Are you ready for 2024?

Whatever unfolds in 2024 is not going to be good for the global economy but that does not mean it can’t be good for your business – if you are prepared!

Sharpening the Saw: Risk Management in a Perilous 2024

As the calendar edges towards 2024, casting a long shadow over an already turbulent 2023, businesses find themselves teetering on the precipice of an increasingly dangerous economic environment. Inflation roars, supply chains sputter, and geopolitical tensions crackle like live wires. In this landscape, the ability to anticipate, navigate, and mitigate risk transcends mere competence – it becomes an existential imperative. Enter the age of the sharpened saw.

The metaphor, popularised by Stephen Covey in his seminal work “The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People,” speaks to the vital need for continuous renewal and self-improvement. In the context of business risk management, sharpening the saw translates to the proactive honing of skills, knowledge, and strategies to effectively manage and mitigate potential threats. It’s about staying ahead of the curve, not merely reacting to the blows as they land.

But why is this so crucial in 2024? The answer lies in the confluence of multiple, potent risk factors. The global economic slowdown, fuelled by rising interest rates throughout 2023 and inflation created by overprinting of money by central banks, threatens to dampen consumer spending and cripple businesses across industries. Supply chain disruptions, exacerbated by ongoing geopolitical tensions, continue to cast a long shadow, making it difficult to secure essential materials and ensure smooth operations. And lest we forget, the ever-present spectre of climate change lurks, unleashing its fury in the form of extreme weather events and resource scarcity.

This perfect storm of risks calls for a new breed of business leaders – not simply risk averse, but adept at navigating turbulent waters. These leaders recognise that knowledge is not power, but risk intelligence. As the ancient Chinese philosopher Sun Tzu observed, “Know the enemy and know yourself; in a hundred battles you will never be in peril.” In today’s economic battlefield, the “enemy” is not a singular entity, but the ever-shifting sands of risk itself. Understanding these risks, their interconnectedness, and their potential impact requires continuous learning, strategic foresight, and a data-driven approach to risk assessment.

This is where sharpening the saw comes into play. Businesses must invest in their people, equipping them with the skills and knowledge needed to identify, analyse, and mitigate risks. This includes:

  • Scenario planning: Developing a range of potential outcomes based on different risk scenarios and stress-testing strategies to ensure resilience.
  • Data analytics: Leveraging data to identify patterns, predict trends, and make informed risk management decisions.
  • Cybersecurity awareness: Recognising the growing threat of cyberattacks and implementing robust cybersecurity protocols.
  • Crisis communication: Preparing for and effectively communicating during times of crisis to maintain stakeholder trust and mitigate reputational damage.

Investing in training programmes, risk management software, and fostering a culture of risk awareness are all essential steps in sharpening the saw. As the Roman philosopher Seneca wisely said, “Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.” In the volatile economic landscape of 2024, preparation is not simply prudent, it’s a matter of survival.

Sharpening the saw extends beyond internal efforts. Building strong relationships with key stakeholders, including suppliers, partners, and regulatory bodies, can provide invaluable insights and early warning signs of potential risks. By fostering an ecosystem of collaborative risk management, businesses can collectively weather the storm and emerge stronger on the other side.

The road ahead will undoubtedly be fraught with challenges and uncertainties. But for those who choose to sharpen their saws – to proactively manage risk and continuously adapt to new threats – the future, though perilous, holds the promise of resilience and growth. Remember, as the German philosopher Nietzsche declared, “He who has a why to live can bear almost any how.” In 2024, our “why” should be the preservation and growth of our businesses, and our “how” should be the relentless pursuit of and proactive mitigation. Let us sharpen our saws, face the uncertain future with courage and foresight, and emerge from the economic jungle not merely unscathed, but thriving.

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Business uncertainty now is not worse. However business uncertainties do change. Managing internal and external risk factors is complex but does not need to be complicated. ERM should be used to set your business strategy not just manage the uncertainties that come out of your business strategy.

