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The Fourth Industrial Revolution, also known as 4IR or Industry 4.0, is a term used to describe the current phase of technological advancement in which we find ourselves. It is characterised by the integration of advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things (IoT), robotics, 3D printing, and other emerging technologies into our daily lives and industries. This new phase of technological revolution is expected to fundamentally change the way we live, work, and communicate with each other.
History of Industrial Revolutions:
Before we delve into the Fourth Industrial Revolution, it is essential to understand its predecessors. The First Industrial Revolution, which began in the late 18th century, saw the transition from handcrafted goods to machine-made products. The Second Industrial Revolution, which took place in the late 19th and early 20th century, saw the introduction of mass production and assembly-line manufacturing. The Third Industrial Revolution, which began in the late 20th century, brought about the digital revolution with the advent of computers and automation.
What is the Fourth Industrial Revolution?
The Fourth Industrial Revolution represents a new era of technological change that builds on the advances made in the previous three revolutions. It is characterised by the convergence of physical, digital, and biological technologies, leading to a transformation of entire industries and business models. This convergence of technologies has the potential to disrupt entire industries, create new business models, and transform the way we live and work.
The technologies that are driving the Fourth Industrial Revolution include:
Artificial Intelligence (AI): AI refers to the ability of machines to learn and perform tasks that would typically require human intelligence. This technology is already being used in areas such as healthcare, finance, and manufacturing.
Internet of Things (IoT): IoT refers to the interconnectivity of everyday objects such as appliances, cars, and even buildings. By embedding sensors and other technologies, these objects can communicate with each other and the internet, leading to increased efficiency and productivity.
Robotics: Robotics refers to the use of machines to perform tasks that would typically require human intervention. Robots are becoming increasingly prevalent in industries such as manufacturing, healthcare, and logistics.
3D Printing: 3D printing is a process of creating three-dimensional objects by layering materials such as plastic or metal. This technology is already being used in industries such as healthcare, aerospace, and automotive manufacturing.
Impacts of the Fourth Industrial Revolution:
The Fourth Industrial Revolution is expected to have a significant impact on society and the economy. Here are some of the expected impacts:
Job Losses: The increased automation and use of robotics could lead to significant job losses in industries such as manufacturing and transportation. However, it is also expected to create new jobs in areas such as cybersecurity, data analysis, and AI programming.
Increased Efficiency: The integration of technologies such as IoT and AI could lead to increased efficiency in industries such as healthcare and manufacturing, resulting in lower costs and increased productivity.
New Business Models: The Fourth Industrial Revolution is expected to disrupt traditional business models, leading to new opportunities for entrepreneurship and innovation.
Greater Personalisation: The increased use of data and AI could lead to greater personalisation of products and services, leading to improved customer experiences.
Challenges of the Fourth Industrial Revolution:
While the Fourth Industrial Revolution presents many opportunities, it also comes with its challenges. Here are some of the challenges:
Security: The increased use of IoT and other technologies could lead to increased cybersecurity risks.
Ethical Concerns: The use of AI and other technologies raises ethical concerns around issues such as privacy, bias, and accountability.
Skills Gap: The integration of advanced technologies will require a highly skilled workforce, leading to a potential skills gap.
The Fourth Industrial Revolution represents a new era of technological change.
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Is your business in zombie mode? Is it ticking along but with a little inspiration could be zooming along! Businesses which do not innovate could wither and die in the changes which are already in motion.
If you think the decade has been changing rapidly fasten your seat belt for the next decade! Even the best businesses growing healthily are going to be subject to existential choices.
Take banking industry for example. There is absolutely no reason you will not be banking online with Facebook Google or Amazon instead of Lloyds Barcalys or HSBC.
There are already internet only or app only banking businesses thriving in the UK. They do not have the costs of bank branch network. Fewer employees delivering what especially the younger generation want online. These apps will eventually sell car insurance house insurance mortgages credit cards et al that traditional banks offer. Why could Facebook Google or Amazon not do the same with their astronomical piles of cash. Yes I mean cash as they do not need to borrow money to lend money to you which will make them even more profitable should they start their banking arm of the business in UK.
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If traditional banking industry could fail to survive in future why do you think your business is safe?
Is it not a little arrogant to think your great business is going to survive the coming changes? If the UK ever gets up to speed with 5g which clearly it eventually will then another building block will be in place that will destroy many traditional businesses.
5G is both an opportunity and existential threat to many traditional businesses. Just because what you have done works for your business model does not mean it will work well in future.
are you really getting the most out of your solid business assets?
