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UK economic growth 2018 started more slowly than end of 2017. The UK economy news is normally weaker at the beginning of the calendar year. Most of the UKs economic growth comes as the calendar year progresses.
Mr Mark Carney the head of the Bank of England says poor UK economic activity at the beginning of the calendar year 2018 was due to the weather and not UK economic climate.
In addition Mr Carney reports that all slack in the UK economy has been taken up and this is likely to push up UK prices and UK inflation.
With very high levels of employment low levels of unemployment and a million plus job vacancies unfilled it is more likely that wages will increase faster. UK employers will need to pay more to attract candidates and to keep existing staff.
Mr Carney paints a rosier future for the UK economy in 2018 with downside risks including global international trade war. UK interest rates more likely to rise later this year and this should boost value of the UK pound.
Not just shops! Just shopping on the High Street is no longer enough for the consumer nor the High Street. We have to be a bit smarter more innovative and put into action a more radical approach to delivering what people want from the High Street now.
Britains High Streets have a bright future if entrepreneurs business leaders and local planners are a bit smarter
The High Street will become a bigger part of the community not less if we work at building a better future for the High Street in UK.
Retail experts have a role to play on the High Street in the UK. They need to be a bit more imaginative creative and innovative to deliver a High Street fit for the future. Selling stuff is no longer enough. Entrepreneurial retailers will sell experiences night and day.
The notice of the Death of the High Street is premature!
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The corporate risks behind the latest news headlines put under the spotlight to identify the lessons business leaders need to learn to protect their own business. Grow faster with less uncertainty about risks on horizon or here right now.
In order to move forward we must look back. If we want to create a better future for our businesses we need to learn the lessons from the mistakes of the past.
Nobody wants to make mistakes. Where they have been made we should not repeat them
Learn how to use past mistakes to make business better. Undertake risk reviews to check what went wrong and why. Develop real risk insight to build your business intelligence.
Often we learn more from failure than success. Ultimate business performance can be higher after lessons learnt. Not reviewing risk management errors condemns you to repeating them.
Transform your business on back of past mistakes. Your past mistakes can be the foundation of your future success. However do not dwell on past mistakes. Learn lessons move on but do not keep picking wounds.
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Ignore the threat to financial services industry jobs of Brexit. You should be much more worried about the threat of robots. Job automation is the biggest finance sector threat and opportunity.
No doubt. Financial services industry is very important to the UK economy. If financial services jobs were lost other sectors would be affected. Fewer services jobs needed to service those in financial services jobs!
Many jobs in financial services are high paid jobs. Top British bankers are paid much more than elsewhere. Resistance to moving to Germany is as much about personal reasons. The UK economy may or may not suffer after Brexit. Bankers will suffer.
However people in financial services are facing automation existential threat. Never mind moving to Germany your job is going full stop!
FinTech company jobs will be prevalent. Bankers less so. Most financial services jobs can be done faster cheaper better. Robots will be
How long do you think the C Suite will keep your job. If job automation is better for bonuses your job is toast!
Existing financial services jobs are like UK miners jobs. The buildings will remain but the people in them will be different. Cyber security and fintech risk managers will be plentiful.
Most existing financial services jobs will be lost to job automation. Do not doubt this for a second!
However it is not all doom and gloom. The key to survive is to move into the new financial services sector jobs. Some new financial services jobs do not exist right now! You must change your skills set to take advantage and survive.
Its not just the top bankers that need worry. Indeed they are the ones most likely to easily morph. Financial services jobs most at risk
Consumers have a choice to use financial services apps and websites. In future the consumer will have no choice. Financial services consumers will not speak to people. People will be gone replaced by job automation. The robots will have taken over the financial services world!
There is no point in complaining. No point arguing with us. Better spending your time reskilling instead. Stop worrying about Brexit. Start retraining to overcome threat of job automation. Learn tech skills not German!
