Inflation and interest rates are not guaranteed to fall in 2024!
The Shanghai Containerised Freight Index: A Stormy Sea Ahead After Red Sea Attacks
The Shanghai Containerised Freight Index (SCFI), a key gauge of global shipping costs, has once again become a stormy sea, this time roiled by the recent attacks in the Red Sea in December 2023. While the index had been on a downward trend throughout 2023, offering hope for moderating inflation and easing supply chain pressures, the Red Sea disruptions have sent it surging back up, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the global economic outlook in 2024.
Prior to the Red Sea attacks, the SCFI had been on a steady decline since its January 2022 peak, dropping from over 5100 points to around 1250 points by December. This decline reflected some easing of congestion and pressure on shipping costs, raising hopes for a more stable economic climate.
However, the attacks on oil tankers and a commercial vessel near the Yemeni port of Hodeidah in December sent shockwaves through the shipping industry. The heightened security concerns and potential disruption to vital trade routes through the Red Sea have caused a sharp spike in the SCFI, pushing it back up to around 1800 points as of December 29, 2023.
Implications for Inflation and Interest Rates:
This sudden surge in the SCFI has significant implications for inflation and interest rates in 2024. As shipping costs rise, the price of imported goods increases, potentially fueling inflationary pressures. This could lead central banks to reconsider their monetary policy stances and potentially resume interest rate hikes to curb inflation.
The extent to which the Red Sea attacks impact inflation and interest rates will depend on several factors, including the duration of the disruptions, the effectiveness of security measures implemented, and the overall resilience of global supply chains. However, the potential for renewed inflationary pressures and tighter monetary policy is a cause for concern for businesses and consumers alike.
Risk Management Strategies for Business Leaders:
In this uncertain environment, business leaders must be prepared to navigate the choppy waters of the SCFI and mitigate the potential risks associated with rising shipping costs. Here are some key strategies to consider:
Diversify Supply Chains and Shipping Routes: Reduce reliance on Red Sea routes and explore alternative shipping routes and sourcing options to minimise exposure to disruptions.
Invest in Supply Chain Visibility: Enhance your ability to track shipments and anticipate potential delays to adjust inventory levels and production schedules.
Strengthen Supplier Relationships: Foster closer partnerships with key suppliers to ensure reliable supply and negotiate flexible pricing terms that account for fluctuating shipping costs.
Optimise Inventory Management: Implement data-driven inventory management practices to minimise carrying costs and optimise stock levels based on projected demand and SCFI trends.
Consider Flexible Pricing Models: Explore pricing models that can adjust to fluctuations in shipping costs and protect your profit margins.
By adopting these strategies, businesses can build resilience in their supply chains and navigate the challenges of a volatile SCFI in 2024.
Conclusion:
The recent spike in the SCFI serves as a stark reminder of the fragility of global supply chains and the potential for unforeseen events to disrupt the delicate balance of global trade. While the long-term impact of the Red Sea attacks remains uncertain, businesses must be prepared for a more challenging economic landscape in 2024. By remaining agile, diversified, and informed, businesses can weather the storm and emerge stronger in the face of an unpredictable shipping market.
If you don’t have confidence in your risk management modelling system, then you cannot have confidence in your risk management plan!
The Cloudy Crystal Ball: Why Economic Models Can’t Predict the Future (and What We Can Do About It)
As business leaders and consumers in the UK navigate the ever-turbulent waters of the global economy, one question looms large: can we trust the forecasts? Economic models, once hailed as oracles of the future, have stumbled badly in recent years, failing to anticipate major events like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. This has left many wondering: are we all just flying blind?
The Limits of the Model Machine:
Economic models are not, and never will be, crystal balls. While these complex mathematical constructs can provide valuable insights into economic trends, they are inherently limited by a number of factors:
Incomplete Data: Economic models rely on historical data to identify patterns and relationships. However,the economy is a dynamic system,constantly evolving in unpredictable ways. New technologies, political upheavals, and natural disasters can all throw sand in the gears of even the most sophisticated model.
Human Factor Flaw: The economy is ultimately driven by human behaviour,which is notoriously difficult to predict. Models often struggle to account for factors like consumer confidence, investor sentiment, and political decision-making, leading to inaccuracies.
The Black Swan Problem: As Nassim Nicholas Taleb famously argued,unforeseen events – “black swans” – can have a profound impact on the economy. Models excel at predicting the familiar, but struggle to handle the truly unexpected.
The Governor’s Voice:
This point has been echoed by no less than Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, who, in a speech earlier this year, stated:
“Economic models are powerful tools, but they are not infallible. They are based on historical data and assumptions, and they can be blindsided by unexpected events. It is important to remember that models are not reality, they are just a simplified representation of it.”
Beyond the Model Maze:
So, if economic models cannot be relied upon for perfect foresight, are we doomed to make decisions in the dark? Absolutely not. While models may not provide infallible predictions, they can still be valuable tools for understanding the underlying dynamics of the economy. Here are some ways we can move beyond the limitations of models and make informed decisions in a world of uncertainty:
Embrace Scenario Planning: Instead of relying on a single “most likely” forecast, consider multiple scenarios, ranging from optimistic to pessimistic. This allows for a more nuanced understanding of potential risks and opportunities.
Focus on Leading Indicators: While lagging indicators, like GDP growth, tell us what has happened, leading indicators, like consumer confidence surveys, can provide clues about what might happen. By monitoring these signals, we can be better prepared for potential shifts in the economy.
Listen to the Ground: Don’t get lost in the data blizzard. Talk to businesses, consumers, and workers on the ground to get a sense of their lived experiences and concerns. This qualitative data can complement the quantitative insights from models and provide a more holistic understanding of the economic landscape.
Prioritise Adaptability: In a world of constant change, the ability to adapt is key. Businesses and consumers should focus on building resilience and flexibility into their plans, allowing them to adjust to unforeseen circumstances.
Conclusion:
Economic models are imperfect tools, but they are not useless. By understanding their limitations and employing additional strategies, we can move beyond the model maze and make informed decisions in an uncertain world. As Bank of England Governor Bailey reminded us, “The future is always uncertain, but by being prepared and adaptable, we can navigate the challenges ahead and build a more resilient economy.”
Some bank shares are still more than 90% off their peak pre 2008 financial crisis so there is no such thing as “safe as money in the bank”!
The Inflationary Storm: Are Cryptos Your Lifeboat?
A dark cloud hangs over the global economy. Whispers of recession turn into shouts, and governments, desperate to keep the ship afloat, resort to the familiar mantra: fiscal stimulus and quantitative easing. But what does this mean for your hard-earned money? Enter cryptocurrencies: a digital life raft in a sea of potential devaluation.
As a currency and economics expert, I’m here to navigate these choppy waters. Today, we’ll explore the potential for crypto as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation. We’ll dive into the economic storm, examine the limitations of traditional safeguards, and assess whether venturing into the crypto realm could be your best bet.
The Looming Devaluation:
Governments and central banks worldwide have injected trillions into their economies since the pandemic. This, coupled with supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, is fuelling an inflationary fire. Fiat currencies, backed by nothing but government promises, are losing their purchasing power. A loaf of bread that cost $2 yesterday may cost $2.10 tomorrow, silently eroding your savings and future.