Even if you have a great business now are you sure it is operating productively? The greatest killer of UK economic growth is poor productivity. The UK does not perform any way near as productively as its developed competitors in the global marketplace.
Could your business grow faster if it took the slack from poor productivity out?
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Most peoples pet hate in UK. Improving work life balance is one reason the UK government should invest heavily in transport infrastructure. Improved UK productivity is another. If people could rely on the infrastructure they need to get to work efficiently they could work more and work better. In addition business travel would become more cost effective easier and better.
The most important infrastructure for the UK government to invest in is 5G. Having access to 5G will transform most UK businesses for the better. It will also disseminate wealth across the whole of the UK not just its major cities and large towns. Furthermore fewer people will need to communicate anywhere which will take pressure off of other types of infrastructure like air rail and road.
New businesses will startup all over the UK and new innovative products or services will start or at least be improved.
The 4th Industrial Revolution In The UK Is Dependent On Old Style Infrastructure and New Technology Infrastructure Upgrades
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The 4th Industrial Revolution is upon us. For some it will be a plague but for others it’ll will be a feast.
Every day you can find multiple great ideas that could potentially disruptive the current way of doing things. My favourites at the moment are flying modes of transport that could easily replace vehicles that have to travel on roads and flying machines that briefly go to space to get to their destination quicker. They may seem like far off technological developments, but the technology works now. Its flight rules and regulations that will hold them back to protect carmakers and airplane makers not technology risks.
Everyday new innovative ideas and products flood onto the market. For most it will be like Tomorrows World. The innovative ideas will not be sustainable. We want to work with people who want to take over the world in a good way!
Pull in our resources to make innovation-driven business growth more likely to succeed and maximise the return of your investment of time and money.
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If you don’t have time to be innovators you may need to find time to protect against business market disruptors
Fatal existential business decisions are easy to see in hindsight. Foresight consultants can help you take steps to protect yourself from your own poor business decisions.
Anyone can take a wrong turn. If you’re lucky the decision may not be malignant. You might survive to fight another day. On the other hand.
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Your brand maybe vulnerable to others who have been thinking differently, or from changes to the marketplace. It may fail cause your performance ain’t good enough, or because your competitors change the rules of the game.
How you fail may not matter too much after you’ve failed. It will be too late to consider what you are doing wrong. Kodak didn’t want to change when they had to change to survive. They were making too much money from photographs to change to embrace digital photography. Market changes can kill the best businesses.
The best form of defence is often attack
Being more innovative or creative can be frightening. Picking the wrong horse in a paddock of new opportunities can be very costly. Innovation can also be exciting and highly rewarding.
We aim to make innovation for you more exciting and rewarding as well as reducing the uncertainties that accompany innovation and creativity. Disruptive innovators can draw on our tips advice and support to become more successful with more certainty.
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Assuming you are managing enterprise risks well can be dangerous
You might be taking too much risk unknowingly but you might also be taking too little risk and failing to make the best use of your business assets.
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Controlling the risks in the workplace is not just about safety and business insurance. Your business must control enterprise wide risks. What is the aggregate effect of risk on your business objectives? Do you understand the threats to objectives and the opportunities you have in front of you?
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We are only at the beginning of the 4th Industrial Revolution. Many jobs are going to disappear. Many jobs are going to change. Businesses that don’t change to reflect emerging risks will not survive the rapid changes that have started but will accelerate over next few years.
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There is a yin and yang to all threats and opportunities.
Every threat comes with an opportunity to change for the better.
Every opportunity comes with a threat that the new will destroy existing value.
Business decision makers have tougher choices now than many recent business leaders have faced and many choices may threaten survival if you choose badly. Making good choices could also drive your business forward much faster than recently possible due to the financial crisis of 2008 and recovery therefrom.
Have you identified and assessed your enterprise wide risks?
What have you done about the more significant risks to your business objectives? Managing risk is increasingly central to the art of business management. It is not a science. What is right for one business may not work for another in the same industry. Much will depend on the leaders of each business within the same industry.
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New Automotive Industry Entrants and Cross Sector Collaboration Will Bring New Threats and Opportunities
26th June 2020 Amazon Robot Delivery plus Amazon Autonomous Self Driving Vehicles To Buy In Showroom?
Amazon is one of the most successful businesses at developing innovative business growth strategy. Last year Amazon invested half a billion dollars in self driving car startup Aurora Innovation Inc. This year it looks like Amazon is continuing its investment in the car sector.
