next imminent General Election with a deliberately fuddled Brexit Policy in the hope that its other policies will win over the UK electorate in sufficient numbers to win power.
If the UK gets a General Election the current best bet is that the Conservative Party will run a minority government with a handful of new Brexit Party MPs who have won previously safe Labour Leave voting seats. This will probably mean a no deal Brexit or Brexit based on the deal agreed by Boris Johnson with EU.
9th October 2019 Do Not Let Your Business Be Paralysed By Political Events
Political events can impact negatively or positively on your business. However procrastinating because of Brexit uncertainty or trade war between USA and China and Europe is not good for your business.
By taking the right precautions your business can still make progress towards your business objectives and even speed up successful attainment of objectives.
25th September 2019 Supreme Court Judgement Makes Extension To Brexit Date and General Election In November or December 2019 More Likely
Although not the motivation of the Supreme Court judges the result is that a new Brexit deal before end of October is now impossible. There is no incentive for the European Union EU to make any significant changes until after an election or a referendum.
Although Boris Johnson has said he will not ask for an extension to Brexit he will. He will explain he has done everything possible to exit the EU at end of October. However he will say correctly that the Remainer MPs in UK parliament have to use a Scottish judge word stymied any renegoitation with EU.
The Supreme Court judges judgement has triggered the starting pistil to a UK General Election before the end of 2019 sooner rather than later. Before the judgement there was a slim chance of a new Brexit deal before end of October. Now the only chance is no chance. The door has closed not because of their legal decision but because they were asked to make a decision.
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The Remainer MPs will get their wish of an extension before the election but at the cost that the General Election will be fought on the basis of the People v The Parliament.
Around three quarters of MPs in the UK parliament are Remainer MPs unwilling to take the UK out of the European Union despite the vote of the vote in 2016 to leave.
this Parliament is a disgrace
Attorney General Geoffrey Cox told MPs that current UK parliament is a dead parliament and will is too cowardly to call an election UK Parliament 25th September 2019
Although it will be close it is more likely that Leavers will beat Remainers in the General Election. Whether they will do so in sufficient numbers to make UK parliament governable again is very much in doubt. What is certain is that the UK will now reap the whirlwind of the most vitriolic election campaign ever experienced in UK.
All that we can really hope for is that there is a clear winner before the end of the year as an extension of the current impasse will damage the UK economy.
Perhaps the only good thing to come out the Brexit impasse is that with each day the UK is better prepared for a no deal Brexit should the UK vote for Brexit in the coming General Election. Whether the UK leaves or remains the UK will come out of this impasse for the better economically. How the UK will come out of the impasse socially and culturally will not be known until we look back in 10 years time.
20th September 2019 Next Crucial Period Of Brexit Is Mid October
Assuming the Supreme Court realise that courts should not be meddling with political decisions next week then the UK and Europe face a nervous run up to mid October.
There is increasingly positive mood music coming out of Europe about the prospect of doing a Brexit deal with the UK. It is likely that the Brexit deal will be one that kicks the most difficult parts of the deal towards the end of the decision making process like the border between Ireland and Northern Ireland.
The question from the UKs point of view is will the hardline no deal Brexiteers agree to bend on the deal and will the MPs in the Labour party who have heavy Brexit leaning constituents vote for whatever new deal comes back from the new Brexit negotiations.
The Eurozone is struggling to cope with the global economic downturn on top of its historic issues falling the financial crisis. Of greatest concern is the likely recession in Germany dragging the rest of Eurozone economy down with it.
The UK should leave on the 31st October 2019. The key players in the Brexit negotiations are being pushed into a deal from opposite directions. It has never been truer that both the European Union and the UK need a deal. If the UK parliament does not vote for the new Brexit deal they will reap the wrath they have created.
17th September 2019 Claims That Consumers In UK Are Stockpiling Essential Products Are Found Less
There is no evidence that Britons worried about the possibility of disorderly departure from the European Union EU on 31st October are stockpiling essential products
market researcher Kantar
5th September 2019 Next Key Date On Brexit Is Monday 9th September
UK government has let through bill to stop no deal Brexit. Next Monday the UK government will try again to successfully ask for General Election that will largely be based on Brexit issue.
