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Some bank shares are still more than 90% off their peak pre 2008 financial crisis so there is no such thing as “safe as money in the bank”!
The Inflationary Storm: Are Cryptos Your Lifeboat?
A dark cloud hangs over the global economy. Whispers of recession turn into shouts, and governments, desperate to keep the ship afloat, resort to the familiar mantra: fiscal stimulus and quantitative easing. But what does this mean for your hard-earned money? Enter cryptocurrencies: a digital life raft in a sea of potential devaluation.
As a currency and economics expert, I’m here to navigate these choppy waters. Today, we’ll explore the potential for crypto as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation. We’ll dive into the economic storm, examine the limitations of traditional safeguards, and assess whether venturing into the crypto realm could be your best bet.
The Looming Devaluation:
Governments and central banks worldwide have injected trillions into their economies since the pandemic. This, coupled with supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, is fuelling an inflationary fire. Fiat currencies, backed by nothing but government promises, are losing their purchasing power. A loaf of bread that cost $2 yesterday may cost $2.10 tomorrow, silently eroding your savings and future.
Traditional Safe Havens Fail:
Historically, gold and other precious metals have been go-to hedges against inflation. But their limited supply and physical constraints don’t cater to everyone’s needs. Real estate or property, another traditional option, suffers from high entry barriers and illiquidity.
This is where cryptocurrencies enter the picture. With their decentralised nature, limited supply, and global reach, they present a new, albeit volatile, option.
The Crypto Advantage:
Limited Supply: Unlike fiat currencies,many cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin,have a predetermined cap on their supply. This scarcity helps limit inflation and potentially increases their value over time.
Decentralisation: Cryptocurrencies aren’t subject to the whims of governments or central banks. Their decentralised networks offer a buffer against devaluation policies used to stimulate economies.
Global Accessibility: Anyone with an internet connection can access and trade cryptocurrencies, regardless of location or financial standing. This democratises wealth management and opens doors to previously excluded individuals.
Store of Value: While their volatility often grabs headlines, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have exhibited long-term value appreciation. Their potential to act as a digital gold, a secure store of value in a turbulent economy, is undeniable.
The Risk Factor:
However, venturing into the world of cryptocurrencies isn’t without its risks:
Volatility: The crypto market is notoriously volatile. Prices can swing wildly, making them potentially unsuitable for risk-averse individuals.
Regulation: The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is still evolving, creating uncertainty and potential for government intervention.
Security: Crypto wallets and exchanges have been targets for hackers, highlighting the importance of choosing secure platforms and practicing safe storage methods.
Navigating the Crypto Waters:
So, should you dive into the crypto ocean as a hedge against devaluation? The answer depends on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. If you’re looking for a safe haven, traditional options like gold might be better suited. However, if you have the risk appetite and are willing to do your research, cryptocurrencies could be a valuable addition to your portfolio.
Remember, diversification is key. Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket. Start with a small allocation, understand the risks involved, and invest only what you can afford to lose.
For Business Leaders:
Explore crypto’s potential as a payment option:Accepting cryptocurrencies can attract tech-savvy customers and expand your reach.
Educate your employees: Equip your team with the knowledge they need to understand and potentially utilise cryptocurrencies.
For Consumers:
Do your research: Understand the different types of cryptocurrencies and their underlying technologies before investing.
Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket.
Start small: Invest only what you can afford to lose, and remember the market is volatile.
Choose secure platforms: Store your cryptocurrencies in reputable wallets and exchanges.
Cryptocurrencies present a fascinating blend of opportunity and risk in the face of potential fiat currency devaluation. While not a guaranteed solution, they offer a novel approach to securing your financial future. Remember, knowledge is power in this realm. Educate yourself, assess your risk tolerance, and make informed decisions to weather the coming economic storm. The crypto lifeboat might just be the key to staying afloat in the inflationary seas ahead.
It’s going to pop or we are heading for soft landing economically speaking?
Navigating the Storm: A Guide for Business Leaders in a Sea of Speculation
My fellow business leaders, we stand at a pivotal moment. The alluring winds of speculation have inflated a bubble across stocks, bonds, and other debt assets, leaving us staring at a precarious horizon. 2024 looms large, with the question on everyone’s mind: are lower interest rates a life raft or a leaky pontoon for a world economy teetering on the brink? Can we navigate this volatile sea, deflate the bubble gently, and ensure a smooth landing, or is a catastrophic crash inevitable?
Firstly, let’s acknowledge the elephant in the room: we are in a bubble. Asset prices have been inflated beyond their intrinsic value, fueled by easy money, a search for yield in a low-interest-rate environment, and, frankly, a touch of irrational exuberance. This artificial inflation has distorted markets, misallocated resources, and sown the seeds of potential crisis.
Now, to the burning question: can lower interest rates be the balm that soothes the bubble? The answer, like the ocean itself, is nuanced.
Lowering interest rates could provide temporary relief. It would inject liquidity into the market, potentially buying time for asset prices to adjust gently. Imagine it as lowering the pressure in a balloon—a slow release might prevent a sudden explosion. However, this approach comes with risks. More liquidity could further inflate the bubble, creating a bigger problem down the line. Additionally, it could weaken the already-anemic economic growth, leading to a “zombie economy” propped up by cheap money.
So, is it too late for a controlled descent? I wouldn’t write the obituary just yet. While the risks are undeniable, we still have room for manoeuvre. Here’s the good news: the bubble hasn’t fully popped yet. We can still act, and businesses have a crucial role to play.
Here’s my prescription for weathering the storm:
1. Prudence over Profits: In this uncertain climate, prioritise caution over short-term gains. Focus on building reserves, reducing debt, and diversifying your portfolio. Remember, cash is king during market downturns.
2. Agility over Rigidity:Be prepared to pivot quickly. Reassess your business model, identify new opportunities, and be ready to adapt to changing market dynamics. This could involve embracing digital transformation, exploring new markets, or even restructuring your operations.
3. Innovation over Imitation:Don’t wait for the tide to turn, swim against it. Invest in innovation, develop new products and services that address pressing societal needs, and stay ahead of the curve. This is the time to disrupt, not follow suit.
4. Collaboration over Competition: The coming storm requires unity, not rivalry. Collaborate with other businesses, share resources, and build robust supply chains. Remember, rising tides lift all boats, and when one ship sinks, the entire fleet can be endangered.
5. Responsibility over Recklessness: As leaders, we have a responsibility not just to our shareholders, but to our employees, communities, and the planet. Embrace sustainable practices, promote ethical business practices, and prioritise long-term value creation over short-term gain.
Ultimately, whether we emerge from this bubble unscathed or witness a painful burst depends on our collective actions. Business leaders, we have the power to be anchors in this storm, steering our companies, and by extension, the global economy, towards a safe harbour. Let’s choose prudence over panic, agility over rigidity, and collaboration over competition. Let’s build businesses that not only survive but thrive in the volatile ocean of speculation. Remember, it’s not about predicting the storm, it’s about weathering it with resilience and responsibility. Together, we can ensure that 2024 is not the year of a crash, but a year of controlled descent, leading to a stronger, more sustainable future for all.
This is not just an economic imperative, it’s a moral one. Let’s navigate this sea of speculation with courage, foresight, and a shared commitment to the well-being of our businesses, our communities, and our planet.
On December 19th, 2023, FedEx, the global logistics leviathan, delivered a bombshell. Their preliminary earnings report painted a grim picture, missing analyst expectations and prompting an ominous pronouncement from CEO Raj Subramaniam: “We see a global recession coming.” With FedEx serving as a crucial artery for international trade, its tremors sent shockwaves through the business world, sparking concerns about the trajectory of the global economy. For business leaders, the message is clear: pay heed, for FedEx’s woes are a stark canary in the coal mine, signalling potential turbulence ahead.
FedEx: A bellwether in a storm
FedEx occupies a unique position in the economic ecosystem. Its vast network, spanning over 220 countries and territories, transports 4.7 billion parcels annually, serving as a barometer of global trade activity. When businesses and consumers are flourishing, so does FedEx. Conversely, when economic headwinds blow, the first chill is often felt within its corridors. This symbiotic relationship is precisely why FedEx is considered a bellwether – an early indicator of economic health.
A Perfect Storm of Gloom:
The reasons behind FedEx’s current predicament are multi-faceted, forming a perfect storm of economic anxieties.
Global Economic Slowdown: The world is experiencing a synchronised slowdown, with major economies like the US, Europe, and China grappling with inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions. This dampens consumer spending and business investment, directly impacting the volume of goods shipped and,consequently, FedEx’s bottom line.
E-commerce Plateau: The explosive growth of e-commerce, a major driver of package volume for FedEx, appears to be reaching a plateau. Consumers are tightening their belts, opting for essential purchases over online splurges. This shift weakens the e-commerce engine that had been propelling FedEx in recent years.
Operational Misfires: Beyond external factors, FedEx has faced internal challenges. Labour shortages, network disruptions, and integration hiccups within its TNT acquisition have hampered efficiency and added to costs. These internal missteps exacerbate the impact of external headwinds.
The Ripple Effect:
The tremours of FedEx’s struggles extend far beyond the company itself. As a bellwether, its woes signal potential trouble for various stakeholders:
Businesses: A global recession would translate to reduced demand, disrupted supply chains, and tighter credit conditions. This can lead to lower profits, stalled investments, and layoffs, impacting businesses of all sizes across industries.
Investors: The stock market’s reaction to FedEx’s report is indicative of broader anxieties. A sustained economic downturn could trigger further market volatility, eroding investor confidence and hindering capital flows.
Consumers: A recession typically results in job losses, wage stagnation,and reduced disposable income. This translates to less spending and increased economic anxiety for consumers, further dampening economic activity.
