Will you suffer catastrophic loss to disruptive innovation or become a business disruptor yourself

Protect yourself and benefit from innovation driven business growth

The 4th Industrial Revolution is upon us. For some it will be a plague but for others it’ll will be a feast.

Every day you can find multiple great ideas that could potentially disruptive the current way of doing things. My favourites at the moment are flying modes of transport that could easily replace vehicles that have to travel on roads and flying machines that briefly go to space to get to their destination quicker. They may seem like far off technological developments, but the technology works now.   Its flight rules and regulations that will hold them back to protect carmakers and airplane makers not technology risks.

Everyday new innovative ideas and products flood onto the market. For most it will be like Tomorrows World. The innovative ideas will not be sustainable. We want to work with people who want to take over the world in a good way!

Pull in our resources to make innovation-driven business growth more likely to succeed and maximise the return of your investment of time and money.

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If you don’t have time to be innovators you may need to find time to protect against business market disruptors

Fatal existential business decisions are easy to see in hindsight. Foresight consultants can help you take steps to protect yourself from your own poor business decisions.

Anyone can take a wrong turn. If you’re lucky the decision may not be malignant. You might survive to fight another day. On the other hand.

Your brand maybe vulnerable to others who have been thinking differently, or from changes to the marketplace. It may fail cause your performance ain’t good enough, or because your competitors change the rules of the game.

How you fail may not matter too much after you’ve failed. It will be too late to consider what you are doing wrong. Kodak didn’t want to change when they had to change to survive. They were making too much money from photographs to change to embrace digital photography. Market changes can kill the best businesses.

The best form of defence is often attack

Being more innovative or creative can be frightening. Picking the wrong horse in a paddock of new opportunities can be very costly. Innovation can also be exciting and highly rewarding.

We aim to make innovation for you more exciting and rewarding as well as reducing the uncertainties that accompany innovation and creativity. Disruptive innovators can draw on our tips advice and support to become more successful with more certainty.

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Where is the automotive industry going

New Automotive Industry Entrants and Cross Sector Collaboration Will Bring New Threats and Opportunities

The 4th industrial revolution is about to turn the automotive industry upside down  rip up traditional business models and will come out the other side better and stronger but very different.

Many new features in cars and other vehicles that took a decade to normalise across the industry will need to be incorporated in a few short years. The automotive industry as always evolved but a revolution is under way.

  • Those who don’t keep up will be squashed to death!
  • Those that get on the bus will see a very different road ahead.
  • Those that resist change will cease to exist, and those that embrace change may or may not benefit from the changes

The pace of change within components that do or could go into vehicles is fast but the pace in which the automotive industry is changing is breath-taking, and its accelerating!

The world’s auto industry will have more customers demands to meet, but what are they going to deliver and when? Automated vehicles powered by renewable energy is nothing new. How quickly can society keep up with what is possible on the roads? Will automotive industry take to the skies!   Will we get into autonomous vehicles AV and literally fly to work whilst playing computer games! Will the automobile get swallowed up whole by Google Apple and Sony?

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3rd October 2018 GM and Honda New Project

General Motors and Honda have announced a partnership to develop and build an autonomous multi use vehicle together.

13th June 2018 VW Fined 1 Billion Euros By German Prosecutors

Volkswagen has been fined by German prosecutors for diesel emissions scandal. VW has already been fined by other countries for cheating the tests for diesel emissions. VW has agreed to pay more than 4 billion dollars to resolve criminal and civil penalties for installing illegal software in diesel engines to cheat USA anti pollution tests.


15th March 2018 Auto Parts Maker New Strategic Direction

Automotive parts supplier Magna International Inc will invest $200 million in ride-hailing firm Lyft. Their new partnership will develop and manufacture self driving cars.

20th February 2018 Ford Aims To Set Up German Bank To Offset Any Brexit Risk

Ford wants to set up a bank in Germany in late 2018 and has applied for a banking licence as part of Ford’s strategy to mitigate any risk from Britain leaving the European Union after the Brexit vote in June 2016.

Ford Credit Europe will remain headquartered in Britain and the new bank plans will not result in job losses or significant changes to where employees are based.

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Groupthink

Conformity Of Global Financial Leaders Led To 2008 Financial Crisis

Global financial leaders made faulty decisions because as a group they lost touch with reality and had an inherent poor moral compass. That has not changed.

