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15th January 2019 Germanys Economy Grew By 1.5 Percent in 2018
According to Germanys Federal Statistics Office FSO Germanys economy grew at its lowest level since 2013.
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) January 8, 2019
8th January 2019 Germanys Unemployment At Record Low
According to Federal Labor Agency the average number of job seekers in Germany was lower in 2018 that at any time since reunification in 1991.
8th January 2019 German Industrial Output Fell In November For 3rd Consecutive Month
Fears are growing that the German economy could slip into a recession in 2019. Brexit a trade war between European Union and USA and a trade war between USA and China are all threatening export growth for Germany.
German industrial output fell by 1.9 percent on the month in November according to Federal Statistics Office FSO.
14th December 2018 Germanys Private Sector Expanded At Slowest Pace For Four Years In December
IHS Markits Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Index PMI has continued to fall through 2018 due in part to the diesel emissions scandal and political global trade tensions.
2019 does not look particularly bright especially if the UK leaves the European Union EU without a Brexit deal. According to Bundesbank biannual review growth in Germany will slow in future. The German central bank is forecasting 2018 growth at 1.5 percent and only 1.6 percent in 2019 and 2020.
30th November 2018 German Retail Sales Increased Strongest Rate Since May 2017
Spending by German shoppers rose by 5.0 percent on the year in real terms in October according to the Federal Statistics Office FSO.
29th November 2018 German Unemployment Rate At Record Low In November
According to the Federal Labour Office Germanys unemployment rate fell to 5 percent which is lowest rate since German reunification in 1990.
22nd November 2018 Merkel On Trade Wars
The Trade conflict between China and the United States is negatively impacting on German companies according to Chancellor Angela Merkel.
14th November 2018 German Economy Contracted For First Time Since The First Quarter 2015
- Main risk factors for Germany is slowing global economy in part due to global trade war but also Brexit where Britain leaves the European Union EU
German economy did not grow in third quarter. It contracted contracted by 0.2 percent quarter on quarter according to Germanys Federal Statistics Office FSO.
Compared with the same quarter in 2017 the German economy economy grew by 1.1 percent in the three months to September.
The third-quarter dip in GDP was the first time the economy has contracted since the first quarter of 2015.
The German government says new pollution standards in car manufacturing have impacted on car production
Germany has a car manufacturing problem not an economy problem. German economy is supported by a currency that is far weaker than it should be.
8th November 2018 Germany Is Benefiting From Low Value Of Currency That Does Not Match The Reality Of Its Domestic Economy
Germany is benefiting from a euro exchange rate that is too weak for its economy but too strong for others in the eurozone currency bloc according to conservative Friedrich Merz running to replace Chancellor Angela Merkel as leader of her party. Merz was quoted speaking on Europes Growth Challenge expert panel discussion
The euro is too weak for Germany and too too strong for most other countries in the eurozone Merz Friedrich
He further said that Germany was not just benefiting within the European Union EU but was benefiting from increased exports to countries outside the EU including higher sales to massive economies like China and USA.
He thinks therefore that Germany has the most to lose from the collapse of the EU which he acknowledges is a possibility.
— Risk Management (@HolisticRiskMgt) October 30, 2018
30th October 2018 Employment Levels In Germany At Record High
Germanys jobless fell in October and employment hit a record high in September according to Federal Labour Office FLO.
Germany unemployment rate unchanged at 5.1 percent the lowest since German reunification in 1990
16th October 2018 Audi Fined 800 Million Euros For Violations In respect Of Diesel Emissions Scandals
Audi accepts the fine and will not lodge an appeal against it. Audi therefore admits responsibility for deliberate attempts to circumvent environmental regulatory requirements.
Volkswagen owner of Audi terminated the contract of Audi Chief Executive Rupert Stadler who is under investigation for suspected involvement in emissions scandal.
11th October 2018 German Government Kicks Back Against Calls To Fine Automotive Businesses
German Economy Minister Peter Altmaier responded to calls to fine carmakers who fail to fix diesel engines at centre of emissions scandal. They are not going to fine them!
11th October 2018 Germany Economic Growth Not What Forecast
German government has reduced economic growth expectations for Germany due to increasing global trade risks.