A Call to Action for Business Leaders:
FedEx’s struggles serve as a stark warning for business leaders across the globe. It is not a time for complacency, but for prudent preparation and proactive adaptation. Here are some key actions to consider:
Scenario Planning: Develop contingency plans for various economic scenarios, including a potential recession. This way, businesses can adjust strategies, optimise cost structures, and weather potential storms.
Focus on Efficiency: Identify and eliminate operational inefficiencies. Streamline processes, optimise supply chains, and leverage technology to reduce costs and improve resilience.
Prioritise Agility: Embrace a culture of flexibility and adaptability. Be ready to pivot strategies, adjust product offerings, and shift focus to meet changing market conditions.
Invest in Innovation: Seek innovative solutions to enhance customer experience, improve product offerings, and gain a competitive edge in a challenging market.
Foster Collaboration: Build strong relationships with partners, suppliers, and customers. Open communication and collaboration can help navigate tough times and identify shared solutions.
In conclusion, FedEx’s current woes are not an isolated phenomenon. They are a reflection of broader economic anxieties that should serve as a wake-up call for business leaders worldwide. By acknowledging the headwinds, preparing for potential turbulence, and implementing proactive strategies, businesses can navigate the uncertain waters ahead and emerge stronger on the other side. The time for action is now, and the canary’s song should not be ignored. By taking heed and adapting, businesses can not only weather the storm brewing on the horizon but also emerge into calmer waters, ready to thrive in the post-recessionary landscape.
How could the $220 trillion shadow banking gambling casino blow up your business prospects?
The Looming Shadow: Leveraged Shadow Banking and the 2024 Risk Horizon
As we peer into the economic crystal ball of 2024, one spectre looms large: the potential for a crisis borne from the murky depths of leveraged shadow banking. While whispers of this risk have swirled for years, the confluence of several factors – rising interest rates, geopolitical tensions, and an interconnected financial landscape – amplifies the potential for a shockwave to ripple through the global economy. As business leaders, navigating this uncharted territory requires an understanding of the threat and proactive measures to ensure our ships weather the storm.
Delving into the Shadows:
Shadow banking encompasses a vast network of non-traditional financial institutions operating outside the regulatory purview of the formal banking system. Think investment funds, hedge funds, money market funds, and other entities engaging in lending, credit extension, and other activities typically associated with banks. The key differentiator lies in their funding – they rely heavily on borrowed money (leverage) to amplify their investment capacity, amplifying potential returns, but also magnifying risk.
This reliance on leverage creates a precarious scenario. Rising interest rates, a reality in 2023, increased the cost of borrowing for shadow banks, squeezing their profit margins and potentially triggering a wave of defaults on their obligations. This domino effect could cascade through the financial system, impacting traditional banks reliant on shadow banking for liquidity and investment opportunities.
The Perfect Storm:
Beyond interest rates, several storm clouds gather on the horizon. Geopolitical tensions, particularly around resource-rich regions, could disrupt global supply chains and trigger commodity price volatility, further squeezing margins for shadow banks heavily invested in such assets. Additionally, the interconnectedness of the financial system means a crisis in one corner can rapidly spread, amplifying the overall impact.
The 2024 Risk Horizon:
While predicting the exact timing of a potential crisis is a fool’s errand, 2024 presents several worrying factors. The lagged effects of interest rate hikes could manifest, geopolitical flashpoints remain simmering, and the post-pandemic economic recovery has yet to be fully cemented. This confluence of risks creates a perfect storm for a shadow banking crisis, with potentially devastating consequences.
Protecting Your Business:
So, what can business leaders do to safeguard their organisations? Several proactive measures are key:
Strengthen Liquidity: Build robust cash reserves to weather potential disruptions in credit availability.
Diversify Funding Sources: Reduce reliance on shadow banking and diversify funding sources to traditional banks and alternative forms of financing.
Stress Test Scenarios: Run stress tests to understand your exposure to potential shadow banking-related shocks and identify vulnerabilities.
Reduce Leverage: Minimise dependence on borrowed capital to lessen the impact of rising interest rates.
Scenario Planning: Develop contingency plans for various crisis scenarios to ensure swift and decisive action when needed.
Beyond internal measures, advocating for stronger regulatory oversight of the shadow banking system is crucial. Pushing for greater transparency, capital adequacy requirements, and risk management protocols can mitigate the systemic risks emanating from this opaque corner of finance.
A Call to Action:
The potential for a shadow banking crisis in 2024 is not a foregone conclusion; it is a call to action. By understanding the risks, adopting proactive measures, and advocating for responsible regulation, we can navigate these perilous waters and ensure the continued prosperity of our businesses and the global economy. Remember, vigilance, diversification, and preparedness are our anchors in the coming storm. Let us act with foresight and build a future where shadows no longer threaten the economic sun.
The risks from shadow banking is another reason interest rate cuts in USA, EU and UK would be welcome but much needed regulation of the 220 trillion dollars invested in this area is probably not going to happen until 2025 at the earliest – if at all. Ironically the leverage problem is due to financial institutions lack of money!
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The Looming Shadow: Navigating the Labyrinth of Geopolitical Risks in 2024
The world in 2023 stands at a crossroads. As the shadow of a global pandemic recedes, new anxieties grip the international landscape. Tensions simmer in familiar hotspots, while emerging threats whisper on the horizon. In this labyrinth of uncertainties, one question burns bright: what will be the greatest geopolitical risk in 2024?
Predicting the future is a fool’s errand, but anticipating and preparing for potential storms is the essence of responsible leadership. While pinpointing a singular “greatest” risk might be an oversimplification, we can examine four contenders each capable of casting a long, disruptive shadow in 2024:
1. The Dragon and the Tiger: Escalating Tensions in the Taiwan Strait:
The Taiwan Strait, a narrow waterway separating mainland China and the self-governing island of Taiwan, has long been a tinderbox of geopolitical tension. China, viewing Taiwan as a breakaway province, refuses to renounce the use of force in achieving reunification. Taiwan, on the other hand, maintains robust democratic institutions and enjoys strong international support, particularly from the United States.
In 2024, several factors could elevate the risk of confrontation in the Taiwan Strait:
Increased Chinese military assertiveness: Beijing’s recent actions, like frequent incursions into Taiwanese airspace and military drills simulating island invasion, signal a growing determination to assert its dominance.
Taiwan’s presidential elections: Scheduled for January 2024, the elections could see the victory of a pro-independence candidate, further inflaming Chinese grievances.
Miscalculations and accidents: Unforeseen incidents, either military mishaps or deliberate provocations, could spiral into an unintended conflict with devastating consequences.
The potential ramifications of a Taiwan Strait conflict are immense. A full-scale war could trigger a massive humanitarian crisis, disrupt global supply chains, and plunge the world into a new era of Cold War-esque tensions.
2. The Ukrainian Quagmire: War’s Long Shadow and Spillover Risks:
The ongoing war in Ukraine continues to cast a long, dark shadow over Europe and the global order. Even if a resolution were reached in 2024, the war’s legacy will extend far beyond the battlefield. Here are some potential avenues for risk:
Protracted conflict and instability: Even a ceasefire wouldn’t guarantee lasting peace. A simmering conflict in Ukraine could destabilise the region, create a humanitarian crisis, and strain international relations.
Spillover effects into neighbouring countries: The war could trigger unrest or refugee crises in bordering nations like Moldova, Belarus, and the Baltic states.
Weapons proliferation and escalation: The possibility of Russia or Ukraine resorting to unconventional weapons or dragging other powers into the conflict cannot be entirely discounted.
The war in Ukraine has already disrupted the global food and energy markets, impacting economies worldwide. A further escalation could exacerbate these vulnerabilities, leading to economic hardship and political instability in vulnerable regions.
3. Iran’s Nuclear Tightrope: Unveiling the Bomb or Stepping Back from the Brink?
Iran’s nuclear programme remains a contentious issue, raising concerns about its potential for weapons development and regional instability. In 2024, the trajectory of Iran’s nuclear ambitions could significantly impact the geopolitical landscape:
Collapse of the JCPOA: The 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, which aimed to curb Iran’s nuclear programme in exchange for sanctions relief, currently hangs by a thread. Its collapse could pave the way for Iran to accelerate its nuclear activities,raising the specter of a military strike from Israel or the United States.
Internal political dynamics: The political climate in Iran could influence its approach to the nuclear issue. Hardliners gaining ascendancy could increase the risk of confrontation, while moderates gaining ground could offer an opportunity for renewed diplomacy.
Regional proxy conflicts: Iran’s support for Shia militias across the Middle East could exacerbate existing tensions and potentially trigger wider regional conflicts.
A nuclear-armed Iran could reshape the Middle East power dynamics, posing a significant threat to Israel and its allies. It could also trigger a nuclear arms race in the region, further destabilising an already volatile part of the world.
4. Climate Change and the Looming Resource Wars:
While traditionally considered a non-traditional security threat, climate change is increasingly recognised as a potential driver of geopolitical instability. In 2024, its impact could become more pronounced through:
Resource scarcity and competition: Water scarcity, food insecurity, and energy shortages driven by climate change could exacerbate existing resource competition, potentially leading to conflicts over crucial resources.
Mass migration and displacement: Climate-induced migration could strain social and political systems in receiving countries, potentially triggering unrest and xenophobia.
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In this article, we will explore the top 10 supply chain management trends that are expected to shape the industry in 2024 and beyond. These trends encompass technological advancements, strategic approaches, and evolving consumer demands that will redefine the way supply chains operate.
1. Digital Supply Chain As the Backbone of Resilience
The digital supply chain has emerged as the overarching trend driving supply chain transformation. It encompasses the integration of digital technologies, such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and big data analytics, to streamline operations, enhance visibility, and optimise decision-making.