Many populations fear big job loss from automation: survey https://t.co/rq5p8BYIiK #AutomationRisk #AutomationRisks #RobotRisks #AutomationRiskAssessment
— Risk Manager (@ERMuk) September 14, 2018
Practical ways to manage risk better. Tackle common business risks holistically enterprise wide. Learn best practice risk management techniques in business.
External or internal driven risks threaten your business. They also create new business development opportunities. Reducing the effect of uncertainty on your business is important.
How do you manage enterprise risks? Do you put risk into different silos like safety, insurance, cyber risk, sales strategy etc? They can be rolled into one holistic risk based approach.
What is the most effective way for a business to manage risk? Look at what you are trying to achieve? Could you achieve more with your existing assets? Has good luck been saving you from disaster?
Understand the bigger picture first. When you know what risk you have then manage it.
There is danger being in business. Danger that you could blow your value. Danger you could under perform.
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Upgrade your framework for implementing risk management. Pick up more information on designing the risk management framework that supports your risk management process.
Define your risk management framework for supporting enterprise risk management principles and practices.
If you have the mandate and commitment for enterprise risk management from the top of your organisation you can begin building the risk management framework to make the risk assessment process work well.
You need to clearly define where you are now and where you want to be including the benefits you want from embarking on embedding enterprise risk management.
What is the context or reasons for wanting to change the way you manage risks?
Develop you own risk management policy and communicate it to all stakeholders in the business. Work on what you need to do to embed enterprise risk management within your normal business decision making process.
Constantly work at improving your risk management framework.
Your risk management framework should clearly define how you are going to communicate your enterprise risk management policy and procedures. Key people in the enterprise risk management framework should have clearly defined roles and responsibilities to support the risk management process.
Your risk management strategy should set out the objectives that risk management activities in the organisation are seeking to achieve.
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Analysing your business strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats will help you understand your business better and the marketplace within which you need to succeed. By identifying where you are now within the market will facilitate any assessment of the best strategies for future business success.
Not only must you protect your business but you must explore the opportunity cost of not doing something that could bring greater rewards with the same cost.
By getting the most from your money and time you can maximise the profitability of your business.
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It’s a big world out there! A lot of people or other businesses need what you are offering. They just need to know why you are the better than your competitors at delivering what you are offering.
We are working with like-minded individuals around the world to create new business opportunities for everyone on the bus.
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One quick way to keep up with developments so that you can hop on the bus at the right time for you is via Twitter @ERMukUse our tools and techniques to boost your business opportunities around the world. We can help you develop new income in your normal markets but we encourage you to look beyond the norm and aim for global domination!
Horizon scanning will give you more time to be proactive and have less need to be reactive
BusinessRiskTVs network of business partners and clients are collaborating to protect businesses better and grow faster. Stress testing the world economy in cooperation with like-minded individuals will break down threats into manageable portions that the network members can then digest more manageably.
Our scenario planning consultants will help business leaders and entrepreneurs analyse global risks to assess the impact on network members. They will look at political economic social technological legal and economic risk factors affecting specific countries or industries analysis the potential impact on business and identify better ways to manage threats and seize new business development opportunities.
Next Financial Crisis Will Come Cause Have Not Learnt Lesson From 2008 Financial Crisis
Ten Years After the Crisis They’re Doing the Same Thing and Expecting Different Results https://t.co/55Sa7IguFS #GlobalEconomy #FinancialCrisis #RiskManagement #RiskReview #RiskReport
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) September 15, 2018
Excess Steel Capacity Building Trade Wars
Overproduction of steel and steel products is building pressure for global trade wars between USA China EU and the rest of the world.
Excess steel capacity should be dealt with in a global forum for the problem to avoid an escalation of trade disputes according to OECD following USAs plans to introduce import tariffs on steel.
Leaders of G20 advanced economic countries set up the Global Forum on Steel Excess Capacity in September 2016 to deal with the problem and charged the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD to facilitate its work.
