Some bank shares are still more than 90% off their peak pre 2008 financial crisis so there is no such thing as “safe as money in the bank”!
The Inflationary Storm: Are Cryptos Your Lifeboat?
A dark cloud hangs over the global economy. Whispers of recession turn into shouts, and governments, desperate to keep the ship afloat, resort to the familiar mantra: fiscal stimulus and quantitative easing. But what does this mean for your hard-earned money? Enter cryptocurrencies: a digital life raft in a sea of potential devaluation.
As a currency and economics expert, I’m here to navigate these choppy waters. Today, we’ll explore the potential for crypto as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation. We’ll dive into the economic storm, examine the limitations of traditional safeguards, and assess whether venturing into the crypto realm could be your best bet.
The Looming Devaluation:
Governments and central banks worldwide have injected trillions into their economies since the pandemic. This, coupled with supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions, is fuelling an inflationary fire. Fiat currencies, backed by nothing but government promises, are losing their purchasing power. A loaf of bread that cost $2 yesterday may cost $2.10 tomorrow, silently eroding your savings and future.
Traditional Safe Havens Fail:
Historically, gold and other precious metals have been go-to hedges against inflation. But their limited supply and physical constraints don’t cater to everyone’s needs. Real estate or property, another traditional option, suffers from high entry barriers and illiquidity.
This is where cryptocurrencies enter the picture. With their decentralised nature, limited supply, and global reach, they present a new, albeit volatile, option.
The Crypto Advantage:
Limited Supply: Unlike fiat currencies,many cryptocurrencies, like Bitcoin,have a predetermined cap on their supply. This scarcity helps limit inflation and potentially increases their value over time.
Decentralisation: Cryptocurrencies aren’t subject to the whims of governments or central banks. Their decentralised networks offer a buffer against devaluation policies used to stimulate economies.
Global Accessibility: Anyone with an internet connection can access and trade cryptocurrencies, regardless of location or financial standing. This democratises wealth management and opens doors to previously excluded individuals.
Store of Value: While their volatility often grabs headlines, cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin have exhibited long-term value appreciation. Their potential to act as a digital gold, a secure store of value in a turbulent economy, is undeniable.
The Risk Factor:
However, venturing into the world of cryptocurrencies isn’t without its risks:
Volatility: The crypto market is notoriously volatile. Prices can swing wildly, making them potentially unsuitable for risk-averse individuals.
Regulation: The regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is still evolving, creating uncertainty and potential for government intervention.
Security: Crypto wallets and exchanges have been targets for hackers, highlighting the importance of choosing secure platforms and practicing safe storage methods.
Navigating the Crypto Waters:
So, should you dive into the crypto ocean as a hedge against devaluation? The answer depends on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. If you’re looking for a safe haven, traditional options like gold might be better suited. However, if you have the risk appetite and are willing to do your research, cryptocurrencies could be a valuable addition to your portfolio.
Remember, diversification is key. Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket. Start with a small allocation, understand the risks involved, and invest only what you can afford to lose.
For Business Leaders:
Explore crypto’s potential as a payment option:Accepting cryptocurrencies can attract tech-savvy customers and expand your reach.
Educate your employees: Equip your team with the knowledge they need to understand and potentially utilise cryptocurrencies.
For Consumers:
Do your research: Understand the different types of cryptocurrencies and their underlying technologies before investing.
Diversify your portfolio: Don’t put all your eggs in the crypto basket.
Start small: Invest only what you can afford to lose, and remember the market is volatile.
Choose secure platforms: Store your cryptocurrencies in reputable wallets and exchanges.
Cryptocurrencies present a fascinating blend of opportunity and risk in the face of potential fiat currency devaluation. While not a guaranteed solution, they offer a novel approach to securing your financial future. Remember, knowledge is power in this realm. Educate yourself, assess your risk tolerance, and make informed decisions to weather the coming economic storm. The crypto lifeboat might just be the key to staying afloat in the inflationary seas ahead.
Who will be your landlord in future and what does it mean in the short and long term?
The Rise of Institutional Homeownership: Will Banks Become Your Landlord?
The traditional image of a homeowner – an individual or family purchasing a property for personal use – is undergoing a significant shift in the United Kingdom. Enter the institutional investor, specifically banks like Lloyds, venturing into the single-family home market on a grand scale. This trend, while nascent, poses intriguing questions about the future of housing affordability, rents, and the very nature of homeownership in the UK.
Banks as Landlords: A New Game in Town
Driven by factors like low interest rates, a perceived hedge against inflation, and the potential for stable rental income, institutional investors are increasingly eyeing the residential property market. Lloyds Bank, the UK’s largest mortgage provider, stands as a prime example. In 2021, they partnered with the housebuilder Taylor Wimpey to acquire thousands of newly built homes for rental purposes. This move isn’t isolated; similar initiatives are underway across the pond in the US, with major players like Blackstone and Goldman Sachs amassing vast portfolios of single-family homes.
Impact on Housing Prices: A Double-Edged Sword
The immediate impact of institutional buying on house prices is a complex issue. On the one hand, their deep pockets could inject significant capital into the market, potentially driving up prices, particularly in desirable locations. This could exacerbate affordability concerns, especially for first-time buyers already struggling with rising costs.
On the other hand, some argue that institutional investors might act as a stabilising force, purchasing excess inventory during market downturns and preventing price crashes. Additionally, their focus on energy-efficient, modern homes could contribute to long-term improvements in the housing stock.
Ultimately, the net effect on prices will depend on various factors, including the scale of institutional buying, government policies, and broader economic trends.
Rents on the Rise? Not So Simple Either
While the prospect of institutional landlords might raise concerns about rent hikes, the reality is likely to be more nuanced. Firstly, these investors are primarily interested in long-term, stable returns, which incentivises them to offer competitive rents to attract and retain tenants. Additionally, regulations like rent control measures could play a role in curbing excessive rent increases.
However, concerns remain. The sheer volume of homes owned by institutions could give them significant market power, potentially allowing them to exert upward pressure on rents, particularly in areas with limited housing options. Moreover, the focus on professional property management might lead to a less personal and potentially less responsive landlord-tenant relationship compared to traditional setups.
The Long View: Redefining Homeownership
The long-term implications of this trend are far-reaching. A future with a significant portion of homes owned by institutions could fundamentally alter the concept of homeownership in the UK. Traditional homeowner aspirations, centred around property ownership and wealth accumulation, might give way to a renter-centric model, where stability and affordability become the primary concerns.
This shift could have profound social consequences, potentially impacting wealth distribution, community dynamics, and even political landscapes. It’s crucial to have open and informed discussions about the potential benefits and drawbacks of this new paradigm, ensuring that policies and regulations are in place to protect tenants and safeguard a healthy housing market for all.
Beyond the Numbers: Humanising the Equation
In the rush to analyse statistics and market trends, it’s important to remember that housing is more than just an investment or a commodity. Homes are where families build memories, communities thrive, and lives unfold. As we navigate this changing landscape, it’s essential to keep the human element at the centre of the conversation. We must ensure that this new wave of institutional ownership doesn’t come at the cost of affordability, stability, and the very essence of what makes a house a home.
The rise of institutional homeownership presents a complex and multifaceted challenge for the UK. While it holds the potential to boost the housing market and offer stability, it also raises concerns about affordability, renter rights, and the long-term social impact. As we move forward, careful consideration, informed policy decisions, and a focus on human needs are crucial to ensure that this new chapter in UK housing benefits everyone, not just the bottom line of institutional investors.
It’s going to pop or we are heading for soft landing economically speaking?
Navigating the Storm: A Guide for Business Leaders in a Sea of Speculation
My fellow business leaders, we stand at a pivotal moment. The alluring winds of speculation have inflated a bubble across stocks, bonds, and other debt assets, leaving us staring at a precarious horizon. 2024 looms large, with the question on everyone’s mind: are lower interest rates a life raft or a leaky pontoon for a world economy teetering on the brink? Can we navigate this volatile sea, deflate the bubble gently, and ensure a smooth landing, or is a catastrophic crash inevitable?
Firstly, let’s acknowledge the elephant in the room: we are in a bubble. Asset prices have been inflated beyond their intrinsic value, fueled by easy money, a search for yield in a low-interest-rate environment, and, frankly, a touch of irrational exuberance. This artificial inflation has distorted markets, misallocated resources, and sown the seeds of potential crisis.
Now, to the burning question: can lower interest rates be the balm that soothes the bubble? The answer, like the ocean itself, is nuanced.
Lowering interest rates could provide temporary relief. It would inject liquidity into the market, potentially buying time for asset prices to adjust gently. Imagine it as lowering the pressure in a balloon—a slow release might prevent a sudden explosion. However, this approach comes with risks. More liquidity could further inflate the bubble, creating a bigger problem down the line. Additionally, it could weaken the already-anemic economic growth, leading to a “zombie economy” propped up by cheap money.
So, is it too late for a controlled descent? I wouldn’t write the obituary just yet. While the risks are undeniable, we still have room for manoeuvre. Here’s the good news: the bubble hasn’t fully popped yet. We can still act, and businesses have a crucial role to play.
Here’s my prescription for weathering the storm:
1. Prudence over Profits: In this uncertain climate, prioritise caution over short-term gains. Focus on building reserves, reducing debt, and diversifying your portfolio. Remember, cash is king during market downturns.
2. Agility over Rigidity:Be prepared to pivot quickly. Reassess your business model, identify new opportunities, and be ready to adapt to changing market dynamics. This could involve embracing digital transformation, exploring new markets, or even restructuring your operations.
3. Innovation over Imitation:Don’t wait for the tide to turn, swim against it. Invest in innovation, develop new products and services that address pressing societal needs, and stay ahead of the curve. This is the time to disrupt, not follow suit.
4. Collaboration over Competition: The coming storm requires unity, not rivalry. Collaborate with other businesses, share resources, and build robust supply chains. Remember, rising tides lift all boats, and when one ship sinks, the entire fleet can be endangered.
5. Responsibility over Recklessness: As leaders, we have a responsibility not just to our shareholders, but to our employees, communities, and the planet. Embrace sustainable practices, promote ethical business practices, and prioritise long-term value creation over short-term gain.