If the UK government does not successfully bid for a General Election then the Brexit debate will once again lurch out of control in ways that are unclear. However if the UK government successfully receive a General Election on Monday then it will happen on 15th October. The winner will determine if there will be a Brexit or not.
There is a General Election coming. When is uncertain.
4th September 2019 Impact On UK Economy Of No Deal Brexit Reduced
Mark Carney Governor of the Bank of England the UKs central bank which decides on interest rates tells MPs on Treasury Select Committee for UK lawmakers that GDP impact of Brexit has been reduced.
Mark Carney was speaking at todays Treasury Select Committee public meeting.
4th September 2019 Will The UK Have A General Election Before The End Of October 2019?
The current UK Prime Minister wants a General Election on 14th October 2019. He may be prevented from having one by current MPs.
Tomorrow or Friday may be the crucial day on defining whether the UK Prime Minister will be granted a General Election before the end of October 2019.
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The UK Prime Minister will lose the new bill debate today aimed at preventing no deal Brexit. He will try again tomorrow but tomorrow (or Friday) will have lower bar to pass to enable a General Election to happen before the end of October 2019.
The UK will have a General Election before the end of the year but whether it happens before end of October should be decided this week.
1st August 2019 UK VAT Registered Companies Will Be Given A Registration Number In Next Two weeks That Allows EU Customs Authorities To Identify Them
The admin paperwork to continue trading with EU in event of no deal Brexit is called an Economic Operator Registration and Identification EORI number.
UK chancellor Sajid Javid automatic enrolment of VAT registered businesses will help ease the flow of goods at border points and support businesses to trade and grow in event of no deal Brexit.
1st August 2019 Euro Zone Purchasing Managers Index PMI For Manufacturing Firms In July Fell To Lowest Level Since 2012
Many economists in UK say the UKs drop off of manufacturing activity is down to Brexit uncertainty. However eurozone manufacturers drop off in production and indeed global manufacturing production drop off is not down to Brexit uncertainty.
5th July 2019 Jaguar Land Rover JLR Is Investing Hundreds Of Millions Of Pounds To Build A Range Of Electric Vehicles In Castle Bromwich Birmingham
JLR are making plans for the future whether Brexit happens or not. Whether Britain no deal Brexits or leaves with a deal or does not leave European Union EU will not affect many automotive manufacturers strategic decisions to stay in UK.
It is perfectly right for car industry to lobby UK government for the outcome it prefers. However the automotive industry is perfectly robust enough to take on all risk factors to survive and prosper.
In January JLR announced that its new battery making facilities would be located in the Midlands. The new plant will be most technologically advanced in the UK according to JLR.
1st July 2019 NTT Ltd Opens For Business In London At Height Of Brexit Crisis
Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation NTT Corporation is one of Japans largest telecom businesses. It has launched its international focused subsidiary NTT Limited and picked London as its global headquarters.
NTT Limited is a merger of NTT Communications Dimension Data and NTT Security into a single business based in London.
NTT Corporation president and CEO Jun Sawada said launching NTT Ltds HQ in London shows its commitment to the UK remains extremely strong.
It demonstrates that Britain will remain a tech leader regardless of whether the UK remains or leaves the European Union EU.
21st May 2019 EU Would Rather Have The UK Pissing Into Tent Now!
The biggest change from the the results of the European Union EU is that the rest of the EU will no longer put up with the UK pissing out of the tent. They will become resigned to and prefer the UK to leave the EU an piss into the tent!
Until the EU elections 2019 UK political leaders thought they could pick and choose when it leaves the EU. Now the rest of the EU leaders will be thinking they do not need such an unruly member.
The UK is unlikely to get an extension beyond end of October 2019 even if it wants one. The EU will get little benefit from amending the deal already negotiated with the UK. The UK is closest to leaving the EU without a deal than at any time including immediately after the EU Referendum in 2016.
Back in 2016 the UK had more choices. Now the UK needs to leave without a deal at end of October or revoke article 50 and remain in the EU. The time for compromise has come to an end.
The UK parliament should vote on these two options immediately it returns after the summer break. The parliament can then spend time putting the vote into action.
The MPs will then face the public at the next General Election and have to justify whichever way they voted.