Biggest Most Developed Countries Including G20 Unemployment Back To Pre-Financial Crisis Levels
Joblessness across 35 OECD countries fell to 5.6 percent in October 2017 down from a peak of 8.5 percent in 2010.
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The 4th industrial revolution is about to turn the automotive industry upside down rip up traditional business models and will come out the other side better and stronger but very different.
Many new features in cars and other vehicles that took a decade to normalise across the industry will need to be incorporated in a few short years. The automotive industry as always evolved but a revolution is under way.
The pace of change within components that do or could go into vehicles is fast but the pace in which the automotive industry is changing is breath-taking, and its accelerating!
The world’s auto industry will have more customers demands to meet, but what are they going to deliver and when? Automated vehicles powered by renewable energy is nothing new. How quickly can society keep up with what is possible on the roads? Will automotive industry take to the skies! Will we get into autonomous vehicles AV and literally fly to work whilst playing computer games! Will the automobile get swallowed up whole by Google Apple and Sony?
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3rd October 2018 GM and Honda New Project
General Motors and Honda have announced a partnership to develop and build an autonomous multi use vehicle together.
13th June 2018 VW Fined 1 Billion Euros By German Prosecutors
Volkswagen has been fined by German prosecutors for diesel emissions scandal. VW has already been fined by other countries for cheating the tests for diesel emissions. VW has agreed to pay more than 4 billion dollars to resolve criminal and civil penalties for installing illegal software in diesel engines to cheat USA anti pollution tests.
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15th March 2018 Auto Parts Maker New Strategic Direction
Automotive parts supplier Magna International Inc will invest $200 million in ride-hailing firm Lyft. Their new partnership will develop and manufacture self driving cars.
20th February 2018 Ford Aims To Set Up German Bank To Offset Any Brexit Risk
Ford wants to set up a bank in Germany in late 2018 and has applied for a banking licence as part of Ford’s strategy to mitigate any risk from Britain leaving the European Union after the Brexit vote in June 2016.
Ford Credit Europe will remain headquartered in Britain and the new bank plans will not result in job losses or significant changes to where employees are based.
Understanding global risks is important for all business leaders. Identifying and assessing the global risks in 2018 is not a once a year task.
In addition the risks that could threaten some businesses could present an opportunity for your business to grow faster but if you miss the start of the opportunity you could miss the boat entirely or fail to maximise the potential rewards from the opportunity.
Unlike other less dynamic reporting systems companies or entitys BusinessRiskTV will provide you with regular risk reports to help you manage enterprise risks more proactively to mitigate threats to your business better and seize new business development opportunities earlier.
In short, BusinessRiskTV is less about looking back and offering expert risk reports with hindsight and more about looking forward with more dynamic forecasts backed up with practical risk management solutions for both the upside and downside aspects to global risks as it affects your business wherever you are in the world.
BusinessRiskTT will reduce the effort required to identify what your business needs to do next after assessing the magnitude of the risk to your country or industry in easy to understand language.
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Absolutely no one can state with absolute certainty what the impact of Brexit will be on UK economy. Most of the articles on the impact of Brexit are politically biased Leave or Remain as there is still a fight for the result of the real Brexit vote.
Many reports including the ones from the CBI are also industry biased. The industry most likely though not guaranteed to suffer if and when the UK leaves the European Union EU will be the financial services industry. This particular industry could actually also be the main industry benefactor from Brexit too but a lot will depend on the end deal with the EU.
Do not let the CBI the media or your mother dictate how you react to Brexit should it eventually happen. Deal with what you know for certain. The value of the UK pound has fallen against a basket of foreign currencies because the financial markets do not like uncertainty and it is highly uncertain if there will be a Brexit, and if it happens what kind of Brexit it will be. The UK certainly has a massive opportunity right now, never mind March 2019 or later to sell more overseas.