Ultimately, whether we emerge from this bubble unscathed or witness a painful burst depends on our collective actions. Business leaders, we have the power to be anchors in this storm, steering our companies, and by extension, the global economy, towards a safe harbour. Let’s choose prudence over panic, agility over rigidity, and collaboration over competition. Let’s build businesses that not only survive but thrive in the volatile ocean of speculation. Remember, it’s not about predicting the storm, it’s about weathering it with resilience and responsibility. Together, we can ensure that 2024 is not the year of a crash, but a year of controlled descent, leading to a stronger, more sustainable future for all.
This is not just an economic imperative, it’s a moral one. Let’s navigate this sea of speculation with courage, foresight, and a shared commitment to the well-being of our businesses, our communities, and our planet.
Stop Predicting Mishaps and Build a Fortress: Managing Resilience in Uncertain Times
The world outside your boardroom window is a tempestuous ocean. Unforeseen tides roll in, stormy winds whip up, and unpredictable leaders steer their own vessels with varying degrees of… competence. As business leaders, we’re tempted to focus on these external fluctuations, squinting into the distance, trying to divine the next political misfire, economic tremour, or environmental upheaval. We spend countless hours crafting intricate contingency plans for every conceivable dystopian scenario – all while neglecting the most critical factor in our control: building a resilient business.
Instead of exhausting ourselves predicting the machinations of our “great leaders,” let’s shift our gaze inward. Let’s focus on what we can control: fortifying our own organisations. Let’s become architects of resilience, crafting businesses that thrive amidst chaos, bounce back from adversity, and emerge stronger from the stormiest seas.
Redefining Resilience: Beyond Crisis Planning
Resilience isn’t just about weathering a crisis. It’s about adapting, evolving, and even profiting from unexpected challenges. It’s about building an organisation that doesn’t merely survive the punches, but thrives on the throws. To achieve this, we need to move beyond reactive crisis planning and embrace a proactive, holistic approach to resilience.
The Pillars of a Resilient Business:
Foundational Stability: A resilient business starts with a rock-solid foundation. This means solid financial management, robust infrastructure, and a clear understanding of your core competencies and value proposition. Ensure your financial house is in order, with diversified revenue streams and adequate reserves to weather unexpected downturns. Invest in critical infrastructure, from IT systems to supply chains, ensuring redundancy and adaptability. Know your strengths and weaknesses inside-out, and focus on what you do best – outsourcing non-core functions to agile partners.
Agile & Adaptive Culture: Rigid organisations crumble under pressure. Cultivate a culture of agility and adaptability where employees are empowered to make decisions, take risks, and experiment. Encourage open communication, cross-functional collaboration, and continuous learning. Embrace diverse perspectives and foster a “fail fast, learn fast” mentality. Bureaucracy breeds stagnation; agility nurtures resilience.
Innovation Engine:Disruption is the new normal. Stay ahead of the curve by fostering a culture of innovation. Invest in research and development, encourage creative problem-solving, and reward out-of-the-box thinking. Be open to new technologies, business models, and market opportunities. Turn uncertainty into an opportunity to innovate and differentiate yourself from the competition.
Risk Management Mindset: While we shouldn’t obsess over predicting specific external events, a proactive risk management framework is crucial. Identify potential threats, assess their likelihood and impact, and develop mitigation strategies. Regularly review and update your risk assessments, and ensure effective communication and training around risk management protocols. Be prepared, but don’t get paralysed by fear of the unknown.
Stakeholder Trust & Engagement: Trust is the mortar that binds an organisation together. Cultivate strong relationships with employees, customers, suppliers, and other stakeholders. Be transparent in your communication, proactive in addressing concerns, and responsive to their needs. A network of trust enables your organization to weather storms together, with everyone aligned towards a common goal.
Driving Business Goals With Resilience as Your Fuel:
Building resilience isn’t about neglecting your objectives. It’s about ensuring you achieve them despite, and even because of, external turbulence. A resilient business is a proactive business, one that anticipates change and turns it to its advantage. By focusing on internal strengths and adaptability, you position yourself to seize opportunities amidst disruption, navigate uncharted waters, and emerge as a leader in the new landscape.
Remember, the next leader’s blunder, economic downturn, or natural disaster is inevitable. Stop squinting into the fog and get to work building your ark. Invest in internal strength, agility, and innovation. Forge a culture of resilience, and watch your business weather any storm while achieving its intended destination. By focusing on what you can control, you turn uncertainty into opportunity and become the captain of your own destiny, no matter who’s steering the world around you.
Fools gold or once in a lifetime opportunity in 2024?
The Crystal Ball of Crypto: Predicting Spot ETF Acceptability and Market Impact in 2024
The nascent world of cryptocurrencies has been on a rollercoaster ride, its trajectory heavily influenced by regulatory decisions, particularly when it comes to Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Spot ETFs, tracking the underlying price of a crypto asset directly, promise to unlock unprecedented mainstream access and potential legitimisation for this new asset class. With multiple applications currently under review in various countries, the question remains: Where will these applications land? And what does it mean for cryptocurrency valuations in 2024? Predicting the future is always precarious, but by analysing current trends, regulatory landscapes, and industry sentiment, we can paint a picture of potential scenarios.
The Global Regulatory Landscape: Shades of Gray across Borders
The regulatory landscape for crypto assets, and Spot ETFs by extension, remains fragmented and diverse. Different countries approach the issue with varying degrees of receptiveness and caution. Let’s take a peek into some key regions:
North America: The US, the world’s largest financial market, has been notoriously hesitant. Despite numerous applications, the SEC hasn’t approved any Spot ETFs yet, citing concerns over market manipulation and investor protection. However, recent developments like BlackRock’s application and a court favouring Grayscale’s case signal a potential shift towards approval in 2024. Canada, on the other hand, has already approved several Spot ETFs, setting a precedent for the region.
Europe:Europe has taken a more pragmatic approach, with Germany approving its first Spot ETF in 2021. Several other European countries are actively considering applications, with Switzerland and France potentially following suit in 2024. However, stricter regulatory frameworks like MiCA could impose additional hurdles.
Asia: The picture in Asia is complex. Hong Kong, known for its financial openness, recently broke new ground by approving its first Spot ETF, the CSOP Bitcoin Futures ETF. This marks a significant departure from the stance of mainland China, which has banned individual crypto trading entirely. Meanwhile, Japan, after initial apprehension, has recently approved a Bitcoin futures ETF, potentially paving the way for further developments.
Predicting the Domino Effect: Acceptance Scenarios and their Impact
Based on these regional variations, let’s consider three potential scenarios for Spot ETF acceptance by the end of 2024:
Scenario 1: The Dam Breaks Open
A wave of approvals sweeps across major markets like the US, Canada, and several European countries. This scenario, fueled by growing institutional interest and industry pressure, could trigger a surge in demand for crypto assets, driving up valuations significantly. Increased liquidity and accessibility could attract new investors, further amplifying the bull run. This scenario, however, also carries risks, as rapid price climbs could be followed by sharp corrections if regulatory crackdowns or technological limitations arise.
Scenario 2: A Measured Waltz
Acceptance occurs but at a controlled pace. Regulators take time to carefully vet applications, prioritising robust safeguards and investor protection. This scenario would result in a gradual rise in valuations without the intense volatility of Scenario 1. New investors would enter cautiously, ensuring a more sustainable growth trajectory. However, this also means the full potential of Spot ETFs would be realised over a longer timeframe.
Scenario 3: The Cold Shoulder
Regulatory hurdles persist, with major markets like the US remaining hesitant. This scenario would keep the crypto market confined to its current niche, hindering mainstream adoption and limiting valuation growth. However, it could also foster further innovation within the crypto ecosystem, driving development towards greater decentralisation and security.
Beyond the Crystal Ball: The Unknowns and Opportunities
Predicting the future of crypto valuations is an intricate dance with numerous variables. Even the most robust analysis must acknowledge the presence of unforeseen black swans: unforeseen regulatory shifts, technological breakthroughs, or major market events. However, regardless of the specific scenario that unfolds, Spot ETFs are destined to be a game-changer for the crypto landscape. Increased institutional involvement, improved access, and potential regulatory legitimacy will undoubtedly have a profound impact on valuations, shaping the trajectory of this emerging asset class in 2024 and beyond.
As investors navigate this new frontier, it’s crucial to stay informed, manage risks responsibly, and remain adaptable to the ever-evolving nature of the cryptoverse. The crystal ball may be blurry, but the potential of Spot ETFs shines brightly, illuminating a future where mainstream adoption and institutional acceptance could propel cryptocurrencies into the heart of the global financial system.
On December 19th, 2023, FedEx, the global logistics leviathan, delivered a bombshell. Their preliminary earnings report painted a grim picture, missing analyst expectations and prompting an ominous pronouncement from CEO Raj Subramaniam: “We see a global recession coming.” With FedEx serving as a crucial artery for international trade, its tremors sent shockwaves through the business world, sparking concerns about the trajectory of the global economy. For business leaders, the message is clear: pay heed, for FedEx’s woes are a stark canary in the coal mine, signalling potential turbulence ahead.
FedEx: A bellwether in a storm
FedEx occupies a unique position in the economic ecosystem. Its vast network, spanning over 220 countries and territories, transports 4.7 billion parcels annually, serving as a barometer of global trade activity. When businesses and consumers are flourishing, so does FedEx. Conversely, when economic headwinds blow, the first chill is often felt within its corridors. This symbiotic relationship is precisely why FedEx is considered a bellwether – an early indicator of economic health.
A Perfect Storm of Gloom:
The reasons behind FedEx’s current predicament are multi-faceted, forming a perfect storm of economic anxieties.
Global Economic Slowdown: The world is experiencing a synchronised slowdown, with major economies like the US, Europe, and China grappling with inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions. This dampens consumer spending and business investment, directly impacting the volume of goods shipped and,consequently, FedEx’s bottom line.
E-commerce Plateau: The explosive growth of e-commerce, a major driver of package volume for FedEx, appears to be reaching a plateau. Consumers are tightening their belts, opting for essential purchases over online splurges. This shift weakens the e-commerce engine that had been propelling FedEx in recent years.
