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UK economic growth 2018 started more slowly than end of 2017. The UK economy news is normally weaker at the beginning of the calendar year. Most of the UKs economic growth comes as the calendar year progresses.
Governor of the Bank of England Mr Carney
Mr Mark Carney the head of the Bank of England says poor UK economic activity at the beginning of the calendar year 2018 was due to the weather and not UK economic climate.
In addition Mr Carney reports that all slack in the UK economy has been taken up and this is likely to push up UK prices and UK inflation.
With very high levels of employment low levels of unemployment and a million plus job vacancies unfilled it is more likely that wages will increase faster. UK employers will need to pay more to attract candidates and to keep existing staff.
Mr Carney paints a rosier future for the UK economy in 2018 with downside risks including global international trade war. UK interest rates more likely to rise later this year and this should boost value of the UK pound.
Not just shops! Just shopping on the High Street is no longer enough for the consumer nor the High Street. We have to be a bit smarter more innovative and put into action a more radical approach to delivering what people want from the High Street now.
Britains High Streets have a bright future if entrepreneurs business leaders and local planners are a bit smarter
The High Street will become a bigger part of the community not less if we work at building a better future for the High Street in UK.
Retail therapy is still important to many but the High Street can do so much more for the local community
Retail experts have a role to play on the High Street in the UK. They need to be a bit more imaginative creative and innovative to deliver a High Street fit for the future. Selling stuff is no longer enough. Entrepreneurial retailers will sell experiences night and day.
The notice of the Death of the High Street is premature!
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Looking back at past mistakes to make future better
In order to move forward we must look back. If we want to create a better future for our businesses we need to learn the lessons from the mistakes of the past.
Sometimes you have to look back to move forward
Nobody wants to make mistakes. Where they have been made we should not repeat them
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Benefit from others mistakes as well as your own mistakes
Learn how to use past mistakes to make business better. Undertake risk reviews to check what went wrong and why. Develop real risk insight to build your business intelligence.
Often we learn more from failure than success. Ultimate business performance can be higher after lessons learnt. Not reviewing risk management errors condemns you to repeating them.
Transform your business on back of past mistakes. Your past mistakes can be the foundation of your future success. However do not dwell on past mistakes. Learn lessons move on but do not keep picking wounds.
Step into your future by looking back at past mistakes
Collaborate with business leaders around world. Learn lessons from their mistakes and from businesses not in the collaboration. Review business mistakes so we do not suffer same fate.
The Bigger Risk To Financial Services Jobs Is Automation Or Robots Not Brexit
Ignore the threat to financial services industry jobs of Brexit. You should be much more worried about the threat of robots. Job automation is the biggest finance sector threat and opportunity.
Job Automation Risk To Your Financial Sector Job
No doubt. Financial services industry is very important to the UK economy. If financial services jobs were lost other sectors would be affected. Fewer services jobs needed to service those in financial services jobs!
Many jobs in financial services are high paid jobs. Top British bankers are paid much more than elsewhere. Resistance to moving to Germany is as much about personal reasons. The UK economy may or may not suffer after Brexit. Bankers will suffer.
However people in financial services are facing automation existential threat. Never mind moving to Germany your job is going full stop!
FinTech company jobs will be prevalent. Bankers less so. Most financial services jobs can be done faster cheaper better. Robots will be
more reliable and
after a few years significantly cheaper
How long do you think the C Suite will keep your job. If job automation is better for bonuses your job is toast!
Existing financial services jobs are like UK miners jobs. The buildings will remain but the people in them will be different. Cyber security and fintech risk managers will be plentiful.
Banks insurers and funds will need cyber experts. They will stop external and internal threats to money.
Fintech risk managers will direct risk appetite and risk tolerance
C suite virtual bankers insurers fund managers will be wealthier
Wealthier investors but more at risk of systemic industry collapse
Software developers will frequent the bars and restaurants. Existing financial services people will be there waiting on tables!
Most existing financial services jobs will be lost to job automation. Do not doubt this for a second!
However it is not all doom and gloom. The key to survive is to move into the new financial services sector jobs. Some new financial services jobs do not exist right now! You must change your skills set to take advantage and survive.
Its not just the top bankers that need worry. Indeed they are the ones most likely to easily morph. Financial services jobs most at risk
Financial and investment advice
Any financial services sector job your current phone app replaces!