Seize the day! The devaluation of the UK pound will remain as it is or devalue further over the next few years unless Brexit is stopped. This devaluation negates most of the trade tariffs that could be imposed by EU or are imposed by other non EU countries already.
Don’t wait for tariff free agreements from wherever they might come. Tariff free agreements could become the cherry on top of the cake for UK international traders. Tariff free agreements could also boost the value of the pound and there will be no net benefit from the signing of tariff free agreement in terms of the cost of your products or services to overseas buyers from your business in UK.
This is the time to sell more overseas not when free trade agreements have been signed if they ever get signed.
Economic uncertainty has brought a massive opportunity as well as threat to UK businesses. Many UK business manufacturers have already exploited this perceived UK economy weakness to export more. If you want to concentrate your focus on the UK domestic market alone, then we wish you well.
If you want to explore ways to sell more and export more from the UK then click here – and enter code UK EXPORTER when you complete form. Alternatively, complete the form below and enter same code.
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27th February 2018 Small Medium Sized SME Factories Sales Expectations Near 3-Year High
Sales expectations of SME factories in UK are near 3 year high due to strong global economy growth and low value of the pound.
National Manufacturing Barometer survey has revealed manufacturing to be the fastest growing sector of Britain’s economy in the final quarter of 2017.
The survey also revealed that more than half of SME manufacturers plan to invest in plant and machinery over the next 6 months. SME manufacturers in UK are more confident in their prospects in 2018 than they were in 2017.
The National Manufacturing Barometer surveyed 320 companies in January 2018
Move beyond the theory of enterprise risk management to integrate it into your business processes https://t.co/1BINeI69jH #businessadvice pic.twitter.com/6Qb37SghpT
— Risk Manager (@ERMuk) September 24, 2017
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9th January 2019 World Bank Forecasting 2.9 Percent Global Economic Growth For 2019
The World Banks assessment of global risks in 2019 has led it to conclude the global economy will continue to slow in 2019 and 2020. Global economic growth in 2020 has been pitched at 2.8 percent.
Risk factors include
2nd January 2019 Slower Global Economic Growth In 2019
Global economic growth will slow if the hangover from 2018 continues in 2019.
On the upside could be lower energy costs from the continued oversupply of oil to the marketplace suppressing the price of oil and products made from oil.
In addition if political risks ease or reverse the global economy could actually receive a boost. For example there are indications that China is prepared to do a deal with USA. If this happens then 2019 could become a lot more positive.
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14th December 2018 Weak China and Europe Economic Data Reported
Worries of continuing global economic slowdown spread to stock markets around the world.
The Euro zone economy is expanding at slowest pace in over four years due to global trade restrictions and particularly poor economic performance in France.
The European Union EU has not thrown UK Prime Minister a bone to help her get her Brexit deal through UK parliament. This indicates it is highly likely she will have to pivot but to what?
21st November 2018 Trade Disputes and Higher Central Bank Interest Rates Are Slowing Global Economy
On the positive side there are currently no signs of a sharp economic downturn according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD.
The OECD is currently forecasting that global growth would slow from 3.7 percent this year to 3.5 percent in 2019 and 2020. It had previously projected 3.7 percent for 2019.
13th November 2018 Global Growth Is Slowing
According to the International Monetary Fund IMF a number of the bigger economies are slowing and they could suddenly contract should there be a major risk event.
Key global growth risk factors include
The IMF forecasts global growth for 2018 to 2019 to remain at its 2017 level of 3.7 percent but the growth outlook for a number of major economies has been marked down.
Global growth outlook for 2019 dims for first time – Reuters polls #GlobalEconomy #GlobalReview https://t.co/CQav7gvrVb
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) October 22, 2018
World is sleepwalking towards another financial crisis, former UK PM Brown warns https://t.co/Q52RH83WvI #FinancialCrisis #GlobalRisk #RiskManagement #RiskMag
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) September 13, 2018
17th April 2018 Global Economic Growth 3.5 Percent
Institute of International Finance IIF forecasting faster global economic growth. IIF increased global economic growth for 2018 to 3.5 percent. Much of the increase in growth down to USA tax cuts. These will not only power USA growth but global growth.