Adopting an holistic enterprise wide approach to business risk management enables an enterprise to focus all resources more cost effectively on the key risks that matter to maximise business development opportunities.

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Proven Steps to Mitigating Business Risks: A UK Business Leader’s Guide to Conducting an Enterprise-Wide Risk Assessment

An enterprise-wide risk assessment is a comprehensive evaluation of all types of risks that a business may face. This includes risks related to operations, financials, legal, regulatory, and reputational issues. By conducting a thorough risk assessment, businesses can identify potential threats and vulnerabilities and take proactive measures to mitigate or prevent them.

The first step in conducting an enterprise-wide risk assessment is to identify all areas of the business that are at risk. This includes both internal and external risks, such as supply chain disruptions, data breaches, and economic downturns. Once all areas of risk have been identified, the next step is to assess the likelihood and potential impact of each risk. This will help businesses prioritise which risks need to be addressed first.

Once the risks have been identified and prioritised, businesses can develop a risk management plan. This plan should include specific actions to mitigate or prevent each risk, as well as procedures to respond to and recover from a risk event. The plan should also include monitoring and reporting mechanisms to ensure that the plan is being implemented effectively.

In addition to the risk management plan, businesses should also consider implementing a risk management programme. This programme should include regular training for employees on risk management and incident response, as well as regular reviews of the risk management plan to ensure that it remains relevant and effective.

In conclusion, an enterprise-wide risk assessment is a critical tool for businesses to identify and manage potential threats and vulnerabilities. By conducting a thorough risk assessment, prioritising risks, and implementing a risk management plan, businesses can take proactive measures to mitigate or prevent risks and ensure their long-term success.

StepDescriptionAction
1Identify RisksIdentify all areas of the business that are at risk, including internal and external risks.
2Assess Likelihood and ImpactAssess the likelihood and potential impact of each identified risk.
3Prioritise RisksPrioritise identified risks based on likelihood and impact.
4Develop Risk Management PlanDevelop a risk management plan that includes specific actions to mitigate or prevent each risk, as well as procedures to respond to and recover from a risk event.
5Implement and Monitor Risk Management Programme Implement a risk management programme that includes regular training for employees on risk management and incident response, and regular reviews of the risk management plan to ensure that it remains relevant and effective.
5-step enterprise-wide risk assessment template

Note: The above table is just an example of a risk assessment template, it may not be sufficient to cover all risks and it’s important to consult professional and include all stakeholders involved.

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Guide To Enterprise Risk Management

In today’s dynamic and interconnected business landscape, managing risks has become an essential aspect of successful enterprise management. Organisations face a wide range of risks, including financial, operational, strategic, and reputational risks, which can significantly impact their ability to achieve objectives and thrive in a competitive environment. Enterprise Risk Management (ERM) provides a comprehensive framework and process for identifying, assessing, and mitigating these risks to ensure sustainable growth and resilience. This article serves as a guide to understanding and implementing ERM within organisations.

  1. Understanding Enterprise Risk Management:

Enterprise Risk Management is a strategic approach that enables organisations to proactively identify, assess, and manage risks across all levels and functions. It involves the systematic integration of risk management practices into an organisation’s decision-making processes, governance structure, and operations. ERM goes beyond traditional risk management, which often focuses on isolated risks, by considering the interdependencies and cumulative effects of risks on an enterprise-wide basis.

  1. Key Components of Enterprise Risk Management:

a. Risk Identification: The first step in ERM is identifying and cataloging all potential risks that may affect the organisation. This involves gathering information from various sources, including internal stakeholders, external experts, industry reports, and historical data. The goal is to create a comprehensive risk register that captures both known and emerging risks.

b. Risk Assessment: Once risks are identified, they need to be assessed in terms of their likelihood of occurrence and potential impact. This step involves qualitative and quantitative analysis to prioritise risks based on their significance. Risk assessment techniques may include scenario analysis, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic modeling.