Operational Misfires: Beyond external factors, FedEx has faced internal challenges. Labour shortages, network disruptions, and integration hiccups within its TNT acquisition have hampered efficiency and added to costs. These internal missteps exacerbate the impact of external headwinds.
The Ripple Effect:
The tremours of FedEx’s struggles extend far beyond the company itself. As a bellwether, its woes signal potential trouble for various stakeholders:
Businesses: A global recession would translate to reduced demand, disrupted supply chains, and tighter credit conditions. This can lead to lower profits, stalled investments, and layoffs, impacting businesses of all sizes across industries.
Investors: The stock market’s reaction to FedEx’s report is indicative of broader anxieties. A sustained economic downturn could trigger further market volatility, eroding investor confidence and hindering capital flows.
Consumers: A recession typically results in job losses, wage stagnation,and reduced disposable income. This translates to less spending and increased economic anxiety for consumers, further dampening economic activity.
A Call to Action for Business Leaders:
FedEx’s struggles serve as a stark warning for business leaders across the globe. It is not a time for complacency, but for prudent preparation and proactive adaptation. Here are some key actions to consider:
Scenario Planning: Develop contingency plans for various economic scenarios, including a potential recession. This way, businesses can adjust strategies, optimise cost structures, and weather potential storms.
Focus on Efficiency: Identify and eliminate operational inefficiencies. Streamline processes, optimise supply chains, and leverage technology to reduce costs and improve resilience.
Prioritise Agility: Embrace a culture of flexibility and adaptability. Be ready to pivot strategies, adjust product offerings, and shift focus to meet changing market conditions.
Invest in Innovation: Seek innovative solutions to enhance customer experience, improve product offerings, and gain a competitive edge in a challenging market.
Foster Collaboration: Build strong relationships with partners, suppliers, and customers. Open communication and collaboration can help navigate tough times and identify shared solutions.
In conclusion, FedEx’s current woes are not an isolated phenomenon. They are a reflection of broader economic anxieties that should serve as a wake-up call for business leaders worldwide. By acknowledging the headwinds, preparing for potential turbulence, and implementing proactive strategies, businesses can navigate the uncertain waters ahead and emerge stronger on the other side. The time for action is now, and the canary’s song should not be ignored. By taking heed and adapting, businesses can not only weather the storm brewing on the horizon but also emerge into calmer waters, ready to thrive in the post-recessionary landscape.
Once again central banks in USA, EU and UK have been too slow to react and when they do they’ll be too late and overreact perpetuating our economic boom bust cycle
The Looming Storm: Declining Inflation, Rising Recession Risk in 2024
While headlines tout slowing inflation in the US, EU, and UK, a shadow lurks beneath the surface. Contrary to popular belief, this seemingly positive development may in fact be a harbinger of imminent recession in 2024. Understanding why requires peeling back the layers of economic realities and acknowledging the nuanced interplay between inflation, monetary policy, and economic behaviour.
From Scorching to Smoldering: The Inflation Slowdown Narrative
Over the past year, inflationary flames have licked across global economies, driven by pandemic-induced supply chain disruptions, soaring energy prices, and fiscal stimulus packages. Central banks, armed with the blunt instrument of interest rate hikes, sought to tamp down the heat. And indeed, recent data reflects a cooling trend. US inflation has dipped from a peak of 9.1% in June 2023, with similar softening observed in the EU and UK.
This downward trajectory has fueled a wave of optimism. Policymakers and pundits alike herald the successful execution of monetary tightening, envisioning a soft landing for the global economy. Some even predict inflation returning to target levels within the year.
Beneath the Surface: The Cracks in the Facade
However, this rosy outlook rests on shaky ground. The disinflationary trend, while seemingly positive, can also be a potent predictor of impending recession. Let’s explore the three key reasons why:
1. Demand Destruction, Not Harmony: Declining inflation is often achieved through demand destruction. Rising interest rates make borrowing more expensive, impacting both businesses and consumers. Business investment slows, hiring freezes become commonplace, and consumer spending weakens as disposable income shrinks. This domino effect ultimately saps economic activity, paving the way for recession.
2. The Lag Effect’s Looming Bite: Monetary policy operates with a time lag. Today’s interest rate hikes primarily impact economic activity months down the line. This means the full force of recent tightening may not be felt until 2024, potentially triggering a sudden and sharp economic downturn just as policymakers believe they’ve tamed the inflation beast.
3. Stagflationary Spectre : The disinflationary process carries the risk of morphing into stagflation, a nightmare scenario characterised by stagnant economic growth and persistent, albeit lower, inflation. This arises when businesses, burdened by higher input costs, maintain price hikes even as demand weakens. Such a scenario would severely constrain central banks’ ability to respond, trapping the economy in a quagmire.
A Perfect Storm Brewing in 2024:
Considering these factors, 2024 appears primed for a perfect economic storm. The lagged effects of aggressive interest rate hikes are likely to coincide with continued geopolitical uncertainties, energy price volatility, and ongoing supply chain disruptions. This potent cocktail could push vulnerable economies over the edge, plunging them into recession despite disinflationary trends.
Evidence Mounts, The Case Strengthens:
Empirical evidence further substantiates this gloomy outlook. Leading economic indicators, such as the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and consumer confidence surveys, are already flashing red. Business investment has plateaued, and layoffs are increasing across various sectors. Additionally, inverted yield curves, historically reliable recession predictors, have emerged in all three economies, signaling heightened investor anxiety about future economic prospects.
A Call to Action: Navigating the Coming Storm
The potential for a 2024 recession demands immediate and proactive action. Policymakers must adopt a nuanced approach, acknowledging the dual threat of inflation and recession. Continued, albeit calibrated, interest rate hikes may still be necessary to tame inflation, but fiscal measures aimed at supporting vulnerable populations and stimulating aggregate demand become crucial (boom to bust ie bailing out financial system again. Open communication with the public, emphasising transparent risk assessment and contingency plans, is also essential to maintain confidence and mitigate potential financial panic.
Individuals and businesses, too, must brace themselves for turbulent times. Building robust financial buffers, diversifying investments, and exercising prudence in spending decisions are key to weathering the storm.
Conclusion: The Coming Recession – Not a Certainty, But a Clear and Present Danger
While declining inflation may initially appear as a victory, it can mask a deeper malaise. In the context of current economic vulnerabilities and aggressive monetary tightening, the disinflationary trend in the US, EU, and UK presents a significant risk of recession in 2024. Ignoring this risk would be akin to celebrating a pyre’s dimming flames while neglecting the smoldering embers beneath. By acknowledging the impending danger and taking decisive action, policymakers and individuals alike can navigate the coming storm and emerge stronger on the other side.
Bricks and mortar last a long time but the work from home solution is a lasting problem for commercial property owners and the wider financial system stability
A Ticking Time Bomb: Risks of Renewing Commercial Property Loans in 2024
The American financial system stands on the precipice of a potential tremor in 2024. Not from earthquakes or stock market crashes, but from the quiet ticking of a time bomb: a vast swathe of commercial property loans approaching their renewal date. Over $1.5 trillion worth of these loans will mature next year, and the uncertain economic climate has cast a long shadow over their renegotiation, potentially triggering a series of cascading risks for the financial system.
A Perfect Storm of Uncertainties:
Several factors converge to create this precarious situation:
Shifting Market Dynamics: The pandemic’s impact on commercial real estate lingers. Office vacancy rates remain high, retail struggles to adapt to online shopping, and hospitality faces a new normal. These challenges erode property values, impacting the collateral backing these loans.
Rising Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve’s ongoing fight against inflation has driven interest rates upward. This significantly affects borrower affordability, putting pressure on them to repay or renegotiate at significantly higher interest rates, potentially pushing some into default.
Geopolitical Turbulence: The war in Ukraine and global supply chain disruptions add further pressure to the economic landscape. Higher energy costs and material shortages impact construction and operation costs,affecting tenants and ultimately, loan viability.
Regulatory Environment: Evolving regulatory guidelines around climate change and building standards could necessitate costly retrofits for older buildings, adding another layer of financial strain on borrowers and lenders alike.
The Cascade of Potential Risks:
If a significant portion of these loans experience distress or default, the consequences could ripple through the financial system:
Bank Stability: Banks heavily invested in commercial real estate loans could face significant losses, impacting their capital adequacy and lending capacity. This could lead to tighter credit conditions for businesses and individuals alike, hampering economic growth.
Investor Confidence: Weakening commercial real estate values could trigger a chain reaction, impacting other asset classes like real estate investment trusts (REITs) and mortgage-backed securities. This could lead to capital flight and market volatility.
Domino Effect: Defaults and distress in the commercial real estate market could have ripple effects on other sectors, particularly construction, hospitality, and retail, potentially leading to job losses and a broader economic slowdown.
385 American banks, most of them smaller, regional ones facing bankruptcy in 2024 due to bad commercial real estate loans up for renewal, according to a new report by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Lower property values, increased interest rates, and declining office demand could lead more firms to default on their loans and fear of banking collapse will cause people to withdraw deposited money accelerating bank bankruptcies in USA.
Mitigating the Risks: Navigating the Labyrinth:
Avoiding these worst-case scenarios requires proactive measures from various stakeholders:
Loan Modifications: Lenders and borrowers need to work collaboratively to restructure existing loans, potentially extending terms or adjusting interest rates to reflect current market realities. Open communication and flexible solutions are crucial.
Government Intervention: Policymakers could consider targeted interventions like tax breaks or loan guarantee programs to incentivise investment and stabilise the sector. Measures to address affordability concerns in housing markets could also indirectly support commercial real estate by boosting tenant demand.
Industry Adaptation: The commercial real estate industry itself needs to embrace innovation and adaptability. Exploring alternative uses for struggling properties, embracing hybrid work models in office spaces, and fostering sustainable energy solutions can enhance viability and attract new tenants.
Diversification Strategies: Lenders need to diversify their loan portfolios to minimize exposure to any single sector. This could involve increasing their focus on sectors less vulnerable to economic downturns, like healthcare or infrastructure.