16th March 2018 Global Growth Strongest In 7 Years
According to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development OECD global economic growth is growing faster than at any other time in last 7 years. It is forecasting economic growth at 3.9 percent for 2018.
Threats to global economic growth include growing trade war between most other countries and USA as well as other geopolitical issues like Russia v EU / UK, North Korea and the ever present tensions in Middle East.
14th March 2018 A Credit Rating Agency Fitch Has Suggested Global Economic Growth Is Strong and Accelerating
Global economic growth is rising faster now than it has for around a decade.
Unemployment is falling, money is still cheap in most parts of the world and corporate investment is strong.
Fitch is forecasting global economic growth of 3.3 percent in 2018 and 3.2 percent in 2019. Last year it was 3.2 percent according to Fitch.
27th February 2018 You Should Be Optimistic About Your Future
Global growth prospects for 2018-19 are improving and accelerating. Most parts of the world are looking to a better 2018 than 2017 in terms of economic growth and 2017 was one of the best year’s for growth in close to a decade.
Not every business will take advantage of increasing global economic growth, just like not all businesses went bust during the financial crisis starting in 2007 to 2008. The rising tide of business opportunities creates the environment for your business to grow much faster in 2018.
Corporate business leaders in UK who look for new business development opportunities will find them.
If you do not think you have time to explore business growth opportunities, you may get the opportunity to reflect at your leisure after your business collapses. Those companies that fail to grow may find they contract or even fail to survive.
7th February 2018 International Monetary Fund Chief Economist Says Global Economy Growing Faster
The IMF’s chief economist is reported as saying that world economic fundamentals are strong. There is increased trading and more business investment. As a result major economies are the world are growing faster than expected. He sees very broad-based global growth.
2nd February 2018 BusinessRiskTV Forecasts The Economic Forecasts Will Get Global Growth Wrong For 2018
Many economists are forecasting around the 4 percent mark for global economic growth in 2018. BusinessRiskTV forecasts this will underplay the global economic boom that is set to happen in 2018.
If a major global event occurs like World War 111 then growth will be slower but if World War 3 happens we will not care about economic forecasts any longer! Such geopolitical risk events aside we can look around the world and see great news unfolding:
We’ll look back on 2018 as the real start of the 4th Industrial Revolution as many new developments will turn into fast growing businesses and global productivity will start to increase overcoming the bad old days of doing business.
8th January 2018 Global Economy Forecasts: Increasingly More Positive Business Outlook
Previously poorly performing eurozone helping to drive more upbeat global economic outlook.
A survey for Sentix index indicated eurozone business leader confidence is at its highest level since August 2007. The global economy in all regions is looking more positive.
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8th October 2017 International Monetary Fund IMF Managing Director Says We Need More Training
Christine Lagarde thinks global business leaders need more education and training to make global business recovery sustainable.
Business leaders need to invest more to overcome a recent lack of training in risk management skills and tools to seize new business growth opportunities from the internet. This is especially important with a growing skills shortage in the UK.
Find yourself getting stuck & can’t move forward because you don’t know the answer to one or more questions? https://t.co/ujvDYYrZbf #Risk pic.twitter.com/zfjXkvdBOJ
— Risk Manager (@ERMuk) June 10, 2017
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Ways To Expand Your Business With More Sustainable Sales https://t.co/yg6vbCmj0s #BusinessExpansion #BusinessDevelopment #BusinessGrowth #BusinessTips #BusinessAdvice pic.twitter.com/bxG994Dryb
— Risk Manager (@ERMuk) April 6, 2018
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— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) June 10, 2017
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15th February 2019 Retail Sales Jump More Than At Any Time Since December 2016
The Office for National Statistics ONS reports the amount of goods sold rose by 4.2 percent in January year on year the biggest annual rise since December 2016.