Organisations are moving away from traditional paper-based processes and siloed systems towards a connected and data-driven supply chain ecosystem. This digital transformation is enabling businesses to gain real-time insights into their operations, predict disruptions, and respond proactively to changing market conditions.
2. Big Data and Analytics Driving Insights-Driven Decisions
Big data and analytics are playing a crucial role in extracting valuable insights from the vast amounts of data generated across the supply chain. Organisations are leveraging data analytics to identify patterns, optimise inventory management, improve demand forecasting, and enhance customer service.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming supply chain operations by automating tasks, enhancing decision-making, and enabling predictive insights. AI applications are being used to automate repetitive tasks, such as data entry and order processing, freeing up human workers to focus on more strategic initiatives.
AI is also being used to optimise warehouse operations, manage transportation routes, and personalise customer experiences. AI-powered forecasting models are improving demand prediction accuracy, reducing inventory costs, and ensuring product availability.
4. Supply Chain Investments: Balancing Systems and Talent
Investment in supply chain systems and talent is essential for building a resilient and adaptable supply chain. Organisations are investing in modern supply chain management software, cloud-based platforms, and data analytics tools to enhance their technological capabilities.
Alongside these technological investments, organisations are also prioritising the development of their supply chain workforce. This includes providing training on digital technologies, fostering a culture of data-driven decision-making, and attracting and retaining top talent.
5. End-to-End Visibility, Traceability, and Location Intelligence
End-to-end visibility, traceability, and location intelligence are becoming increasingly important for supply chain transparency and risk management. Organisations are implementing technologies such as RFID tags, sensors, and IoT devices to track goods throughout the supply chain, from origin to delivery.
This real-time visibility enables businesses to monitor product quality, identify potential disruptions, and proactively address issues. It also enhances customer satisfaction by providing real-time tracking information and delivery updates.
6. Disruption and Risk Management: Embracing Agility and Resilience
Supply chains are facing an increasing number of disruptions, from natural disasters and geopolitical conflicts to technological advancements and changing consumer demands. Organisations are shifting their focus from traditional disaster recovery plans to proactive risk management strategies.
Building a resilient supply chain involves identifying potential risks, assessing their impact, and implementing mitigation strategies. It also requires the ability to adapt quickly to changing circumstances and respond to disruptions in a timely and effective manner.
7. Agility and Resilience: Adapting to Changing Demands
Consumer expectations are constantly evolving, and organisations must adapt their supply chains to meet these demands. Customers are demanding faster delivery times, more personalised products, and greater transparency.
Supply chains need to be agile enough to respond to these changing demands, quickly introduce new products, and personalise customer experiences. This requires a flexible and adaptable supply chain infrastructure that can accommodate rapid changes.
Supply chains are increasingly becoming targets for cyberattacks, as they represent a critical component of global commerce. Organisations are prioritising cybersecurity measures to protect their supply chain assets and prevent disruptions caused by cyberattacks.
Cybersecurity strategies include implementing robust access controls, educating employees on cybersecurity risks, and regularly monitoring supply chain systems for potential threats.
9. Green and Circular Supply Chains: A Sustainable Future
Green supply chains are focusing on resource efficiency.
10. Supply Chain as a Service (SCaaS): A Strategic Lever for Flexibility
Supply Chain as a Service (SCaaS) is emerging as a strategic lever for organisations seeking flexibility and efficiency in their supply chain operations. SCAaS involves outsourcing non-core supply chain functions to specialised providers, allowing organisations to focus on their core competencies.
SCaaS providers offer a range of services, including logistics, transportation, warehousing, and inventory management. This allows organisations to access expertise and resources without the burden of managing these functions in-house.
Conclusion
The supply chain landscape is undergoing a period of rapid transformation driven by technological advancements, evolving consumer demands, and the need for resilience. Organisations that embrace digitalisation, automation, and emerging technologies will be well-positioned to navigate the challenges and opportunities of the future.
The top 10 supply chain management trends on the horizon in 2024 highlight the critical role of technology, data, and strategic partnerships in building resilient and adaptable supply chains. By embracing these trends, organisations can optimise their operations, enhance customer satisfaction, and achieve sustainable growth.
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The Dangers to Businesses and People from Eurozone Bank Stress and Loan Defaults: An Expert Perspective
The Eurozone banking sector is facing a number of challenges, including rising interest rates, slowing economic growth, and increased loan defaults. These factors are putting stress on banks’ balance sheets and making it more difficult for them to lend to businesses and consumers. If these trends continue, they could lead to a financial crisis that would have severe consequences for businesses and people across the Eurozone.
The Impact of Eurozone Bank Stress on Businesses
Businesses rely on banks to provide them with the credit they need to operate and grow. When banks are under stress, they are more likely to tighten lending standards and raise interest rates. This can make it difficult for businesses to get the loans they need to invest in new equipment, hire new employees, and expand their operations. As a result, businesses may be forced to cut back on their spending, which can lead to slower economic growth and job losses.
In addition, businesses that are unable to obtain loans from banks may turn to riskier forms of financing, such as borrowing from high-interest lenders or taking on more debt. This can increase their financial risk and make them more vulnerable to economic downturns.
The Impact of Eurozone Bank Stress on People
People also rely on banks for a variety of financial services, such as checking and savings accounts, mortgages, and auto loans. When banks are under stress, they may reduce their hours of operation, close branches, and increase fees. This can make it more difficult for people to access the financial services they need.
In addition, if banks are forced to raise interest rates, this will make it more expensive for people to borrow money. This could lead to an increase in household debt and make it more difficult for people to make ends meet.
The Dangers of Loan Defaults
Loan defaults are a major concern for banks because they can significantly erode their capital. When a borrower defaults on a loan, the bank loses the money it lent out, and it may also have to pay legal fees and other expenses to collect the debt. This can quickly eat into the bank’s capital, which is the money it needs to operate and withstand financial shocks.
If banks are not able to maintain adequate capital levels, they may be forced to reduce their lending activities or even go bankrupt. This would have a devastating impact on the economy, as it would make it even more difficult for businesses and consumers to get the credit they need.
Policy Options to Address Eurozone Bank Stress
There are a number of policy options that could be taken to address Eurozone bank stress and reduce the risk of loan defaults. These include:
Providing additional regulatory capital relief to banks: This would help banks to build up their capital buffers and make them more resilient to financial shocks.
Encouraging banks to securitise their loans: Securitisation is a process of pooling loans together and selling them to investors as securities. This can help banks to reduce their exposure to individual borrowers and spread out their risk.
Implementing stricter lending standards: This would help to ensure that banks are only lending to borrowers who are able to repay their loans.
Improving the quality of credit data: This would help banks to make better lending decisions and reduce the risk of loan defaults.
Conclusion
Eurozone bank stress and loan defaults pose a significant threat to businesses and people across the Eurozone. If these trends continue, they could lead to a financial crisis that would have severe consequences. Policymakers need to take action to address these challenges and reduce the risk of a financial crisis.
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Why the UK Cannot Complete Major Infrastructure Projects on Time and Within Budget
The UK has a long history of struggling to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This has led to a number of high-profile delays and cost overruns, as well as a growing public frustration with the way in which infrastructure projects are managed.
There are a number of factors that contribute to the UK’s poor record on infrastructure delivery. These include:
A lack of long-term planning and strategic thinking. The UK government has often been accused of adopting a short-term approach to infrastructure planning, which has led to a lack of consistency and continuity.This has made it difficult to develop a long-term pipeline of projects that can be delivered efficiently.
A complex and fragmented procurement process. The UK’s procurement process is often complex and time-consuming,which can lead to delays and cost overruns. This is partly due to the fact that there is a lack of standardisation and consistency across different government departments and agencies.
A lack of expertise in managing large infrastructure projects. There is a shortage of skilled project managers in the UK, which can make it difficult to find the right people to lead and manage complex projects. This is compounded by the fact that many project managers in the UK are not properly trained or experienced.
A lack of political will to make tough decisions. The UK government has often been unwilling to make the tough decisions that are necessary to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This is partly due to a fear of political backlash, but it is also due to a lack of understanding of the importance of infrastructure investment.
These factors have all contributed to a culture of risk aversion within the UK’s infrastructure industry. This has led to a focus on minimising risks rather than maximising value for money. As a result, projects are often over-engineered and over-specified, which leads to delays and cost overruns.
How to improve the UK’s record on infrastructure delivery
There are a number of things that the UK government can do to improve its record on infrastructure delivery. These include:
Develop a long-term infrastructure plan. The UK government needs to develop a long-term infrastructure plan that sets out the country’s infrastructure needs for the next 20 to 30 years. This plan should be based on a clear understanding of the country’s economic and social needs, and it should be regularly reviewed and updated.
Streamline the procurement process. The UK government needs to streamline the procurement process to make it more efficient and transparent.This could be done by standardising procurement procedures across different government departments and agencies, and by making more use of technology.
Invest in training and skills development. The UK government needs to invest in training and skills development to ensure that there is a sufficient supply of skilled project managers. This could be done by supporting professional development programs and by providing funding for apprenticeships and other training initiatives.
Make tough decisions. The UK government needs to be willing to make the tough decisions that are necessary to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This includes making decisions about project scope, risks, and procurement.
Focus on value for money. The UK government needs to focus on value for money when delivering infrastructure projects. This means ensuring that projects are delivered to the highest possible standard, while also ensuring that they are delivered on time and within budget.
Improve project management practices. The UK government needs to improve project management practices across the public sector. This could be done by providing training and support to project managers, and by developing and implementing project management standards.
Increase investment in infrastructure. The UK government needs to increase investment in infrastructure. This will help to address the country’s infrastructure deficit and create jobs.