Amazon has bought robotics and autonomous vehicle company Zoox. Are they just beefing up their knowledge and business intelligence for robotic self delivery or would you buy an Amazon self driving autonomous car from a showroom instead of a Tesla. Amazons purchase of Zoox is in the region of 3 billion dollars.
31st October 2019 PSA Group the owner of Peugeot and Fiat Chrysler Agree 50 Billion Dollar Merger
The merger will create the fourth largest automotive manufacturer in the world. The merger is needed strategically due to the significant investment required by both firms to keep up with the competition. Both firms need to invest heavily in electric cars and driverless technology to be ready now never mind the future sustainability.
28th August 2019 Toyota and Suzuki Collaborating On Self Driving Car Technology
Toyota and Suzuki announce they are working together on self driving car technology.
Toyota will take a 4.9 percent share of Suzuki Motor Corp and Suzuki will invest in Toyota
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22nd August 2019 Audi Daimler Ford and BMW Developing Alliance To Build Advanced Driving Assistance and Autonomous Systems According German Wirtschaftswoche Article.
The automotive manufacturers are collaborating on autonomous driving and parking systems.
The 4th industrial revolution is about to turn the automotive industry upside down rip up traditional business models and will come out the other side better and stronger but very different.
Many new features in cars and other vehicles that took a decade to normalise across the industry will need to be incorporated in a few short years. The automotive industry as always evolved but a revolution is under way.
Those who don’t keep up will be squashed to death!
Those that get on the bus will see a very different road ahead.
Those that resist change will cease to exist, and those that embrace change may or may not benefit from the changes
The pace of change within components that do or could go into vehicles is fast but the pace in which the automotive industry is changing is breath-taking, and its accelerating!
The world’s auto industry will have more customers demands to meet, but what are they going to deliver and when? Automated vehicles powered by renewable energy is nothing new. How quickly can society keep up with what is possible on the roads? Will automotive industry take to the skies! Will we get into autonomous vehicles AV and literally fly to work whilst playing computer games! Will the automobile get swallowed up whole by Google Apple and Sony?
The greatest challenge for the car industry is very similar to the greatest challenge for all gadgets gizmos plant machinery and equipment particularly those presently powered by carbon based power sources. Its battery technology that needs to change.
Tesla is leading the way not in cars but in batteries. Tesla batteries are being used to store power from the National Grid in the UK and then being fed back into the UK national electricity network when needed.
Decarbonisation is one factor driving the need to boost battery power for longer on remote items of plant and equipment like cars. However battery technology is key for all parts of global society for different reasons. In less well developed economies battery technology improvement will create new markets domestically and international trade development. In well developed economies like UK battery technology improvements will totally change what we manufacture and how we manufacture it.
Dyson cars will lock horns with Tesla cars but both will invest more in batteries than car design.
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3rd October 2018 GM and Honda New Project
General Motors and Honda have announced a partnership to develop and build an autonomous multi use vehicle together.
13th June 2018 VW Fined 1 Billion Euros By German Prosecutors
Volkswagen has been fined by German prosecutors for diesel emissions scandal. VW has already been fined by other countries for cheating the tests for diesel emissions. VW has agreed to pay more than 4 billion dollars to resolve criminal and civil penalties for installing illegal software in diesel engines to cheat USA anti pollution tests.
15th March 2018 Auto Parts Maker New Strategic Direction
Automotive parts supplier Magna International Inc will invest $200 million in ride-hailing firm Lyft. Their new partnership will develop and manufacture self driving cars.
20th February 2018 Ford Aims To Set Up German Bank To Offset Any Brexit Risk
Ford Credit Europe will remain headquartered in Britain and the new bank plans will not result in job losses or significant changes to where employees are based.
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The Threat of Rising Bond Yields in European and American Bond Markets
Bond yields are the interest rates that investors receive when they lend money to governments or corporations. Bond yields have been rising steadily in recent months, both in Europe and the United States. This is due to a number of factors, including the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates and concerns about inflation.
Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses. For investors, rising bond yields can lead to losses on existing bond holdings. For businesses, rising bond yields can make it more expensive to borrow money.
This article will explore the threat of rising bond yields in European and American bond markets in more detail. It will also discuss some of the risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from this threat.
Why are bond yields rising?
There are a number of reasons why bond yields are rising in European and American bond markets. One reason is the Federal Reserve’s plans to raise interest rates. The Federal Reserve raises interest rates in an effort to combat inflation. When interest rates rise, the cost of borrowing money increases. This can lead to a decrease in demand for bonds, which can cause bond yields to rise.