Traditional Safe Havens Fail:
Historically, gold and other precious metals have been go-to hedges against inflation. But their limited supply and physical constraints don’t cater to everyone’s needs. Real estate or property, another traditional option, suffers from high entry barriers and illiquidity.
This is where cryptocurrencies enter the picture. With their decentralised nature, limited supply, and global reach, they present a new, albeit volatile, option.
The Crypto Advantage:
Limited Supply: Unlike fiat currencies,many cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin,have a predetermined cap on their supply. This scarcity helps limit inflation and potentially increases their value over time.
Decentralisation: Cryptocurrencies aren’t subject to the whims of governments or central banks. Their decentralised networks offer a buffer against devaluation policies used to stimulate economies.
Global Accessibility: Anyone with an internet connection can access and trade cryptocurrencies, regardless of location or financial standing. This democratises wealth management and opens doors to previously excluded individuals.
Store of Value: While their volatility often grabs headlines, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have exhibited long-term value appreciation. Their potential to act as a digital gold, a secure store of value in a turbulent economy, is undeniable.
The Risk Factor:
However, venturing into the world of cryptocurrencies isn’t without its risks:
Volatility: The crypto market is notoriously volatile. Prices can swing wildly, making them potentially unsuitable for risk-averse individuals.
Regulation: The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is still evolving, creating uncertainty and potential for government intervention.
Security: Crypto wallets and exchanges have been targets for hackers, highlighting the importance of choosing secure platforms and practicing safe storage methods.
Navigating the Crypto Waters:
So, should you dive into the crypto ocean as a hedge against devaluation? The answer depends on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. If you’re looking for a safe haven, traditional options like gold might be better suited. However, if you have the risk appetite and are willing to do your research, cryptocurrencies could be a valuable addition to your portfolio.
Remember, diversification is key. Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket. Start with a small allocation, understand the risks involved, and invest only what you can afford to lose.
For Business Leaders:
Explore crypto’s potential as a payment option:Accepting cryptocurrencies can attract tech-savvy customers and expand your reach.
Educate your employees: Equip your team with the knowledge they need to understand and potentially utilise cryptocurrencies.
For Consumers:
Do your research: Understand the different types of cryptocurrencies and their underlying technologies before investing.
Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket.
Start small: Invest only what you can afford to lose, and remember the market is volatile.
Choose secure platforms: Store your cryptocurrencies in reputable wallets and exchanges.
Cryptocurrencies present a fascinating blend of opportunity and risk in the face of potential fiat currency devaluation. While not a guaranteed solution, they offer a novel approach to securing your financial future. Remember, knowledge is power in this realm. Educate yourself, assess your risk tolerance, and make informed decisions to weather the coming economic storm. The crypto lifeboat might just be the key to staying afloat in the inflationary seas ahead.
Stop Predicting Mishaps and Build a Fortress: Managing Resilience in Uncertain Times
The world outside your boardroom window is a tempestuous ocean. Unforeseen tides roll in, stormy winds whip up, and unpredictable leaders steer their own vessels with varying degrees of… competence. As business leaders, we’re tempted to focus on these external fluctuations, squinting into the distance, trying to divine the next political misfire, economic tremour, or environmental upheaval. We spend countless hours crafting intricate contingency plans for every conceivable dystopian scenario – all while neglecting the most critical factor in our control: building a resilient business.
Instead of exhausting ourselves predicting the machinations of our “great leaders,” let’s shift our gaze inward. Let’s focus on what we can control: fortifying our own organisations. Let’s become architects of resilience, crafting businesses that thrive amidst chaos, bounce back from adversity, and emerge stronger from the stormiest seas.
Redefining Resilience: Beyond Crisis Planning
Resilience isn’t just about weathering a crisis. It’s about adapting, evolving, and even profiting from unexpected challenges. It’s about building an organisation that doesn’t merely survive the punches, but thrives on the throws. To achieve this, we need to move beyond reactive crisis planning and embrace a proactive, holistic approach to resilience.
The Pillars of a Resilient Business:
Foundational Stability: A resilient business starts with a rock-solid foundation. This means solid financial management, robust infrastructure, and a clear understanding of your core competencies and value proposition. Ensure your financial house is in order, with diversified revenue streams and adequate reserves to weather unexpected downturns. Invest in critical infrastructure, from IT systems to supply chains, ensuring redundancy and adaptability. Know your strengths and weaknesses inside-out, and focus on what you do best – outsourcing non-core functions to agile partners.
Agile & Adaptive Culture: Rigid organisations crumble under pressure. Cultivate a culture of agility and adaptability where employees are empowered to make decisions, take risks, and experiment. Encourage open communication, cross-functional collaboration, and continuous learning. Embrace diverse perspectives and foster a “fail fast, learn fast” mentality. Bureaucracy breeds stagnation; agility nurtures resilience.
Innovation Engine:Disruption is the new normal. Stay ahead of the curve by fostering a culture of innovation. Invest in research and development, encourage creative problem-solving, and reward out-of-the-box thinking. Be open to new technologies, business models, and market opportunities. Turn uncertainty into an opportunity to innovate and differentiate yourself from the competition.
Risk Management Mindset: While we shouldn’t obsess over predicting specific external events, a proactive risk management framework is crucial. Identify potential threats, assess their likelihood and impact, and develop mitigation strategies. Regularly review and update your risk assessments, and ensure effective communication and training around risk management protocols. Be prepared, but don’t get paralysed by fear of the unknown.
Stakeholder Trust & Engagement: Trust is the mortar that binds an organisation together. Cultivate strong relationships with employees, customers, suppliers, and other stakeholders. Be transparent in your communication, proactive in addressing concerns, and responsive to their needs. A network of trust enables your organization to weather storms together, with everyone aligned towards a common goal.
Driving Business Goals With Resilience as Your Fuel:
Building resilience isn’t about neglecting your objectives. It’s about ensuring you achieve them despite, and even because of, external turbulence. A resilient business is a proactive business, one that anticipates change and turns it to its advantage. By focusing on internal strengths and adaptability, you position yourself to seize opportunities amidst disruption, navigate uncharted waters, and emerge as a leader in the new landscape.
Remember, the next leader’s blunder, economic downturn, or natural disaster is inevitable. Stop squinting into the fog and get to work building your ark. Invest in internal strength, agility, and innovation. Forge a culture of resilience, and watch your business weather any storm while achieving its intended destination. By focusing on what you can control, you turn uncertainty into opportunity and become the captain of your own destiny, no matter who’s steering the world around you.
In this article, we will explore the top 10 supply chain management trends that are expected to shape the industry in 2024 and beyond. These trends encompass technological advancements, strategic approaches, and evolving consumer demands that will redefine the way supply chains operate.
1. Digital Supply Chain As the Backbone of Resilience
The digital supply chain has emerged as the overarching trend driving supply chain transformation. It encompasses the integration of digital technologies, such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and big data analytics, to streamline operations, enhance visibility, and optimise decision-making.
Organisations are moving away from traditional paper-based processes and siloed systems towards a connected and data-driven supply chain ecosystem. This digital transformation is enabling businesses to gain real-time insights into their operations, predict disruptions, and respond proactively to changing market conditions.
