Tag: Business Risk Intelligence

Business Risk Intelligence With BusinessRiskTV

BusinessRiskTV.com is a leading platform for business risk intelligence, providing a wealth of information and insights to help businesses understand and mitigate potential risks. Business risk intelligence is a critical component of any successful business strategy, as it allows organisations to stay ahead of emerging threats and make informed decisions that can help them to maintain a competitive edge.

At its core, business risk intelligence is all about identifying and assessing potential risks to a business. This can include everything from financial risks, such as market volatility or credit risk, to operational risks, such as cyber threats, supply chain disruptions, or natural disasters. By staying informed about these risks, businesses can take steps to mitigate them before they become major issues.

BusinessRiskTV.com provides a wide range of resources to help businesses stay up-to-date on the latest risks and trends in their industries. These resources include articles, reports, webinars, and other educational content, all of which are designed to help businesses better understand the risks they face and how to mitigate them.

In addition to its educational resources, BusinessRiskTV.com also offers a variety of tools and services to help businesses manage their risks more effectively. These include risk assessment and management software, as well as consulting services and other resources to help businesses identify and mitigate risks.

One of the key advantages of using BusinessRiskTV.com for business risk intelligence is the platform’s global reach. With users and contributors from around the world, BusinessRiskTV.com offers a truly international perspective on business risks, allowing businesses to stay informed about emerging threats and trends in their industries, no matter where they are located.

Overall, business risk intelligence is an essential component of any successful business strategy, and BusinessRiskTV.com is a valuable resource for businesses looking to stay ahead of the curve when it comes to identifying and mitigating potential risks. With its comprehensive range of resources and tools, BusinessRiskTV.com is a must-have for any organisation looking to manage its risks more effectively and maintain a competitive edge in today’s rapidly changing business landscape.

Resilient Business Growth No Matter The Business Environment

How to build a resilient business growth strategy despite political and economic uncertainty

“In the turbulent theatre of modern business, where the next political decree can feel like a plot twist from a poorly written drama, one statistic stands stark: 8 out of 10 businesses fail within the first 18 months. Not because of a lack of passion, not because of poor ideas, but often, because of unmanaged risks. You, like me and countless other resilient business leaders, refuse to let external chaos dictate your destiny. We’re driven by an insatiable hunger for growth, a refusal to be sidelined by political whims. If your appetite for business expansion is undiminished, if you’re searching for a community of like-minded individuals to navigate the ever-shifting sands of commerce, then you’ve found your tribe. Welcome to the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club. This isn’t just another networking group; it’s a strategic alliance, a fortress of knowledge, and a launchpad for accelerated, resilient growth.”

Let’s face it. We’ve all seen the news. Regulations change overnight. Markets fluctuate wildly. And don’t even get me started on the global economic climate. You’re a business leader. You’re not looking for excuses, you’re looking for solutions. That’s why we built this club.

What is the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club?

It’s a curated community designed to empower you with the tools, insights, and connections needed to thrive in any environment. We understand that risk isn’t just about avoiding disaster; it’s about identifying opportunities hidden within uncertainty. It’s about turning potential threats into competitive advantages.

Enterprise Risk Management Magazine articles
Growing Through All Types Of Business Environments

Why Join Our Business Risk Management Club?

  • Strategic Insights: You’ll gain access to exclusive webinars, workshops, and reports from leading risk management experts. We’re not talking about generic advice. We’re talking about actionable strategies tailored to the real-world challenges you face.
  • Peer-to-Peer Learning: Connect with a network of seasoned business leaders who understand the pressures you face. Share best practices, collaborate on projects, and find mentors who can guide you through your growth journey.
  • Risk Mitigation Tools: We provide members with access to proprietary risk assessment tools and frameworks, enabling you to identify and mitigate potential threats before they impact your bottom line.
  • Growth Acceleration: Our focus is on empowering you to capitalise on emerging opportunities and accelerate your business growth, regardless of the external environment.
  • “You can’t control the weather, but you can build a stronger ship.” This is the core of our philosophy. We equip you to navigate any storm.