15th April 2019 Investment In UK The Highest In The World Regardless Of Brexit Chaos
Big 4 accountancy firm EY has reported that following its survey it found that Britain is the top place to invest in the world for the first time since EY started surveying investment market 10 years ago.
The reason investment has hit a record high according to EY is the English language is the language of business and the UK has a highly skilled workforce together with expanding technology base.
The low value of the UK pound has also made UK business cheap to invest in for overseas businesses keen to take advantage of undervalued UK businesses.
29th March 2019 On The Day The UK Should Be Leaving The European Union EU The Mother Of All Parliaments Says No Non Nein
MPs reject Theresa Mays EU withdrawal agreement by 344 votes to 286 a majority of 58. The UK is facing either a no deal Brexit on the 12th April or a long extension to Article 50 which will include the UK voting in EU elections in May.
The Prime Minister and the UK government seem to be holding out hope that the deal on the table with the EU will get still get through before the 12th April. How this would happen is highly uncertain.
22nd March 2019 No Deal Brexit Most Likely Outcome Of All Most Unlikely Outcomes
The UK is entirely fragmented politically. Each fragment has hurried off to respective camps and are digging in instead of looking for compromise.
Theresa May seems to have grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory after blaming UK MPs for Brexit logjam. Almost anything is now possible as the fragments of the UKs political community are resisting any coming together.
Mays Brexit deal could get through in a 3rd Meaningful Vote before the and of next week or the new deadline in April
The UK Prime Minister may do what she has said all along which is take the UK out of European Union EU on 29th March with no deal Brexit
UK parliament takes control over the Brexit process and before the EUs new deadline apply for and get a very long extension to Article 50 giving it time to put together a newer softer Brexit and or bring about a 2nd referendum on leaving the EU.
Many now believe Mrs May will take the UK out with a no deal Brexit next week but whether she will be allowed to do that by the UK parliament remains to be seen.
Brexit uncertainty has never been higher but next week it will continue to increase not reduce.
21st March 2019 Next Says No Deal Brexit Would Bring Lower Prices In Shops
Retailer Next says lower trade tariffs under no deal Brexit could save it 15 million pounds and allow Next to cut prices for shoppers in UK.
21st March 2019 No Deal Brexit Would Significantly Harm European Union EU
Barclays bank Chairman John McFarlane says a no deal Brexit would significantly hurt the European Union economy and a deal on financial services between Britain and the EU is likely whatever form Brexit takes.
He expects that trade would continue between the financial sector in London and the EU after Brexit.
19th March 2019 Theresa Mays Brexit Deal More Likely After Speaker Of House Of Commons Intervenes Into The Brexit Process Again
Yesterdays spanner in the Brexit process works by the Speaker of the House Of Commons has made it more likely that the UK Prime Ministers Brexit deal will somehow be approved. Where there is a will there is a way.
If this is the case then the UK economy will be boosted. The boost will come from private investment and massive public spending Brexit dividend promised by UK Chancellor. The downside risk is that the boost to UK economy will also accelerate UK interest rate rises.
The Brexiteers need to fall in behind the current Brexit deal or suffer no Brexit or softer Brexit.
14th March 2019 Third Meaningful Vote Expected Within A Week
Theresa May will try third time to get her EU withdrawal deal through Parliament. She is hoping to win over more Brexiteers on basis that they if they do not back her Brexit deal they will endure at best a long delay on getting Brexit or not get Brexit at all.
The UK government will at the very least need to ask the EU for a short delay on Brexit as there is not enough time to get Brexit through assuming Mays deal does get approval in the next week.
Last night an updated motion to reject a no deal Brexit under any circumstances was passed by 321 to 278 a majority of 43. Whilst not legally binding it is clear that parliament will find a way to prevent no deal Brexit ever happening.
Brexiteers realise they now face the likelihood of exiting the European Union EU via Mays Brexit deal on the table or softer Brexit like Norway Option or no Brexit. Which way will they jump in next week!
13th March 2019 UK Government Announces Tariffs On Imports Post No Deal Brexit
Most UK imports by value will not attract a tariff in the event of a no deal Brexit. Tariffs would protect some industries including farm produce. Such a change in UK imports is likely to increase the competitiveness of non European Union imports compared to EU imports though most EU imports would also be tariff free.
Tariffs on cars imported to UK would attract a 10 percent tariff though car parts would be tariff free.