2. Big Data and Analytics Driving Insights-Driven Decisions
Big data and analytics are playing a crucial role in extracting valuable insights from the vast amounts of data generated across the supply chain. Organisations are leveraging data analytics to identify patterns, optimise inventory management, improve demand forecasting, and enhance customer service.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming supply chain operations by automating tasks, enhancing decision-making, and enabling predictive insights. AI applications are being used to automate repetitive tasks, such as data entry and order processing, freeing up human workers to focus on more strategic initiatives.
AI is also being used to optimise warehouse operations, manage transportation routes, and personalise customer experiences. AI-powered forecasting models are improving demand prediction accuracy, reducing inventory costs, and ensuring product availability.
4. Supply Chain Investments: Balancing Systems and Talent
Investment in supply chain systems and talent is essential for building a resilient and adaptable supply chain. Organisations are investing in modern supply chain management software, cloud-based platforms, and data analytics tools to enhance their technological capabilities.
Alongside these technological investments, organisations are also prioritising the development of their supply chain workforce. This includes providing training on digital technologies, fostering a culture of data-driven decision-making, and attracting and retaining top talent.
5. End-to-End Visibility, Traceability, and Location Intelligence
End-to-end visibility, traceability, and location intelligence are becoming increasingly important for supply chain transparency and risk management. Organisations are implementing technologies such as RFID tags, sensors, and IoT devices to track goods throughout the supply chain, from origin to delivery.
This real-time visibility enables businesses to monitor product quality, identify potential disruptions, and proactively address issues. It also enhances customer satisfaction by providing real-time tracking information and delivery updates.
6. Disruption and Risk Management: Embracing Agility and Resilience
Supply chains are facing an increasing number of disruptions, from natural disasters and geopolitical conflicts to technological advancements and changing consumer demands. Organisations are shifting their focus from traditional disaster recovery plans to proactive risk management strategies.
Building a resilient supply chain involves identifying potential risks, assessing their impact, and implementing mitigation strategies. It also requires the ability to adapt quickly to changing circumstances and respond to disruptions in a timely and effective manner.
7. Agility and Resilience: Adapting to Changing Demands
Consumer expectations are constantly evolving, and organisations must adapt their supply chains to meet these demands. Customers are demanding faster delivery times, more personalised products, and greater transparency.
Supply chains need to be agile enough to respond to these changing demands, quickly introduce new products, and personalise customer experiences. This requires a flexible and adaptable supply chain infrastructure that can accommodate rapid changes.
Supply chains are increasingly becoming targets for cyberattacks, as they represent a critical component of global commerce. Organisations are prioritising cybersecurity measures to protect their supply chain assets and prevent disruptions caused by cyberattacks.
Cybersecurity strategies include implementing robust access controls, educating employees on cybersecurity risks, and regularly monitoring supply chain systems for potential threats.
9. Green and Circular Supply Chains: A Sustainable Future
Green supply chains are focusing on resource efficiency.
10. Supply Chain as a Service (SCaaS): A Strategic Lever for Flexibility
Supply Chain as a Service (SCaaS) is emerging as a strategic lever for organisations seeking flexibility and efficiency in their supply chain operations. SCAaS involves outsourcing non-core supply chain functions to specialised providers, allowing organisations to focus on their core competencies.
SCaaS providers offer a range of services, including logistics, transportation, warehousing, and inventory management. This allows organisations to access expertise and resources without the burden of managing these functions in-house.
Conclusion
The supply chain landscape is undergoing a period of rapid transformation driven by technological advancements, evolving consumer demands, and the need for resilience. Organisations that embrace digitalisation, automation, and emerging technologies will be well-positioned to navigate the challenges and opportunities of the future.
The top 10 supply chain management trends on the horizon in 2024 highlight the critical role of technology, data, and strategic partnerships in building resilient and adaptable supply chains. By embracing these trends, organisations can optimise their operations, enhance customer satisfaction, and achieve sustainable growth.
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Why the UK Cannot Complete Major Infrastructure Projects on Time and Within Budget
The UK has a long history of struggling to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This has led to a number of high-profile delays and cost overruns, as well as a growing public frustration with the way in which infrastructure projects are managed.
There are a number of factors that contribute to the UK’s poor record on infrastructure delivery. These include:
A lack of long-term planning and strategic thinking. The UK government has often been accused of adopting a short-term approach to infrastructure planning, which has led to a lack of consistency and continuity.This has made it difficult to develop a long-term pipeline of projects that can be delivered efficiently.
A complex and fragmented procurement process. The UK’s procurement process is often complex and time-consuming,which can lead to delays and cost overruns. This is partly due to the fact that there is a lack of standardisation and consistency across different government departments and agencies.
A lack of expertise in managing large infrastructure projects. There is a shortage of skilled project managers in the UK, which can make it difficult to find the right people to lead and manage complex projects. This is compounded by the fact that many project managers in the UK are not properly trained or experienced.
A lack of political will to make tough decisions. The UK government has often been unwilling to make the tough decisions that are necessary to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This is partly due to a fear of political backlash, but it is also due to a lack of understanding of the importance of infrastructure investment.
These factors have all contributed to a culture of risk aversion within the UK’s infrastructure industry. This has led to a focus on minimising risks rather than maximising value for money. As a result, projects are often over-engineered and over-specified, which leads to delays and cost overruns.
How to improve the UK’s record on infrastructure delivery
There are a number of things that the UK government can do to improve its record on infrastructure delivery. These include:
Develop a long-term infrastructure plan. The UK government needs to develop a long-term infrastructure plan that sets out the country’s infrastructure needs for the next 20 to 30 years. This plan should be based on a clear understanding of the country’s economic and social needs, and it should be regularly reviewed and updated.
Streamline the procurement process. The UK government needs to streamline the procurement process to make it more efficient and transparent.This could be done by standardising procurement procedures across different government departments and agencies, and by making more use of technology.
Invest in training and skills development. The UK government needs to invest in training and skills development to ensure that there is a sufficient supply of skilled project managers. This could be done by supporting professional development programs and by providing funding for apprenticeships and other training initiatives.
Make tough decisions. The UK government needs to be willing to make the tough decisions that are necessary to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This includes making decisions about project scope, risks, and procurement.
Focus on value for money. The UK government needs to focus on value for money when delivering infrastructure projects. This means ensuring that projects are delivered to the highest possible standard, while also ensuring that they are delivered on time and within budget.
Improve project management practices. The UK government needs to improve project management practices across the public sector. This could be done by providing training and support to project managers, and by developing and implementing project management standards.
Increase investment in infrastructure. The UK government needs to increase investment in infrastructure. This will help to address the country’s infrastructure deficit and create jobs.
Publicly disclose project details. The UK government needs to publicly disclose all project details, including costs, risks, and timelines. This will help to improve transparency and accountability.
Appoint a dedicated infrastructure minister. The UK government needs to appoint a dedicated infrastructure minister who will be responsible for overseeing the delivery of all major infrastructure projects.
By taking these steps, the UK government can improve its record on infrastructure delivery and ensure that future projects are delivered on time and within budget.