Publicly disclose project details. The UK government needs to publicly disclose all project details, including costs, risks, and timelines. This will help to improve transparency and accountability.
Appoint a dedicated infrastructure minister. The UK government needs to appoint a dedicated infrastructure minister who will be responsible for overseeing the delivery of all major infrastructure projects.
By taking these steps, the UK government can improve its record on infrastructure delivery and ensure that future projects are delivered on time and within budget.
In addition to the above, I would also like to add that the UK government needs to adopt a more collaborative approach to infrastructure delivery. This means working more closely with the private sector, as well as with local communities. By working together, the government and the private sector can share risks and expertise, and develop innovative solutions to infrastructure challenges.
The UK government also needs to be more open to using new technologies, such as modular construction and 3D printing. These technologies can help to reduce the time and cost of delivering infrastructure projects.
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News opinions analysis reviews and activism with local and global people. Sixth generation movement to power 4th industrial revolution faster cheaper better. Connecting the world to achieve more with less.
6G Today Tomorrow and Everyday Thereafter
How do we improve on yesterday so that today and tomorrow is better and more cost effective. What is it that we have that is good?
What could be better?
Why is it not working now?
How are we going to change things?
When will we achieve enough is good enough?
Where do we need to act?
Who can help us move forward?
Striving for perfection is not our goal. Do not let perfection be the enemy of the good enough. Focus on making realistic changes for the better happen. Dreaming of a better world tomorrow does not make the real world good enough today.
Practical action to progressively improve the world we live in
Most people in 3rd world countries are not interested in woke words. They simply want to live better tomorrow than they did today. Most peoples 1st world problems could be alleviated with a holistic approach to good business management and lifestyle choices.
Fourth Industrial Revolution Latest News Commentary and Risk Review
Aspiration to live better wherever you live in the world can be fulfilled by solving all our problems together at once not by a piecemeal approach. Good words do not put food on the table or a roof over your head. Sodding your neighbour does not protect you from destroying everything you have built around you.
People can work together for common good
We do not need to be in the same country culture or place to work as a team to achieve what we want for ourselves. Getting what you want can help others to get what they want out of the investment of time.
Putting up trade barriers does not work for the builder of walls. Forcing people to be in your gang does not make progression towards goals fast enough. Seeing the mutual benefit at the end for all people on the bus does.
Our holistic approach to making decisions for the common good will be successful for all who lend support
If you put your shoulder to the wheel you can reap the rewards from the effort.
We are not looking for constant companions but do seek constant progress. Moving it forward a little everyday is better than big leaps now and again. We do not need to be beside you for every step but would like to be with you at the end of the journey. We can achieve more together than on our own.
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Identifying and managing business risks
How can a business identify risk and manage business resources to manage business risks better? Undertake risk profile analysis to inform your business decision making. Practical enterprise risk management ERM tips advice training and consultancy.
Many risk events are possible. However how do you manage your resources cost effectively to control risks whilst boosting business performance?
When beginning the risk management process identify risks that could impact on your business objectives. Look at the whole business at once rather than individual silos functions or departments.
Do not make assumptions at the beginning about the level of risk or effectiveness of risk control measures. Assume that what you currently do risk management wise will not work or not work well enough to control risks.
Consult experts within your business at all levels and experts outside of your business who may have an understanding of your risks. Focus your attention on key internal and external drivers of risk that may have significant impact on your business objectives.
Your business risk exposure needs to be right for your risk management culture. What is your appetite for risk? How much risk can your business tolerate? Getting the balance right is key for sustainable business success.
Reduce or eliminate threats as soon as they appear on the horizon. Seize new business opportunities before your competitors do. Anticipate and plan for future risks. React quickly to current or unexpected risk events.
Risk analysis and Holistic Enterprise Wide Risk Management Approach Will Improve Your Business Decision Making To Boost Business Performance
Manage risks better. Minimise the impact of risk on your business plans. Manage potential problems easier quicker and less expensively. Stop the undermining of key business initiatives or projects by risk events. Explore possible future threats.
Identify business opportunities for growth. Back the best ones to maximise return in investment of time and money. Boost the profit from the best new ideas. Manage opportunities for greater success better.
Create the right risk management framework and enterprise wide risk assessment process for your business
The source of your business risks can be wide and varied. Often they are specific to your business. Sometimes the affect just your industry or geographic location. Occasionally they affect most of the world like the financial crisis of 2008 or global pandemic like 2020.
The impact on your business maybe life giving like if your business is a deep cleaning business or face mask manufacturer in coronavirus outbreak. Or risk events can destroy your business and it may never recover. Your risk management assessment and approach to risk control needs to be tailored to your business.
Not all risks are bad and bad risk events can be good for your specific business in so many different ways. For example the coronavirus tragically will kill thousands of people. In addition many businesses will fail including many of your competitors. Out of the flames the phoenixes will rise. The challenge is to make sure your business and your people survive and prosper no matter what risks are thrown at your business.
Put your great ideas into action with more confidence. Continue to be optimistic about your future. The way your business could and perhaps should change forever not just to get through coronavirus. Learn the lessons from horrifically tragic risk events. Seize the opportunities coming from the 4th industrial revolution. Survive and prosper today tomorrow and then next day no matter what risks you face no matter where you do business and no matter what industry you are in.
Some risks hit you like a ton of bricks. Other risks are more subtle. They creep up on you. You do not know that you are at risk until it can be too late. Enterprise wide risk management means continuous tweaking and adjustment. What is right today may not work tomorrow. The key is to review what has happened but keep your eye on the horizon to ensure you are prepared. Whether you produce the risks internally or have external risks imposed upon your business know what to do when to do it and get to where you want to be regardless.
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Business leaders collaborating on solving business problems together faster and cheaper
BusinessRiskTV Collaborative Business Solutions. Do you want to create more time for your business to grow faster with less uncertainty? Faced with a small budget for business protection and growth would you choose an online group session with other business leaders to save time and money? It is an idea some business leaders are investigating
Group online sessions solve common business problems faster and gives business leaders chance to collaborate with other business leaders with same attitude to business development and protection.
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Demand on business leaders time outweighs time available to manage all business risks cost effectively. In recent years the speed of change in the business environment has accelerated putting increased pressures on business leaders wearing many business responsibility hats.
In addition many businesses have complex business systems and business needs which can make finding the best business solutions more difficult to identify.
The traditional one to one business consultation can be prohibitively expensive and the business problem can seem unique when in fact it affects many businesses.
With limited risk management funding or possibility of employing inhouse risk management expert specialists business leaders may need to find innovative ways to find best business solutions quickly within available budget.
Many businesses have the same need for commercial insurance cover and other solutions to protect the business that do not involve insurance. Most if not all business want to increase their opportunities to sell more and increase profitability. Business leaders may seek advice from risk management experts independently to advise on managing such business risks.
Instead of seeing a risk management consultant or business adviser on your own you could get together with a group of other business leaders needing to discuss the same business problems.
If a group of up to 10 business leaders came together with the same business problems could they share experiences to solve risk management problems faster and potentially cheaper?
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BusinessRiskTV risk management network partners facilitate online business leader meetings. The risk management facilitator gathers together business leaders with the same or similar business problems problems before the online meetings. The risk management facilitator also compiles a list of questions the participating business leaders want to ask the group that will include attending and participating risk management experts.
The collaborative group of business leaders and risk management experts will know the business problems to be focused on and details of the businesses involved in the online discussion ahead of the online meeting. This will enable attendees to be aware of the potential value of the meeting to them and prepare for the meeting. The participants in the online problem solving meeting must not only prepare to solve their business problems but must be prepared to help share solutions to help other attendees problems.
Sharing problems and helping solve others problems is the purpose of the meeting.
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The problem solving group may well discuss sensitive issues. This does not need to constrain those attending. Trust quickly develops as participants quickly realise they are not alone with their business problem and that they are talking to people who have already solved their problem. You create a bond with your fellow business leaders. The more you open up the more you get out of the meeting for your business. The sharing of experiences with other business leaders can be empowering.
The aim of the collaborative online meetings is to quickly find solutions to business problems to save time and money for the participants. Participants access more practical problem solving information that has worked already. The meetings help business leaders to more cost effectively use their own time and resources in solving their business problems and the business problems of others. As they are common problems experienced by all those attending then common solutions that actually work well will come to light without the need for discussion duplication.
You may prefer a one to one meeting with a business risk management consultant if you have the budget. However why reinvent the wheel. Other business leaders have solved your business problem already. Tap into their experience to solve your business problems quicker and potentially cheaper.
Collaborative business problem solving online meetings are for business leaders who already know what their business problems are. They just want to know the solutions quickly so they can go off and implement them for themselves and their business.
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It is unlikely that people will attending the meeting will diagnose the problem that is holding your business back. That is not the purpose of the online meetings. You identify what your business risks are and come to the meeting to find risk management solutions or ideas that have worked and could work for your business.
There are measures in place to ensure the confidentiality of information shared within the group and you can see one of our risk management experts from our risk management network on an online one to one appointment who will have seen your business problem before. However collaborative group sessions can quickly overcome barriers to your business growth and a valuable peer support network.
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Understand your business exposure to risks better. Get help to manage business risks better. Network with your peers and risk management experts locally and around the world to help solve your business problems faster. Good business risk management is good business!
Improve your business risk management process.
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Identify evaluate and control the risks impacting on your business objectives. Develop practical steps to protect your business and grow business faster with less uncertainty. Understand the risk assessment process better.Tap into free risk management guidance online. Enterprise risk management is a fundamental element of business success and business resilience.
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Men and women are equal. Perhaps more importantly men and women can bring a different risk management perspective to the table. Without one makes the business more vulnerable.
