There is a finite amount of stuff available that people and businesses want. It is difficult to manage the risks of accessing, sharing and using limited resources. The problem of scarcity and choice lies at the heart of our immediate and at least medium term business risks and lifestyle quality. Scarcity requires choice from buyers and sellers.
How can we work together to overcome the problems of scarcity
How can we work together to overcome the problems of scarcity
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Working together to grow faster and shelter from bad risk events is the only way to survive and prosper in an increasingly dangerous world.
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Focusing your limited business resources on key business threats maximises your business resilience and minimises risk of business interruption or even catastrophic failure. Fulfill your business targets more easily with better business risk management. Stop wasting time and money on unnecessary business losses. Maximise your profit.
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Identify assess and manage the biggest threats to your business.
Can we eliminate threats? Unlikely that most key threats of being in business can be eliminated. However most can be mitigated or minimised. With limited time and money for risk management, we need to focus our resources on threats that will bring greatest return.
How do you change threats to opportunities? During the business risk management process you will realise that not only can you reduce threat from bad risk events but you will identify new ways of doing things that will enable you to seize new business growth opportunities.
What are the threats of a business? The key threats to manage are the ones that could impact on your business objectives. Within the same industry, one business can have different key threats that need to be managed differently from a competitor in same business. Your business risk management plan needs to be bespoke to your business.
How do you deal with opportunities and threats? Your business risk management strategy should encompass both threats and opportunities not just threats to maximise benefit of time and money invested in enterprise risk management methodology.
How to manage threats to your business
We provide a range of risk management services to help inform your business decision making process. From providing business risk management news opinions and risk reviews to business risk management mentoring and training to enterprise risk management audits.
External Threats and Internal Threats To A Business
Some threats come from outside your business. Other business threats come from within. Knowing what you can and cannot control is part of developing the best business risk management strategy for your business. You need to look outwards to the horizon to fully assess external business risk drivers. You need to look deep inside your own business to appropriately and adequately assess the real risks within your business.
What are the major opportunities and threats in your business you can expect to experience
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Coronavirus hits the global economy on both the supply and demand side BusinessRiskTV.com
Coronavirus threats to world economy. Coronavirus global economy impact. The coronavirus has not yet be officially acknowledged as a pandemic health risk. However it probably is already a pandemic health risk and is certainly a global economic pandemic spreading uncontrollably around world.
Although the world financial markets have had their worst time since the financial crisis in 2008 the actual impact of the coronavirus has yet to be felt and revealed. The financial markets are giving a glimpse into what is feared in future not what is happening now.
With just 36 cases in the UK it appears that the UK is relatively spared from the virus. The most worrying case out of the 36 is the one where the infected person has not been abroad and has not been in contact with anyone who has to his or her knowledge. Tracing the source is key to controlling and containing the spread of the coronavirus.
Many countries where the official numbers of coronavirus infection cases are so low is worrying
There are many countries where scepticism on figures inflates fear of a pandemic that may not be recoverable. China where the coronavirus originated from may have be slow to unveil the seriousness of the problem have been praised by World Health Organisation WHO for honest figures.
Some countries have different reasons to deliberately suppress news of an epidemic in the country. In addition there are countries which may not have the resources to identify the coronavirus. More worringly they also do not have the resources to stop the spread of the virus.
Other disasters in some parts of the world also have the potential to exasperate and accelerate the spread of the virus. What happens if the coronavirus infects refugees and economic migrants trying to escape to Europe via ItalyGreece Bulgaria and Spain. Germany not long ago took around one million of these people. If such numbers flowed again and they also had the coronavirus how much more quickly would the coronavirus spread throughout Europe? Exponentially fast!
Control of coronavirus COVID19 is unlikely especially as there is no vaccine
A vaccine by most estimates is unlikely to be identified until early 2021. Even when a vaccine has been found it then has to be manufactured in sufficient quantities to have a reduction in the spread of the virus never mind eliminated.
The coronavirus is likely to be with us until end of 2021 at the earliest never mind getting coronvirus spread under control this year.
Major sporting events like the Olympics this summer are unlikely to proceed. Whilst this creates obvious disappointment for the athletes supports and Japanese people it in one event creates massive economic loss for Japan Olympic sponsors and lots of products or services will not be sold if the Olympics is cancelled.
Businesses will face reduced performance at best and potentially even collapse
If you are not able to sell products or services how do you pay fixed costs never mind variable costs of being in business. Potentially fatal could be loss of the ability to pay your creditors who may close you down to try to get their money back.