In addition to the above, I would also like to add that the UK government needs to adopt a more collaborative approach to infrastructure delivery. This means working more closely with the private sector, as well as with local communities. By working together, the government and the private sector can share risks and expertise, and develop innovative solutions to infrastructure challenges.
The UK government also needs to be more open to using new technologies, such as modular construction and 3D printing. These technologies can help to reduce the time and cost of delivering infrastructure projects.
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Striving for perfection is not our goal. Do not let perfection be the enemy of the good enough. Focus on making realistic changes for the better happen. Dreaming of a better world tomorrow does not make the real world good enough today.
Practical action to progressively improve the world we live in
Most people in 3rd world countries are not interested in woke words. They simply want to live better tomorrow than they did today. Most peoples 1st world problems could be alleviated with a holistic approach to good business management and lifestyle choices.
Aspiration to live better wherever you live in the world can be fulfilled by solving all our problems together at once not by a piecemeal approach. Good words do not put food on the table or a roof over your head. Sodding your neighbour does not protect you from destroying everything you have built around you.
People can work together for common good
We do not need to be in the same country culture or place to work as a team to achieve what we want for ourselves. Getting what you want can help others to get what they want out of the investment of time.
Putting up trade barriers does not work for the builder of walls. Forcing people to be in your gang does not make progression towards goals fast enough. Seeing the mutual benefit at the end for all people on the bus does.
Our holistic approach to making decisions for the common good will be successful for all who lend support
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We are not looking for constant companions but do seek constant progress. Moving it forward a little everyday is better than big leaps now and again. We do not need to be beside you for every step but would like to be with you at the end of the journey. We can achieve more together than on our own.
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Coronavirus hits the global economy on both the supply and demand side BusinessRiskTV.com
Coronavirus threats to world economy. Coronavirus global economy impact. The coronavirus has not yet be officially acknowledged as a pandemic health risk. However it probably is already a pandemic health risk and is certainly a global economic pandemic spreading uncontrollably around world.
Although the world financial markets have had their worst time since the financial crisis in 2008 the actual impact of the coronavirus has yet to be felt and revealed. The financial markets are giving a glimpse into what is feared in future not what is happening now.
With just 36 cases in the UK it appears that the UK is relatively spared from the virus. The most worrying case out of the 36 is the one where the infected person has not been abroad and has not been in contact with anyone who has to his or her knowledge. Tracing the source is key to controlling and containing the spread of the coronavirus.
Many countries where the official numbers of coronavirus infection cases are so low is worrying
There are many countries where scepticism on figures inflates fear of a pandemic that may not be recoverable. China where the coronavirus originated from may have be slow to unveil the seriousness of the problem have been praised by World Health Organisation WHO for honest figures.
Some countries have different reasons to deliberately suppress news of an epidemic in the country. In addition there are countries which may not have the resources to identify the coronavirus. More worringly they also do not have the resources to stop the spread of the virus.
Other disasters in some parts of the world also have the potential to exasperate and accelerate the spread of the virus. What happens if the coronavirus infects refugees and economic migrants trying to escape to Europe via ItalyGreece Bulgaria and Spain. Germany not long ago took around one million of these people. If such numbers flowed again and they also had the coronavirus how much more quickly would the coronavirus spread throughout Europe? Exponentially fast!
Control of coronavirus COVID19 is unlikely especially as there is no vaccine
A vaccine by most estimates is unlikely to be identified until early 2021. Even when a vaccine has been found it then has to be manufactured in sufficient quantities to have a reduction in the spread of the virus never mind eliminated.
The coronavirus is likely to be with us until end of 2021 at the earliest never mind getting coronvirus spread under control this year.
Major sporting events like the Olympics this summer are unlikely to proceed. Whilst this creates obvious disappointment for the athletes supports and Japanese people it in one event creates massive economic loss for Japan Olympic sponsors and lots of products or services will not be sold if the Olympics is cancelled.
Businesses will face reduced performance at best and potentially even collapse
If you are not able to sell products or services how do you pay fixed costs never mind variable costs of being in business. Potentially fatal could be loss of the ability to pay your creditors who may close you down to try to get their money back.
Central banks around the world have yet to realise they have not recovered from the financial crisis in 2008. Their tools to tackle global recession including lowering interest rate and increasing quantitative easing QE are worn out. There is little manoeuvrability for central banks. In COVID19 terms central banks do not have very good vaccines left at their disposal to support economic growth.
Individual countries will undoubtedly fall into a recession due to the coronavirus COVID19
Countries like Italy already severely impacted by coronavirus were already teetering on the edge of recession. The coronavirus will push them over the edge. The northern part of Italy is the powerhouse of the Italian economy and much of it has already been shutdown. Can Italy really stop the spread which will make economic impact worse?
Even countries like USA can dramatically lose economic growth. Not all Americans have good access to healthcare services. If you cannot call upon your healthcare services to detect and help control the coronavirus spread then it could spread like wildfire in USA if it takes hold and it is close to taking hold now.
The coronavirus spread in poorer less developed countries is essentially unstoppable. How can parts of Middle EastAfricaAsia Central America and South America really contain spread of coronavirus. The how do you contain the spread from these areas to more wealthy parts of the world.
The economic impact is going to be so severe as it hits not just the supply side of the economy it cuts demand too
When disaster strikes businesses can stop supplying cause the risk event stops output abruptly. However the coronavirus dramatically cuts demand quickly too. People stop assembly in public in restaurants events bars concerts sporting events etc through fear of catching the coronavirus. They may start spending again when under control but we are looking at end of 2021 before this even has possibility of subsiding.
Other concerns include lack of scientific knowledge about coronavirus. The boffins do not know enough yet to be sure we will ever get this under control.
We do not know how long the virus can survive on surfaces when people cough or touch surfaces with contaminated hands.
We do not know if our normal ways of cleaning surfaces works on coronavirus.
There have been suggestions that people who have had coronavirus in recent months and recovered then contract virus again. Potentially not only will infected people not be immune in future but then may not be cured in first place or regenerate virus.
Many people across the world including the UK will now be thinking they have a mild illness or seasonal flu when in fact they have COVID19. When it can be contained you are tracing contacts to track down infection line to control risks. However when COVID19 is spreading unencumbered mildly infected people will be spreading virus unknowingly and then 80 percent infection across the UK and world starts to become realistic.
We do not know if the warmer weather will help the world to control the spread of the virus like it did with SARS or whether it will continue to spread.
We do not know if COVID19 will morph into something worse or morph into something less virulent.
Some estimates suggest that 80 percent of people in UK will contract the coronavirus COVID19 if it spreads uncontrollably in UK. The UK could well be on cusp of uncontrollable spread as the UK government gears up to act this week. On the positive side 80 percent of those who contract the virus only get mild manageable symptoms. On negative side a fatal rate of even 1 percent of UK population is still around half a million deaths.
One way some countries may manage the coronavirus risk is simply to let it spread across the whole country without stopping business activity or economic growth. If 80 percent have mild symptoms and 1 percent die what is their tolerance of risks. Will they chose economic slowdown or losing 1 percent of their population? This could mean the rest of the world suffer boomerang epidemics. What could make this less likely is that leaders can die of the virus just like their peasants!