Support for women in business
Men and women within the business need to be treated equally fairly to ensure the business machine works most effectively.
There can be gender differences in risk taking so an effective holistic risk management strategy requires balanced workforce making decisions on strategy operations and projects. Indeed a balanced risk management strategy requires ethnic equality as well as gender equality.
It is not about male employees v female employees
Men and women see threats and opportunities in different ways. How they respond to business risks is therefore different. Your business enterprise risk management strategy needs to recognise risk perception gender differences. The differences present the opportunity for a competitive advantage if the competition have not acknowledged and addressed this aspect of business culture. Your risk assessment process should take account of gender issues.
It is about creating a balanced all inclusive holistic enterprise risk management strategy for faster business growth with less uncertainty
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Make sure gaps in risk protection are filled. Make sure opportunities for business growth are not missed. For both of these important elements it is important that women are present at executive and senior manager level. For example drafting in a women from a lower level will not counter gender risk taking issues.
The risk management strategy needs to be written up on basis of equality in the boardroom not by having equality within a risk assessment workshop.
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Women need to be fully embedded in all aspects of the business decision making process to benefit from their risk knowledge and experience. Include their business risk perspective and experiences. Women are not better leaders than men or vice versa.
By leaving out women or ethnic minorities at senior management and executive level you may not get the big picture on risk management. Inequality in the boardroom can mean your business only achieves half its potential with the same assets. Indeed some of these assets women may decided to move to a more meritocracy driven business that values gender parity.
There is a growing skills gap in the UK and your business can not afford to miss the benefits of offering an equal opportunity career development environment.
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Better business planning will ensure you are ready for any risk event impacting on your business objectives. If you have completed the ground work no risk event should stop you achieving what you want for your business.
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Business success normally only comes for those who take a few risks. However taking more risks does not automatically exposing your business to unacceptable risks necessary to beat the competition.
Open your business up to new business development opportunities and manage the risks that flow from this better
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You might there are better ways to do what you already do in business or find ways to do new things to grow faster.
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Different business problems require a different set of skills or experience to overcome. A business problem in your industry or country facing your business may require a different solution from the solution used by your competitors. Indeed a different business solution that fits your business problem may actual reap faster growth or better business protection.
One size does not always fit all
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When looking for a solution to your business problem
be flexible
take a more risk based holistic risk management approach
use the right risk management tools and techniques that fit your business culture and attitude to business risk.
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Help to complete your own business risk assessment to be better prepared for your future
Understanding your business risk profile is an important step to making better risk based business management decisions. Identify the threats and opportunities your business faces now or will do in future. Assess the risks of this uncertainty to your business objectives. Your resulting business risk profile will help you make better business decisions. Focus your limited business resources on the risks which will bring you greatest reward of business resilience and business growth.
Enterprise Wide Risk Assessment For Faster Business Growth With Best Use Of Business Assets
Profiling your business risks will help you to stop wasting time and money. You can also use your business risk profile to monitor the impact or lack of impact on your business performance.
Prepare for and manage key business risks your business faces today and tomorrow. Learn from past business risk management events your business experienced or other businesses experienced so you do not have to.
Make sure all your employees know your critical business risks. Create a more effective business risk management framework to allocate responsibilities and accountability for managing business risks.
Your business risk profile should not be a one off exercise. It should not just sit in a file with a to do list ticked. Use your own business risk to mitigate potential threats and maximise business development opportunities. Holistically manage the whole business with the best use of available existing business resources.
Enterprise risk management methodology should be applied to strategic operational and project uncertainties. Inform your decision making process with the whole picture not just part.
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Structure management meetings to make real decisions. Make progress do not maintain status quo. Move your business forward with a meeting. Make sure your decision making meeting works well for your business.
Having too many meetings decreases productivity. A boost to productivity can be facilitated by reducing the number of meetings and making each one held more venues for better decision making. Manage meeting process better and keep meetings short.
Academics from the University of Malmo in Sweden say meetings provide an outlet for people at work to show off their status or to express frustration.
BBC Report
Managers should have clearly defined roles and accountability that they have agreed to and these should be directly linked with the strategic operational and project objectives of the business.
Just because you have manager in your job title does not mean the best thing for the business is to be in meetings constantly. Especially if at the end of a meeting not decision has been taken on the subject of the meeting.
However the BBC report says that the professor things meetings are good because they allow the business to assert power and direction over those attending the meeting. Surely meetings should be about engaging all those attending the meeting in solving a specific problem or problems the meeting has been called to address. Address means there must be decisions taken on how to resolve the issues raised otherwise they are just talking shops and can actually be more destructive than constructive.
If dissatisfaction with the business is to be allowed it should be in the understanding that you bring a solution to the problem you are complaining about not just a problem.
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Effective meetings can produce better business decisions. Not all decisions made at a meeting will be good decisions. Having decided a meeting is needed make sure the potential benefit from the meeting is not missed.
Make sure ever attendee properly prepares for the meeting. Make sure what decision needs to be made is clear before the meeting and what is expected from attendees.
Make sure it is clear that people are attending not to talk about the problem but to make a decision on a specific issue.
There maybe more than one option to consider and decide on the best decision. Make sure the options are clear before the meeting.
Make sure there is a written meeting agenda and a clear idea of what decisions are needed. Make sure all attendees are suitable informed about the meeting subject matter. Send out agenda before meeting.
Holding short meetings are better than long ones. Shorter meetings should help focus minds on the key issues at hand. Short meetings can focus the energy in the room on finding business solutions not issuing direction or showcasing managerial power.
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There are a number of key factors that led to successful business. Successful business leaders understand that being in business is about managing the risks from change. Unsuccessful business leaders tend to blame their failures on economic climate changes and their successes on their brilliant business management skills!
The UK retail sector is suffering major painful changes. Tens of thousands of jobs have been lost as major retailers collapsed or contracted. Yet the UK retail marketplace has some examples of major retailers bucking this trend blamed on the UK economy by unsuccessful retail business managers.
By applying their risk management knowledge successful businesses can act quicker and with more confidence it will work out
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Not taking risks is not an option for most business leaders. However many risk factors coming together can appear daunting. Enterprise risk management looks at the big picture and helps you identify the steps to a better business in future.
Find out how to improve your chances of business success with BusinessRiskTV. Take calculated risks to help your business grow faster with less uncertainty. Embrace change and the risks to your business.
Business risk assessment elements should fit your business culture. Some people do not like numbers. Some do. Your business risk assessment template should reflect the culture of your organisation.
A business risk assessment is a systematic process that helps organisations identify, evaluate, and prioritise risks that may impact their operations, financial performance, and reputation. It is an essential tool for managing risk and ensuring the long-term viability of a business.
There are several key elements that a business risk assessment should include:
Identifying the risks: The first step in the risk assessment process is to identify the potential risks that the business may face. This can include internal risks, such as operational inefficiencies or employee misconduct, as well as external risks, such as market changes or natural disasters.
Evaluating the risks: Once the risks have been identified, the next step is to evaluate their potential impact on the business. This includes considering the likelihood of each risk occurring, as well as the potential consequences if it does.
Prioritising the risks: After evaluating the risks, the next step is to prioritise them based on their potential impact on the business. This will help the organisation focus its resources on the most significant risks and develop strategies to mitigate them.
Developing risk management strategies: Once the risks have been prioritised, the next step is to develop strategies to mitigate them. This can include implementing control measures to prevent or reduce the likelihood of risks occurring, or transferring the risk to another party through insurance or other means.
Monitoring and reviewing the risks: The risk assessment process is ongoing and should be regularly reviewed and updated to ensure that it remains relevant and effective. This includes monitoring the risks and identifying any new or emerging risks that may have arisen since the last assessment.
In summary, a business risk assessment should include the following key elements:
Identifying the risks
Evaluating the risks
Prioritizing the risks
Developing risk management strategies
Monitoring and reviewing the risks
Every business faces risks that could be a threat to its success
The business leaders who are better prepared for these risks and have a cost effective risk management plan and business strategy are more likely to be more successful.
Enterprise Wide Risk Assessment For Faster Business Growth With Best Use Of Business Assets
Develop a suitable risk assessment process to assist with your risk management plan preparation. Review your existing risk management process to ensure it is fit for purpose in a rapidly changing marketplace. Successful entrepreneurs have a good strategic operational and project risk management attitude and business culture that is flexible enough to cope with any economic environment.
There are numerous factors that can contribute to the success of a business. Here are some key factors that are often considered critical for building and maintaining a successful business:
Clear Vision and Strategy: A successful business requires a clear vision and a well-defined strategy. This includes setting goals, defining the direction of the business, and developing a roadmap to achieve those goals.
Market Research and Understanding Customer Needs: Understanding the market and identifying customer needs are essential for success. Conducting thorough market research, identifying target customers, and tailoring products or services to meet their needs is critical in building a successful business.
Strong Leadership: Effective leadership is crucial for the success of any business. It involves providing direction, making decisions, motivating employees, and fostering a positive work culture. Strong leadership skills help in guiding the business through challenges and achieving the desired outcomes.
Financial Management: Proper financial management, including budgeting, cash flow management, and financial planning, is vital for the long-term success of a business. Sound financial management practices help in ensuring that the business remains financially stable and can weather economic uncertainties.
Quality Products or Services: Delivering high-quality products or services is essential for building a loyal customer base. Providing value to customers and consistently meeting or exceeding their expectations builds trust and helps in retaining customers, which is critical for the success of any business.
Effective Marketing and Branding: Successful businesses understand the importance of effective marketing and branding. Creating a strong brand presence, developing marketing strategies to reach the target audience, and promoting products or services effectively can lead to increased visibility, customer acquisition, and revenue growth.