The German government now thinks the German economy will grow 1.8 percent in 2018 and 2019. The UK economy will grow at close to the same rate. The German government had forecast German economic growth of 2.3 percent for 2018.
Germany is the most vulnerable country to car tariffs in Europe following no deal Brexit
Germany is the leading country in Europe politically. A no deal Brexit would be very painful for Germany economically. Politically it is suffering from a move to the right and away from federal Europe for example over policies like immigration.
Germanys automotive industry has also been at the heart of the global emissions scandal following the revelation that Volkswagen business falsified some diesel engine emissions to enable certain models to pass regulatory standards.
17th September 2018 Germany Economy To Grow 2 Percent in 2018
According to German government the German economy will grow by around 2 percent this year. Threats to faster growth in Germany include lack of skilled workers.
11th June 2018 Germany and the Trade War With USA
Germany is ready to discuss trade imbalances between Germany and USA via European Union trade discussions according to Germanys Economy Minister Peter Altmaier in a discussion on Deutschlandfunk radio.
30th May 2018 German Inflation Above ECB Target In May
German consumer price inflation rose to its highest level in over a year at 2.2 percent according to the Federal Statistics Office FSO.
30th May 2018 German Retail Sales Jump In April
German retail sales increased faster than expected in April according to Federal Statistics Office FSO. The increase was the biggest retail sales jump since October 2016.
30th March 2018 Germanys Jobless Rate Falls to Record Low In March
German unemployment rate fell to 5.3 percent in March from 5.4 percent in February, the lowest since German reunification in 1990, according to Federal Labour Office.
Seasonally adjusted figures from the International Labour Organisation confirmed that employment levels in Germany rose to 44.59 million another record high in Germany.
The German government has forecast economic growth for Germany to be 2.4 percent in German.
6th March 2018 Germanys Job Vacancies At Record High
According to a survey by IAB labour office research institute, job vacancies in Germany reached an all-time high in the last quarter of 2017. They claim that there were 1.18 million job vacancies in Germany in the last three months of 2017.
Many employers have had to rapidly increase wages to retain and attract staff in Germany. This years significant wage increases will filter through to increase inflation and this won’t be able to controlled by interest rate rises as southern European countries are still suffering from mass unemployment. Something will need to give.
5th March 2018 German Engineering Orders Continue To Climb Higher
German engineering orders jumped 14 percent in January year on year driven by domestic and export orders according to VDMA industry group.
4th March 2018 Angela Merkel Fourth Term As Germanys Chancellor Secured
Social Democrat Party SPD agrees coalition deal. Two-thirds of SPDs members voted to join the coalition in government.
28th February 2018 Employment Levels At Record High In Germany
The jobless rate in Germany fell but the unemployment rate stayed at 5.4 percent according to German Federal Labor Agency which is the lowest since German reunification in 1990.
26th February 2018 German Union Verdi Wants Big Pay Rise For Public Sector Workers In Germany
Verdi trade union is asking for a 6 percent pay rise for its public sector workers.
Germany’s tax take is at record levels and once again has a massive government budget surplus, unlike the majority of countries in the Eurozone who have budget deficits: governments that have to borrow money to pay for public services as there isn’t sufficient tax income to cover all public services and obligations.
Significant wage rises tend to accelerate inflation without accompanying interest rate rises that the ECB have said aren’t in the pipeline due to southern Eurozone countries in particular still suffering from mass unemployment. The wage rises will increase pressure from Germany on ECB to change its Policy on interest rate rises and QE.
23rd February 2018 German Economy Set To Grow In Strength In 2018
Germany closed 2017 with a strong economic finish. 2018 is looking like it will be even better.
Germany’s economy grew 0.6 percent in just the last quarter of 2017. It has been outperforming most European countries for years and will continue to do so in 2018-19. The German finance ministry is expecting growth in the first quarter of 2018 to be 0.7 percent.
German consumer morale is at its highest since 2001 on the back of falling unemployment, significant wage rises and cheap money, courtesy of the ECB.