Global Leaders Poor Moral Compass Will Lead To Next Financial Crisis

The financial services industry is like a cartel. It deliberately publishes false economic risk analysis  and critically evaluates global risks to benefit the financial services preferred strategic direction. Such groupthink is creating business decision making that will lead to financial failure yet again.

The City is thinking as one to protect The City not to develop a sustainable UK economy. It is fighting to protect itself in the short to medium term. If it succeeds it will miss the opportunities for more rapid business growth and the UK will miss out too.

The financial services industry is a highly cohesive and organised sector of the economy which is massively supported by the media and politicians.

Enlightened Holistic Risk Management Framework and Risk Assessment Process

The saviour of capitalism is the full adoption of enterprise risk management ERM principles and practices.

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Brexit Risk Watch

What does Brexit mean for the UK Europe and Globally?

BusinessRiskTV presents the Brexit Risk Watch to identify assess and provide recommendations on the threats and opportunities to business from the Brexit vote in June 2016.

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Brexit Guide Brexit Business Risk Assessment Analysis News and Opinions

Read our latest analysis on the consequences of Brexit. What is your Brexit risk assessment? How do you seize the opportunities a Brexit will present to your business? How do you mitigate the threats from Brexit? Only a careful, positive risk management approach will ensure that Brexit will work well for everybody in the UK.

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19th October 2018 View Of Brexit From German Industry

German industry association BDI has warned that both German and British companies are staring into an economic abyss if there is a no deal Brexit.

The remaining EU27 countries export more to the UK than any other country. More than to China or USA.

Germany exported 84 billion euros worth of goods to the UK in 2017.

14th October 2018 No Deal Brexit Would Not Be Disaster

According to UK industry leading CEO a no deal Brexit would not be a disaster for the UK economically.

Next Plc chief executive Simon Wolfson was speaking to BBCs Andrew Marr when he concluded that although a no deal Brexit would not be the ideal outcome it would not be a disaster for the UK economy. He did encourage all UK business leaders to get prepared for a no deal Brexit. He feels that such preparations would help the UK government secure a good deal with the European Union EU.

19th July 2018 International Monetary Fund IMF Reports On Effect Of Brexit On Europe

A no deal Brexit could reduce the whole European Unions EU economic growth by 1.5 percent.

A standard free trade deal of the type agreed between Canada and the EU could cause EU economic growth loss of 0.8 percent.

A soft Brexit with the UK out of the customs union but retaining access to the single market and agreeing to abide by EU rules would imply almost zero cost for the EU as a whole IMF Report.

9th July 2018 Brexit Secretary and Foreign Secretary Resign Over Brexit

David Davis Brexit Secretary and Boris Johnson Foreign Secretary resign from UK government over the Brexit policy decisions taken by Prime Minister Teresa May.

29th June 2018 Exports Goods and Services At Record High and Trade Gap Narrows

Trade figures released by UK government revealed that in the 12 months to March 2018 UK exports were at an all time high.

EU countries represent around 40 percent of all exports from UK.

Research from Barclays Corporate Banking found that around two thirds of consumers in India and China and around half of consumers in the UAE were prepared to pay more for goods made in the UK because they perceive the quality as higher.

The trade deficit with the world continued to narrow to 80 billion pounds which is the narrowest UK trade deficit since 2012.

The UK Department for Trade and Industry DTI has set up 14 trade working groups covering 21 countries to scope the UKs overseas trading deals and strengthen ties with key trading partners.

13th June 2018 Global Tech Companies Are Confident In UK Economy

Tech company Salesforce have voted in the UK with their 2.5 billion dollars of their money by announcing a massive investment in the UK over next 5 years. It clearly thinks it can grow further in UK and it could not do that unless the UK economy is strong.

Amazon is to create another 2500 jobs in the UK bringing total workforce in UK to 27500. Google Apple Snapchat and other global tech companies continue to invest in the UK economy.

11th June 2018 Where In The World Got The Highest Foreign Investment in 2017?

Despite Brexit the UK is still the place most overseas investors want to invest their money compared to rest of Europe.

Read EYs June 2018 report on which country was the most attractive to overseas investors in 2017

23rd April 2018 – Financial Services Increasingly Confident In Brexit

The British government and senior finance executives said they are increasingly confident Europe will offer financial companies generous market access after Brexit, boosting London’s hopes of retaining its status as a top global financial centre.