A Call for Vigilance and Collaboration:
The year 2024 looms large as a potential flashpoint for the American financial system. The fate of these maturing commercial property loans hangs in the balance, with their renegotiation holding the key to stability or potential turmoil. Vigilance, open communication, and proactive measures from lenders, borrowers, policymakers, and the industry as a whole are crucial to navigate this challenge and mitigate the risks. Ignoring the ticking time bomb will only amplify its potential explosion. By understanding the complexities of the situation and working together, we can chart a course towards a smooth renegotiation and a resilient financial future for America and beyond.
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Trying to take wokeness out of key business risk management threats and opportunities
Can Economic Migrants Be the Recessionary Storm’s Lifeline? A 2024 Outlook for UK and USA
As storm clouds gather on the economic horizon, recessionary whispers turn into anxious roars in both the UK and the USA. In this tumultuous climate, a fascinating question emerges: Could economic migrants potentially act as a life raft, mitigating the damage of a potential recession in 2024?
As an expert economic analyst ( Keith Lewis ), I delve into this intricate issue, dissecting the potential role of economic migration in weathering the coming economic storm in these two major economies.
Buoying the Economy in Rough Seas:
Several arguments propose that economic migrants can serve as a buffer against recessionary forces:
Labour force resilience: With skilled and willing newcomers filling critical labour gaps, particularly in sectors facing shortages, economic migrants can bolster productivity and output. This can stabilise the economy and counteract downward trends, as evidenced by the contribution of migrant workers to sectors like UK healthcare and US agriculture.
Demand lifeline: By injecting fresh purchasing power into the economy, migrants can stimulate businesses and create jobs. This can boost aggregate demand, a crucial driver of economic recovery, as research by the OECD suggests with increased migration boosting GDP growth in several European countries.
Innovation anchor: Migrants often bring a wealth of entrepreneurial spirit and skills, driving business creation and innovation. This can foster economic growth and generate employment opportunities, potentially alleviating recessionary pressures, as demonstrated by the significant role of immigrants in US startup ecosystems.
Fiscal stability: As migrant workers contribute through income taxes and payroll deductions, they can bolster government revenue streams. This can provide crucial budgetary resources for social programs and infrastructure investments, helping governments navigate and mitigate the impact of a recession, as analyses in the UK suggest regarding the positive fiscal contribution of immigration.
However, navigating these turbulent waters necessitates caution:
Wage suppression: An influx of migrant workers can put downward pressure on wages,particularly for low-skilled jobs.This can dampen consumer spending and exacerbate inequalities, hindering overall economic growth, as studies in the US have shown in specific sectors.
Social tensions: Large-scale migration can strain social services and resources, potentially leading to public anxieties and fueling xenophobia.This can make it politically challenging to maintain open borders, even with potential economic benefits, as witnessed in the current political climates of both the UK and the USA.
Integration hurdles: Successful integration of migrants into the workforce and society is crucial for maximising their economic contribution. Language barriers, cultural differences, and lack of recognition of foreign qualifications can hinder integration, limiting the positive economic impact of migration. Robust policies promoting skill recognition and language training are essential to overcome these hurdles.
Navigating the Choppy Waters of 2024:
Assessing the evidence requires acknowledging the complexities of this issue. Studies on the direct link between economic migration and recessionary tendencies remain inconclusive, with varying results depending on factors like the skillsets of migrants, existing labour market conditions, and government policies. A tailored approach, considering specific national contexts, is crucial.
Charting the Course in 2024 and Beyond:
To leverage the potential benefits of economic migration while mitigating potential drawbacks in 2024 and beyond, both the UK and the USA can consider the following:
Skill-based migration strategies: Prioritising the entry of migrants with skills in high demand to address labour shortages and boost productivity, ensuring a win-win for both businesses and the economy.
Effective integration programs: Investing in language training, skills recognition, and cultural orientation programs can facilitate smooth integration, maximising the positive economic contribution of migrants and fostering social cohesion.
Robust social safety nets: Ensuring adequate social services and resources for both native and migrant populations can mitigate potential tensions and prevent economic hardship during a recession.
While economic migrants cannot entirely prevent a recession, they can potentially play a crucial role in minimising its impact and expediting economic recovery. However, it is essential to acknowledge the complexities and potential challenges associated with migration. Openness to talent, coupled with responsible management, integration efforts, and data-driven policymaking, can harness the potential of economic migration to navigate the choppy waters of 2024 and build resilient economies for the future. Remember, weathering economic storms requires a balanced approach, embracing the potential of diverse resources while ensuring responsible and inclusive practices.
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The Looming Shadow: Navigating the Labyrinth of Geopolitical Risks in 2024
The world in 2023 stands at a crossroads. As the shadow of a global pandemic recedes, new anxieties grip the international landscape. Tensions simmer in familiar hotspots, while emerging threats whisper on the horizon. In this labyrinth of uncertainties, one question burns bright: what will be the greatest geopolitical risk in 2024?
Predicting the future is a fool’s errand, but anticipating and preparing for potential storms is the essence of responsible leadership. While pinpointing a singular “greatest” risk might be an oversimplification, we can examine four contenders each capable of casting a long, disruptive shadow in 2024:
1. The Dragon and the Tiger: Escalating Tensions in the Taiwan Strait:
The Taiwan Strait, a narrow waterway separating mainland China and the self-governing island of Taiwan, has long been a tinderbox of geopolitical tension. China, viewing Taiwan as a breakaway province, refuses to renounce the use of force in achieving reunification. Taiwan, on the other hand, maintains robust democratic institutions and enjoys strong international support, particularly from the United States.
In 2024, several factors could elevate the risk of confrontation in the Taiwan Strait:
Increased Chinese military assertiveness: Beijing’s recent actions, like frequent incursions into Taiwanese airspace and military drills simulating island invasion, signal a growing determination to assert its dominance.
Taiwan’s presidential elections: Scheduled for January 2024, the elections could see the victory of a pro-independence candidate, further inflaming Chinese grievances.
Miscalculations and accidents: Unforeseen incidents, either military mishaps or deliberate provocations, could spiral into an unintended conflict with devastating consequences.
The potential ramifications of a Taiwan Strait conflict are immense. A full-scale war could trigger a massive humanitarian crisis, disrupt global supply chains, and plunge the world into a new era of Cold War-esque tensions.
2. The Ukrainian Quagmire: War’s Long Shadow and Spillover Risks:
The ongoing war in Ukraine continues to cast a long, dark shadow over Europe and the global order. Even if a resolution were reached in 2024, the war’s legacy will extend far beyond the battlefield. Here are some potential avenues for risk:
Protracted conflict and instability: Even a ceasefire wouldn’t guarantee lasting peace. A simmering conflict in Ukraine could destabilise the region, create a humanitarian crisis, and strain international relations.
Spillover effects into neighbouring countries: The war could trigger unrest or refugee crises in bordering nations like Moldova, Belarus, and the Baltic states.
Weapons proliferation and escalation: The possibility of Russia or Ukraine resorting to unconventional weapons or dragging other powers into the conflict cannot be entirely discounted.
The war in Ukraine has already disrupted the global food and energy markets, impacting economies worldwide. A further escalation could exacerbate these vulnerabilities, leading to economic hardship and political instability in vulnerable regions.
3. Iran’s Nuclear Tightrope: Unveiling the Bomb or Stepping Back from the Brink?
Iran’s nuclear programme remains a contentious issue, raising concerns about its potential for weapons development and regional instability. In 2024, the trajectory of Iran’s nuclear ambitions could significantly impact the geopolitical landscape:
Collapse of the JCPOA: The 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, which aimed to curb Iran’s nuclear programme in exchange for sanctions relief, currently hangs by a thread. Its collapse could pave the way for Iran to accelerate its nuclear activities,raising the specter of a military strike from Israel or the United States.
Internal political dynamics: The political climate in Iran could influence its approach to the nuclear issue. Hardliners gaining ascendancy could increase the risk of confrontation, while moderates gaining ground could offer an opportunity for renewed diplomacy.
Regional proxy conflicts: Iran’s support for Shia militias across the Middle East could exacerbate existing tensions and potentially trigger wider regional conflicts.
A nuclear-armed Iran could reshape the Middle East power dynamics, posing a significant threat to Israel and its allies. It could also trigger a nuclear arms race in the region, further destabilising an already volatile part of the world.
4. Climate Change and the Looming Resource Wars:
While traditionally considered a non-traditional security threat, climate change is increasingly recognised as a potential driver of geopolitical instability. In 2024, its impact could become more pronounced through:
Resource scarcity and competition: Water scarcity, food insecurity, and energy shortages driven by climate change could exacerbate existing resource competition, potentially leading to conflicts over crucial resources.
Mass migration and displacement: Climate-induced migration could strain social and political systems in receiving countries, potentially triggering unrest and xenophobia.
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In this article, we will explore the top 10 supply chain management trends that are expected to shape the industry in 2024 and beyond. These trends encompass technological advancements, strategic approaches, and evolving consumer demands that will redefine the way supply chains operate.
1. Digital Supply Chain As the Backbone of Resilience
The digital supply chain has emerged as the overarching trend driving supply chain transformation. It encompasses the integration of digital technologies, such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and big data analytics, to streamline operations, enhance visibility, and optimise decision-making.
Organisations are moving away from traditional paper-based processes and siloed systems towards a connected and data-driven supply chain ecosystem. This digital transformation is enabling businesses to gain real-time insights into their operations, predict disruptions, and respond proactively to changing market conditions.
2. Big Data and Analytics Driving Insights-Driven Decisions
Big data and analytics are playing a crucial role in extracting valuable insights from the vast amounts of data generated across the supply chain. Organisations are leveraging data analytics to identify patterns, optimise inventory management, improve demand forecasting, and enhance customer service.
Artificial intelligence (AI) is transforming supply chain operations by automating tasks, enhancing decision-making, and enabling predictive insights. AI applications are being used to automate repetitive tasks, such as data entry and order processing, freeing up human workers to focus on more strategic initiatives.
AI is also being used to optimise warehouse operations, manage transportation routes, and personalise customer experiences. AI-powered forecasting models are improving demand prediction accuracy, reducing inventory costs, and ensuring product availability.