21st February 2018 Volkswagen Increases Wages By 4.3 percent
Volkswagen has agreed to settle its dispute with workers about pay by increasing wages from May 2018. In addition, workers will get an annual payment equivalent to 27.5 percent of monthly wage, or they can choose to take 6 additional days holidays instead.
Around 4 million industrial workers have now won agreements to increase their wages by 4.3 percent this year.
7th February 2018 Germany Is The Worst Country At Complying With EU Rules
Despite getting the most out of the European Union EU model, due to its ability to borrow money super-cheaply and can export its products freely, Germany still abuses its power by not complying with rules other EU member countries comply with.
German newspaper Handelsblatt looked at data provided by Germanys government and found that Germany infringed on 74 proceedings it should be complying with as defined by the European Commission EC. Germany is failing to implement 74 separate EU regulations which is more than any other EU member country.
7th February 2018 Germany Economic Growth 2.7 Percent In 2018
Germany’s DIHK Chambers of Industry and Commerce is now forecasting Germany’s economic growth rate will be higher in 2018 compared to 2017.
According to DIHK Germanys business leaders have never been more confident about Germany’s economic prospects, and they are backing their mouths with their money by investing in Germany at unprecedented rate.
The UK is 14th on the list of EU countries not implementing EU rules in domestic law.
DIHK recently surveyed 26,000 business managers in Germany and the biggest corporate risk in 2018 in Germany is a shortage of skilled labour
30th January 2018 German Inflation Slowed In January
The Federal Statistics Office FSO reported German inflation unexpectedly slowing in January 2018. Inflation is Germany is currently running at 1.4 percent.
29th January 2018 German Economy To Grow 2.4 Percent 2018
German government will say Germanys economy will grow faster in 2018 than first thought, according to Reuters. Originally it was forecasting just 1.9 percent growth.
Ifo economic institute is forecasting the German economy to grow 2.6 percent in 2018.
25th January 2018 German Business Confidence In Economy Improves In January
German business confidence rose in January according to Ifo economic institute’s recent survey result. Business leaders in Germany are back at their highest level of confidence. Germany’s manufacturers are especially bullish about their future business growth.
German consumers are also confident in the German European and global economy in 2018. The last time German consumers were this confident was 2001. Their confidence is bolstered by high employment, rising wages and cheap money easily available.
17th January 2018 Germanys Current Account Surplus Largest In World In 2017
According to Munich-based Ifo economic institute Germany’s record high trade surplus was the largest of any in 2017, bigger than the whole of Asia.
If there was ever a doubt as to which country is benefiting from the EU there should be no doubt now. Germany’s trade surplus was the biggest in the world for the second year running in 2017. If it wasn’t in the Eurozone now, it would find its currency rebalanced some of the trade imbalance with the rest of the world, but it is in the Eurozone and you can’t blame German’s for loving the euro.
11th January 2018 Germanys Economy Expanded At Fastest Rate In Six Years In 2017
Germany’s GDP hit 2.2 percent in 2017 according to the Federal Statistics office.
Germany’s economy is too strong for the value of the euro and such low ECB interest rates and it will start to overheat in 2018. Most of the rest of the Eurozone is still struggling to recover from the financial crisis but Germany is booming.
Other good news for Germany’s economy is the record government public sector surplus in 2017 of 38 billion euros. No bad for a country with no government!
Germany’s economy is forecast to grow 2.25 percent in 2018 by the BDI industry association.
German workers are trying to get a bigger share of the success of the last couple of years. The IG Metall union is trying to get a 6 percent pay rise for 4 million metals and engineering workers in Germany. The present offer from German employers suggests that strikes will proceed as planned.
9th January 2018 Germanys Economy Is Booming
Germany’s industrial production jumped 3.4 percent in November which is fastest monthly advance since September 2009 according to Federal Statstics Office. Germany’s economy is showing evidence it is growing incredibly fast and in danger of overheating.
Germany was already running a trade surplus with the rest of the world but a jump in experts expanded the trade surplus further.
4th January 2018 German Unemployment Falls To Record Low
Germany’s unemployment rate fell to 3.6 percent. Its national jobless rate which includes part-time workers looking for work stayed at record low of 5.5 percent.
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