Risk Management Business Intelligence You Can Work From:

  1. Monthly Risk Intelligence Briefings:
    • These briefings provide in-depth analysis of emerging risks and opportunities, covering geopolitical, economic, and technological trends.
    • Each briefing includes actionable recommendations and case studies to help you apply the insights to your own business.
    • We will break down complex information into digestible, practical takeaways.
    • For example, a recent briefing explored the impact of AI on cybersecurity, providing strategies for protecting your business from evolving threats.
  2. Interactive Risk Assessment Workshops:
    • These workshops guide you through a structured process for identifying and assessing risks within your organisation.
    • You’ll learn how to develop risk mitigation plans and monitor their effectiveness.
    • We use real-world scenarios and interactive exercises to enhance your understanding.
    • “I have seen many businesses fail due to lack of planning, these workshops will provide you with the tools to plan.”
    • We will provide templates for risk registers and risk impact matrices.
  3. Industry-Specific Risk Forums:
    • Connect with peers in your industry to discuss specific risk challenges and share best practices.
    • These forums provide a platform for collaborative problem-solving and knowledge sharing.
    • We cover a wide range of industries, including finance, technology, healthcare, and manufacturing.
    • We will focus on the most pressing risk that affect each industry.
  4. Exclusive Access to Risk Management Tools:
    • Our members receive access to proprietary risk assessment software and templates, enabling them to streamline their risk management processes.
    • These tools include risk registers, risk impact matrices, and scenario planning templates.
    • We provide training and support to help you maximise the value of these tools.
    • We will provide the tools that allow you to visualise your risk.
  5. Personalised Risk Consulting:
    • Members can schedule one-on-one consultations with our risk management experts to address specific challenges and develop tailored solutions.
    • These consultations provide personalised guidance and support to help you achieve your business goals.
    • We focus on delivering practical, actionable advice that you can implement immediately.
    • We will pair you with a risk management expert that specialises in your industry.
  6. “Navigating Political Uncertainty” Forum:
    • This ongoing series focuses on providing strategies to mitigate the impact of political changes on your business.
    • We analyse policy shifts, regulatory changes, and geopolitical events, providing actionable insights.
    • Experts will provide deep insights, and we will translate that into practical advice.
    • “Political uncertainty is a constant, we must adapt.”
  7. “Cybersecurity Resilience” Training:
    • With the increasing prevalence of cyber threats, this training programme equips you with the knowledge and skills to protect your business.
    • We cover topics such as data protection, threat detection, and incident response.
    • Hands-on exercises and real-world case studies enhance your understanding.
    • We will show you how to build a robust cybersecurity framework.
  8. “Supply Chain Risk Management” Workshops:
    • In today’s interconnected world, supply chain disruptions can have a significant impact on your business.
    • These workshops provide strategies for building resilient supply chains and mitigating potential disruptions.
    • We cover topics such as supplier risk assessment, inventory management, and logistics optimisation.
    • We will provide you with a framework to analyse your supply chain.
  9. “Financial Risk Mitigation” Seminars:
    • These seminars focus on providing strategies for managing financial risks, including market volatility, credit risk, and liquidity risk.
    • Experts will provide insights into financial modelling, risk analysis, and hedging strategies.
    • We will help you build a robust financial risk management framework.
  10. “Innovation Risk Management” Programme:
    • Innovation is essential for growth, but it also involves risks.
    • This programme provides strategies for managing the risks associated with innovation, including product development, market entry, and technology adoption.
    • We will provide a framework for balancing innovation with risk mitigation.

Addressing You Directly:

You understand the challenges of running a business in today’s environment. You’ve seen the impact of unpredictable regulations and economic fluctuations. You’re looking for a community of like-minded leaders who share your drive and resilience. That’s exactly what you’ll find in the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club.

Viewers, you’re not alone in your pursuit of growth. You’re not alone in facing the challenges of risk management. We’re here to provide you with the tools, insights, and connections you need to succeed.

The Power of Business Risk Management Club Community:

The club is more than just a collection of resources; it’s a vibrant community of business leaders who are committed to helping each other succeed. We believe that by sharing knowledge and collaborating on solutions, we can overcome any obstacle.

A seasoned entrepreneur, said, “The greatest risk is not taking any risk at all.” But he also stressed the importance of calculated risks, informed decisions, and robust risk management strategies. That’s what we’re here to provide.

Why Join Business Risk Management Club Now?

The business landscape is changing rapidly. The risks are greater than ever. But so are the opportunities. By joining the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club, you’ll be positioned to capitalise on these opportunities and navigate the challenges with confidence.

Our Commitment to You:

We are committed to providing you with the highest quality resources and support. We are constantly updating our content and tools to ensure that you have access to the latest insights and best practices.

Join the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club Today:

Don’t let uncertainty hold you back. Join our community of resilient business leaders and accelerate your growth.

Explore our website today to learn more about the BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club and to join our community.

We believe that every business has the potential to thrive, regardless of the challenges it faces. By joining our club, you’ll gain the tools, insights, and connections you need to unlock your full potential.

We look forward to welcoming you to our community.