Central banks around the world have yet to realise they have not recovered from the financial crisis in 2008. Their tools to tackle global recession including lowering interest rate and increasing quantitative easing QE are worn out. There is little manoeuvrability for central banks. In COVID19 terms central banks do not have very good vaccines left at their disposal to support economic growth.
Individual countries will undoubtedly fall into a recession due to the coronavirus COVID19
Countries like Italy already severely impacted by coronavirus were already teetering on the edge of recession. The coronavirus will push them over the edge. The northern part of Italy is the powerhouse of the Italian economy and much of it has already been shutdown. Can Italy really stop the spread which will make economic impact worse?
Even countries like USA can dramatically lose economic growth. Not all Americans have good access to healthcare services. If you cannot call upon your healthcare services to detect and help control the coronavirus spread then it could spread like wildfire in USA if it takes hold and it is close to taking hold now.
The coronavirus spread in poorer less developed countries is essentially unstoppable. How can parts of Middle EastAfricaAsia Central America and South America really contain spread of coronavirus. The how do you contain the spread from these areas to more wealthy parts of the world.
The economic impact is going to be so severe as it hits not just the supply side of the economy it cuts demand too
When disaster strikes businesses can stop supplying cause the risk event stops output abruptly. However the coronavirus dramatically cuts demand quickly too. People stop assembly in public in restaurants events bars concerts sporting events etc through fear of catching the coronavirus. They may start spending again when under control but we are looking at end of 2021 before this even has possibility of subsiding.
Other concerns include lack of scientific knowledge about coronavirus. The boffins do not know enough yet to be sure we will ever get this under control.
We do not know how long the virus can survive on surfaces when people cough or touch surfaces with contaminated hands.
We do not know if our normal ways of cleaning surfaces works on coronavirus.
There have been suggestions that people who have had coronavirus in recent months and recovered then contract virus again. Potentially not only will infected people not be immune in future but then may not be cured in first place or regenerate virus.
Many people across the world including the UK will now be thinking they have a mild illness or seasonal flu when in fact they have COVID19. When it can be contained you are tracing contacts to track down infection line to control risks. However when COVID19 is spreading unencumbered mildly infected people will be spreading virus unknowingly and then 80 percent infection across the UK and world starts to become realistic.
We do not know if the warmer weather will help the world to control the spread of the virus like it did with SARS or whether it will continue to spread.
We do not know if COVID19 will morph into something worse or morph into something less virulent.
Some estimates suggest that 80 percent of people in UK will contract the coronavirus COVID19 if it spreads uncontrollably in UK. The UK could well be on cusp of uncontrollable spread as the UK government gears up to act this week. On the positive side 80 percent of those who contract the virus only get mild manageable symptoms. On negative side a fatal rate of even 1 percent of UK population is still around half a million deaths.
One way some countries may manage the coronavirus risk is simply to let it spread across the whole country without stopping business activity or economic growth. If 80 percent have mild symptoms and 1 percent die what is their tolerance of risks. Will they chose economic slowdown or losing 1 percent of their population? This could mean the rest of the world suffer boomerang epidemics. What could make this less likely is that leaders can die of the virus just like their peasants!
Safety at work and managing health and safety of your workforce
Employers have a duty to take reasonable steps to protect their workers. This includes protection from exposure to coronvirus. This has obvious implications about travelling to coronavirus hotspots but also includes the coronavirus coming to your workplace. The coronavirus could change forever how we do business in future. If and when the spread of the coronavirus is brought under control we may find it more sensible to have less contact face to face and more online communication.
Ocado in UK who deliver to more wealthy customers have already announced a jump in the number of people ordering online for food and drink delivery to home. This is just one example of winners as well as losers from COVID19 outbreak.
BusinessRiskTV
We are in the foothills of the coronavirus pandemic. Yes it is a pandemic despite WHOs caution. How you manage the risks to your business will have limitations but where you can control the risks you must start implement your business continuity plan now not when when a full blown pandemic is sweeping across the world.
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What are the biggest risks to the global economy?
Although unpredictable lets try and predict the future! What is exciting is that clearly there are many threats particularly from the environment and trade wars. There are also massive opportunities for business leaders who are in control of their own business risks.
What are the biggest threats and opportunities to the world in the new decade?
BusinessRiskTV
Some of the biggest global risks business leaders have little control over. Warfare and mass destruction global inequality between countries and unequal economic development creating mass economic migration global trade wars global pandemics political shift towards popularity driven left or right wing positions and systemic collapse of the financial markets. Contingency planning is the best that business leaders can do to manage most of such global catastrophic risks.
However there are risks business leaders do have the potential to have control over but do not always control such global occurring risks. Global risks falling into this category include deteriorating natural environment and global warming as well as cyber attacks.