c. Risk Mitigation: After assessing risks, organisations develop risk mitigation strategies to reduce the likelihood or impact of identified risks. These strategies may involve implementing controls, transferring risks through insurance or contracts, accepting risks within predetermined tolerance levels, or avoiding risks altogether by changing business practices or diversifying operations.

d. Risk Monitoring and Reporting: ERM is an ongoing process that requires continuous monitoring of risks to ensure their effectiveness. Organisations should establish clear risk indicators and thresholds to detect changes in risk levels and trigger appropriate actions. Regular reporting on risk exposures, mitigation efforts, and performance against risk objectives is essential to keep stakeholders informed and accountable.

e. Risk Culture and Communication: ERM is most effective when risk management becomes an integral part of an organisation’s culture. This involves fostering a risk-aware mindset among employees, encouraging open communication about risks, and embedding risk management practices in daily operations. Effective communication channels should be established to facilitate the flow of risk-related information across all levels of the organisation.

  1. Benefits of Enterprise Risk Management:

Implementing ERM brings several benefits to organisations:

a. Improved Decision Making: ERM provides decision-makers with a holistic view of risks, enabling them to make informed choices that align with the organisation’s risk appetite and strategic objectives. By considering risk factors, organisations can avoid costly mistakes and capitalise on opportunities.

b. Enhanced Resilience: ERM helps organisations become more resilient in the face of uncertainties and disruptions. By systematically managing risks, organisations can better anticipate and respond to potential threats, minimising their negative impact and quickly recovering from adverse events.

c. Competitive Advantage: Effective ERM enables organisations to differentiate themselves by demonstrating strong risk management practices to customers, investors, and regulators. This can enhance their reputation, attract new business opportunities, and improve access to capital.

d. Regulatory Compliance: ERM assists organisations in complying with applicable laws, regulations, and industry standards. By proactively managing risks, organisations can identify compliance gaps and take corrective actions to avoid penalties and reputational damage.

e. Cost Optimization: ERM helps organisations optimise resource allocation by identifying areas of inefficiency, waste, or excessive risk-taking. By streamlining processes, eliminating redundancies, and aligning risk management efforts, organisations can reduce costs and improve operational efficiency.

  1. Implementing Enterprise Risk Management:

To successfully implement ERM, organisations should consider the following steps:

a. Leadership Commitment: Senior management should demonstrate a strong commitment to ERM and actively champion its adoption throughout the organisation. This includes allocating resources, defining roles and responsibilities, and fostering a risk-aware culture.

b. Risk Governance: Establish a clear governance structure for ERM, with defined roles, responsibilities, and reporting lines. Designate a risk officer or risk management team to oversee the ERM process and ensure its integration into decision-making at all levels.

c. Risk Framework: Develop a risk management framework tailored to the organisation’s specific needs and industry context. This framework should outline the key components of ERM, including risk identification, assessment, mitigation, monitoring, and reporting.

d. Risk Assessment and Prioritisation: Conduct a comprehensive risk assessment to identify and prioritise risks based on their potential impact and likelihood of occurrence. This assessment should involve input from relevant stakeholders and utilise appropriate risk analysis techniques.

e. Risk Mitigation Strategies: Develop and implement risk mitigation strategies that align with the organisation’s risk appetite and strategic objectives. These strategies should be tailored to address specific risks and may involve a combination of controls, risk transfer mechanisms, and process improvements.

f. Integration with Business Processes: Embed risk management practices into existing business processes and decision-making frameworks. This includes integrating risk considerations into strategic planning, project management, performance evaluation, and budgeting processes.

g. Training and Awareness: Provide training and awareness programs to educate employees about ERM principles, methodologies, and their role in managing risks. Foster a culture of risk awareness, where employees are encouraged to report and escalate potential risks.

h. Continuous Monitoring and Improvement: Establish a system for ongoing risk monitoring and reporting. Regularly review and update the risk register, assess the effectiveness of risk mitigation measures, and identify emerging risks. Continuously improve the ERM process based on lessons learned and feedback from stakeholders.