UK consumers show that record employment levels and rising standard of living will keep them spending regardless of Brexit. Wages continue to outstrip inflation indeed as inflation rate slows and wages increase faster the UK standard of living is accelerating.
It’s not Brexit Britain most likely to suffer recession. It’s Germany #GermanyRecession https://t.co/4Nkw7qP53h
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) January 8, 2019
27th December 2018 French Constriction Group Shows Confidence In UK Economy Post Brexit Deal or No Deal
French construction group Vinci is buying a majority stake in Gatwick airport for 3 billion pounds. It is expecting Gatwick airport to be busier than it is now whether Britain leaves the European Union EU with a deal or without a deal.
Current Gatwick owners Global Infrastructure Partners GIP will sell a 50.01 percent stake to Vinci Airports. Vinci Airports has over 40 airports globally across Europe Asia and the Americas.
Gatwick is already the UKs second biggest airport and the 8th busiest airport in Europe by passenger numbers. However Vinci Airports will need to get significantly more than 3 billion pounds out of Gatwick purchase before it can start to turn extra value out of the investment. Where will it come from if Brexit crashes the UK economy?
26th November 2018 Brexit Plan B Most Likely End Destination For UK EU
The Sun newspaper is reporting behind the scenes discussions at UK government level to agree an EU UK Plan B when Plan A fails to get approval in the UK parliament.
Norway EFTA Plus deal most likely end result of Brexit negotiations by March 2019?
Plan B is for the UK to join the European Free Trade Association EFTA. The Sun says government Secretaries on Remain and Leave side of the argument Michael Gove and Amber Rudd are trying to set up the UK joining EFTA temporarily enroute to eventual full Brexit.
The EU says there is no other deal it is prepared to sign.
Maybe UK political uncertainty has not yet peaked!
25th November 2018 EU27 Endorsed Withdrawal Agreement and Political Declaration on the future EU UK relations following Brexit In March 2019
EU leaders have approved an agreement on the UKs withdrawal and future relations. The EU27 say that deal agreed by the remaining 27 European Union EU countries is the only deal that is and will be on the table. Future relationship includes
The rubber stamping of the deal took less than 40 minutes at the meeting of EU27 leaders. However 20 months of negotiations is now at an end according to EU27 leaders and UK.
The agreement has yet to be agreed by the UK Parliament. The UK is scheduled to leave the EU on 29 March 2019. European Commission President Jean Claude Juncker said anyone in Britain who thought the EU27 bloc will offer improved terms if MPs rejected the deal would be disappointed.
The UK Parliament is expected to vote on the deal in early December. If the deal fails to get through the UK parliament it is likely that the UK Prime Minister will resign and then all bets are off. Possibilities could include
No politician in UK parliament or who has left parliament or any political commentator knows for definite what will happen if the UK parliament does not back the EU deal on the table. However most say that the EU deal will not get UK parliament approval ever.
The least damaging route in short term is for the UK parliament to back the EU UK deal on the table. Whether that is in the long term interests is not clear. The only thing that is certain is Brexit uncertainty is reaching its peak.
Britain eyes stronger economy in Brexit year https://t.co/jJTaN8igI5 #Budget2018 #Budget18
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) October 30, 2018
19th October 2018 View Of Brexit From German Industry
German industry association BDI has warned that both German and British companies are staring into an economic abyss if there is a no deal Brexit.
The remaining EU27 countries export more to the UK than any other country. More than to China or USA.
Germany exported 84 billion euros worth of goods to the UK in 2017.
UK automation picks up as flow of European workers slows ahead of Brexit https://t.co/dSMcUOm6ts #Brexit #ManufacturingUK #UKmanufacturers
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) October 14, 2018
14th October 2018 No Deal Brexit Would Not Be Disaster
According to UK industry leading CEO a no deal Brexit would not be a disaster for the UK economically.