Safety at work and managing health and safety of your workforce
Employers have a duty to take reasonable steps to protect their workers. This includes protection from exposure to coronvirus. This has obvious implications about travelling to coronavirus hotspots but also includes the coronavirus coming to your workplace. The coronavirus could change forever how we do business in future. If and when the spread of the coronavirus is brought under control we may find it more sensible to have less contact face to face and more online communication.
Ocado in UK who deliver to more wealthy customers have already announced a jump in the number of people ordering online for food and drink delivery to home. This is just one example of winners as well as losers from COVID19 outbreak.
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We are in the foothills of the coronavirus pandemic. Yes it is a pandemic despite WHOs caution. How you manage the risks to your business will have limitations but where you can control the risks you must start implement your business continuity plan now not when when a full blown pandemic is sweeping across the world.
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Cost of mental health to UK business BusinessRiskTV.com
Ill mental health is costing your business money and lost opportunities
Analysis is consistent. Mental illness and failure to manage it is costing UK business and economy billions of pounds. The cost of ignoring mental health issues in the workplace in the UK far exceeds accidents in the workplace yet businesses in UK fail to manage mental wellbeing well. The estimated cost of not managing mental health ranges from 46 billion to more than 100 billion depending on which report you look at.
Poor employee mental health is costing UK companies up to £45 billion a year and the costs continue to rise each year
Deloitte Report 2020
How much does poor mental health cost your business? How can your business take action to help your employees and build business resilience. Stress depression and anxiety has in past been a hidden or ignored business risk. Increasingly it is recognised that tackling mental health issues better can improve the performance of businesses.
There are estimates that nearly 100 million workdays are lost in the UK each year due to symptoms of mental illness.
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Business leaders collaborating on solving business problems together faster and cheaper
BusinessRiskTV Collaborative Business Solutions. Do you want to create more time for your business to grow faster with less uncertainty? Faced with a small budget for business protection and growth would you choose an online group session with other business leaders to save time and money? It is an idea some business leaders are investigating
Group online sessions solve common business problems faster and gives business leaders chance to collaborate with other business leaders with same attitude to business development and protection.
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Demand on business leaders time outweighs time available to manage all business risks cost effectively. In recent years the speed of change in the business environment has accelerated putting increased pressures on business leaders wearing many business responsibility hats.
In addition many businesses have complex business systems and business needs which can make finding the best business solutions more difficult to identify.
The traditional one to one business consultation can be prohibitively expensive and the business problem can seem unique when in fact it affects many businesses.
With limited risk management funding or possibility of employing inhouse risk management expert specialists business leaders may need to find innovative ways to find best business solutions quickly within available budget.
Many businesses have the same need for commercial insurance cover and other solutions to protect the business that do not involve insurance. Most if not all business want to increase their opportunities to sell more and increase profitability. Business leaders may seek advice from risk management experts independently to advise on managing such business risks.
Instead of seeing a risk management consultant or business adviser on your own you could get together with a group of other business leaders needing to discuss the same business problems.
If a group of up to 10 business leaders came together with the same business problems could they share experiences to solve risk management problems faster and potentially cheaper?
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BusinessRiskTV risk management network partners facilitate online business leader meetings. The risk management facilitator gathers together business leaders with the same or similar business problems problems before the online meetings. The risk management facilitator also compiles a list of questions the participating business leaders want to ask the group that will include attending and participating risk management experts.
The collaborative group of business leaders and risk management experts will know the business problems to be focused on and details of the businesses involved in the online discussion ahead of the online meeting. This will enable attendees to be aware of the potential value of the meeting to them and prepare for the meeting. The participants in the online problem solving meeting must not only prepare to solve their business problems but must be prepared to help share solutions to help other attendees problems.
Sharing problems and helping solve others problems is the purpose of the meeting.
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The problem solving group may well discuss sensitive issues. This does not need to constrain those attending. Trust quickly develops as participants quickly realise they are not alone with their business problem and that they are talking to people who have already solved their problem. You create a bond with your fellow business leaders. The more you open up the more you get out of the meeting for your business. The sharing of experiences with other business leaders can be empowering.
The aim of the collaborative online meetings is to quickly find solutions to business problems to save time and money for the participants. Participants access more practical problem solving information that has worked already. The meetings help business leaders to more cost effectively use their own time and resources in solving their business problems and the business problems of others. As they are common problems experienced by all those attending then common solutions that actually work well will come to light without the need for discussion duplication.
You may prefer a one to one meeting with a business risk management consultant if you have the budget. However why reinvent the wheel. Other business leaders have solved your business problem already. Tap into their experience to solve your business problems quicker and potentially cheaper.
Collaborative business problem solving online meetings are for business leaders who already know what their business problems are. They just want to know the solutions quickly so they can go off and implement them for themselves and their business.
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It is unlikely that people will attending the meeting will diagnose the problem that is holding your business back. That is not the purpose of the online meetings. You identify what your business risks are and come to the meeting to find risk management solutions or ideas that have worked and could work for your business.
There are measures in place to ensure the confidentiality of information shared within the group and you can see one of our risk management experts from our risk management network on an online one to one appointment who will have seen your business problem before. However collaborative group sessions can quickly overcome barriers to your business growth and a valuable peer support network.
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Different business problems require a different set of skills or experience to overcome. A business problem in your industry or country facing your business may require a different solution from the solution used by your competitors. Indeed a different business solution that fits your business problem may actual reap faster growth or better business protection.
One size does not always fit all
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Help to complete your own business risk assessment to be better prepared for your future
Understanding your business risk profile is an important step to making better risk based business management decisions. Identify the threats and opportunities your business faces now or will do in future. Assess the risks of this uncertainty to your business objectives. Your resulting business risk profile will help you make better business decisions. Focus your limited business resources on the risks which will bring you greatest reward of business resilience and business growth.
Profiling your business risks will help you to stop wasting time and money. You can also use your business risk profile to monitor the impact or lack of impact on your business performance.
Prepare for and manage key business risks your business faces today and tomorrow. Learn from past business risk management events your business experienced or other businesses experienced so you do not have to.
Make sure all your employees know your critical business risks. Create a more effective business risk management framework to allocate responsibilities and accountability for managing business risks.
Your business risk profile should not be a one off exercise. It should not just sit in a file with a to do list ticked. Use your own business risk to mitigate potential threats and maximise business development opportunities. Holistically manage the whole business with the best use of available existing business resources.
Enterprise risk management methodology should be applied to strategic operational and project uncertainties. Inform your decision making process with the whole picture not just part.
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Structure management meetings to make real decisions. Make progress do not maintain status quo. Move your business forward with a meeting. Make sure your decision making meeting works well for your business.
Having too many meetings decreases productivity. A boost to productivity can be facilitated by reducing the number of meetings and making each one held more venues for better decision making. Manage meeting process better and keep meetings short.
Academics from the University of Malmo in Sweden say meetings provide an outlet for people at work to show off their status or to express frustration.
BBC Report
Managers should have clearly defined roles and accountability that they have agreed to and these should be directly linked with the strategic operational and project objectives of the business.
Just because you have manager in your job title does not mean the best thing for the business is to be in meetings constantly. Especially if at the end of a meeting not decision has been taken on the subject of the meeting.