Many of the risk management solutions for one global risk can manage the threat and opportunity from another risk without extra investment of time or money.
BusinessRiskTV
BusinessRiskTV is scanning for threats and opportunities to the global economy in the new decade. If you look for it you can still see an abundance of wealth and opportunity globally and locally.
Global Recession?
Putting warfare and mass destruction risk to one side the most likely cause of a global recession is the continuing or deterioration of global trade wars.
The climate threat has come off age! The solutions are already known. However the will is less obvious. The financial services industry particularly banks will probably be the biggest influencers in driving environmental protection. Many banks and investors are refusing to finance coal businesses and are threatening divestment and lack of funding for other fossil fuel businesses. Even the governor of the Bank of England has told pension fund managers to sort out investment in fossil fuel based businesses.
The flip side of this is the opportunity to make money from environmental protection. Existing and developing environmental protection technologies are a real business opportunity. Even if your business does not sell environmental protection products or services your brand needs protecting via the adoption of good environmental protection policy.
The world is drowning in debt and fake money. Government corporate and personal debt. How future generations will cope with the weight of debt when many in the developed world are also going to suffer the effects of demographic time bomb detonation. Quite frightening! However one way to cope with future and present global risks is for governments to invest money in infrastructure particularly 5G communication and utilities. Many of the innovation and inventions are going to rely on power and the internet.Necessity is the mother of invention but with power and faster communication we will be trapped in the past with only a vision of how much better our future could be globally.
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The global landscape is changing rapidly, with new risks emerging every day. From geopolitical tensions to cybersecurity threats, businesses around the world are facing a complex and constantly evolving set of risks that they must manage in order to survive and thrive. In this article, we will explore some of the most pressing global risks that businesses need to be aware of and offer some strategies for managing them effectively.
Geopolitical Risks
Geopolitical risks are those that arise from political tensions between countries or regions. These risks can take many forms, including trade wars, sanctions, and military conflicts. One recent example of a geopolitical risk is the ongoing trade war between the United States and China, which has had significant implications for businesses around the world.
To manage geopolitical risks, businesses need to stay informed about political developments in the regions where they operate. They should also be proactive in diversifying their supply chains and hedging against currency fluctuations. In addition, businesses can consider partnering with local organisations or governments to gain a better understanding of the political environment and mitigate potential risks.
Cybersecurity Risks
Cybersecurity risks are those that arise from the increasing use of technology and the internet. As businesses become more reliant on digital systems and data, they also become more vulnerable to cyber attacks. These attacks can take many forms, including ransomware, phishing, and malware.
To manage cybersecurity risks, businesses need to invest in robust cybersecurity measures, such as firewalls, encryption, and regular system updates. They should also educate their employees about best practices for online security, such as avoiding suspicious emails and using strong passwords. In addition, businesses can consider purchasing cyber insurance to mitigate the financial impact of a cyber attack.
Climate Change Risks
Climate change risks are those that arise from the impact of climate change on the environment and society. These risks can take many forms, including extreme weather events, sea level rise, and food and water scarcity. The impact of climate change is already being felt around the world, and businesses need to be prepared for the potential consequences.
To manage climate change risks, businesses can take a number of steps. They can invest in renewable energy sources and other sustainable technologies to reduce their carbon footprint. They can also develop contingency plans for extreme weather events and other climate-related risks. In addition, businesses can consider partnering with governments and NGOs to address climate change at a systemic level.
Supply Chain Risks
Supply chain risks are those that arise from disruptions to the flow of goods and services. These disruptions can be caused by a variety of factors, including natural disasters, political unrest, and pandemics. The COVID-19 pandemic, for example, has had a significant impact on global supply chains, causing shortages of critical goods and disrupting manufacturing and distribution networks.
To manage supply chain risks, businesses need to develop contingency plans for disruptions, such as alternative suppliers and backup inventory. They should also be proactive in identifying potential risks in their supply chains and implementing measures to mitigate them. In addition, businesses can consider investing in technologies, such as blockchain and IoT, to improve supply chain visibility and resilience.
Financial Risks
Financial risks are those that arise from changes in the financial markets or economic conditions. These risks can take many forms, including fluctuations in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. They can also be caused by systemic risks, such as a global recession or financial crisis.
To manage financial risks, businesses need to be proactive in monitoring financial markets and economic conditions. They should also develop contingency plans for potential disruptions, such as currency hedging strategies and diversified investment portfolios. In addition, businesses can consider partnering with financial institutions and other experts to gain a deeper understanding of financial risks and opportunities.