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  1. How to build a resilient business growth strategy despite political and economic uncertainty.
  2. Best risk management tools and community for small business leaders facing regulatory changes.
  3. Strategies for mitigating supply chain risks and accelerating business growth in a volatile market.
  4. Where to find personalised risk consulting and industry-specific risk management forums for entrepreneurs.
  5. Comprehensive cybersecurity resilience training and political uncertainty analysis for business risk mitigation.

Relevant hashtags :

  1. #UncertaintyAdvantage
  2. #ResilienceRevolution
  3. #GrowthBeyondPolitics
  4. #StrategicRiskIntel
  5. #FutureProofYourBiz
  6. #BusinessRiskTV
  7. #ProRiskManager
  8. #RiskManagement

Resilient Business Growth No Matter The Business Environment

Who or what blocks intelligent risk-taking within a business?

Risk managers often become scapegoats!

Intelligent Risk-Taking: Friend or Foe of Effective Risk Management?

In the dynamic world of business, calculated risks are the lifeblood of innovation and growth. Yet, a robust risk management (RM) methodology forms the cornerstone of sustainable success. This begs the question: is risk management inherently opposed to intelligent risk-taking, or are there other culprits hindering strategic growth? This article delves into this complex relationship, analysing recent events like BlackRock’s ESG shift and Lloyd’s bank’s RM personnel redundancies to shed light on the true barriers to intelligent risk-taking.

The Balancing Act: RM vs. Growth

A well-defined RM methodology identifies potential threats, assesses their impact, and implements mitigation strategies. This proactive approach safeguards the organisation from unforeseen circumstances. However, overly stringent risk frameworks can stifle innovation. Fear of failure can paralyse decision-making, hindering the exploration of new ventures that may hold significant rewards. BlackRock’s recent partial withdrawal from rigid ESG (environmental, social, and governance) principles exemplifies this tension. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink acknowledged the need for a balance between ESG considerations and financial returns, suggesting overly restrictive ESG frameworks might inhibit investment opportunities [1].

The Culprits: Risk Owners or Risk Management?

The burden of promoting intelligent risk-taking shouldn’t solely fall on RM professionals. Risk owners – individuals accountable for specific risks – and senior management play a vital role. Risk owners might lack the necessary risk assessment skills, leading to a passive approach towards risk management. Similarly, senior management, preoccupied with short-term goals, may prioritise risk avoidance over calculated risks aligned with long-term strategy.

City A.M.’s report of Lloyd’s bank laying off RM personnel in the UK suggests a potential disconnect between RM practices and business strategy [2]. Here, the issue might lie in inadequate communication or a misalignment of risk appetite with the organisation’s goals. Layoffs may indicate a need for cultural change within the bank, promoting a risk-aware yet growth-oriented mindset.

The Role of Effective Risk Management

Effective RM methodologies are not inherently opposed to intelligent risk-taking. In fact, they can be powerful tools for promoting calculated risks:

  • Risk Identification: A comprehensive risk assessment identifies not only threats but also opportunities. Anticipating future trends helps identify potential areas for strategic growth.
  • Risk Prioritisation: By prioritising risks based on their likelihood and impact, resources can be strategically allocated. This allows for calculated risk-taking in areas with high potential rewards and lower risks.
  • Risk Mitigation Strategies: Developing effective mitigation plans minimises the downsides of pursuing strategic risks. This allows for bolder exploration while safeguarding core business operations.
  • Risk Appetite Definition: Setting clear risk tolerance levels empowers employees to make informed decisions within acceptable boundaries. This fosters a culture of calculated risk-taking while ensuring sound judgment.
  • Continuous Monitoring and Review: Regularly reviewing risks and RM strategies ensures adaptability. This allows for course correction and promotes taking advantage of favourable market conditions.

BlackRock’s ESG shift offers a valuable lesson: overly restrictive RM frameworks can stifle growth. Conversely, Lloyd’s bank’s layoffs suggest potential misalignment between risk management and business strategy.

Here are 9 ways to ensure a holistic RM methodology supports business strategy and goals:

  1. Integrate RM into Business Strategy: Embed RM principles at all organisational levels, ensuring alignment with strategic objectives.
  2. Foster a Risk-Aware Culture: Encourage open communication about risk at all levels, promoting a culture of calculated risk-taking.
  3. Empower Risk Owners: Equip risk owners with the necessary skills to effectively assess and manage risks.
  4. Define Clear Risk Appetite: Set clear risk tolerance levels to provide a framework for informed decision-making.
  5. Prioritise Risk Management: Allocate adequate resources to ensure a robust and adaptable RM programme.
  6. Promote Communication: Foster open dialogue between risk owners, RM professionals, and senior management.
  7. Invest in Risk Management Tools: Utilise data-driven risk assessment tools to support informed decision-making.
  8. Regular Review and Updates: Regularly review risk assessments and RM processes to ensure continuous improvement.
  9. Celebrate Calculated Risk-Taking: Acknowledge and reward successful ventures that embrace calculated risks.