Another reason for rising bond yields is concerns about inflation. Inflation is the rate at which prices for goods and services are rising. When inflation is high, investors demand higher returns on their investments to compensate for the loss of purchasing power. This can lead to an increase in bond yields.
What are the risks of rising bond yields?
Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses.
For investors, rising bond yields can lead to losses on existing bond holdings. When bond yields rise, the prices of existing bonds fall. This is because investors can buy new bonds with higher yields, which makes older bonds with lower yields less attractive.
For businesses, rising bond yields can make it more expensive to borrow money. Businesses often borrow money to finance growth and investment. When bond yields rise, the cost of borrowing money increases. This can make it more difficult for businesses to finance their growth and investment plans.
What can investors and businesses do to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields?
There are a number of risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields.
Investors
Investors can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by diversifying their portfolios and investing in shorter-term bonds.
Diversification means investing in a variety of different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, Bitcoin and property. By diversifying their portfolios, investors can reduce their overall risk.
Investing in shorter-term bonds can also help investors to protect themselves from rising bond yields. Shorter-term bonds have less interest rate risk than longer-term bonds. This is because shorter-term bonds are more likely to mature before interest rates rise significantly.
Businesses
Businesses can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by hedging their interest rate risk and borrowing money at fixed interest rates.
Hedging interest rate risk involves using financial instruments to offset the risk of changes in interest rates. There are a number of different hedging instruments available, such as interest rate swaps and options.
Borrowing money at fixed interest rates can also help businesses to protect themselves from rising bond yields. When businesses borrow money at fixed interest rates, they lock in the interest rate for the life of the loan. This protects them from the risk of rising interest rates during the term of the loan.
Conclusion
Rising bond yields can have a number of negative consequences for investors and businesses. However, there are a number of risk management actions that investors and businesses can take to protect themselves from this threat.
Investors can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by diversifying their portfolios and investing in shorter-term bonds. Businesses can protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields by hedging their interest rate risk and borrowing money at fixed interest rates.
I urge investors and business leaders to take risk management action to protect themselves from the threat of rising bond yields. By taking action now, you can minimise the potential impact of rising bond yields on your investments and your business.
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The pace of business change is increasing. How many people will drive for a living in the next decade? How many people will work in warehouses in next 10 years? What new risks are emerging for businesses when the dramatic changes of 4th Industrial Revolution expected soon are commonly in place?
Cyber crime or error is just one of the threats. How should a business like Amazon react if they are threatened by a cyber criminals who say they have the capability to shut down its warehouse and distribution drones! They presumably have not but even if it was never possible how would Amazons share price react? What will this mean for Amazon’s ability to borrow to invest in its future?
Like Amazon every business has its own most threatening risks and most exciting opportunities to grow.
Both the threats and the opportunities mean rapid changes are afoot for most businesses in the coming decade. With limited resources, what should your business focus on?
Do you have the time and energy to cope especially with information overload disrupting your ability to pick the right key risks to manage and which to accept or avoid.
Change does not mean bad disruption to the norms change can bring good disruption for your business
Are you innovative? Is your business innovative? Do you have people in your business who are innovative?
Sure you are! Yes it is! Yes you do! You may not have found the best way to harness a well of innovation in your business till now.
BusinessRiskTV and its business partners will facilitate an innovative process in your business to overcome good and bad disruptive risks facing your organisation now and in future :
There are cheaper ways to do what you do now
Experts in business can help you
Get a quiet night’s sleep knowing threats are reduced
Seize a competitive advantage to grow faster
Collaborate to maximise the investment in your own assets
Solve the big questions being asked of your business
Positive Risk Management
Get the answers you need to know what to do next that will have the best net positive impact on your business. What are the critical risk factors you need to manage? How viable are your existing business opportunities?
Some corporate risks are mature and well known but how does YOUR business manage them in the most cost effective way? Other corporate risks are just emerging. Do you know which ones present the biggest threats and opportunities for your business?
If you know what the key risks are do YOU oversee the impact on your business or have you delegated it?
Do others in your organisation want to seize a business advantage of your competitors as much as you do? Do your competitors want any of your existing business revenue?
No you can not do everything yourself but are you creating the right risk management culture to ensure that others are of the same mind as you?
If you are not changing your failing!
Do you currently have a sustainable business model?
Have you assessed and managed your competitive advantages to squeeze the best out of your existing resources in terms of performance?
Do you have a Business Enterprise Risk Management Road Map to make achieving your business objectives more likely?