The UK government also announced that it will not introduce any new checks or controls or require customs declarations for nearly all goods moving from across the border from Ireland to Northern Ireland in the event the UK leaves the EU without a deal.
12th March 2019 Theresa May Says She Has Legally Binding Changes To Her Brexit Deal
European Commission President Jean Claude Juncker warned if the deal was voted down there was no third chance to change a deal that could be agreed by both parties.
Hard line Brexiteers will not agree to anything short of no deal Brexit. Hard line Remainers will not agree to anything short of another referendum. It looks likely that the Second Meaningful Vote on the Brexit deal on the table will fall by less of a margin but how much of a margin is unclear.
It is clear that short term risks to UK economy will be lessened by agreeing the Brexit deal currently on the table
It is clear that the risk of the UK being trapped in the Backstop has lessened by the revised Brexit deal agreed with the European Union
What is unclear is the long term ability for the UK to finally leave the European Union fully.
Taking a balanced risk view of the short to long term the UK parliament should fulfil the decision of the British people to leave the European Union on the revised Brexit Deal. Should the UK legislators fail to vote to approve the Brexit deal the UK will be thrown into a crisis of government politics and business.
Business leaders will not know whether the UK will ever leave the European Union or whether it will end leaving with no deal. There may be one more Third Meaningful Vote before the end of March 2019. This is the most likely outcome of the developments this week. What the outcome of a Third Meaningful Vote will be is anybodies guess! However it will be incredibly close on whether the revised Brexit deal will eventually be voted through by the UK parliament.
UK MPs should remember that the best deals involve a win win for both parties not a lose lose win lose or lose win for the European Union and UK.
If the revised Brexit deal is not voted through and Brext with no deal is taken off the table then there must be a General Election in UK to revise the make up of the UK parliament. Then the new parliament must work on a revised Brexit deal. To revisit the Referendum before the last Referendum result has been implemented would create greater social and political damage which would continue for longer. Not only is it likely to result in a call for a third Referendum result but it would lead to another Referendum on Scotland leaving the UK.
All of these options would create greater chaos for business and economy for years. The only option which will protect short to medium and perhaps long term business environment is to accept the Brexit deal currently on the table.
15th February 2019 Retail Sales Jump More Than At Any Time Since December 2016
The Office for National Statistics ONS reports the amount of goods sold rose by 4.2 percent in January year on year the biggest annual rise since December 2016.
UK consumers show that record employment levels and rising standard of living will keep them spending regardless of Brexit. Wages continue to outstrip inflation indeed as inflation rate slows and wages increase faster the UK standard of living is accelerating.
27th December 2018 French Constriction Group Shows Confidence In UK Economy Post Brexit Deal or No Deal
Current Gatwick owners Global Infrastructure Partners GIP will sell a 50.01 percent stake to Vinci Airports. Vinci Airports has over 40 airports globally across Europe Asia and the Americas.
Gatwick is already the UKs second biggest airport and the 8th busiest airport in Europe by passenger numbers. However Vinci Airports will need to get significantly more than 3 billion pounds out of Gatwick purchase before it can start to turn extra value out of the investment. Where will it come from if Brexit crashes the UK economy?
26th November 2018 Brexit Plan B Most Likely End Destination For UK EU
The Sun newspaper is reporting behind the scenes discussions at UK government level to agree an EU UK Plan B when Plan A fails to get approval in the UK parliament.
Norway EFTA Plus deal most likely end result of Brexit negotiations by March 2019?
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Plan B is for the UK to join the European Free Trade Association EFTA. The Sun says government Secretaries on Remain and Leave side of the argument Michael Gove and Amber Rudd are trying to set up the UK joining EFTA temporarily enroute to eventual full Brexit.
Such a plan is likely to get through the UK parliament with with help of scores of Labour MPs at the expense of Conservative party unity.
Brexiteers in the Tory party are unlikely to vote for EFTA.
Would enough Labour MPs back an EFT Plan B deal to make it work if the EU agreed to enter such a Plan B?
The EU says there is no other deal it is prepared to sign.
Would Germany and France really face up to a no deal Brexit after appeals within UK for General Election and second referendum fail if there was a viable Plan B EFTA deal on table proposed by UK?