However the BBC report says that the professor things meetings are good because they allow the business to assert power and direction over those attending the meeting. Surely meetings should be about engaging all those attending the meeting in solving a specific problem or problems the meeting has been called to address. Address means there must be decisions taken on how to resolve the issues raised otherwise they are just talking shops and can actually be more destructive than constructive.
If dissatisfaction with the business is to be allowed it should be in the understanding that you bring a solution to the problem you are complaining about not just a problem.
Effective meetings can produce better business decisions. Not all decisions made at a meeting will be good decisions. Having decided a meeting is needed make sure the potential benefit from the meeting is not missed.
Make sure ever attendee properly prepares for the meeting. Make sure what decision needs to be made is clear before the meeting and what is expected from attendees.
Make sure it is clear that people are attending not to talk about the problem but to make a decision on a specific issue.
There maybe more than one option to consider and decide on the best decision. Make sure the options are clear before the meeting.
Make sure there is a written meeting agenda and a clear idea of what decisions are needed. Make sure all attendees are suitable informed about the meeting subject matter. Send out agenda before meeting.
Holding short meetings are better than long ones. Shorter meetings should help focus minds on the key issues at hand. Short meetings can focus the energy in the room on finding business solutions not issuing direction or showcasing managerial power.
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There are a number of key factors that led to successful business. Successful business leaders understand that being in business is about managing the risks from change. Unsuccessful business leaders tend to blame their failures on economic climate changes and their successes on their brilliant business management skills!
The UK retail sector is suffering major painful changes. Tens of thousands of jobs have been lost as major retailers collapsed or contracted. Yet the UK retail marketplace has some examples of major retailers bucking this trend blamed on the UK economy by unsuccessful retail business managers.
By applying their risk management knowledge successful businesses can act quicker and with more confidence it will work out
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Not taking risks is not an option for most business leaders. However many risk factors coming together can appear daunting. Enterprise risk management looks at the big picture and helps you identify the steps to a better business in future.
Find out how to improve your chances of business success with BusinessRiskTV. Take calculated risks to help your business grow faster with less uncertainty. Embrace change and the risks to your business.
Business risk assessment elements should fit your business culture. Some people do not like numbers. Some do. Your business risk assessment template should reflect the culture of your organisation.
A business risk assessment is a systematic process that helps organisations identify, evaluate, and prioritise risks that may impact their operations, financial performance, and reputation. It is an essential tool for managing risk and ensuring the long-term viability of a business.
There are several key elements that a business risk assessment should include:
Identifying the risks: The first step in the risk assessment process is to identify the potential risks that the business may face. This can include internal risks, such as operational inefficiencies or employee misconduct, as well as external risks, such as market changes or natural disasters.
Evaluating the risks: Once the risks have been identified, the next step is to evaluate their potential impact on the business. This includes considering the likelihood of each risk occurring, as well as the potential consequences if it does.
Prioritising the risks: After evaluating the risks, the next step is to prioritise them based on their potential impact on the business. This will help the organisation focus its resources on the most significant risks and develop strategies to mitigate them.
Developing risk management strategies: Once the risks have been prioritised, the next step is to develop strategies to mitigate them. This can include implementing control measures to prevent or reduce the likelihood of risks occurring, or transferring the risk to another party through insurance or other means.
Monitoring and reviewing the risks: The risk assessment process is ongoing and should be regularly reviewed and updated to ensure that it remains relevant and effective. This includes monitoring the risks and identifying any new or emerging risks that may have arisen since the last assessment.
In summary, a business risk assessment should include the following key elements:
Identifying the risks
Evaluating the risks
Prioritizing the risks
Developing risk management strategies
Monitoring and reviewing the risks
Every business faces risks that could be a threat to its success
The business leaders who are better prepared for these risks and have a cost effective risk management plan and business strategy are more likely to be more successful.
Enterprise Wide Risk Assessment For Faster Business Growth With Best Use Of Business Assets
Develop a suitable risk assessment process to assist with your risk management plan preparation. Review your existing risk management process to ensure it is fit for purpose in a rapidly changing marketplace. Successful entrepreneurs have a good strategic operational and project risk management attitude and business culture that is flexible enough to cope with any economic environment.
There are numerous factors that can contribute to the success of a business. Here are some key factors that are often considered critical for building and maintaining a successful business:
Clear Vision and Strategy: A successful business requires a clear vision and a well-defined strategy. This includes setting goals, defining the direction of the business, and developing a roadmap to achieve those goals.
Market Research and Understanding Customer Needs: Understanding the market and identifying customer needs are essential for success. Conducting thorough market research, identifying target customers, and tailoring products or services to meet their needs is critical in building a successful business.
Strong Leadership: Effective leadership is crucial for the success of any business. It involves providing direction, making decisions, motivating employees, and fostering a positive work culture. Strong leadership skills help in guiding the business through challenges and achieving the desired outcomes.
Financial Management: Proper financial management, including budgeting, cash flow management, and financial planning, is vital for the long-term success of a business. Sound financial management practices help in ensuring that the business remains financially stable and can weather economic uncertainties.
Quality Products or Services: Delivering high-quality products or services is essential for building a loyal customer base. Providing value to customers and consistently meeting or exceeding their expectations builds trust and helps in retaining customers, which is critical for the success of any business.
Effective Marketing and Branding: Successful businesses understand the importance of effective marketing and branding. Creating a strong brand presence, developing marketing strategies to reach the target audience, and promoting products or services effectively can lead to increased visibility, customer acquisition, and revenue growth.
Innovation and Adaptability: In today’s dynamic business environment, innovation and adaptability are crucial for success. Successful businesses continuously innovate, adapt to changing market trends, and find new ways to stay relevant and competitive in the market.
Efficient Operations and Processes: Streamlining operations and processes can improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer satisfaction. Implementing effective systems and processes, optimising the supply chain, and leveraging technology can lead to improved productivity and operational excellence.
Talented and Engaged Workforce: A skilled and motivated workforce is vital for the success of any business. Hiring and retaining top talent, providing opportunities for growth and development, fostering a positive work culture, and promoting employee engagement can lead to higher productivity and overall business success.
Customer Relationship Management: Building strong customer relationships is crucial for long-term success. Providing excellent customer service, maintaining open lines of communication, addressing customer feedback, and building customer loyalty are key factors that contribute to the success of a business. These are some of the key factors that can contribute to the success of a business. However, it’s important to note that success is multifaceted and can vary depending on the industry, market, and individual circumstances. It’s essential to carefully plan, execute, and continuously adapt to changing circumstances to achieve long-term business success.
Strategic Partnerships and Networking: Collaborating with strategic partners and building a strong network can provide valuable opportunities for business growth. Strategic partnerships can help access new markets, share resources, and leverage complementary strengths, while networking can lead to new business leads, partnerships, and valuable industry insights.
Risk Management: Successful businesses recognize the importance of managing risks. This includes identifying and mitigating potential risks, having contingency plans in place, and being prepared to handle unexpected challenges. Effective risk management can help protect the business from potential setbacks and ensure its resilience.
Flexibility and Adaptability: Business environments can change rapidly, and successful businesses are agile and adaptable. Being open to change, willing to pivot when necessary, and embracing innovation can help a business stay ahead of the competition and navigate through uncertainties.