Innovation and Adaptability: In today’s dynamic business environment, innovation and adaptability are crucial for success. Successful businesses continuously innovate, adapt to changing market trends, and find new ways to stay relevant and competitive in the market.
Efficient Operations and Processes: Streamlining operations and processes can improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer satisfaction. Implementing effective systems and processes, optimising the supply chain, and leveraging technology can lead to improved productivity and operational excellence.
Talented and Engaged Workforce: A skilled and motivated workforce is vital for the success of any business. Hiring and retaining top talent, providing opportunities for growth and development, fostering a positive work culture, and promoting employee engagement can lead to higher productivity and overall business success.
Customer Relationship Management: Building strong customer relationships is crucial for long-term success. Providing excellent customer service, maintaining open lines of communication, addressing customer feedback, and building customer loyalty are key factors that contribute to the success of a business. These are some of the key factors that can contribute to the success of a business. However, it’s important to note that success is multifaceted and can vary depending on the industry, market, and individual circumstances. It’s essential to carefully plan, execute, and continuously adapt to changing circumstances to achieve long-term business success.
Strategic Partnerships and Networking: Collaborating with strategic partners and building a strong network can provide valuable opportunities for business growth. Strategic partnerships can help access new markets, share resources, and leverage complementary strengths, while networking can lead to new business leads, partnerships, and valuable industry insights.
Risk Management: Successful businesses recognize the importance of managing risks. This includes identifying and mitigating potential risks, having contingency plans in place, and being prepared to handle unexpected challenges. Effective risk management can help protect the business from potential setbacks and ensure its resilience.
Flexibility and Adaptability: Business environments can change rapidly, and successful businesses are agile and adaptable. Being open to change, willing to pivot when necessary, and embracing innovation can help a business stay ahead of the competition and navigate through uncertainties.
Continuous Learning and Improvement: Successful businesses are always learning and improving. Keeping up with industry trends, staying updated with technology, and seeking feedback from customers and employees can provide valuable insights for making informed decisions and driving continuous improvement.
Strong Customer Focus: Putting the customer at the center of the business is crucial for success. Understanding customer preferences, delivering excellent customer experiences, and building customer loyalty can lead to repeat business, positive word-of-mouth, and a strong brand reputation.
Ethical and Responsible Business Practices: Operating with integrity, practicing ethical business standards, and being socially responsible can build trust and credibility with customers, employees, and other stakeholders. Demonstrating responsible business practices can contribute to long-term success and sustainability.
Resilience and Persistence: Building a successful business is not always easy, and setbacks and failures are inevitable. Successful businesses demonstrate resilience, learn from failures, and persist in the face of challenges. Perseverance, determination, and the ability to bounce back from setbacks are key traits of successful entrepreneurs.
Long-term Planning and Goal-setting: Having a long-term vision and setting realistic goals is important for business success. Long-term planning allows for strategic decision-making, resource allocation, and monitoring progress towards achieving business objectives.
Adapting to Digital Transformation: In today’s digital age, successful businesses embrace digital transformation. This includes leveraging technology for automation, digital marketing, data analysis, and online presence to stay competitive and meet changing customer preferences.
Monitoring and Measuring Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): Successful businesses monitor and measure key performance indicators (KPIs) to track progress, identify areas for improvement, and make data-driven decisions. Regularly analysing KPIs provides insights into the health and performance of the business and helps in making informed decisions.
In conclusion, building and maintaining a successful business requires a combination of various factors. It’s important to have a clear vision, understand the market and customer needs, demonstrate effective leadership, manage finances wisely, deliver quality products or services, market and brand effectively, innovate, and adapt to changing environments. Additionally, building a strong team, managing risks, focusing on customer satisfaction, practicing responsible business ethics, and being resilient and persistent are key factors that contribute to long-term business success.
Improve your risk management process. Mitigate threats or seize new opportunities more quickly. Simplify your enterprise risk management ERM process.
Introduce a framework for your business to use an enterprise risk assessment process to reduce uncertainty. Make quick well informed business decisions. Take a systemic risk based approach to manage enterprise risks more effectively.
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Running a successful business requires more than just a great product or service. It involves understanding and managing the risks that can impact your organisation. From financial risks to cybersecurity threats, there are various factors that can jeopardise the stability and growth of your business. In this BusinessRiskTV Guide to Business Protection, we will explore the key areas you need to consider to protect your business from potential risks.
Risk Assessment The first step in protecting your business is to conduct a thorough risk assessment. This involves identifying and evaluating the potential risks that your business may face. It is essential to assess both internal and external factors that could impact your operations. Internal risks may include financial instability, employee turnover, or operational inefficiencies. External risks can range from economic downturns to changes in regulations or new competitors entering the market. By conducting a comprehensive risk assessment, you can prioritise your efforts and allocate resources effectively.
Financial Risk Management Financial risks can have a significant impact on your business’s sustainability. It is crucial to develop a robust financial risk management strategy to protect your company’s assets and ensure its long-term viability. This includes identifying potential risks such as cash flow issues, debt management, currency fluctuations, and interest rate changes. Implementing financial controls, diversifying revenue streams, and creating a contingency fund are some of the strategies you can adopt to mitigate financial risks.
Insurance Coverage Insurance plays a crucial role in protecting your business from unexpected events. It is essential to assess your insurance needs and ensure that you have adequate coverage. Different types of insurance policies are available to address specific risks, such as property insurance, liability insurance, business interruption insurance, and cyber insurance. Carefully review the terms and conditions of each policy to ensure that it aligns with your business’s unique requirements. Regularly reassess your coverage to account for any changes in your operations or business environment.
Cybersecurity Measures In today’s digital age, businesses are increasingly vulnerable to cybersecurity threats. Protecting your business’s sensitive information and customer data is of utmost importance. Implement robust cybersecurity measures, including firewalls, encryption, secure passwords, and regular data backups. Educate your employees about the best practices for data security and create a culture of awareness within your organization. Conduct regular security audits and stay updated with the latest cybersecurity trends to stay one step ahead of potential threats.
Legal Compliance Compliance with laws and regulations is critical to protecting your business from legal risks. Failure to comply with relevant regulations can result in hefty fines, legal battles, and damage to your reputation. Stay informed about the laws and regulations that govern your industry and ensure that your business adheres to them. This may include data protection laws, labor regulations, environmental regulations, and consumer protection laws. Establish robust compliance processes, including regular audits and training programs, to minimise legal risks.
Business Continuity Planning Developing a comprehensive business continuity plan is essential to ensure that your business can withstand unexpected disruptions. Identify the critical functions of your business and create contingency plans to mitigate risks. This may involve developing alternate supply chains, establishing remote work capabilities, or creating backup systems for crucial operations. Regularly test and update your business continuity plan to account for any changes in your operations or potential risks.
Reputation Management Protecting your business’s reputation is crucial for long-term success. A damaged reputation can result in loss of customers, decreased revenue, and difficulty attracting top talent. Implement strategies to build and maintain a positive brand image. This includes delivering excellent customer service, being transparent and ethical in your business practices, and actively managing your online presence. Monitor social media platforms, respond promptly to customer feedback, and address any negative publicity proactively.
Strategic Partnerships Collaborating with strategic partners can help mitigate risks and enhance your business’s protection. Strategic partnerships can provide access to additional resources, expertise, and networks that can help you navigate risks more effectively. Look for partners who complement your business and share similar values. Collaborate on joint projects, share best practices, and leverage each other’s strengths to enhance your risk management capabilities. Building strong relationships with suppliers, distributors, and other key stakeholders can also contribute to the overall protection of your business.
Employee Training and Engagement Your employees are an integral part of your business’s protection. Investing in employee training and engagement can help mitigate risks and enhance your overall business resilience. Provide regular training sessions on topics such as risk awareness, cybersecurity, compliance, and crisis management. Foster a culture of open communication, where employees feel comfortable reporting potential risks or suggesting improvements. Engaged employees are more likely to be vigilant and proactive in identifying and addressing risks, contributing to a safer and more secure business environment.
Continuous Monitoring and Evaluation Business protection is an ongoing process that requires continuous monitoring and evaluation. Regularly review your risk management strategies and update them as necessary. Stay informed about the latest trends and developments in your industry to anticipate potential risks. Monitor key performance indicators (KPIs) and implement a robust reporting system to track the effectiveness of your risk management efforts. Conduct periodic audits and risk assessments to identify any emerging risks or areas for improvement.
Protecting your business from potential risks is essential for its long-term success and sustainability. By conducting a thorough risk assessment, implementing financial risk management strategies, securing adequate insurance coverage, strengthening cybersecurity measures, ensuring legal compliance, developing a business continuity plan, managing your reputation, leveraging strategic partnerships, investing in employee training and engagement, and continuously monitoring and evaluating your risk management efforts, you can enhance your business protection. Remember, business protection is an ongoing process that requires adaptability and a proactive approach to address the ever-evolving risks in today’s business landscape. By prioritising risk management and taking proactive measures, you can safeguard your business and position it for long-term growth and success.
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Top thought leaders including academics business leaders and policy makers think cyberattacks in top 5 risks facing businesses. The latest World Economic Forum WEF Global Risks Report says we should be focusing resources on cyber risk management.
The risk of theft of data and money as well as cyberattacks resulting in disruption and damaged infrastructure remains very high. It is unlikely that this risk level will fall given the increased use of technology in every aspect of our lives and business.
What can be done to mitigate the threats and seize new business opportunities
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Sometimes we have to accept the risks our businesses face to achieve our goals. Taking no action to control the risks does not mean you have not managed the risk. It means you have identified and assessed it and proactively choose to accept it as the risk is within your risk tolerance and appetite for risk.