Next Plc chief executive Simon Wolfson was speaking to BBCs Andrew Marr when he concluded that although a no deal Brexit would not be the ideal outcome it would not be a disaster for the UK economy. He did encourage all UK business leaders to get prepared for a no deal Brexit. He feels that such preparations would help the UK government secure a good deal with the European Union EU.
Theresa May’s new Chequers deal proposals would deliver immediate boost to economy, Mark Carney suggests https://t.co/OrOjaZo9L5 #ChecquersDeal #Checquers #Brexit #BrexitNews
— Online Manager (@RetirementMag) September 16, 2018
19th July 2018 International Monetary Fund IMF Reports On Effect Of Brexit On Europe
A no deal Brexit could reduce the whole European Unions EU economic growth by 1.5 percent.
A standard free trade deal of the type agreed between Canada and the EU could cause EU economic growth loss of 0.8 percent.
A soft Brexit with the UK out of the customs union but retaining access to the single market and agreeing to abide by EU rules would imply almost zero cost for the EU as a whole IMF Report.
9th July 2018 Brexit Secretary and Foreign Secretary Resign Over Brexit
David Davis Brexit Secretary and Boris Johnson Foreign Secretary resign from UK government over the Brexit policy decisions taken by Prime Minister Teresa May.
29th June 2018 Exports Goods and Services At Record High and Trade Gap Narrows
Trade figures released by UK government revealed that in the 12 months to March 2018 UK exports were at an all time high.
EU countries represent around 40 percent of all exports from UK.
Research from Barclays Corporate Banking found that around two thirds of consumers in India and China and around half of consumers in the UAE were prepared to pay more for goods made in the UK because they perceive the quality as higher.
The trade deficit with the world continued to narrow to 80 billion pounds which is the narrowest UK trade deficit since 2012.
The UK Department for Trade and Industry DTI has set up 14 trade working groups covering 21 countries to scope the UKs overseas trading deals and strengthen ties with key trading partners.
13th June 2018 Global Tech Companies Are Confident In UK Economy
Tech company Salesforce have voted in the UK with their 2.5 billion dollars of their money by announcing a massive investment in the UK over next 5 years. It clearly thinks it can grow further in UK and it could not do that unless the UK economy is strong.
Amazon is to create another 2500 jobs in the UK bringing total workforce in UK to 27500. Google Apple Snapchat and other global tech companies continue to invest in the UK economy.
11th June 2018 Where In The World Got The Highest Foreign Investment in 2017?
Despite Brexit the UK is still the place most overseas investors want to invest their money compared to rest of Europe.
Read EYs June 2018 report on which country was the most attractive to overseas investors in 2017
23rd April 2018 – Financial Services Increasingly Confident In Brexit
The British government and senior finance executives said they are increasingly confident Europe will offer financial companies generous market access after Brexit, boosting London’s hopes of retaining its status as a top global financial centre.
Many in the City Of London now believe the remaining European Union EU members will go for easy access to financial market in London based on increased equivalence to prevent disruption to business anywhere in EU.
4th April 2018 – Peugeot Plans New UK Van Production In Luton
Vauxhall plant in Luton chosen by PSA Group to manufacture a planned new van. This demonstrates confidence in UK of a major automotive maker post Brexit.
19th March 2018 – UK and European Union EU Agree Terms For Brexit Transition To UK’s Withdrawal From EU
Brexit negotiators Michel Barnier and David David announce they have agreed term for a transition period in a major breakthrough “decisive step”.
The transition period will run from 29th March 2019 to December 2020 and may lead to the orderly withdrawal of the UK from EU.
In addition, there was also an agreement on the rights of EU citizens in the UK and the rights of UK citizens in the EU.