Managing global risks is a complex and ongoing process for businesses around the world. By staying informed about emerging risks and implementing proactive measures to mitigate them, businesses can reduce their exposure to potential losses and position themselves for long-term success.
It’s important to recognise that global risks are interconnected, meaning that a disruption in one area can have ripple effects across multiple industries and regions. For this reason, businesses need to take a holistic approach to risk management, considering the potential impact of each risk on their operations and stakeholders.
In addition to the strategies outlined above, businesses can also consider partnering with risk management experts and other organisations to stay informed about emerging risks and best practices for risk management. By taking a collaborative approach to risk management, businesses can better anticipate and manage global risks, while also positioning themselves for long-term success in an ever-changing landscape.
Overall, businesses that are able to effectively manage global risks will be better positioned to thrive in a rapidly changing world. By staying informed, developing contingency plans, and investing in resilience, businesses can reduce their exposure to potential losses and position themselves for long-term success.
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An effective enterprise risk management framework and risk assessment process will identify assess and manage your enterprise risks.
Your enterprise risk management system should help you ensure enterprise risk awareness to mitigate threats and seize new business opportunities.
Control the impact of uncertainty on your business objectives. Create and development new opportunities for business growth. Focus limited business resources on key limiting issues holding your business back. Build business resilience.
Our holistic risk management approach to business decision making can help you develop a new risk based business strategy for greater success. Combat key business threats. Create new profitable revenue streams.
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Taking risks is critical for heightened business success. Too much or too little risk taking exposes an enterprise unnecessarily or restricts business performance unwittingly. Missed opportunities can be as expensive as massive business losses.
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Strategic foresight consultants can help business leaders and entrepreneurs to make a success of their business regardless of the business environment. They inform the decision making process to reduce uncertainty and improve productivity.
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You Control the Solutions to Your Business Problems: Exploring Creative Thinking and Problem Solving in Business
In the dynamic landscape of business, problems are inevitable. From operational inefficiencies to market challenges, businesses face a myriad of obstacles that require strategic thinking and effective problem-solving skills. The ability to identify, analyse, and resolve these issues is crucial for organisational success and growth. This article explores the significance of problem solving in the business realm, delving into the BusinessRiskTV model as a powerful tool for addressing challenges. Furthermore, it highlights the role of creative thinking in problem solving and provides three practical ways businesses can leverage creativity to overcome obstacles.
Understanding the Solution to Business Problems Before diving into the solutions, it is essential to grasp the concept of business problems and their significance. Business problems can range from operational bottlenecks to strategic dilemmas, and their resolution plays a vital role in maintaining competitive advantage and ensuring sustainability. By identifying the root causes of problems and employing appropriate problem-solving techniques, businesses can create innovative solutions that drive progress and success.
The BusinessRiskTV Model of Problem Solving The BusinessRiskTV model offers a structured approach to problem solving, enabling businesses to navigate challenges effectively. This model involves six key steps: problem identification, analysis, solution generation, evaluation, implementation, and review. By following these steps, organisations can systematically address problems, ensuring comprehensive and sustainable solutions. The model encourages a proactive mindset, emphasising the importance of continuous improvement and learning from past experiences.
The Importance of Solving Business Problems Solving business problems holds numerous benefits for organisations. Firstly, it helps optimise operational efficiency by identifying and eliminating inefficiencies, reducing costs, and improving productivity. Secondly, problem solving enables businesses to adapt to changing market conditions, seize opportunities, and stay ahead of the competition. Furthermore, effective problem-solving fosters a culture of innovation, empowering employees to think critically and contribute to the organisation’s growth.
Leveraging Creative Thinking in Problem Solving Creative thinking plays a crucial role in solving complex business problems. By encouraging fresh perspectives, challenging assumptions, and exploring unconventional solutions, businesses can unlock new possibilities and generate innovative ideas. This section explores three key ways in which organisations can utilise creative thinking:
a. Divergent Thinking: Encouraging brainstorming sessions and open discussions enables teams to generate a wide range of ideas. By embracing diversity and inclusivity, businesses can tap into the collective wisdom of their workforce and uncover unique solutions.
b. Design Thinking: This human-centered approach emphasises empathy, understanding, and collaboration. By immersing themselves in the customer’s perspective, businesses can develop innovative solutions that cater to their needs, preferences, and pain points.
c. Reverse Thinking: This approach involves challenging the status quo and flipping the problem on its head. By questioning assumptions and exploring alternative perspectives, businesses can discover fresh insights and uncover unconventional solutions.