The other extreme is that you avoid the risk identified. The risk is beyond your risk tolerance and appetite for risk to pursuance of your business objectives.
Developing a balanced risk management action plan is not easy but it should be simple to work well.
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Failing to be innovative and creative in the financial services sector may place your business at a competitive disadvantage. However innovation and creativity brings added risk. Is that added risk with it? Enterprise risk management ERM approach will help you decide.
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Regulatory compliance increased investor engagement and expectations and increasingly volatile geopolitical risks makes investing for the future and management of investment risks harder
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The future of financial services industry risk management is also changing with artificial intelligence divergent regulatory controls and splintering risk culture ambitions driving changes in practice.
Keep up to date with best risk management tools and techniques to improve your business decision making. The financial financial crisis is beginning. We just do not know where it started and what we are doing wrong. However being prepared for the next financial crisis should be part of a holistic enterprise risk management approach.
Chances are that fintech will play a role in the next financial crisis. Technology risks are a key risk factor for business growth and disaster for financial services companies in particular.
Lack of need to control risks will also play a role in the next financial crisis. The financial services industry has found it near impossible to manage its own risks without regulatory control. Dissipation in regulatory control will precipitate the financial services industry lunging over the cliff.
The fact that the financial services sector has still not recovered from the last financial crisis is another reason that another financial crisis will occur. ItalianChinese and Indian banks are in particular bursting at the seems with near unmanageable debt levels. Add to that boiling frothing pot of junk political instability in EuropeAsia and Americas then you have a perfect storm waiting to be unleashed.
Should we withdraw from business or investing? Of course not. It has always been thus. It has always been about the survival of the fittest. However what has changed is that there is increased realisation that the fittest are those businesses and investors who invest in socially responsible investing. Environmental social and governance risk factors are at play. The strongest are the ones who embrace this philosophy.
A holistic enterprise risk management approach to business management and investing is the future. If you are waiting to look back and acknowledge that with hindsight you will be one who suffers most from the next financial crisis. You may not survive the long term. If you are not looking to the long term then good luck to you. You might get lucky. If you are looking for long term sustainability get on the holistic enterprise risk management boat today. Create long term value through enterprise risk management today not tomorrow.
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Globally Empty Office Buildings and Commercial Property Creating Debt Collapse, Systemic Threat to Banking System Worldwide
The COVID-19 pandemic and central banks response – overprinting of money out of thin air – has had a devastating impact on the global economy, and nowhere has this been more evident than in the commercial real estate sector. As businesses have been forced to close or operate remotely, millions of square feet of office space have been vacated, leaving office buildings empty around the world.
This has led to a sharp decline in property values, and many commercial real estate owners are now facing significant financial losses. In some cases, these losses have become so severe that they have forced property owners to default on their loans, which could have a ripple effect throughout the global banking system.
Who Has the Most Exposure to Commercial Real Estate?
The financial institutions that have the most exposure to commercial real estate are those that specialise in lending to businesses and developers. These institutions include commercial banks, investment banks, regional banks in USA and insurance companies.
According to a recent report by the International Monetary Fund, commercial banks worldwide have about $20 trillion in outstanding loans to commercial real estate borrowers. This represents about 10% of all bank lending globally.
Investment banks and insurance companies also have significant exposure to commercial real estate. Investment banks, for example, often underwrite and market commercial real estate bonds, which are a type of debt security that is backed by the income generated from rental properties. Insurance companies, on the other hand, often invest in commercial real estate through real estate investment trusts (REITs), which are companies that own and operate income-producing properties.
Are Banks in Danger?
The sharp decline in commercial real estate values has raised concerns that banks could be in danger of suffering significant losses on their loans to commercial real estate borrowers. In some cases, these losses could be so severe that they could force banks to default on their own debts, which could lead to a systemic financial crisis.
However, it is important to note that banks have a variety of tools at their disposal to manage their exposure to commercial real estate risk. For example, banks can sell off their commercial real estate loans to other investors, or they can take steps to restructure the terms of these loans. At the same time if the sea level is going down for all banks in real estate debt crisis will there be enough saviours?
In addition, the government can also play a role in helping to stabilise the commercial real estate market. For example, the government can provide financial assistance to banks that are struggling with commercial real estate losses, or it can provide tax breaks to businesses that are considering moving back into office space. At the same time this is inflationary and may result in even higher interest rates – problem delayed but worsened thereby extending and increasing length of recession creating depression.
How Many Office Buildings Are Empty in the US?
According to a recent survey by the commercial real estate firm CBRE, about 15% of office space in the United States is currently vacant. This represents about 250 million square feet of empty office space.
The vacancy rate is highest in major cities such as New York, San Francisco, and Los Angeles. In these cities, the vacancy rate is often above 20%.
The vacancy rate is also high in some smaller cities and towns. For example, the vacancy rate in the city of Detroit is currently over 30%.
These, official, vacancy rates seem lower than real levels other agencies produce and anecdotally.
Why Are the Banks in Trouble?
The banks are in trouble because they have lent too much money to commercial real estate borrowers. When these borrowers default on their loans, the banks are left holding the bag.
The banks are also in trouble because the value of their commercial real estate assets has declined. This decline in value has made it more difficult for the banks to sell these assets, and it has also reduced the amount of collateral that they have available to secure their loans.
The banks are also facing increased competition from non-bank lenders, such as private equity firms and hedge funds. These non-bank lenders are often willing to lend money to commercial real estate borrowers at lower interest rates than the banks.
Conclusion
The global pandemic has had a devastating impact on the commercial real estate sector, and this has led to significant financial losses for banks and other financial institutions. The situation is likely to get worse before it gets better, as more and more businesses continue to operate remotely. If it gets worse it will be a very long time – decades – before it gets better!
The government will need to play a role in helping to stabilise the commercial real estate market, and banks will need to take steps to manage their exposure to commercial real estate risk. If these steps are not taken, the global banking system could be in danger of a systemic crisis.
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Managing Risk in Financial Services
Managing Risk in the Ever-Evolving Financial Services Industry
The financial services industry is a complex and dynamic sector that plays a vital role in the global economy. It encompasses a wide range of activities, including banking, insurance, investment management, and more. However, with the constant changes and uncertainties in the business landscape, managing risk has become a critical aspect of the financial services industry. In this article, we will explore the challenges and best practices of managing risk in the ever-evolving financial services industry.
The Changing Landscape of the Financial Services Industry
The financial services industry has gone through significant changes over the years, driven by various factors such as technological advancements, regulatory reforms, economic fluctuations, and changing customer preferences. These changes have brought new opportunities and challenges for businesses operating in this industry.
One of the significant changes in the financial services industry is the increasing reliance on technology. The digital revolution has transformed the way financial services are delivered and consumed. Fintech companies have emerged, leveraging technology to disrupt traditional financial services providers. This has resulted in increased competition and the need for traditional financial institutions to adapt and innovate to stay relevant.
Another change in the financial services industry is the evolving regulatory landscape. Governments and regulatory bodies around the world have implemented stringent regulations to safeguard consumers and ensure financial stability. These regulations, such as the Dodd-Frank Act in the United States and the MiFID II directive in the European Union, have increased compliance requirements for financial services firms. Non-compliance can result in severe penalties and reputational damage, making effective risk management essential.
Economic fluctuations also impact the financial services industry. Economic downturns can lead to increased credit risk, market volatility, and liquidity challenges, while economic upturns can present growth opportunities. As the global economy becomes increasingly interconnected, events in one part of the world can have ripple effects on financial markets globally, making risk management more complex and critical.
Lastly, changing customer preferences and behaviors have also impacted the financial services industry. Customers now demand personalized and convenient financial services, with a focus on transparency and trust. This has led to a shift in business models, with a greater emphasis on customer-centricity and digital engagement. Firms need to understand customer preferences and manage reputational risk to maintain customer trust and loyalty.
Challenges in Risk Management in the Financial Services Industry
The evolving landscape of the financial services industry has brought about several challenges in managing risk effectively. Some of the significant challenges include:
Increasing Complexity: The financial services industry is highly complex, with numerous products, services, and processes. Risk managers need to understand the intricacies of various financial instruments, business models, and regulatory requirements to identify and manage risks effectively.
Changing Regulations: The regulatory landscape is constantly evolving, with new regulations being introduced and existing ones amended. Financial services firms need to stay abreast of these changes and ensure compliance, which requires significant resources and expertise.
Cybersecurity Risks: The increasing reliance on technology has also exposed the financial services industry to cybersecurity risks. Cyber threats, such as data breaches and ransomware attacks, can result in financial losses, reputational damage, and regulatory penalties.
Geopolitical Risks: Geopolitical events, such as trade disputes, political instability, and sanctions, can have significant impacts on the financial services industry. These events can affect global markets, currencies, and investment portfolios, leading to increased volatility and risk exposure.
Reputation Risk: Reputation is crucial in the financial services industry, and any damage to reputation can have severe consequences. Negative public perception, loss of customer trust, and regulatory scrutiny can all result in significant financial and operational impacts.
Operational Risks: The complex and interconnected nature of the financial services industry also presents operational risks. Operational failures, such as system outages, processing errors, and human errors, can disrupt business operations, cause financial losses, and harm reputation.
Risk of Financial Crime: Financial services firms are also exposed to risks related to financial crime, including money laundering, fraud, and corruption. These risks can arise from internal or external sources and can result in regulatory penalties, legal liabilities, and reputational damage.
Risk from Emerging Technologies: The rapid pace of technological advancements, such as artificial intelligence, blockchain, and cryptocurrency, presents both opportunities and risks for the financial services industry. Firms need to understand the risks associated with emerging technologies and implement effective risk management strategies to mitigate them.