By adopting these strategies, organisations can cultivate a balance between risk management and intelligent risk-taking, driving innovation and sustainable growth. Remember, effective risk management isn’t about eliminating risk entirely; it’s about embracing calculated risks for a prosperous future.

References:

  • (1) BlackRock’s recent withdrawal from ESG principles can be referenced from news articles or financial publications.
  • (2) The Lloyd’s bank layoffs can be referenced from City A.M.’s report:
  • Lloyds Bank is cutting jobs in risk management as it sees risk management principles and practices and methodology as being a block to its transformation progress. The group’s chief risk officer Stephen Shelley said in a memo last month that it was “resetting our approach to risk and controls” following an internal review. Shelley noted that two-thirds of Lloyds’ executives thought risk management was impeding progress, while less than half of its workforce believed “intelligent risk-taking” was encouraged. He said Lloyds’ “initial focus is on non-financial risks” and a new model would allow it to “move at greater pace” on its group strategy. “We know people are frustrated by time-consuming processes and ingrained ways of working that impede our ability to be competitive and leave us lagging behind our peers,” Shelley added. The Financial Times first reported the news. A person familiar with the matter told City A.M. that the restructuring would see around 175 permanent roles at risk of redundancy, including 153 in the risk unit. However, the person added that the lender expected to create 130 vacancies focused on specialist risk and technical expertise. Some 3,600 people currently work in Lloyds’ risk division. Will loosening its risk controls “could potentially have catastrophic consequences for the future of the bank”. In this case, there are around 45 role reductions, after new roles being created are factored in.” Lloyds, which has around 60,000 total employees, launched a plan in February 2022 to invest £4bn over the next five years to diversify away from interest rate-sensitive income streams like mortgages and become a “digital leader”.
  • Are risk management principles practices and methodology a block to corporate progression?

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Why are gene-edited foods so controversial?

Is gene-editing a risk?

Gene-Edited Meat: A Bite of the Future, or a Recipe for Risk?

As a human biology expert, I’m here to delve into the world of gene-edited meat, a burgeoning technology with the potential to revolutionise our plates. This article will dissect the science behind it, exploring the potential benefits and drawbacks for consumers like you and me.

What is Gene-Edited Meat?

Traditional livestock farming raises concerns about animal welfare, environmental impact, and antibiotic use. Gene editing offers a solution. It’s a precise technique that alters an animal’s DNA to introduce desired traits. Unlike genetically modified organisms (GMOs), which insert foreign genes, gene editing makes targeted changes within an organism’s existing genetic code.

Potential Benefits for Consumers:

  • Healthier Meat: Gene editing could create meat with improved nutritional profiles. Imagine meat with lower saturated fat content, enriched with omega-3 fatty acids, or containing essential vitamins. This could benefit consumers concerned about heart health and overall well-being.
  • Enhanced Animal Welfare: Gene editing could reduce suffering in livestock. For instance, researchers are exploring ways to edit genes associated with faster growth rates, potentially reducing the time animals spend in cramped enclosures. Additionally, editing genes that cause painful conditions, like horns in cattle, could improve animal welfare.
  • Sustainable Production: The livestock industry contributes significantly to greenhouse gas emissions and deforestation. Gene editing could improve feed efficiency in animals, reducing the environmental footprint of meat production. Additionally, editing for disease resistance could decrease reliance on antibiotics, promoting sustainability and potentially reducing antibiotic resistance in humans.
  • Reduced Foodborne Illnesses: Certain gene edits aim to eliminate pathogens like E. coli in animals, leading to safer meat products. This could minimise the risk of foodborne illnesses for consumers.
  • Transparency and Labelling: Regulatory bodies are developing labelling frameworks for gene-edited meat. This transparency can empower consumers to make informed choices about the food they eat.

Potential Concerns for Consumers:

  • Unintended Consequences: Gene editing is a relatively new technology. While scientists strive for precision, unintended consequences are a possibility. These could affect the animal’s health or introduce unexpected changes in the meat itself. Rigorous testing and long-term studies are crucial to ensure safety.
  • Allergenicity: Introducing new genetic elements, even small edits, could inadvertently trigger allergies in some consumers. Extensive testing is needed to evaluate potential allergenicity risks.
  • Ethical Considerations: Some argue that gene editing disrupts the natural order and raises ethical concerns. Open discussions and clear regulations are necessary to address these concerns.
  • Corporate Control: There’s a possibility that large corporations could dominate the gene-edited meat market, potentially limiting consumer choice and raising concerns about affordability. Regulatory frameworks should promote competition and fair access to this technology.
  • Long-Term Health Effects: The long-term health effects of consuming gene-edited meat are unknown. Long-term studies are essential to ensure consumer safety over generations.