Consumers have a choice to use financial services apps and websites. In future the consumer will have no choice. Financial services consumers will not speak to people. People will be gone replaced by job automation. The robots will have taken over the financial services world!
There is no point in complaining. No point arguing with us. Better spending your time reskilling instead. Stop worrying about Brexit. Start retraining to overcome threat of job automation. Learn tech skills not German!
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Pan European Business Collaboration
Eurozone European Union EU or European Economic Area EEA free trade. Whatever your business relationship with UK collaborate more on BusinessRiskTV.com. Cooperate to sell more to each other more easily.
Whether you align yourself with just UK EU Eurozone or EEA or none of them
Trading more brings down barriers. Every free trade agreement has an edge demarcation or barrier. Pull down barriers by trading more freely one to one. Then national barriers will fall.
EEA provides for the free movement of persons, goods, services and capital within the European Single Market
To get the most out of your business assets you do not need a free trade agreement. It does not matter if you are in favour of Brexit or not. You have to manage the threats and opportunities from Brexit. If your business is in the UK EU EEA or on the other side of the world trade more.
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You do not need to do what we recommend. What we recommend will increase your opportunities for business growth.
There is an argument that the EU27 were being held back by UK. Maybe UK is being held back from global growth by EU? Most business leaders no longer care.
Most do not trade outside of their country
Most just want to know what the new environment is
Most will get on fine with whatever is agreed
Our role is not to meddle with the politics. What will be will be. Our duty is to make the best out of the finalised deal. BusinessRiskTV.com will help business leaders wherever they are trade more profitably.
Get help restructuring your risk management framework
Upgrade your framework for implementing risk management. Pick up more information on designing the risk management framework that supports your risk management process.
Define your risk management framework for supporting enterprise risk management principles and practices.
If you have the mandate and commitment for enterprise risk management from the top of your organisation you can begin building the risk management framework to make the risk assessment process work well.
You need to clearly define where you are now and where you want to be including the benefits you want from embarking on embedding enterprise risk management.
What is the context or reasons for wanting to change the way you manage risks?
Develop you own risk management policy and communicate it to all stakeholders in the business. Work on what you need to do to embed enterprise risk management within your normal business decision making process.
Implement your new enterprise risk management framework
Implement your chosen risk management process
Monitor review and update your risk management systems
Constantly work at improving your risk management framework.
Your risk management framework should clearly define how you are going to communicate your enterprise risk management policy and procedures. Key people in the enterprise risk management framework should have clearly defined roles and responsibilities to support the risk management process.
Your risk management strategy should set out the objectives that risk management activities in the organisation are seeking to achieve.
Create a risk management framework to support better enterprise-wide decision making
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Will your strategy for business success fail or fail to achieve more?
Analysing your business strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats will help you understand your business better and the marketplace within which you need to succeed. By identifying where you are now within the market will facilitate any assessment of the best strategies for future business success.
Decide how best to allocate your limited resources to get the best return of your invest of money and time
Assess which weaknesses and threats to mitigate and which to accept
Assess which strengths you need to capitalise upon
Assess which new business opportunities will bring greatest reward from the same cost of capital and management time.
Set a new strategy for business success with more confidence
Not only must you protect your business but you must explore the opportunity cost of not doing something that could bring greater rewards with the same cost.
By getting the most from your money and time you can maximise the profitability of your business.
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We are linking up with people around the world to be more innovative and to sell more profitably
It’s a big world out there! A lot of people or other businesses need what you are offering. They just need to know why you are the better than your competitors at delivering what you are offering.
We are working with like-minded individuals around the world to create new business opportunities for everyone on the bus.
LinkedIn Risk Management Online group members number more than 27,000
BusinessRiskTV members work for mutual benefit and business growth. Complete the form at the bottom of this page and enter code #BusinessRiskTV
One quick way to keep up with developments so that you can hop on the bus at the right time for you is via Twitter @ERMuk
Use our tools and techniques to boost your business opportunities around the world. We can help you develop new income in your normal markets but we encourage you to look beyond the norm and aim for global domination!