  1. Overcoming Challenges in Enterprise Risk Management:

Implementing ERM can present challenges, but organisations can overcome them with proper planning and execution:

a. Organisational Silos: ERM requires collaboration and information sharing across different functions and departments. Breaking down silos and fostering cross-functional communication is essential for effective risk management.

b. Resistance to Change: Resistance to change can hinder the adoption of ERM. Organisations should invest in change management efforts, addressing concerns, and providing training and support to employees.

c. Data and Information Management: ERM relies on accurate and timely data and information. Organisations should establish robust data management systems, ensure data integrity, and leverage technology solutions for data collection, analysis, and reporting.

d. Risk Appetite Alignment: Aligning risk appetite across the organisation can be challenging. Clear communication and dialogue between senior management and relevant stakeholders are crucial to establish a shared understanding of risk tolerance and strategic objectives.

e. Evolving Risk Landscape: The risk landscape is continuously evolving, with new risks emerging and existing risks evolving. Organisations should stay updated on industry trends, regulatory changes, and emerging risks to ensure the relevance and effectiveness of their ERM practices.

Enterprise Risk Management is a strategic imperative for organizations to navigate the complexities and uncertainties of the modern business environment. By adopting a comprehensive ERM framework, organisations can proactively identify, assess, and mitigate risks, enabling them to make informed decisions, enhance resilience, and gain a competitive advantage. Successful implementation of ERM requires leadership commitment, a robust governance structure, integration with business processes, and a risk-aware culture. Overcoming challenges and continuously improving the ERM process will contribute to long-term success and sustainability in today’s dynamic business landscape.

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The holistic business approach we advocate uses the principles and practices of enterprise risk management methodology in ISO 31000. Create an holistic business plan to build a more resilient business regardless of the economic environment.

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Growing Threat Of Cyberattacks

The cyber threat is growing for all businesses

Top thought leaders including academics business leaders and policy makers think cyberattacks in top 5 risks facing businesses. The latest World Economic Forum WEF Global Risks Report says we should be focusing resources on cyber risk management.

The risk of theft of data and money as well as cyberattacks resulting in disruption and damaged infrastructure remains very high. It is unlikely that this risk level will fall given the increased use of technology in every aspect of our lives and business.

What can be done to mitigate the threats and seize new business opportunities

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Positive action can be taken to manage cyber risks. We are working with leading cyber risk experts to bring you the best cyber risk management solutions.

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Sometimes we have to accept the risks our businesses face to achieve our goals. Taking no action to control the risks does not mean you have not managed the risk. It means you have identified and assessed it and proactively choose to accept it as the risk is within your risk tolerance and appetite for risk.

The other extreme is that you avoid the risk identified. The risk is beyond your risk tolerance and appetite for risk to pursuance of your business objectives.

Developing a balanced risk management action plan is not easy but it should be simple to work well.

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Taking the right steps to manage risks will boost your business performance with less uncertainty.

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Its not about how to reduce risk

External or internal driven risks threaten your business. They also create new business development opportunities. Reducing the effect of uncertainty on your business is important.

How do you manage enterprise risks? Do you put risk into different silos like safety, insurance, cyber risk, sales strategy etc? They can be rolled into one holistic risk based approach.

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There is danger being in business. Danger that you could blow your value. Danger you could under perform.

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Executives Behaving Badly

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Corporate Misbehaviour Is A Misnomer

Corporate or enterprise entities do not make mistakes or create a bad business culture executives do. Illegal unethical or bad business practices arise because that’s the way executives want a company to achieve corporate objectives.   Executives may or may not consider their business practices as bad or unethical but the result is the same corporate misbehaviour.

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Understanding corporate misbehaviour

It may be a pointless waste of money undertaking a business health check if the executives are going to be unreceptive to the final risk management report, or simple pay lip-service to the outcomes.