Continuous Learning and Improvement: Successful businesses are always learning and improving. Keeping up with industry trends, staying updated with technology, and seeking feedback from customers and employees can provide valuable insights for making informed decisions and driving continuous improvement.
Strong Customer Focus: Putting the customer at the center of the business is crucial for success. Understanding customer preferences, delivering excellent customer experiences, and building customer loyalty can lead to repeat business, positive word-of-mouth, and a strong brand reputation.
Ethical and Responsible Business Practices: Operating with integrity, practicing ethical business standards, and being socially responsible can build trust and credibility with customers, employees, and other stakeholders. Demonstrating responsible business practices can contribute to long-term success and sustainability.
Resilience and Persistence: Building a successful business is not always easy, and setbacks and failures are inevitable. Successful businesses demonstrate resilience, learn from failures, and persist in the face of challenges. Perseverance, determination, and the ability to bounce back from setbacks are key traits of successful entrepreneurs.
Long-term Planning and Goal-setting: Having a long-term vision and setting realistic goals is important for business success. Long-term planning allows for strategic decision-making, resource allocation, and monitoring progress towards achieving business objectives.
Adapting to Digital Transformation: In today’s digital age, successful businesses embrace digital transformation. This includes leveraging technology for automation, digital marketing, data analysis, and online presence to stay competitive and meet changing customer preferences.
Monitoring and Measuring Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): Successful businesses monitor and measure key performance indicators (KPIs) to track progress, identify areas for improvement, and make data-driven decisions. Regularly analysing KPIs provides insights into the health and performance of the business and helps in making informed decisions.
In conclusion, building and maintaining a successful business requires a combination of various factors. It’s important to have a clear vision, understand the market and customer needs, demonstrate effective leadership, manage finances wisely, deliver quality products or services, market and brand effectively, innovate, and adapt to changing environments. Additionally, building a strong team, managing risks, focusing on customer satisfaction, practicing responsible business ethics, and being resilient and persistent are key factors that contribute to long-term business success.
Improve your risk management process. Mitigate threats or seize new opportunities more quickly. Simplify your enterprise risk management ERM process.
Introduce a framework for your business to use an enterprise risk assessment process to reduce uncertainty. Make quick well informed business decisions. Take a systemic risk based approach to manage enterprise risks more effectively.
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Adopt an holistic approach to business risk management. Develop your risk knowledge and improve your risk management capability. Better business decision making will build long term business resilience regardless of the economic environment. Develop a more structured approach to making business decisions.
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Sustain your business for the long term. Build business resilience regardless of economic environment. Be more successful despite the business environment not because of it.
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How To Reduce Uncertainty In Business
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Business performance can improve faster tackling business risks holistically rather than individually. Discover the best ways to tackle the biggest risks to your business. Is your business properly prepared with effective risk management tools and techniques.
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BusinessRiskTV Guide To Business Protection
Running a successful business requires more than just a great product or service. It involves understanding and managing the risks that can impact your organisation. From financial risks to cybersecurity threats, there are various factors that can jeopardise the stability and growth of your business. In this BusinessRiskTV Guide to Business Protection, we will explore the key areas you need to consider to protect your business from potential risks.
Risk Assessment The first step in protecting your business is to conduct a thorough risk assessment. This involves identifying and evaluating the potential risks that your business may face. It is essential to assess both internal and external factors that could impact your operations. Internal risks may include financial instability, employee turnover, or operational inefficiencies. External risks can range from economic downturns to changes in regulations or new competitors entering the market. By conducting a comprehensive risk assessment, you can prioritise your efforts and allocate resources effectively.
Financial Risk Management Financial risks can have a significant impact on your business’s sustainability. It is crucial to develop a robust financial risk management strategy to protect your company’s assets and ensure its long-term viability. This includes identifying potential risks such as cash flow issues, debt management, currency fluctuations, and interest rate changes. Implementing financial controls, diversifying revenue streams, and creating a contingency fund are some of the strategies you can adopt to mitigate financial risks.
Insurance Coverage Insurance plays a crucial role in protecting your business from unexpected events. It is essential to assess your insurance needs and ensure that you have adequate coverage. Different types of insurance policies are available to address specific risks, such as property insurance, liability insurance, business interruption insurance, and cyber insurance. Carefully review the terms and conditions of each policy to ensure that it aligns with your business’s unique requirements. Regularly reassess your coverage to account for any changes in your operations or business environment.
Cybersecurity Measures In today’s digital age, businesses are increasingly vulnerable to cybersecurity threats. Protecting your business’s sensitive information and customer data is of utmost importance. Implement robust cybersecurity measures, including firewalls, encryption, secure passwords, and regular data backups. Educate your employees about the best practices for data security and create a culture of awareness within your organization. Conduct regular security audits and stay updated with the latest cybersecurity trends to stay one step ahead of potential threats.
Legal Compliance Compliance with laws and regulations is critical to protecting your business from legal risks. Failure to comply with relevant regulations can result in hefty fines, legal battles, and damage to your reputation. Stay informed about the laws and regulations that govern your industry and ensure that your business adheres to them. This may include data protection laws, labor regulations, environmental regulations, and consumer protection laws. Establish robust compliance processes, including regular audits and training programs, to minimise legal risks.
Business Continuity Planning Developing a comprehensive business continuity plan is essential to ensure that your business can withstand unexpected disruptions. Identify the critical functions of your business and create contingency plans to mitigate risks. This may involve developing alternate supply chains, establishing remote work capabilities, or creating backup systems for crucial operations. Regularly test and update your business continuity plan to account for any changes in your operations or potential risks.
Reputation Management Protecting your business’s reputation is crucial for long-term success. A damaged reputation can result in loss of customers, decreased revenue, and difficulty attracting top talent. Implement strategies to build and maintain a positive brand image. This includes delivering excellent customer service, being transparent and ethical in your business practices, and actively managing your online presence. Monitor social media platforms, respond promptly to customer feedback, and address any negative publicity proactively.
Strategic Partnerships Collaborating with strategic partners can help mitigate risks and enhance your business’s protection. Strategic partnerships can provide access to additional resources, expertise, and networks that can help you navigate risks more effectively. Look for partners who complement your business and share similar values. Collaborate on joint projects, share best practices, and leverage each other’s strengths to enhance your risk management capabilities. Building strong relationships with suppliers, distributors, and other key stakeholders can also contribute to the overall protection of your business.
Employee Training and Engagement Your employees are an integral part of your business’s protection. Investing in employee training and engagement can help mitigate risks and enhance your overall business resilience. Provide regular training sessions on topics such as risk awareness, cybersecurity, compliance, and crisis management. Foster a culture of open communication, where employees feel comfortable reporting potential risks or suggesting improvements. Engaged employees are more likely to be vigilant and proactive in identifying and addressing risks, contributing to a safer and more secure business environment.
Continuous Monitoring and Evaluation Business protection is an ongoing process that requires continuous monitoring and evaluation. Regularly review your risk management strategies and update them as necessary. Stay informed about the latest trends and developments in your industry to anticipate potential risks. Monitor key performance indicators (KPIs) and implement a robust reporting system to track the effectiveness of your risk management efforts. Conduct periodic audits and risk assessments to identify any emerging risks or areas for improvement.