Solving business problems is an imperative aspect of organisational success. By embracing the BusinessRiskTV model and incorporating creative thinking, businesses can take control of their challenges and pave the way for innovation and growth. The ability to identify problems, analyse their root causes, and generate effective solutions enables organisations to adapt to dynamic market conditions and gain a competitive edge. Moreover, by fostering a culture of creative thinking, businesses can unlock new perspectives and ideas, fueling continuous improvement and long-term success. Ultimately, the power to control the solutions to business problems lies within the organisation itself, and by leveraging their resources, knowledge, and creativity, businesses can overcome obstacles and thrive in an ever-evolving business landscape.
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Once you know what your biggest business problems are you can identify how to best use limited business resources to reap the quickest gains to achieve greater business success more quickly.
Too often people in business at all levels of the organisation are working extremely hard. This can be a problem because they can burn out whilst solving problems that do not matter to the achievement of key business objectives. Solutions include employing more staff to work on the same minor business problems then business leaders wonder why they are spending more without any increase in business productivity and no business performance improvement.
Improving business performance requires better use of existing key business assets for a better return in your investment of time and money.
Develop the quality and capacity of your workforce to achieve more for themselves and the business
Training employees to help themselves will help your business achieve its objectives by overcoming the biggest business problems more easily with existing resources.
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If you can answer this question immediately and with near absolute certainty then you should be performing pretty efficiently already. If not why haven’t you taken steps to remove barriers to your greater business and personal success?
Develop a new business management strategy with a new decision making process designed to help you identify evaluate and manage your biggest business problems more cost-effectively. If you can’t tell us what your biggest problems are in a very short summary of the key information then you haven’t truly identified your biggest critical business problems impacting on your business objectives.
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You could develop a new business strategy for success that is less complicated, cheaper to implement and brings greatest rewards if you change your thinking about business management.
This could be a pivotal moment for your business
You either know exactly what you need to do today to change your business trajectory or you may need a little outside help. BusinessRiskTV can provide that help. If you do not need help we wish you well for the future. If you do need help get in touch below and tell us what you need help with.
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The Threat of Rising Bond Yields in European and American Bond Markets
Bond yields are the interest rates that investors receive when they lend money to governments or corporations. Bond yields have been rising steadily in recent months, both in Europe and the United States. This is due to a number of factors, including the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates and concerns about inflation.
Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses. For investors, rising bond yields can lead to losses on existing bond holdings. For businesses, rising bond yields can make it more expensive to borrow money.
This article will explore the threat of rising bond yields in European and American bond markets in more detail. It will also discuss some of the risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from this threat.
Why are bond yields rising?
There are a number of reasons why bond yields are rising in European and American bond markets. One reason is the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates. The Federal Reserve raises interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. When interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing money increases. This can lead to a decrease in demand for bonds, which can cause bond yields to rise.
Another reason for rising bond yields is concerns about inflation. Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services are rising. When inflation is high, investors demand higher returns on their investments to compensate for the loss of purchasing power. This can lead to an increase in bond yields.
What are the risks of rising bond yields?
Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses.
For investors, rising bond yields can lead to losses on existing bond holdings. When bond yields rise, the prices of existing bonds fall. This is because investors can buy new bonds with higher yields, which makes older bonds with lower yields less attractive.
For businesses, rising bond yields can make it more expensive to borrow money. Businesses often borrow money to finance growth and investment. When bond yields rise, the cost of borrowing money increases. This can make it more difficult for businesses to finance their growth and investment plans.
What can investors and businesses do to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields?
There are a number of risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields.
Investors
Investors can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by diversifying their portfolios and investing in shorter-term bonds.
Diversification means investing in a variety of different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, Bitcoin and property. By diversifying their portfolios, investors can reduce their overall risk.
Investing in shorter-term bonds can also help investors to protect themselves from rising bond yields. Shorter-term bonds have less interest rate risk than longer-term bonds. This is because shorter-term bonds are more likely to mature before interest rates rise significantly.
Businesses
Businesses can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by hedging their interest rate risk and borrowing money at fixed interest rates.
Hedging interest rate risk involves using financial instruments to offset the risk of changes in interest rates. There are a number of different hedging instruments available, such as interest rate swaps and options.
Borrowing money at fixed interest rates can also help businesses to protect themselves from rising bond yields. When businesses borrow money at fixed interest rates, they lock in the interest rate for the life of the loan. This protects them from the risk of rising interest rates during the term of the loan.
Conclusion
Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses. However, there are a number of risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from this threat.
Investors can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by diversifying their portfolios and investing in shorter-term bonds. Businesses can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by hedging their interest rate risk and borrowing money at fixed interest rates.
I urge investors and business leaders to take risk management action to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields. By taking action now, you can minimise the potential impact of rising bond yields on your investments and your business.
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