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Many CEOs know what game needs to be played with enterprise risk management ERM before they can return to their own agenda for the business.   Internal or external risk management audits can just play into the CEO’s attitude to risk management.   Such executives short-term philosophy seems to rely on the hope that the shit doesn’t hit the fan during their time as CEO and whatever happens after they move on is not a concern for some incumbent CEOs.

Much of executive misbehaviour, and therefore corporate misbehaviour, is a direct result of executive pay and associated benefits.   Misdirecting executive pay and rewards drives most if not all catastrophic corporate collapses.   Before the collapse poor executive pay and rewards strategies poison business innovation and employee motivation.

To anticipate which companies will survive sustainably you could look at how executives are rewarded.   It is the single biggest driver of corporate culture and long-term success, or not as the case maybe.

Executive managers cause corporate scandals, corporate scandals are not externally driven.   The proximate cause of the corporate scandal or collapse doesn’t start further down the organisation nor does it start from outside the company.   CEO bad behaviour is normally the proximate cost or the catalyst for corporate collapse.

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Corporate scandals aren’t a surprise to most executives, never mind the CEO.   They take the level of risk they think is required to achieve their business objectives.   They roll the dice and sometimes it pays off and sometimes it doesn’t.

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For example, many in the banking and finance industry look upon the financial crisis as an external risk that impacted on their business strategy.   No, or little, blame can be placed at the bankers door!   It was all the other bankers and financers who were at fault for their share price collapse, mass redundancies and lost business opportunities – not their fault as their business was doing just fine until the financial crisis tsunami hit their business.

Such egotistical responses stem from either self preservation, or lack of care for their part in the near global systemic financial collapse of the banking and financial sector and the very near global anarchy which would have ensued.   Politicians, who were part of the problem, became part of the solution – make money as cheap as possible via low interest rates and massive almost unremitting quantitative easing QE.

Mothers forget how bad childbirth was

More than a decade after the start of the financial crisis there is still mass unemployment in the developed world and the developing world lost a decade of opportunity to crawl out of poverty.   However, the key decision-makers in the business world have either forgiven themselves or reinvented themselves in position of power.   In addition, a new raft of politicians are in place, or about to find positions of power, to facilitate the next financial crisis.

At its least useful, enterprise risk management ERM is a tool to spread the blame should the shit hit the fan, so one would have thought that ERM could be more popular than it is.   At its most useful it helps business leaders make business decisions that are more likely to be good ones for the long-term sustainability of the business for the benefit of all stakeholders in the business – including the CEO.

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Strategic operational and project risks all need to be included in the risk management framework and risk assessment process to provide consistency of business decision-making to improve performance of the business.

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Regularly meet online wherever you are in the world to speak to your peers and risk assessment experts. Collaborate on agreed risk assessment projects or learn during risk assessment workshops to improve your risk knowledge and risk management skills.

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Learn Enterprise Risk Management ERM

Improve your business performance with BusinessRiskTV.com enterprise risk management training courses.

Do you want to manage enterprise risks better?Develop your enterprise risk management knowledge. Practical enterprise risk management training courses online and in classroom.

 

Expand Your Risk Knowledge of Enterprise Risk Management ERM

Learn how the ERM discipline can benefit your business performance. Internal and external risks can have a downside impact on your organisation’s ability to achieve its objectives. The flipside is that they can have an upside potential on your business success.

Managing Business Risks Better with C&C Associates
Managing Business Risks Better with C&C Associates

Enterprise risk management ERM is a holistic integrated approach to business decision-making. A risk based approach moves away from the simple bean-counting approach of financial risk to explore the true impact on your business of enterprise risks.

We have a range of enterprise risk management services including training, mentoring and business promotion to ensure that the upside potential of risk is not lost in your business strategy.

  1. Contact us to schedule a free online meeting to discuss your business needs;
  2. We will present a report recommending action to reduce uncertainty in your business planning;
  3. Implementation of the recommendations will involve working in partnership with you to achieve your objectives.
Business Risk Consulting and Business Risk Management Training
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Learn Enterprise Risk Management ERM