Best Practices for Managing Risk in the Financial Services Industry
Given the challenges and complexities of managing risk in the financial services industry, it is essential for firms to adopt best practices to effectively mitigate risks. Here are some key best practices for managing risk in the financial services industry:
Develop a Robust Risk Management Framework: Financial services firms should establish a comprehensive risk management framework that includes risk identification, assessment, mitigation, monitoring, and reporting. This framework should be integrated into the firm’s overall strategy, operations, and decision-making processes.
Embrace a Risk Culture: Establishing a strong risk culture is critical for effective risk management. It involves fostering a culture where risk awareness and accountability are embedded in the organisation’s values, behaviours, and practices. This includes promoting open communication, risk transparency, and learning from mistakes.
Stay Abreast of Regulatory Changes: The financial services industry is heavily regulated, and firms need to stay updated with the latest regulatory changes that impact their operations. This includes understanding the implications of regulatory changes, ensuring compliance, and engaging with regulators proactively.
Enhance Cybersecurity Measures: Given the increasing cybersecurity risks, financial services firms should implement robust cybersecurity measures to protect their systems, data, and customer information. This includes regular cybersecurity assessments, employee training, and incident response plans.
Diversify Risk Management Strategies: Financial services firms should adopt a diversified approach to risk management. This includes diversifying investments, customers, and markets to reduce concentration risk. It also involves using risk transfer mechanisms such as insurance and derivatives to mitigate risks.
Conduct Comprehensive Due Diligence: Financial services firms should conduct comprehensive due diligence before entering into any business relationships, such as partnerships, acquisitions, or investments. This includes assessing the financial stability, reputation, and compliance of potential business partners to mitigate counterparty risk.
Implement Robust Compliance Programs: Compliance is a critical aspect of risk management in the financial services industry. Firms should establish robust compliance programs that include policies, procedures, and controls to ensure compliance with applicable laws, regulations, and internal policies.
Invest in Technology and Data Analytics: Technology and data analytics can play a significant role in enhancing risk management in the financial services industry. Firms should invest in advanced technologies, such as risk management software, data analytics tools, and machine learning algorithms, to identify, assess, and monitor risks effectively.
Continuously Monitor and Update Risk Management Strategies: Risk management is an ongoing process, and firms should continuously monitor and update their risk management strategies to adapt to changing business and market conditions. This includes conducting regular risk assessments, evaluating the effectiveness of risk mitigation measures, and making necessary adjustments as needed.
As the financial services industry continues to evolve, managing risk has become more critical than ever. Firms operating in this industry face various challenges, including increasing complexity, changing regulations, cybersecurity risks, geopolitical risks, reputation risk, operational risks, risk from emerging technologies, and risk from financial crime. However, by adopting best practices such as developing a robust risk management framework, embracing a risk culture, staying abreast of regulatory changes, enhancing cybersecurity measures, diversifying risk management strategies, conducting comprehensive due diligence, implementing robust compliance programs, investing in technology and data analytics, and continuously monitoring and updating risk management strategies, financial services firms can effectively mitigate risks and safeguard their operations, reputation, and financial stability.
It is crucial for financial services firms to recognize that risk management is not a one-time activity but an ongoing process that requires constant attention and adaptation. By proactively identifying, assessing, and mitigating risks, firms can reduce the likelihood and impact of potential risk events and ensure their long-term sustainability.
In addition, fostering a strong risk culture within the organisation is essential for effective risk management. This involves creating an environment where risk awareness and accountability are valued, and employees at all levels are encouraged to report risks and concerns without fear of reprisal. A robust risk culture promotes open communication, transparency, and a commitment to continuous learning and improvement.
Furthermore, leveraging technology and data analytics can greatly enhance risk management efforts in the financial services industry. Advanced technologies, such as risk management software, data analytics tools, and machine learning algorithms, can enable firms to identify patterns, trends, and anomalies in vast amounts of data, allowing for more informed risk assessments and timely risk mitigation actions.
Lastly, financial services firms should stay updated with the latest regulatory changes and engage with regulators proactively. Regulatory requirements are constantly evolving, and firms need to ensure compliance with applicable laws and regulations to avoid penalties, legal liabilities, and reputational damage. Regular communication and collaboration with regulators can help firms understand the implications of regulatory changes and proactively address any potential compliance gaps.
In conclusion, managing risk is a critical aspect of operating in the financial services industry. With the increasing complexity and evolving landscape of this industry, firms need to adopt a proactive and comprehensive approach to risk management. By developing a robust risk management framework, fostering a strong risk culture, staying updated with regulatory changes, enhancing cybersecurity measures, diversifying risk management strategies, conducting comprehensive due diligence, implementing robust compliance programs, investing in technology and data analytics, and continuously monitoring and updating risk management strategies, financial services firms can effectively mitigate risks and ensure their long-term success. It is imperative for financial services firms to prioritise risk management and make it an integral part of their strategic planning and decision-making processes. By doing so, they can safeguard their operations, protect their reputation, and maintain the trust of their customers and stakeholders in the ever-changing landscape of the financial services industry.
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Tips advice and support for better decision making in financial services industry. Improve conduct risk. Change the way your business relates to your customers. Upgrade your risk management and conduct risk governance framework to ensure everyone knows who does what and when. This should embrace accountability for the consequences of not managing conduct risks in accordance with clear risk management principles risk appetite of the business.
Develop new financial conduct risk compliant products to boost business performance and sustainable business growth
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The whole business needs to report on conduct risk performance. The risk function should help monitor conduct risks within the risk management plan but everyone in the business should be accountable for good customer outcomes. Internal Audit should check the documentation for conduct risk management challenging the whole business and the risk function to improve conduct risk effectively.
The Board executives and senior managers need to develop and embed the right risk management culture for the business risk tolerance and risk appetite. However all staff should be held to account by ensuring that all remuneration and incentives are linked to good risk management practices.
If people are to be held to account the business the board and senior managers must provide the tools to ensure that all staff are capable of delivering conduct risk management principles and practices. This includes training staff developing good risk management systems and early risk warning indicators to enable rapid corrective action to prevent severe impact on business objectives and major personal failure.
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Cut through the management information overload to focus on the conduct risks that matter to your business success and key customer outcomes. Do not procrastinate. Act to remedy deteriorating conduct risks and monitor the effectiveness of your risk management action plan.
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Senior managers and executives will increasingly become accountable for conduct risk in UK. Protect yourself better and find new ways to comply with regulatory obligations whilst increasing your business growth.
Embed a positive risk management culture. Assess from clients point of view whether good customer outcomes are achieved consistently. Analyse trends to identify areas which may need further more in depth investigation and conduct risk assessment. The conduct risk assessment should not just focus on known risks but encompass emerging risks from external and internal risk factors.
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What is your risk management capability? How does it address conduct risk. All financial services industry businesses need to develop the right skillset. Organisations need to gather the right management information at the right time and disseminate risk controls have appropriate risk assessment. Does your risk management information system RMIS help you make the right decisions at the right time?
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Are you personally accountable? Do you want more comfort that you are doing the right things at the right time? Improve you overview of regulatory compliance and supervisory expectations of conduct risk management.
Effectively empower your colleagues to manage conduct risk better. Treat your customers fairly and protect them and your business from poor conduct risk management.
The Financial Conduct Authority FCA in UK expects your financial services business to embed conduct risk management into your enterprise risk management framework. You need to use risk based management information to make better conduct risk management decisions.
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Review your risk management framework principles and risk assessment process to boost business performance. Do not just comply with regulations. Prosper with more certainty.
Understand emerging conduct risks. Manage known existing risks better. Allocate existing resources for better return in conduct risk management. Improve customer outcomes. Know what customers want and need. Gain a competitive advantage within financial services industry.
Treat customers fairly do not just look at process improvement. Be reasonable as a minimum and look to build upon existing conduct risk management. Make sure when you develop financial products and services you meet the objectives and interests of your target market.
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Develop open transparent communication across the organisation on conduct risk management. Stop paying lip service to the principles of good conduct risk management. Keep conduct risk management simple. Measure and report on conduct risk in accordance with the level of risk to corporate objectives. Involve the whole organisation in the management of conduct risks.
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The consortium saving Flybe is called Connect Airways. Flybe describes itself as Europes largest regional airline.
Farming food and drink production and agriculture have too often resorted to low productivity low cost labour to get their products to the marketplace. However embracing collaborative business ideas could grab so much more market share of the existing pie and enter new markets.
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2008 should have been the watershed moment for the financial services sector and banking in particular to implement systemic changes to incorporate enterprise risk management principles and practices.
FCA and Financial Services Review Into Banking Risk Culture
Financial services companies have continued to bring to market products that have led to claims for compensation. Nonsense of putting the customer first is often uttered in the financial services sector.
The reality is that the financial services sector risk management culture is still systemically broken and it is likely to lead to the next financial crisis. A financial crisis comes along roughly every 10 years. As we look towards 2019 the next financial crisis is overdue.
How will the next financial crisis manifest itself? Not known. Will it happen? Almost certainly. Most countries have not fully recovered from the last financial crisis. Their economies are still very weak. Even the strong are comparatively weak. This means we may never recover from the next financial crisis and so should do more to make sure the next financial crisis is avoided or mitigated.
Most likely cause of the next financial crisis is the compounding and aggregation of financial risk.
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The last financial crisis grew and exploded from the productionisation of simple debt prototype ideas thought up by people who thought they were masters of the world. Despite the new false perception that after ten years we have now paid our dues we are in fact drowning in more unpaid debt than ever.
Unpaid debt will continue to be wrapped up in shiny new marketing material designed to protect the buyers from the toxicity of the core material. Piled high and sold cheap these debt instruments will be combined and recombined. The new for old debt products will build the tower that will be the start of the beginning of the end for many a business in the next financial crisis.
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