Many in the City Of London now believe the remaining European Union EU members will go for easy access to financial market in London based on increased equivalence to prevent disruption to business anywhere in EU.

4th April 2018 – Peugeot Plans New UK Van Production In Luton

Vauxhall plant in Luton chosen by PSA Group to manufacture a planned new van.   This demonstrates confidence in UK of a major automotive maker post Brexit.

19th March 2018 – UK and European Union EU Agree Terms For Brexit Transition To UK’s Withdrawal From EU

Brexit negotiators Michel Barnier and David David announce they have agreed term for a transition period in a major breakthrough “decisive step”.

The transition period will run from 29th March 2019 to December 2020 and may lead to the orderly withdrawal of the UK from EU.

In addition, there was also an agreement on the rights of EU citizens in the UK and the rights of UK citizens in the EU.

EU member countries have still to sign-off the agreement on the transition period, perhaps at an EU summit this week.   If the EU members agree, then the negotiators will move on to discussions on a permanent future relationship agreement by August 2018 with a view to Brexit in March 2019.

The financial markets liked what they heard and the pound jumped in value.

27th February 2018 Small Medium-Sized SME Factories Sales Expectations Near 3 Year High

Sales expectations of SME factories in UK are near 3-year high due to strong global economy growth and low value of the pound.

National Manufacturing Barometer survey has revealed manufacturing to be the fastest growing sector of Britain’s economy in the final quarter of 2017.

The survey also revealed that more than half of SME manufacturers plan to invest in plant and machinery over the next 6 months.   SME manufacturers in UK are more confident in their prospects in 2018 than they were in 2017.

The National Manufacturing Barometer surveyed 320 companies in January 2018

26th February 2018 Two Labour MPs Discuss Brexit Negotiations

17th January 2018 Deutsche Bank Only Moving Hundreds Jobs Out UK Not Thousands Post Brexit

Deutsche Bank is headquartered in Germany had has told reporters that it will not need to move thousands of UK jobs to the continent post-Brexit.   Stefan Hoops, head of Deutsche Bank’s capital market division in Germany explained that they would need to move fewer staff than many have said in the past.   One executive previously said 4,000 staff would need to move but the numbers would actually be in the hundreds.

Last week Deutsche Bank Chief Executive was reported as saying that initially several hundred jobs would be created in Frankfurt, Milan and Paris but that is not the same as moving jobs from London.

16th January 2018 Bank of England Thinks Free Trade Deal With EU Including Financial Services Post Brexit Is Possible

It may take three years or more, but contrary to the EU’s chief  Brexit negotiator, Michel Barnier, it is possible if the remaining EU27 are prepared to agree such a free trade deal with UK.

Sam Woods, the Bank of England’s deputy governor in charge of Prudential Regulation Authority PRA says a three period to agree a free-trade agreement including financial services could happen because unlike other countries seeking such a free-trade deal, the UK’s financial services are already aligned in terms of financial services rules and supervision.

Sam Woods comments came during his appearance in front of MPs on the Treasury Select Committee.

8th January 2018 City Of London Says Brexit Job Loss Fears May Have Been Exaggerated

The City Of London EU envoy, Jeremy Browne, has been reported as saying that banking, insurance and asset management job losses to the European Union (EU) may not be as severe as suggested by many including the UK’s ex-Chancellor and now editor of Evening Standard.

It may end up for quite a lot of them being a bit less dramatic that it might appear Jeremy Browne told a press briefing in London.

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The Brexit result was a shock to everybody?

Most people were shocked, but that doesn’t mean the implementation of the Brexit vote will be bad for business.

The UK may yet not leave the European Union EU.   Great forces will try hard to stop the democratic vote of the people being fully implemented. The people may even change their minds.   Anything is possible.

When anything is possible there is increased risk

Increased risk means increased opportunities for growth as well as increased threats.

Positive Risk Management

Enterprise Risk Management ERM

We do offer enterprise risk management (ERM) services, but Brexit Risk Watch is an attempt to provide free impartial advice on how to manage the threats and opportunities from Brexit better.

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If businesses invest their time and energy in controlling the threats from a Brexit and seize the opportunities the UK will benefit from a Brexit. If business leaders can not change or do not have an innovative mindset a Brexit could be bad for the UK economy.

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