4. Supply Chain Investments: Balancing Systems and Talent
Investment in supply chain systems and talent is essential for building a resilient and adaptable supply chain. Organisations are investing in modern supply chain management software, cloud-based platforms, and data analytics tools to enhance their technological capabilities.
Alongside these technological investments, organisations are also prioritising the development of their supply chain workforce. This includes providing training on digital technologies, fostering a culture of data-driven decision-making, and attracting and retaining top talent.
5. End-to-End Visibility, Traceability, and Location Intelligence
End-to-end visibility, traceability, and location intelligence are becoming increasingly important for supply chain transparency and risk management. Organisations are implementing technologies such as RFID tags, sensors, and IoT devices to track goods throughout the supply chain, from origin to delivery.
This real-time visibility enables businesses to monitor product quality, identify potential disruptions, and proactively address issues. It also enhances customer satisfaction by providing real-time tracking information and delivery updates.
6. Disruption and Risk Management: Embracing Agility and Resilience
Supply chains are facing an increasing number of disruptions, from natural disasters and geopolitical conflicts to technological advancements and changing consumer demands. Organisations are shifting their focus from traditional disaster recovery plans to proactive risk management strategies.
Building a resilient supply chain involves identifying potential risks, assessing their impact, and implementing mitigation strategies. It also requires the ability to adapt quickly to changing circumstances and respond to disruptions in a timely and effective manner.
7. Agility and Resilience: Adapting to Changing Demands
Consumer expectations are constantly evolving, and organisations must adapt their supply chains to meet these demands. Customers are demanding faster delivery times, more personalised products, and greater transparency.
Supply chains need to be agile enough to respond to these changing demands, quickly introduce new products, and personalise customer experiences. This requires a flexible and adaptable supply chain infrastructure that can accommodate rapid changes.
Supply chains are increasingly becoming targets for cyberattacks, as they represent a critical component of global commerce. Organisations are prioritising cybersecurity measures to protect their supply chain assets and prevent disruptions caused by cyberattacks.
Cybersecurity strategies include implementing robust access controls, educating employees on cybersecurity risks, and regularly monitoring supply chain systems for potential threats.
9. Green and Circular Supply Chains: A Sustainable Future
Green supply chains are focusing on resource efficiency.
10. Supply Chain as a Service (SCaaS): A Strategic Lever for Flexibility
Supply Chain as a Service (SCaaS) is emerging as a strategic lever for organisations seeking flexibility and efficiency in their supply chain operations. SCAaS involves outsourcing non-core supply chain functions to specialised providers, allowing organisations to focus on their core competencies.
SCaaS providers offer a range of services, including logistics, transportation, warehousing, and inventory management. This allows organisations to access expertise and resources without the burden of managing these functions in-house.
Conclusion
The supply chain landscape is undergoing a period of rapid transformation driven by technological advancements, evolving consumer demands, and the need for resilience. Organisations that embrace digitalisation, automation, and emerging technologies will be well-positioned to navigate the challenges and opportunities of the future.
The top 10 supply chain management trends on the horizon in 2024 highlight the critical role of technology, data, and strategic partnerships in building resilient and adaptable supply chains. By embracing these trends, organisations can optimise their operations, enhance customer satisfaction, and achieve sustainable growth.
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Navigating the Looming Storm: A Guide for Businesses in the Face of Rising Debt and Global Economic Uncertainty
The global economy is facing a confluence of challenges, including rising sovereign, commercial, and personal debt levels, coupled with the looming threat of a global recession in 2024. These interconnected issues pose a significant threat to businesses of all sizes, potentially leading to financial instability, reduced consumer spending, and disruptions in supply chains.
The Rising Debt Crisis: A Cause for Concern
Sovereign debt, the debt owed by governments, has reached unprecedented levels worldwide. According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), global sovereign debt reached a staggering 238% of global GDP in 2022. This excessive debt burden has raised concerns about countries’ ability to repay their obligations, potentially triggering sovereign debt crises and economic turmoil.
Commercial debt, the debt owed by businesses, has also been on an upward trend, driven by factors such as easy access to credit and expansionary monetary policies. While moderate levels of debt can be a useful tool for financing growth, excessive debt can strain a company’s finances and increase its vulnerability to economic downturns.
Personal debt, the debt owed by individuals, has also reached record highs in many countries. This is partly due to factors such as rising student loan balances, increasing healthcare costs, and the expansion of consumer credit. High levels of personal debt can reduce household spending power, further dampening economic growth.
The Looming Recession: A Threat to Business Stability
Economists are increasingly concerned about the possibility of a global recession in 2024. This recession could be triggered by a number of factors, including rising interest rates, a slowdown in economic growth in major economies, and geopolitical tensions.
A recession would have significant implications for businesses, leading to reduced demand for goods and services, job losses, and increased financial distress. Businesses that are overly reliant on debt may find themselves struggling to service their obligations and could even face bankruptcy.
Preparing for the Storm: Protecting Your Business
In the face of these challenges, business leaders need to take proactive steps to protect their companies and ensure their resilience in the face of economic uncertainty. Here are some key strategies to consider:
Strengthen your balance sheet: Reduce debt levels, build up cash reserves, and improve your liquidity position. This will make your company more resilient to economic shocks and give you more flexibility in the event of a downturn.
Diversify your customer base: Don’t become overly reliant on any single customer or industry. Expand your market reach and develop new customer relationships to reduce your vulnerability to sector-specific downturns.
Focus on cost efficiency: Identify areas where you can reduce costs without compromising quality or customer service. This could involve streamlining operations, renegotiating contracts with suppliers, and adopting new technologies.
Enhance your supply chain resilience: Develop contingency plans to deal with disruptions in your supply chain. This could involve sourcing materials from multiple suppliers, diversifying transportation routes, and investing in inventory management systems.
Communicate effectively with stakeholders: Keep your employees, customers, and investors informed about your company’s plans and strategies. Transparency and open communication can build trust and confidence in your company during challenging times.
The rising debt crisis and the looming global recession pose significant challenges for businesses. However, by taking proactive steps
to strengthen their balance sheets, diversify their customer base, focus on cost efficiency, enhance supply chain resilience, and communicate effectively, businesses can increase their resilience and position themselves for success in the years to come.
Why the UK Cannot Complete Major Infrastructure Projects on Time and Within Budget
The UK has a long history of struggling to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This has led to a number of high-profile delays and cost overruns, as well as a growing public frustration with the way in which infrastructure projects are managed.
There are a number of factors that contribute to the UK’s poor record on infrastructure delivery. These include:
A lack of long-term planning and strategic thinking. The UK government has often been accused of adopting a short-term approach to infrastructure planning, which has led to a lack of consistency and continuity.This has made it difficult to develop a long-term pipeline of projects that can be delivered efficiently.
A complex and fragmented procurement process. The UK’s procurement process is often complex and time-consuming,which can lead to delays and cost overruns. This is partly due to the fact that there is a lack of standardisation and consistency across different government departments and agencies.
A lack of expertise in managing large infrastructure projects. There is a shortage of skilled project managers in the UK, which can make it difficult to find the right people to lead and manage complex projects. This is compounded by the fact that many project managers in the UK are not properly trained or experienced.
A lack of political will to make tough decisions. The UK government has often been unwilling to make the tough decisions that are necessary to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This is partly due to a fear of political backlash, but it is also due to a lack of understanding of the importance of infrastructure investment.
These factors have all contributed to a culture of risk aversion within the UK’s infrastructure industry. This has led to a focus on minimising risks rather than maximising value for money. As a result, projects are often over-engineered and over-specified, which leads to delays and cost overruns.
How to improve the UK’s record on infrastructure delivery
There are a number of things that the UK government can do to improve its record on infrastructure delivery. These include:
Develop a long-term infrastructure plan. The UK government needs to develop a long-term infrastructure plan that sets out the country’s infrastructure needs for the next 20 to 30 years. This plan should be based on a clear understanding of the country’s economic and social needs, and it should be regularly reviewed and updated.
Streamline the procurement process. The UK government needs to streamline the procurement process to make it more efficient and transparent.This could be done by standardising procurement procedures across different government departments and agencies, and by making more use of technology.
Invest in training and skills development. The UK government needs to invest in training and skills development to ensure that there is a sufficient supply of skilled project managers. This could be done by supporting professional development programs and by providing funding for apprenticeships and other training initiatives.
Make tough decisions. The UK government needs to be willing to make the tough decisions that are necessary to deliver major infrastructure projects on time and within budget. This includes making decisions about project scope, risks, and procurement.
Focus on value for money. The UK government needs to focus on value for money when delivering infrastructure projects. This means ensuring that projects are delivered to the highest possible standard, while also ensuring that they are delivered on time and within budget.
Improve project management practices. The UK government needs to improve project management practices across the public sector. This could be done by providing training and support to project managers, and by developing and implementing project management standards.
Increase investment in infrastructure. The UK government needs to increase investment in infrastructure. This will help to address the country’s infrastructure deficit and create jobs.
Publicly disclose project details. The UK government needs to publicly disclose all project details, including costs, risks, and timelines. This will help to improve transparency and accountability.
Appoint a dedicated infrastructure minister. The UK government needs to appoint a dedicated infrastructure minister who will be responsible for overseeing the delivery of all major infrastructure projects.
By taking these steps, the UK government can improve its record on infrastructure delivery and ensure that future projects are delivered on time and within budget.
In addition to the above, I would also like to add that the UK government needs to adopt a more collaborative approach to infrastructure delivery. This means working more closely with the private sector, as well as with local communities. By working together, the government and the private sector can share risks and expertise, and develop innovative solutions to infrastructure challenges.
The UK government also needs to be more open to using new technologies, such as modular construction and 3D printing. These technologies can help to reduce the time and cost of delivering infrastructure projects.
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Uncertainty is not managed cost effectively. Either too much or too little risk is taken in pursuit of business success.