EU member countries have still to sign-off the agreement on the transition period, perhaps at an EU summit this week. If the EU members agree, then the negotiators will move on to discussions on a permanent future relationship agreement by August 2018 with a view to Brexit in March 2019.
The financial markets liked what they heard and the pound jumped in value.
A year to go before Brexit, U.S. investment banks still bet on London #LondonJobs #BrexitSpeech #BrexitReality #BrexitBritain #brexitpolling #brexitimpact #BrexitNews https://t.co/suHBIgFI5Q
— Online Manager (@cheeringuptv) March 2, 2018
27th February 2018 Small Medium-Sized SME Factories Sales Expectations Near 3 Year High
Sales expectations of SME factories in UK are near 3-year high due to strong global economy growth and low value of the pound.
National Manufacturing Barometer survey has revealed manufacturing to be the fastest growing sector of Britain’s economy in the final quarter of 2017.
The survey also revealed that more than half of SME manufacturers plan to invest in plant and machinery over the next 6 months. SME manufacturers in UK are more confident in their prospects in 2018 than they were in 2017.
The National Manufacturing Barometer surveyed 320 companies in January 2018
26th February 2018 Two Labour MPs Discuss Brexit Negotiations
Post-Brexit, builder Barratt could shift some production back to UK #Brexit #brexitimpact #brexitpolling #brexitfacts https://t.co/qCEyTDYHY8
— cheeringup (@cheeringup) February 21, 2018
17th January 2018 Deutsche Bank Only Moving Hundreds Jobs Out UK Not Thousands Post Brexit
Deutsche Bank is headquartered in Germany had has told reporters that it will not need to move thousands of UK jobs to the continent post-Brexit. Stefan Hoops, head of Deutsche Bank’s capital market division in Germany explained that they would need to move fewer staff than many have said in the past. One executive previously said 4,000 staff would need to move but the numbers would actually be in the hundreds.
Last week Deutsche Bank Chief Executive was reported as saying that initially several hundred jobs would be created in Frankfurt, Milan and Paris but that is not the same as moving jobs from London.
16th January 2018 Bank of England Thinks Free Trade Deal With EU Including Financial Services Post Brexit Is Possible
It may take three years or more, but contrary to the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, it is possible if the remaining EU27 are prepared to agree such a free trade deal with UK.
Sam Woods, the Bank of England’s deputy governor in charge of Prudential Regulation Authority PRA says a three period to agree a free-trade agreement including financial services could happen because unlike other countries seeking such a free-trade deal, the UK’s financial services are already aligned in terms of financial services rules and supervision.
Sam Woods comments came during his appearance in front of MPs on the Treasury Select Committee.
8th January 2018 City Of London Says Brexit Job Loss Fears May Have Been Exaggerated
The City Of London EU envoy, Jeremy Browne, has been reported as saying that banking, insurance and asset management job losses to the European Union (EU) may not be as severe as suggested by many including the UK’s ex-Chancellor and now editor of Evening Standard.
It may end up for quite a lot of them being a bit less dramatic that it might appear Jeremy Browne told a press briefing in London.
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Most people were shocked, but that doesn’t mean the implementation of the Brexit vote will be bad for business.
The UK may yet not leave the European Union EU. Great forces will try hard to stop the democratic vote of the people being fully implemented. The people may even change their minds. Anything is possible.
Increased risk means increased opportunities for growth as well as increased threats.
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The pace of business change is increasing. How many people will drive for a living in the next decade? How many people will work in warehouses in next 10 years? What new risks are emerging for businesses when the dramatic changes of 4th Industrial Revolution expected soon are commonly in place?
Cyber crime or error is just one of the threats. How should a business like Amazon react if they are threatened by a cyber criminals who say they have the capability to shut down its warehouse and distribution drones! They presumably have not but even if it was never possible how would Amazons share price react? What will this mean for Amazon’s ability to borrow to invest in its future?
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