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The VIX Bullish Falling Wedge: A Sign of a Stock Market Crash?
12 July 2023
The VIX, or the CBOE Volatility Index, is a measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 index. It is often referred to as the “fear index” because it tends to rise when investors are feeling more fearful about the market.
In recent weeks, the VIX has been in a bullish falling wedge pattern. This is a technical pattern that is often seen as a sign of a market bottom. However, some analysts are concerned that the VIX falling wedge could break out to the downside, which could be a sign of a stock market crash.
Why does the VIX go down when the market goes up?
The VIX is a measure of expected volatility, which means that it is based on how investors think the market will move in the future. When the market is going up, investors are less likely to expect volatility, which is why the VIX tends to go down.
Should I buy or sell when VIX is low?
There is no one-size-fits-all answer to this question. Some investors believe that it is a good time to buy when the VIX is low, as this indicates that investors are feeling less fearful about the market. However, others believe that it is better to wait until the VIX has risen to a more moderate level before buying.
What should I look for before a market crash?
There are a number of things that investors can look for before a market crash. These include:
A rising VIX
A decline in market liquidity
A widening of credit spreads
A decline in economic growth
A rise in political uncertainty
What is the most important predictor of a market crash?
There is no one single factor that can definitively predict a market crash. However, the VIX is often seen as one of the most important predictors. A rising VIX indicates that investors are becoming more fearful about the market, which can be a sign that a crash is on the horizon.
Conclusion
The VIX bullish falling wedge is a technical pattern that is often seen as a sign of a market bottom. However, some analysts are concerned that the VIX falling wedge could break out to the downside, which could be a sign of a stock market crash. Investors should carefully monitor the VIX and other market indicators in the coming weeks and months to assess the risk of a crash.
The VIX is a valuable tool for investors who want to stay ahead of the market. By monitoring the VIX, investors can get a sense of how fearful investors are about the market and make informed decisions about when to buy or sell.
However, it is important to remember that the VIX is not a perfect predictor of market crashes. There have been times when the VIX has been high and the market has not crashed, and there have also been times when the VIX has been low and the market has crashed.
As such, investors should not rely on the VIX alone to make investment decisions. They should also consider other factors, such as economic fundamentals and market sentiment, before making any trades.
How much does it cost not having a fire sprinkler system installed? After the Grenfell fire disaster in London maybe the cost of risk can be revisited without automatically being the first thing on cost cutting list?
Perhaps the pendulum has swung back in safety management’s favour. Perhaps more people will think less about the cost of fire protection and think more about the cost of not having fire protections in place.
— Accommodation Man (@AccommodationSt) June 4, 2018
The Grenfell fire disaster is not the first incident that has caused business leaders regulators and the UK government to think again about rebalancing the risks in society and business. Unfortunately, despite having excellent risk management methodology the UK consistently fails to implement suitable and appropriate protections until after a major loss of life either in one major incident or a series of risk exposures culminating in loss of life
Fire Risk Assessment Cost Comparisons enter code #FireRiskAssessment
Key decision makers normally take liberties when given the option to.  They normally think that the major loss will not happen on their watch, and so it is worth taking more risk without balancing the extra risk with extra precautions.
Fire sprinkler systems could be cheaper than first thought
The truth is that major loss of life or property presents opportunities for businesses to sell more. After a major flood clean up service companies sell more. After a major accident the legal people ell more services. After the Grenfell fire sprinkler system manufacturers and installers will almost certainly sell more sprinkler systems.
Where once the cost of fire sprinkler systems was one of the first parts of a new build to be cut in the pursuit of profit they will get a chance to stay in the design. After Grenfell fire disaster public and private sector organisations will have to think twice before cutting the cost of fire sprinkler systems from their budget. Now they will think more about the cost of not having fire sprinkler systems in new building design.
Sadly, the change of fortune for fire sprinkler system companys has come too late for some but in future many lives will be saved because of the re-evaluation of the true worth for fire sprinkler systems.
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The benefits of local sourcing of business products and services are many and varied from environmental benefits to real cost savings to security of supply lines to flexibility of delivery.
In the UK it is more expensive to import goods and services from overseas due to around a 10 to 20 percent fall in the value of the pound against a basket of foreign currencies in the last 12 months. Where there may have been a substantial price difference between imports and domestic suppliers, this has mostly gone as can be witnessed by the fact that the UK is exporting more now that at any time since 1995.
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Sourcing products from around the world can lead to more cost and more business interruptions and less flexibility in meeting your customer needs.
Develop shorter local supply chains to build your business with more certainty. In a new Brexit world developing more local suppliers will guard against the negative impact of currency fluctuations.
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Develop the career you want not the one you have fallen into
Ever feel trapped in your job? Want to feel more wanted? If you have the aptitude and a good work ethic there are many unfilled job vacancies in the UK.
However great opportunities rarely simply fall into your lap. You have to graft at career development to speed up the process and become a success.
Developing your career faster means you will get more money as a by product of your success, so its not being greedy wanting more money. It is part and parcel of being more successful in your career development.
In the UK we tend to be a bit more reserved. Talking about wanting a better paid job and career progression may be frowned upon You’re too big for your own boots but it is okay to moan about being skint. Not having enough money to do the things you want in life can normally only be solved by looking for a better job unless you win the lottery!
If you want a better job you’re going to have to work hard at finding a better job. BusinessRiskTV can assist though you will still need to put in the time but if you do then you will get a better job. It is the law of supply and demand. If you have the talent then you’re dream job is out there so get grafting now!
However better paying jobs aren’t always better jobs. Sometimes better paying jobs are the jobs most people don’t want to do and thats why you get premium pay level. Make sure you know what’s out there and then work hard at putting yourself in the best position to secure your dream job.
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