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Do not tar Lloyds bank with the same toxic brush of the UK banking industry
People think Lloyds bank is a big bad bank that was part of the financial crisis of 2008. Lloyds bank was in fact one of the hero’s of the financial crisis. Lloyds bank saved the Halifax brand including the Bank Of Scotland whose executives were the real baddies along with the Royal Bank of Scotland now Natwest. By saving the Halifax plc group of bank brands it helped stop the implosion of the UK economy.
If Lloyds bank had not stepped in when it did, Halifax plc group of bank brands would have collapsed and a major domino would have irreparably damaged the UK economy. If we thought it was bad economically with austerity and job losses in UK, without Lloyd’s intervention to takeover Halifax plc it would have been catastrophic. Anarchy on the streets would have resulted and the UK would have entered a period of lifespan that would have been worse than World War 2. We came back economically after Word War 2. If Lloyd’s bank had not stepped in the UK would be more like Venezuela now.
From the financial crisis Lloyds Bank has tried hard to make matters worse including but not limited to PPI scandal where more than £20 billion pounds worth of shareholder value was destroyed. Incompetent greedy executives poorly directed employees to make repeated missteps post financial crisis 2008 to make matters worse. Added to this Lloyds bank has had to manage the risks from external sources including Brexit and Covid-19 pandemic.
However Lloyds bank is now very far from the perceived bad bank it had become. Prior to the 2008 financial crisis Lloyds bank was a boring bank. Investors loved the fact it was a traditional boring bank. It’s share price was £6 plus and it paid out relatively gigantic dividends every year to support pension funds, pensioners and other investors. Lloyds bank had no choice but to take over basket case Halifax plc. If Lloyds bank did not takeover Halifax plc basket of bank brands it is likely that Lloyd’s bank would have collapsed due to the domino effect. As Halifax plc and Royal Bank of Scotland folded they would have swamped the position of Lloyds bank as the UK economy went into a nosedive it is unlikely to have recovered from for many decades, if ever.
The only positive for Lloyds bank’s takeover of Halifax plc bank brands is that in all other circumstances Lloyds bank would never have been allowed to takeover Halifax plc by the UK competition authorities. Lloyds would have become too powerful in the marketplace. As it is, the only real risk to Lloyds bank is that it could be broken up as it is too dominant in for example the mortgage market.
Lloyds is the biggest player in the UK mortgage market. In a marketplace where the UK housing market is booming a share price of less than £0.45 is a joke!
Lloyds bank has come through the PPI scandal. Having destroyed shareholder value in the past, the laws have been changed to largely cap any future payouts under the PPI heading.
Brexit has now happened. Whether this is good or bad for the UK economy depends on which half of the UK adult population stand on Brexit. What is perhaps clear is that if it is going to impact negatively on the UK business community it is not going to be catastrophic. It may even been hugely beneficial to UK businesses. Lloyds bank will not be significantly impacted negatively by Brexit and may be impacted on the positive side.
The Covid-19 pandemic is far from over. However the UK vaccination programme and its likely adaptation to combat virus variations means the UK economy is now through the worst. The only question is how good will the future be? Lloyds bank can easily navigate the future risks if, as it has done, navigated the worst of the pandemic in the UK.
Another enterprise risk management article looks at the UK economy as a whole in the spring of 2021. Essentially most things point to exceptional UK economic growth through 2021 and 2022. Lloyds bank is perhaps uniquely placed to take advantage of any such economic growth. Its strategy is based on making money from UK consumer and UK business confidence and growth, both of which are at record all time highs.
If interest rates rise it will give all banks more opportunities to be profitable. With UK interest rate at record low of 0.1 percent banks will win from interest rate rises. Interest rates are not going to go negative.
Unemployment in UK is a key threat to UK banks. However many predict the UK unemployment is not going to be any way near as bad as was feared due to pandemic. Indeed if the vaccination roll out continues as hoped, unemployment rates are likely to be slightly above pre-pandemic levels. Certainly not at levels that would threaten Lloyds bank profit.
Lloyds bank has comparatively high profit margin compared to many UK banks so is more protected from downside risks.
UK consumers have paid off debt and saved more during the pandemic. When their spending power is fully unleashed on the UK economy post June 2021 the UK is going to see an economic growth not experienced since post World War 2 period. Lloyds bank is ideally placed via mortgage and non-mortgage lending to take advantage of this revitalisation of UK economy.
Lloyds bank was never the bad bank. It had to takeover the greedy and incompetent at Halifax plc. During that process it has had to manage internal and external risk drivers. It is likely that Lloyds bank’s worst days are behind it. Lloyds bank would have to work really hard to screw up its current opportunities for exponential growth.
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Risk Management Toolbox Talk Exploring Barriers To And Opportunities From International Trade
What could cause the opening or closing international trade marketplace? The closing or opening of international trade to your business is perhaps at a recent high level of uncertainty. What elements of international trade threaten your business? What events could open up new opportunities to your business? How do you manage the risks better? Mitigate the threats impacting on your business success. Enhance the beneficial outcomes for your business of international trade.
Online workshop is an introduction to BusinessRiskTV online risk management service to help business leaders make key business decisions to manage threats and opportunities better.
The opening or closing of international marketplace to all who wish to participate is a moving feast. Changes in threats and opportunities can arise based on sudden economic, geopolitical and technology risks in particular.
Managing risks from international trade may be limited to mitigating threats, or harnessing and enhancing the benefits from international trade. It may be impossible to influence whether risk events occur or not. However, exploring the threats and opportunities may be critical to your business success.
Being the first mover may be just as important. The first businesses to act tend to carry the greatest risks and rewards. If you are to act first you may need help from risk experts to improve your business intelligence and international trade risk knowledge.
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Opening the enterprise risk management process of identifying analysing and assessing to international trade risks. Working on overcoming international trade barriers. Exploring a risk profile of a company and international trade risks. Developing an enterprise risk management implementation road map to stronger business resilience and expansion. Starting to understand how to overcome trade barriers including supply chain risk management. Identifying solutions to international trade problems. Opening the door to further risk workshops with an introduction to international trade risk awareness training and enterprise-wide risk management solutions.
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Uncertainty of international trade expanding or contracting
In this this essential risk management toolbox talk we will cover the key international trade risks potentially impacting on your business including:
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Post introductory online risk management toolbox talk on 15th January 2021, members and non-members of BusinessRiskTV will also be given opportunity to collaborate in future online advanced workshop sessions. These sessions will further explore how business leaders around the world can collaborate specifically on overcoming barriers to international trade, both theory and practice. These advanced workshops sessions will aim to increase international trade by participants. Workshop participants will share expert knowledge and practical business development tools. The introductory online fee will be used to reduce the cost of more advanced sessions by participants.
Participants at introductory online risk management toolbox talk can also put themselves forward as international trade risk experts at future more advanced online workshop events to share your expert knowledge and promote their business interests. Get in touch with us if this is you.
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Global Risk Management Solutions on BusinessRiskTV.com
Businesses operate in a constantly changing world, where the risks faced can be unpredictable, complex, and varied. The potential impact of risks can range from reputational damage to financial loss, and in some cases, threaten the very existence of the business. To ensure sustainable growth and profitability, businesses need to have robust risk management strategies in place that are aligned with their overall objectives and risk appetite. This is where global risk management solutions come into play, providing businesses with the tools, insights, and expertise to manage risks effectively and proactively.
BusinessRiskTV.com is an online platform that provides a range of risk management solutions and services to businesses worldwide. With a network of risk management experts and thought leaders, BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of resources, including articles, videos, webinars, and tools, to help businesses understand, manage, and mitigate risks effectively. This article will explore some of the key global risk management solutions available on BusinessRiskTV.com and how they can help businesses navigate the complex and ever-changing risk landscape.
Enterprise Risk Management
Enterprise risk management (ERM) is a holistic approach to risk management that involves identifying, assessing, and managing risks across the entire organisation. ERM aims to create a risk-aware culture within the organisation, where risks are considered in all decision-making processes and integrated into the overall strategic planning process. BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of resources on ERM, including articles, videos, and webinars, that can help businesses develop and implement an effective ERM strategy.
One of the key benefits of ERM is that it provides a comprehensive view of the risks faced by the organisation, allowing businesses to prioritise and allocate resources effectively. By identifying and assessing risks across all areas of the business, including operations, finance, and reputation, businesses can develop a more holistic understanding of their risk profile and take a more proactive approach to risk management.
Business Continuity Management
Business continuity management (BCM) is the process of identifying and managing risks that could disrupt normal business operations. BCM aims to ensure that businesses can continue to operate in the event of a disruption, whether caused by a natural disaster, cyber-attack, or other unexpected event. BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of resources on BCM, including articles, videos, and webinars, that can help businesses develop and implement an effective BCM strategy.
One of the key benefits of BCM is that it can help businesses minimise the impact of a disruption on their operations and reputation. By developing a comprehensive business continuity plan, businesses can identify the critical functions and processes that must be maintained in the event of a disruption, as well as the steps needed to recover and resume normal operations. This can help businesses minimise the financial and reputational impact of a disruption, and ensure that they can continue to meet the needs of their customers and stakeholders.
Cyber Risk Management
Cyber risk management is the process of identifying, assessing, and managing risks related to information security and technology. With the increasing reliance on technology in business operations, cyber risks have become a major concern for businesses worldwide. Cyber risks can include data breaches, ransomware attacks, and other forms of cybercrime that can result in financial loss, reputational damage, and legal liabilities. BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of resources on cyber risk management, including articles, videos, and webinars, that can help businesses develop and implement an effective cyber risk management strategy.
One of the key benefits of cyber risk management is that it can help businesses protect their sensitive information and systems from cyber threats. By identifying and assessing cyber risks, businesses can implement appropriate security measures, such as firewalls, antivirus software, and employee training programs, to mitigate the risks. This can help businesses reduce the likelihood and impact of a cyber-attack, and ensure that their operations and reputation are protected.
Compliance and Regulatory Risk Management
Compliance and regulatory risk management involves identifying and managing risks related to compliance with laws, regulations, and industry standards. Compliance risks can arise from a variety of sources, including changes in legislation, non-compliance with industry standards, and breaches of contractual obligations. BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of resources on compliance and regulatory risk management, including articles, videos, and webinars, that can help businesses develop and implement an effective compliance and regulatory risk management strategy.