Would the existing EFTA members let the UK in enroute out of the EU?
Would an EFTA deal result in the formal split of both the Labour party and Conservative party in UK?
Would the UK left and right politicians come together in a new UK party occupying the centre ground to become a viable third party in UK politics?
25th November 2018 EU27 Endorsed Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration on the future EU UK relations following Brexit In March 2019
EU leaders have approved an agreement on the UKs withdrawal and future relations. The EU27 say that deal agreed by the remaining 27 European Union EU countries is the only deal that is and will be on the table. Future relationship includes
Relationship to based on free trade without tariffs on either side
Continued cooperation on national security
End to free movement
The rubber stamping of the deal took less than 40 minutes at the meeting of EU27 leaders. However 20 months of negotiations is now at an end according to EU27 leaders and UK.
The agreement has yet to be agreed by the UK Parliament. The UK is scheduled to leave the EU on 29 March 2019. European Commission President Jean Claude Juncker said anyone in Britain who thought the EU27 bloc will offer improved terms if MPs rejected the deal would be disappointed.
The UK Parliament is expected to vote on the deal in early December. If the deal fails to get through the UK parliament it is likely that the UK Prime Minister will resign and then all bets are off. Possibilities could include
UK General Election where membership of the EU will be a critical element of the decision though it is not known what the Labour party in UK will have in its manifesto in such an event so how could voters choose which party to vote for. Last General Election 85 percent of UK voters voted for partys which wanted a Brexit.
Another Referendum on membership of the EU but what would be on the ballot. More than one option? Deal or no deal? Deal or Remain part of EU?
Another Brexit deal negotiation with EU on basis of UK parliament voted down first deal. However the EU27 say there is no other Brexit deal except no deal.
No politician in UK parliament or who has left parliament or any political commentator knows for definite what will happen if the UK parliament does not back the EU deal on the table. However most say that the EU deal will not get UK parliament approval ever.
If a General Election in UK or another Referendum did happen that did not have a clear cut decision what would happen?
If another Referendum was to switch to Remain in EU what happens next a third Referendum best of three?
In either of the the above voting processes what damage would UK society and economy suffer? One UK MP was killed during the last Referendum and many people were threatened with their lives.
The least damaging route in short term is for the UK parliament to back the EU UK deal on the table. Whether that is in the long term interests is not clear. The only thing that is certain is Brexit uncertainty is reaching its peak.
19th October 2018 View Of Brexit From German Industry
German industry association BDI has warned that both German and British companies are staring into an economic abyss if there is a no deal Brexit.
The remaining EU27 countries export more to the UK than any other country. More than to China or USA.
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Germany exported 84 billion euros worth of goods to the UK in 2017.
14th October 2018 No Deal Brexit Would Not Be Disaster
According to UK industry leading CEO a no deal Brexit would not be a disaster for the UK economically.
A standard free trade deal of the type agreed between Canada and the EU could cause EU economic growth loss of 0.8 percent.
A soft Brexit with the UK out of the customs union but retaining access to the single market and agreeing to abide by EU rules would imply almost zero cost for the EU as a whole IMF Report.
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9th July 2018 Brexit Secretary and Foreign Secretary Resign Over Brexit
David Davis Brexit Secretary and Boris Johnson Foreign Secretary resign from UK government over the Brexit policy decisions taken by Prime Minister Teresa May.
29th June 2018 Exports Goods and Services At Record High and Trade Gap Narrows
Trade figures released by UK government revealed that in the 12 months to March 2018 UK exports were at an all time high.
EU countries represent around 40 percent of all exports from UK.
Research from Barclays Corporate Banking found that around two thirds of consumers in India and China and around half of consumers in the UAE were prepared to pay more for goods made in the UK because they perceive the quality as higher.
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The trade deficit with the world continued to narrow to 80 billion pounds which is the narrowest UK trade deficit since 2012.
13th June 2018 Global Tech Companies Are Confident In UK Economy
Tech company Salesforce have voted in the UK with their 2.5 billion dollars of their money by announcing a massive investment in the UK over next 5 years. It clearly thinks it can grow further in UK and it could not do that unless the UK economy is strong.
Amazon is to create another 2500 jobs in the UK bringing total workforce in UK to 27500. Google Apple Snapchat and other global tech companies continue to invest in the UK economy.