Protecting your business from potential risks is essential for its long-term success and sustainability. By conducting a thorough risk assessment, implementing financial risk management strategies, securing adequate insurance coverage, strengthening cybersecurity measures, ensuring legal compliance, developing a business continuity plan, managing your reputation, leveraging strategic partnerships, investing in employee training and engagement, and continuously monitoring and evaluating your risk management efforts, you can enhance your business protection. Remember, business protection is an ongoing process that requires adaptability and a proactive approach to address the ever-evolving risks in today’s business landscape. By prioritising risk management and taking proactive measures, you can safeguard your business and position it for long-term growth and success.
Have you booked a holiday overseas and feel you need a way to justify your expansive carbon footprint? Have plenty of money and lots of good words to say about protecting the environment that does not involve sacrificing your overseas holiday? Think you can fool your friends and yourself into thinking you are protecting the environment? Then carbon offsetting is for you!
So you think that your conscious is clear cause you pay money to pump more carbon into the environment? You might be fooling yourself and your friends but we both know carbon offsetting is not protecting the environment. Stop flying that will help save the planet!
Many people including Extinction Rebellion XR activists think that their personal carbon footprint is not the problem. It is other peoples carbon footprint that is the problem! How ridiculous!.
Off course it is your right to express with tears anger and protesting your fears for the imminent extinction of the earth but think about it for a moment. Extinction? Do you really think carbon offsetting is the response to imminent extinction? You may be kidding yourself and your friends justifying your lifestyle choices with carbon offsetting but carbon offsetting is simply a farcical excuse to allow you to blame everyone else for death of the planet whilst you swan off on your holidays!
Its okay little children we can still fly off on holiday cause I use carbon offsetting to save the planet instead! Its peoples shameful lifestyle that is killing the planet. If only they heard about carbon offsetting. Then the ice caps would not melt and the air around Heathrow would be simply devinely healthy.
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If you think there is a real extinction threat then instead of a voluntary carbon offset that allegedly counteracts the damage your life is doing to the planet you should be doing less damage to the planet.
If you think there is imminent threat of planet extinction instead of using your money to restore the damage you have forced on the planet why not just not damage the planet.
Carbon offsetting is to designed to give you an excuse to fly off on holiday when your children ask if your flight is helping to kill the planet. Carbon offsetting if you believe in extinction threat is actually a very dangerous tool that is more likely to do harm than good. Your money would be better invested in not doing damage in the first place.
Carbon offsetting is only offering flyers and the like a way out of their environmental green guilt. It is not saving the planet. It is making the damage to planet worse and you know it really. The key to saving the planet is to change your behaviour and the way you spend money.
Carbon offsetting is good PR for your unwillingness to make lifestyle sacrifices. It does not help save the planet.
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We are not backers of Extinction Rebellion message. Their environmental targets are unreachable and are therefore not smart in any way whatsoever. If there is a growing climate emergency it will be defused by people changing their spending habits not by carbon offsetting.
BusinessRiskTV looks for real environmental solutions to real risks for the benefit of people and the planet.
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Using risk knowledge work experience and risk management skills we can solve most business problems related to business protection and growth. Our passion for problem solving uses problem solving risk analysis tools and determination to work practically and pragmatically to get the desired result for our clients.
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The importance of problem-solving in business contexts.
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Explore why effective problem-solving is crucial for a business’s success.
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How Your Company Approaches Problems
Explain your company’s problem-solving philosophy and principles.
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A step-by-step breakdown of your company’s problem-solving process.
Detail each stage, from problem identification to solution implementation.
Leveraging Data and Analysis
Emphasise the role of data-driven decision-making in problem-solving.
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Encouraging a Culture of Innovation
Fostering an innovative culture contributes to effective problem-solving.
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Adapting to Change and Challenges
Illustrate how your company tackles unexpected challenges through problem-solving.
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The Impact of Problem-Solving on Business Growth
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Feedback and Continuous Improvement
Emphasise the importance of feedback loops in the problem-solving process.
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Conclusion
Summarise the key points discussed.
Reiterate the value of problem-solving for your company’s growth and success.
Reviewing the pandemic risks with BusinessRiskTV.com
Discover more about ebola virus. Identify ways to prevent ebola contraction and spread. Review current ebola virus pandemic risk.
The World Health Organisation WHO declared the Democratic Republic of Congos ebola outbreak as an international health emergency
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Those most at risk from ebola outbreaks tend to be health care workers caring for ebola victims.
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19th July 2019 Ebola Outbreak Crisis Worsens
The risk of global pandemic is very low but locally the number of deaths continues to climb. 1600 people have been killed by ebola virus in the DR Congo.
11000 people died in last ebola epidemic in West Africa from 2014 to 2016
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The current large ebola outbreak has not yet resulted in restrictions on travel or trade but the rate of deaths is accelerating.
A further factor in the spread of ebola in the region is the attacks on healthcare workers. This makes it even more likely that neighbouring countries could be seriously affected by the outbreak in the DR Congo.
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A rail firm has been fined 1 million pounds following fatal accident on a train in UK after victim died leaning out of a train window.
The tragic victim died when he hit his head on a steel gantry whilst travelling on Gatwick Express in London.
Govia Thameslink Railway admitted a health and safety breach because a sign saying not to lean out was not displayed clearly enough.
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The judge said that although there were signs on the door warning of risk of leaning out of window they were unclear due to presence of other warning signs on the door. There had been no risk assessment of the windows on the doors of the trains.
The lesson does not just apply to train operators. Warning signs will not protect businesses particularly when the safety message is jumbled amongst other signs.
The fine may well have been reduced due to the admission of guilt on the part of the train operator.
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Sometimes we have to accept the risks our businesses face to achieve our goals. Taking no action to control the risks does not mean you have not managed the risk. It means you have identified and assessed it and proactively choose to accept it as the risk is within your risk tolerance and appetite for risk.
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Developing a balanced risk management action plan is not easy but it should be simple to work well.
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There are several techniques that can be useful for managing business rules in an organisation. Here are some recommendations:
Documenting business rules: One of the most important techniques for managing business rules is to document them in a clear and concise manner. This can include using a variety of formats such as decision tables, flowcharts, and natural language descriptions.
Centralising business rules: To avoid inconsistencies and duplication of effort, it is advisable to centralise the management of business rules. This can be done using a dedicated software tool or a repository that stores the rules and makes them accessible to relevant stakeholders.
Version control: It is crucial to keep track of changes to business rules over time, especially when multiple stakeholders are involved. Version control techniques such as branching and merging can help in managing changes to business rules.
Testing and validation: Business rules should be tested and validated thoroughly to ensure their accuracy and effectiveness. This can be done using a variety of techniques such as unit testing, integration testing, and user acceptance testing.
Auditing and monitoring: Regular auditing and monitoring of business rules can help to identify any potential issues or areas for improvement. This can be done using automated tools or through manual reviews.
Governance and ownership: Establishing clear governance and ownership of business rules is essential to ensure that they are being managed effectively. This can include assigning ownership to specific individuals or teams and establishing processes for reviewing and approving changes to business rules.
By following these techniques, organisations can effectively manage their business rules and ensure that they are aligned with their business objectives and regulatory requirements.