One of the key benefits of compliance and regulatory risk management is that it can help businesses avoid legal liabilities and reputational damage. By ensuring that they comply with relevant laws, regulations, and industry standards, businesses can demonstrate their commitment to ethical and responsible business practices. This can help businesses build trust with their customers and stakeholders, and enhance their reputation in the market.
Supply Chain Risk Management
Supply chain risk management involves identifying and managing risks related to the supply chain, including risks related to suppliers, logistics, and transportation. Supply chain risks can include disruptions caused by natural disasters, political instability, and changes in regulations. BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of resources on supply chain risk management, including articles, videos, and webinars, that can help businesses develop and implement an effective supply chain risk management strategy.
One of the key benefits of supply chain risk management is that it can help businesses minimise the impact of supply chain disruptions on their operations and reputation. By identifying and assessing supply chain risks, businesses can implement appropriate risk mitigation strategies, such as diversifying their supplier base, implementing contingency plans, and enhancing supply chain visibility. This can help businesses reduce the likelihood and impact of supply chain disruptions, and ensure that they can continue to meet the needs of their customers and stakeholders.
In today’s complex and dynamic business environment, managing risks effectively is essential for sustainable growth and profitability. BusinessRiskTV.com offers a range of global risk management solutions that can help businesses identify, assess, and manage risks across all areas of their operations. From enterprise risk management to supply chain risk management, BusinessRiskTV.com provides businesses with the tools, insights, and expertise they need to navigate the complex and ever-changing risk landscape.
By leveraging the resources available on BusinessRiskTV.com, businesses can develop and implement effective risk management strategies that are aligned with their overall objectives and risk appetite. This can help businesses protect their operations and reputation, avoid legal liabilities, and enhance their competitiveness in the market. In short, global risk management solutions available on BusinessRiskTV.com can help businesses navigate the complex and ever-changing risk landscape and achieve sustainable growth and profitability.
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There are a number of key factors that led to successful business. Successful business leaders understand that being in business is about managing the risks from change. Unsuccessful business leaders tend to blame their failures on economic climate changes and their successes on their brilliant business management skills!
The UK retail sector is suffering major painful changes. Tens of thousands of jobs have been lost as major retailers collapsed or contracted. Yet the UK retail marketplace has some examples of major retailers bucking this trend blamed on the UK economy by unsuccessful retail business managers.
By applying their risk management knowledge successful businesses can act quicker and with more confidence it will work out
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Not taking risks is not an option for most business leaders. However many risk factors coming together can appear daunting. Enterprise risk management looks at the big picture and helps you identify the steps to a better business in future.
Find out how to improve your chances of business success with BusinessRiskTV. Take calculated risks to help your business grow faster with less uncertainty. Embrace change and the risks to your business.
Business risk assessment elements should fit your business culture. Some people do not like numbers. Some do. Your business risk assessment template should reflect the culture of your organisation.
A business risk assessment is a systematic process that helps organisations identify, evaluate, and prioritise risks that may impact their operations, financial performance, and reputation. It is an essential tool for managing risk and ensuring the long-term viability of a business.
There are several key elements that a business risk assessment should include:
Identifying the risks: The first step in the risk assessment process is to identify the potential risks that the business may face. This can include internal risks, such as operational inefficiencies or employee misconduct, as well as external risks, such as market changes or natural disasters.
Evaluating the risks: Once the risks have been identified, the next step is to evaluate their potential impact on the business. This includes considering the likelihood of each risk occurring, as well as the potential consequences if it does.
Prioritising the risks: After evaluating the risks, the next step is to prioritise them based on their potential impact on the business. This will help the organisation focus its resources on the most significant risks and develop strategies to mitigate them.
Developing risk management strategies: Once the risks have been prioritised, the next step is to develop strategies to mitigate them. This can include implementing control measures to prevent or reduce the likelihood of risks occurring, or transferring the risk to another party through insurance or other means.
Monitoring and reviewing the risks: The risk assessment process is ongoing and should be regularly reviewed and updated to ensure that it remains relevant and effective. This includes monitoring the risks and identifying any new or emerging risks that may have arisen since the last assessment.
In summary, a business risk assessment should include the following key elements:
Identifying the risks
Evaluating the risks
Prioritizing the risks
Developing risk management strategies
Monitoring and reviewing the risks
Every business faces risks that could be a threat to its success
The business leaders who are better prepared for these risks and have a cost effective risk management plan and business strategy are more likely to be more successful.
Enterprise Wide Risk Assessment For Faster Business Growth With Best Use Of Business Assets
Develop a suitable risk assessment process to assist with your risk management plan preparation. Review your existing risk management process to ensure it is fit for purpose in a rapidly changing marketplace. Successful entrepreneurs have a good strategic operational and project risk management attitude and business culture that is flexible enough to cope with any economic environment.
There are numerous factors that can contribute to the success of a business. Here are some key factors that are often considered critical for building and maintaining a successful business:
Clear Vision and Strategy: A successful business requires a clear vision and a well-defined strategy. This includes setting goals, defining the direction of the business, and developing a roadmap to achieve those goals.
Market Research and Understanding Customer Needs: Understanding the market and identifying customer needs are essential for success. Conducting thorough market research, identifying target customers, and tailoring products or services to meet their needs is critical in building a successful business.
Strong Leadership: Effective leadership is crucial for the success of any business. It involves providing direction, making decisions, motivating employees, and fostering a positive work culture. Strong leadership skills help in guiding the business through challenges and achieving the desired outcomes.
Financial Management: Proper financial management, including budgeting, cash flow management, and financial planning, is vital for the long-term success of a business. Sound financial management practices help in ensuring that the business remains financially stable and can weather economic uncertainties.
Quality Products or Services: Delivering high-quality products or services is essential for building a loyal customer base. Providing value to customers and consistently meeting or exceeding their expectations builds trust and helps in retaining customers, which is critical for the success of any business.
Effective Marketing and Branding: Successful businesses understand the importance of effective marketing and branding. Creating a strong brand presence, developing marketing strategies to reach the target audience, and promoting products or services effectively can lead to increased visibility, customer acquisition, and revenue growth.
Innovation and Adaptability: In today’s dynamic business environment, innovation and adaptability are crucial for success. Successful businesses continuously innovate, adapt to changing market trends, and find new ways to stay relevant and competitive in the market.
Efficient Operations and Processes: Streamlining operations and processes can improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance customer satisfaction. Implementing effective systems and processes, optimising the supply chain, and leveraging technology can lead to improved productivity and operational excellence.
Talented and Engaged Workforce: A skilled and motivated workforce is vital for the success of any business. Hiring and retaining top talent, providing opportunities for growth and development, fostering a positive work culture, and promoting employee engagement can lead to higher productivity and overall business success.
Customer Relationship Management: Building strong customer relationships is crucial for long-term success. Providing excellent customer service, maintaining open lines of communication, addressing customer feedback, and building customer loyalty are key factors that contribute to the success of a business. These are some of the key factors that can contribute to the success of a business. However, it’s important to note that success is multifaceted and can vary depending on the industry, market, and individual circumstances. It’s essential to carefully plan, execute, and continuously adapt to changing circumstances to achieve long-term business success.
Strategic Partnerships and Networking: Collaborating with strategic partners and building a strong network can provide valuable opportunities for business growth. Strategic partnerships can help access new markets, share resources, and leverage complementary strengths, while networking can lead to new business leads, partnerships, and valuable industry insights.
Risk Management: Successful businesses recognize the importance of managing risks. This includes identifying and mitigating potential risks, having contingency plans in place, and being prepared to handle unexpected challenges. Effective risk management can help protect the business from potential setbacks and ensure its resilience.
Flexibility and Adaptability: Business environments can change rapidly, and successful businesses are agile and adaptable. Being open to change, willing to pivot when necessary, and embracing innovation can help a business stay ahead of the competition and navigate through uncertainties.
Continuous Learning and Improvement: Successful businesses are always learning and improving. Keeping up with industry trends, staying updated with technology, and seeking feedback from customers and employees can provide valuable insights for making informed decisions and driving continuous improvement.
Strong Customer Focus: Putting the customer at the center of the business is crucial for success. Understanding customer preferences, delivering excellent customer experiences, and building customer loyalty can lead to repeat business, positive word-of-mouth, and a strong brand reputation.
Ethical and Responsible Business Practices: Operating with integrity, practicing ethical business standards, and being socially responsible can build trust and credibility with customers, employees, and other stakeholders. Demonstrating responsible business practices can contribute to long-term success and sustainability.
Resilience and Persistence: Building a successful business is not always easy, and setbacks and failures are inevitable. Successful businesses demonstrate resilience, learn from failures, and persist in the face of challenges. Perseverance, determination, and the ability to bounce back from setbacks are key traits of successful entrepreneurs.
Long-term Planning and Goal-setting: Having a long-term vision and setting realistic goals is important for business success. Long-term planning allows for strategic decision-making, resource allocation, and monitoring progress towards achieving business objectives.
Adapting to Digital Transformation: In today’s digital age, successful businesses embrace digital transformation. This includes leveraging technology for automation, digital marketing, data analysis, and online presence to stay competitive and meet changing customer preferences.
Monitoring and Measuring Key Performance Indicators (KPIs): Successful businesses monitor and measure key performance indicators (KPIs) to track progress, identify areas for improvement, and make data-driven decisions. Regularly analysing KPIs provides insights into the health and performance of the business and helps in making informed decisions.
In conclusion, building and maintaining a successful business requires a combination of various factors. It’s important to have a clear vision, understand the market and customer needs, demonstrate effective leadership, manage finances wisely, deliver quality products or services, market and brand effectively, innovate, and adapt to changing environments. Additionally, building a strong team, managing risks, focusing on customer satisfaction, practicing responsible business ethics, and being resilient and persistent are key factors that contribute to long-term business success.
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Ways to increase your brand awareness and visibility online
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Increase online sales. Get your brand known locally and globally. Raise your brand awareness ideas to grow your business faster. Awareness campaign ideas.