11th June 2018 Where In The World Got The Highest Foreign Investment in 2017?
Despite Brexit the UK is still the place most overseas investors want to invest their money compared to rest of Europe.
23rd April 2018 – Financial Services Increasingly Confident In Brexit
The British government and senior finance executives said they are increasingly confident Europe will offer financial companies generous market access after Brexit, boosting London’s hopes of retaining its status as a top global financial centre.
Many in the City Of London now believe the remaining European Union EU members will go for easy access to financial market in London based on increased equivalence to prevent disruption to business anywhere in EU.
4th April 2018 – Peugeot Plans New UK Van Production In Luton
Vauxhall plant in Luton chosen by PSA Group to manufacture a planned new van. This demonstrates confidence in UK of a major automotive maker post Brexit.
19th March 2018 – UK and European Union EU Agree Terms For Brexit Transition To UK’s Withdrawal From EU
Brexit negotiators Michel Barnier and David David announce they have agreed term for a transition period in a major breakthrough “decisive step”.
The transition period will run from 29th March 2019 to December 2020 and may lead to the orderly withdrawal of the UK from EU.
In addition, there was also an agreement on the rights of EU citizens in the UK and the rights of UK citizens in the EU.
EU member countries have still to sign-off the agreement on the transition period, perhaps at an EU summit this week. If the EU members agree, then the negotiators will move on to discussions on a permanent future relationship agreement by August 2018 with a view to Brexit in March 2019.
The financial markets liked what they heard and the pound jumped in value.
27th February 2018 Small Medium-Sized SME Factories Sales Expectations Near 3 Year High
Sales expectations of SME factories in UK are near 3-year high due to strong global economy growth and low value of the pound.
National Manufacturing Barometer survey has revealed manufacturing to be the fastest growing sector of Britain’s economy in the final quarter of 2017.
The survey also revealed that more than half of SME manufacturers plan to invest in plant and machinery over the next 6 months. SME manufacturers in UK are more confident in their prospects in 2018 than they were in 2017.
The National Manufacturing Barometer surveyed 320 companies in January 2018
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26th February 2018 Two Labour MPs Discuss Brexit Negotiations
17th January 2018 Deutsche Bank Only Moving Hundreds Jobs Out UK Not Thousands Post Brexit
Deutsche Bank is headquartered in Germany had has told reporters that it will not need to move thousands of UK jobs to the continent post-Brexit. Stefan Hoops, head of Deutsche Bank’s capital market division in Germany explained that they would need to move fewer staff than many have said in the past. One executive previously said 4,000 staff would need to move but the numbers would actually be in the hundreds.
Last week Deutsche Bank Chief Executive was reported as saying that initially several hundred jobs would be created in Frankfurt, Milan and Paris but that is not the same as moving jobs from London.
16th January 2018 Bank of England Thinks Free Trade Deal With EU Including Financial Services Post Brexit Is Possible
It may take three years or more, but contrary to the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, it is possible if the remaining EU27 are prepared to agree such a free trade deal with UK.
Sam Woods, the Bank of England’s deputy governor in charge of Prudential Regulation Authority PRA says a three period to agree a free-trade agreement including financial services could happen because unlike other countries seeking such a free-trade deal, the UK’s financial services are already aligned in terms of financial services rules and supervision.
Sam Woods comments came during his appearance in front of MPs on the Treasury Select Committee.
8th January 2018 City Of London Says Brexit Job Loss Fears May Have Been Exaggerated
The City Of London EU envoy, Jeremy Browne, has been reported as saying that bankinginsurance and asset management job losses to the European Union (EU) may not be as severe as suggested by many including the UK’s ex-Chancellor and now editor of Evening Standard.
Most people were shocked, but that doesn’t mean the implementation of the Brexit vote will be bad for business.
The UK may yet not leave the European Union EU. Great forces will try hard to stop the democratic vote of the people being fully implemented. The people may even change their minds. Anything is possible.
When anything is possible there is increased risk
Increased risk means increased opportunities for growth as well as increased threats.
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If businesses invest their time and energy in controlling the threats from a Brexit and seize the opportunities the UK will benefit from a Brexit. If business leaders can not change or do not have an innovative mindset a Brexit could be bad for the UK economy.
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