Mitigating Threats To Your Business Maximise The Benefits Of Disrupting Your Industry
Horizon scanning will give you more time to be proactive and have less need to be reactive
BusinessRiskTVs network of business partners and clients are collaborating to protect businesses better and grow faster. Stress testing the world economy in cooperation with like-minded individuals will break down threats into manageable portions that the network members can then digest more manageably.
Our scenario planning consultants will help business leaders and entrepreneurs analyse global risks to assess the impact on network members. They will look at political economic social technological legal and economic risk factors affecting specific countries or industries analysis the potential impact on business and identify better ways to manage threats and seize new business development opportunities.
Global Business Magazine
Next Financial Crisis Will Come Cause Have Not Learnt Lesson From 2008 Financial Crisis
Overproduction of steel and steel products is building pressure for global trade wars between USAChinaEU and the rest of the world.
Excess steel capacity should be dealt with in a global forum for the problem to avoid an escalation of trade disputes according to OECD following USAs plans to introduce import tariffs on steel.
Leaders of G20 advanced economic countries set up the Global Forum on Steel Excess Capacity in September 2016 to deal with the problem and charged the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD to facilitate its work.
Biggest Most Developed Countries Including G20 Unemployment Back To Pre-Financial Crisis Levels
Joblessness across 35 OECD countries fell to 5.6 percent in October 2017 down from a peak of 8.5 percent in 2010.
Coordinated enterprise risk management actions
The network will work on specific projects in a coordinated way to aggregate business assets and share benefit outcomes.
Exploring the future of automotive industry on BusinessRiskTV.com
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New Automotive Industry Entrants and Cross Sector Collaboration Will Bring New Threats and Opportunities
31st October 2019 PSA Group the owner of Peugeot and Fiat Chrysler Agree 50 Billion Dollar Merger
The merger will create the fourth largest automotive manufacturer in the world. The merger is needed strategically due to the significant investment required by both firms to keep up with the competition. Both firms need to invest heavily in electric cars and driverless technology to be ready now never mind the future sustainability.
28th August 2019 Toyota and Suzuki Collaborating On Self Driving Car Technology
Toyota and Suzuki announce they are working together on self driving car technology.
Toyota will take a 4.9 percent share of Suzuki Motor Corp and Suzuki will invest in Toyota
22nd August 2019 Audi Daimler Ford and BMW Developing Alliance To Build Advanced Driving Assistance and Autonomous Systems According German Wirtschaftswoche Article.
The automotive manufacturers are collaborating on autonomous driving and parking systems.
The 4th industrial revolution is about to turn the automotive industry upside down rip up traditional business models and will come out the other side better and stronger but very different.
Many new features in cars and other vehicles that took a decade to normalise across the industry will need to be incorporated in a few short years. The automotive industry as always evolved but a revolution is under way.
Those who don’t keep up will be squashed to death!
Those that get on the bus will see a very different road ahead.
Those that resist change will cease to exist, and those that embrace change may or may not benefit from the changes
The pace of change within components that do or could go into vehicles is fast but the pace in which the automotive industry is changing is breath-taking, and its accelerating!
The world’s auto industry will have more customers demands to meet, but what are they going to deliver and when? Automated vehicles powered by renewable energy is nothing new. How quickly can society keep up with what is possible on the roads? Will automotive industry take to the skies! Will we get into autonomous vehicles AV and literally fly to work whilst playing computer games! Will the automobile get swallowed up whole by Google Apple and Sony?
The greatest challenge for the car industry is very similar to the greatest challenge for all gadgets gizmos plant machinery and equipment particularly those presently powered by carbon based power sources. Its battery technology that needs to change.
Tesla is leading the way not in cars but in batteries. Tesla batteries are being used to store power from the National Grid in the UK and then being fed back into the UK national electricity network when needed.
Decarbonisation is one factor driving the need to boost battery power for longer on remote items of plant and equipment like cars. However battery technology is key for all parts of global society for different reasons. In less well developed economies battery technology improvement will create new markets domestically and international trade development. In well developed economies like UK battery technology improvements will totally change what we manufacture and how we manufacture it.
Dyson cars will lock horns with Tesla cars but both will invest more in batteries than car design.
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3rd October 2018 GM and Honda New Project
General Motors and Honda have announced a partnership to develop and build an autonomous multi use vehicle together.