Without effective brand awareness your business could lose out on sales your competitors have won. Consumers and businesses only have a limited amount of money to spend and if they spend their scarce resource because they found your competitor and not you then you lose. Learn here how to make your business stand out online and become more successful.
Several of the biggest retailers in the UK have collapsed or nearly collapsed due in a large part to failure to have an appropriate increase brand awareness strategy
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Increasing online sales is of growing importance to SMEs and large businesses. The shift from the High Street to the web continues unabated. Bricks and mortar businesses also need to explore how to increase brand awareness. Simply relying on what has worked for you in past may not be enough to survive in future.
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Maximising Your Business Growth: Insider Strategies and Tactics from Industry Leaders
Maximising your business growth tips: sharing insider strategies and tactics from industry leaders to help you take your business to the next level.
Identify your target market.
Before you can start growing your business, you need to know who your target market is. This will help you tailor your products or services to meet the needs and wants of your ideal customer. To identify your target market, consider factors such as demographics, location, and interests.
Set clear goals and objectives.
In order to grow your business, you need to have a clear direction and plan in place. This means setting specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART) goals and objectives. Having clear goals and objectives will help you stay focused and motivated as you work towards growing your business.
Invest in marketing and advertising.
Marketing and advertising are crucial to getting the word out about your business and attracting new customers. Consider investing in both traditional and digital marketing efforts, such as social media, email marketing, and content marketing.
Focus on customer satisfaction.
Happy customers are key to driving business growth. Make sure to prioritise customer satisfaction by providing high-quality products or services, responding to customer inquiries and complaints, and continuously seeking ways to improve the customer experience.
Diversify your revenue streams.
Diversifying your revenue streams can help protect your business from economic downturns and provide multiple sources of income. Consider offering new products or services, partnering with other businesses, or exploring alternative revenue streams such as licensing or franchising.
By following these insider strategies and tactics, you can take your business to new heights of growth and success. Remember to always keep your target market in mind, set clear goals and objectives, invest in marketing and advertising, focus on customer satisfaction, and diversify your revenue streams.
Understand your business risks to manage your key business risks better with BusinessRiskTV
How do leaders manage uncertainty in business better
Managing uncertainty is a daily business dilemma. Business leaders have internal and external risk factors driving uncertainty in business. Often this uncertainty can lead to poorer business performance or even catastrophic business failure.
We are developing a business risk management hub to help inform your leadership team. Reduce the impact of uncertainty on your business success.
Various risk management identification tools and techniques will bring emerging risks to your attention
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Our free enterprise risk management resources provide a free risk insight to the risks that matter to your business prosperity and even survival. Develop your risk knowledge for free.
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Leaders can manage uncertainty in various ways. Some bury their head in sand. Others adopt a belts and braces approach to risk control incurring imbalanced costs to benefits.
We can not guarantee you greater business success. We can help inform your business decision making process. You will be more likely to make better business decisions.
When facing doubts or uncertainty many business leaders turn to their gut instinct. Rolling the dice may turn up the result you are aiming for. This may work for you. However better risk management information may enable you to choose a different path. Or it may over procrastination to drive forward growth with more confidence. Not making a decision can be as bad as instinctively shooting off blindly.
Dealing with uncertainty better can help you navigate around pitfalls your competitors fall into. Help guide your business to greater success with less uncertainty. Manage uncertainty more cost effectively.
Leaders can use risk management principles and practices to take the next step towards success with more confidence.
Leaders can prepare themselves and their business to face the uncertain business environment to control threats and seize new business opportunities.
Leaders must learn to manage uncertainty better but they need not do this alone
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Introducing the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Club
BusinessRiskTV business risk management active members club enables members to contribute to BusinessRiskTV for free. Active members around the world contribute articles and videos to help grow their business faster with less uncertainty to help inform readers business risk management decision making.
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If you want an innovative flexible way to grow your business faster and build business resilience join and contribute to BusinessRiskTV Club today.
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Join the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Club and receive FREE business risk alerts bulletins and latest business risk news to stay ahead of your competition.
The Club is free to join. Then you choose whether you want to contribute to BusinessRiskTV to promote your own business and inform online readers. You pay an annual membership fee to regularly contribute to BusinessRiskTV and promote your business interests cost effectively.
Key benefits of BusinessRiskTV Risk Club and reasons to join and contribute today
Free to join. There is no cost to join the club. Once you join you also have the option of contributing to BusinessRiskTV to better market promote and advertise your business. In addition you will have increased access to discussions workshops and executive training to better protect your business. You are in control of what to do next after you join the club for free.
Free business intelligence to inform your decision making to build your business resilience. Club members receive free news alerts and bulletins. Our risk watch service scans the horizon for emerging risks and analyses business risk trends. You can attend online discussions workshops and executive training sessions.
Safe and secure. All payments are made through Paypal an independent third party online payment service which stops us receiving full details of your banking or payment details so you are protected by Paypals security systems.
Build your online profile and connections to grow your business faster. BusinessRiskTV has an impressive online profile to connect you with local and global business risk management experts and new sales for your business.
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BusinessRiskTV has already built up an impressive bank of like minded business leaders and business risk management consultants for club meMbers to tap into for business tips advice and support.
The BusinessRiskTV Club is carefully expanding its reach to help business leaders to better protect and grow their own businesses and careers.
BusinessRiskTV Club is NOT just a talking shop. It is a business growth hub to practically accelerate members revenue streams. It is business accelerator where everyone has the same interest in seeing the businesses build resilience regardless of economic environment.
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Founder of BusinessRiskTV Risk Management Club
Read Keith Lewis Testimonials as to the quality of his work. This gives some background as to the quality of the business risk management business intelligence being gathered and distributed.
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You are in control of your relationship with us
In addition to controlling your own business risks better you are in total control of how you use BusinessRiskTV and how much you want to contribute to it to increase your own business growth.
You are always in control of your subscription to BusinessRiskTV club. You can choose to remain on the free membership and still receive free business intelligence and risk knowledge. Or you can regularly contribute to the content and thus increase your own business profile and business growth.
We are in it for the long term and look forward to working with members for sustainable mutual benefit. If you want to stop your membership you can at any time. We are looking forward to you working with us to help your business grow faster.
Hands Free Business Growth and Development Of Your Business
One of the great strengths of the BusinessRiskTV business risk management club is that members do not need to know how to market their business online. You can simply email us the message you want to promote and we can connect you with more new potential customers or other business leaders.
You can read business risk management articles or watch videos for free including business risk management expert opinions and analysis to inform your own business decision making process.
After you join the club you can just use it as a simple way to be kept up to date on emerging and developing corporate risks impacting on your business objectives.
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BusinessRiskTV Club could be very profitable for your business if you contribute to the content and connect to your business. There are no guarantees of returns but membership of the club expands your options for greater business success and business resilience. There will be failures. That is the nature of business marketing and development. However you will get access to innovative flexible ways to grow and protect your business better. We will minimise the cost of uncertainty impacting on your business objectives over time. At the same time we will increase the chances of become a market leader in your industry and country.
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Frequently Asked Questions FAQs
Is BusinessRiskTV Club free to join and how does BusinessRiskTV make money? It is free to join now to receive free alerts bulletins and business risk news. If you want to contribute to BusinessRiskTV by becoming a Member you pay an annual fee. BusinessRiskTV also accepts donations to support free independent business risk management news broadcasting and business risk management research. In addition businesses pay us one off fees to promote market and advertise their business products and services.
Am I tied into the BusinessRiskTV Club? It is free to join club. If you want to contribute to BusinessRiskTV there is a membership fee. You are free to leave the club at anytime. You will not be entitled to a refund of the annual membership fee but will not be tied to renew your membership.
How long does membership last? 12 months renewable annually.
I do not know anything about online business marketing and development? That is one of the great strengths about being in the Business Risk Management Club. You simply join now and then we will email you to find out what you need to do to grow your business faster. We will then go away and start your marketing and promotion campaign. We will design post and update your contributions to promote your business. Our team of enterprise risk experts and business risk advisers to help protect and grow your business faster.
How fast will my business grow? It is impossible to say. It depends on how well we can work together to get the most from your existing business development tools and initiatives. The potential is there for massive gains but the value of your membership fee could be worthless if we fail to work well together. That is why our members should always diversify our marketing options to maximise the likelihood of increasing sales. We will guide you on the diversification options based on our discussions on what you offer and when. You are not putting all your business development eggs in one basket but the affordable membership fee expands the likelihood of your business growing faster.
How often can my business contribute to BusinessRiskTV? Contribution levels is based on hours it takes to produce and publish each contribution. You will be buying 56 hours of work to produce and publish your contributions each year.
Does my business need to contribute regularly to BusinessRiskTV? No. The more you contribute the more you promote your own business interests and increase the chances of faster business growth.
My business marketplace is not in UK so can I still join and contribute to BusinessRiskTV? YES! The Club is open to any business selling legal and morally acceptable products and services. Legal is legal but morally acceptable comes down to our own opinion as to what is morally acceptable. Areas include Europe USA Canada Latin America Australia and Asia Pacific.
Is paying my membership fee safe? Yes. Your membership fee will be paid via Paypal a global independent payment provider who have their own safe and secure payment systems. We will never see your full payment details as these are retained by Paypal who will transfer your membership fee to our Paypal account.
What is the annual membership fee? This will vary depending on how many members we have. As the number of members increase so will the annual membership fee so get in quick to keep your membership fee low!
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Solutions to trade barriers with BusinessRiskTV.com
Solutions to problems of international trade. International trade barrier risk management solution with BusinessRiskTV. Overcoming trade barriers is not straightforward. Find out how to grow your business overseas. Increase the opportunities to grow your business faster. Save money and time growing your business with less uncertainty with BusinessRiskTV.
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Understanding international trade barriers helps economic growth. Both local and international trading boosts business resilience and expansion.
How To Advertise Internationally To Help Overcome Barriers To Trade
An international sales strategy with BusinessRiskTV will help you cost effectively diversify your income streams more profitably. We will increase opportunities to sell internationally online. Our eCommerce solutions will help protect your business boost cash flow and make selling more online easier.
How To Do More Business and Increase International Sales With BusinessRiskTV?
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