13th June 2018 VW Fined 1 Billion Euros By German Prosecutors
Volkswagen has been fined by German prosecutors for diesel emissions scandal. VW has already been fined by other countries for cheating the tests for diesel emissions. VW has agreed to pay more than 4 billion dollars to resolve criminal and civil penalties for installing illegal software in diesel engines to cheat USA anti pollution tests.
Understanding global risks is important for all business leaders. Identifying and assessing the global risks in 2018 is not a once a year task.
Existing risks will morph into bigger risks to your business
Small smaller risks will combine to create an aggregate risk that could even threaten the survival of your business.
Emerging risks not obvious at the time of the report, could subside and just be accepted or they could gather momentum and threaten business objectives.
In addition the risks that could threaten some businesses could present an opportunity for your business to grow faster but if you miss the start of the opportunity you could miss the boat entirely or fail to maximise the potential rewards from the opportunity.
Unlike other less dynamic reporting systems companies or entitys BusinessRiskTV will provide you with regular risk reports to help you manage enterprise risks more proactively to mitigate threats to your business better and seize new business development opportunities earlier.
In short, BusinessRiskTV is less about looking back and offering expert risk reports with hindsight and more about looking forward with more dynamic forecasts backed up with practical risk management solutions for both the upside and downside aspects to global risks as it affects your business wherever you are in the world.
Confederation of British Industry CBI Is Politically Motivated and Industry Biased Reports
Absolutely no one can state with absolute certainty what the impact of Brexit will be on UK economy. Most of the articles on the impact of Brexit are politically biased Leave or Remain as there is still a fight for the result of the real Brexit vote.
Many reports including the ones from the CBI are also industry biased. The industry most likely though not guaranteed to suffer if and when the UK leaves the European Union EU will be the financial services industry. This particular industry could actually also be the main industry benefactor from Brexit too but a lot will depend on the end deal with the EU.
Most business leaders in the UK can not control Brexit but they can control the impact of Brexit on their own business
Do not let the CBI the media or your mother dictate how you react to Brexit should it eventually happen. Deal with what you know for certain. The value of the UK pound has fallen against a basket of foreign currencies because the financial markets do not like uncertainty and it is highly uncertain if there will be a Brexit, and if it happens what kind of Brexit it will be. The UK certainly has a massive opportunity right now, never mind March 2019 or later to sell more overseas.
UK business leaders need to lay the foundations for a better future whether Brexit happens or not
Seize the day! The devaluation of the UK pound will remain as it is or devalue further over the next few years unless Brexit is stopped. This devaluation negates most of the trade tariffs that could be imposed by EU or are imposed by other non EU countries already.
Don’t wait for tariff free agreements from wherever they might come. Tariff free agreements could become the cherry on top of the cake for UK international traders. Tariff free agreements could also boost the value of the pound and there will be no net benefit from the signing of tariff free agreement in terms of the cost of your products or services to overseas buyers from your business in UK.
UK business leaders will look back on this period of UK economic history and think they missed a massive business opportunity to sell more overseas
This is the time to sell more overseas not when free trade agreements have been signed if they ever get signed.
Economic uncertainty has brought a massive opportunity as well as threat to UK businesses. Many UK business manufacturers have already exploited this perceived UK economy weakness to export more. If you want to concentrate your focus on the UK domestic market alone, then we wish you well.
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UK Business Leaders Finding Innovative Ways To Be More Successful
Business innovation is the most important way to beat other companies to find new income streams and develop profitability in the UK.
UK Business Leaders must seize the opportunities which will flow from Brexit if they are to survive and prosper. Even incremental gains in existing business practices can help secure a more resilient future.
Business innovation doesn’t grow on trees! It needs a framework and a creative business culture to provide a real insight into how a business can change to take the opportunities it has in front of it.
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27th February 2018 Small Medium Sized SME Factories Sales Expectations Near 3-Year High
Sales expectations of SME factories in UK are near 3 year high due to strong global economy growth and low value of the pound.
National Manufacturing Barometer survey has revealed manufacturing to be the fastest growing sector of Britain’s economy in the final quarter of 2017.
The survey also revealed that more than half of SME manufacturers plan to invest in plant and machinery over the next 6 months. SME manufacturers in UK are more confident in their prospects in 2018 than they were in 2017.
The National Manufacturing Barometer surveyed 320 companies in January 2018
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