The Road Ahead for Gene-Edited Meat:

Gene-edited meat holds immense promise for a more sustainable, ethical, and potentially healthier food system. However, addressing the potential risks and ensuring public trust are crucial for its successful adoption.

  • Transparency and Public Engagement: Open communication about the science behind gene editing, potential benefits and risks, and regulatory processes is vital. Public engagement fosters trust and allows for informed consumer choices.
  • Independent Research: Independent research, alongside industry-funded studies, is crucial to ensuring objective assessments of safety and long-term impacts. Truly transparent research does not mean research funded by bodies directly or indirectly funded by organisations and businesses likely to benefit from the results of the research.
  • Robust Regulations: Regulatory frameworks must be established to ensure rigorous safety testing, clear labelling, and responsible development of this technology.

The Choice on Your Plate:

Gene-edited meat has the potential to revolutionise our food system. However, the decision of whether to consume it ultimately rests with you – if you are fully informed to make a decision. By understanding the science and the ongoing discussions, you can make informed choices about the food you eat. As research progresses and regulations evolve, gene-edited meat may become a safe, sustainable, and ethical addition to our diets.

Remember:

  • Gene editing is a precise tool with the potential to improve meat production.
  • Potential benefits include healthier meat, improved animal welfare, and sustainable production.
  • Potential concerns include unintended consequences, allergenicity, and ethical considerations.
  • Transparency, public engagement, and robust regulations are crucial for the responsible development and adoption of gene-edited meat.

Let’s continue this conversation as science progresses. As a human biology expert, I’m committed to providing you with the latest information to empower your food choices.

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Impossible To Know What Will Happen In 2024 So How Can You Be Prepared For Anything and Everything?

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Navigating the Uncertain Seas: Key Elements for Your 2024 Risk Management Plan

As we stand at the precipice of 2024, the economic landscape appears shrouded in a veil of uncertainty. The IMF warns of a “fragile recovery,” the ECB echoes concerns of “heightened financial stability risks,” while the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve contemplate further interest rate cuts. In this climate of volatility, having a robust risk management plan in place is no longer a mere option, but a critical imperative for business leaders.

This article, penned by an experienced business risk management expert, serves as your guide in navigating these uncertain waters. We will delve into the key elements you must include in your 2024 risk management plan, drawing on insights from leading global financial institutions to equip you with the tools necessary to weather the coming storm.

1. Embrace a Forward-Looking Perspective:

Traditional risk management often adopts a reactive stance, focusing on mitigating known threats. However, in today’s rapidly evolving environment, such an approach is akin to navigating a storm with outdated weather charts. In 2024, it is crucial to adopt a forward-looking perspective, actively scanning the horizon for emerging risks and proactively constructing safeguards.

The IMF stresses this need for vigilance, stating, “Global risks remain elevated, and policymakers need to be prepared for potential shocks.” This necessitates incorporating scenario planning into your risk management framework. Consider various plausible economic, geopolitical, and technological scenarios, and assess their potential impact on your business operations. By anticipating potential disruptions, you can develop adaptive strategies that allow you to pivot and thrive even in unforeseen circumstances.

2. Prioritise Financial Resilience:

With central banks hinting at interest rate cuts and a potential economic slowdown looming, financial resilience should be at the core of your 2024 risk management plan. The Bank of England warns of “heightened vulnerabilities in the financial system,” highlighting the need for businesses to shore up their financial reserves. You need to get ready to seize new business opportunities as well as threats in 2024.

Here are some actionable steps you can take:

  • Conduct thorough stress testing to assess your ability to withstand various economic shocks.
  • Diversify your funding sources to reduce dependence on any single lender.
  • Tighten control over operational costs and implement measures to improve cash flow.
  • Build financial buffers to weather potential downturns.
  • Develop your ability as a business to be more innovative.

Remember, a robust financial position provides a critical safety net during turbulent times, allowing you to seize strategic opportunities while your competitors struggle.

3. Fortify Your Cybersecurity Defenses:

The digital landscape is increasingly fraught with cyber threats, ranging from sophisticated ransomware attacks to data breaches. As the ECB aptly states, “Cybersecurity risks remain a key source of financial stability vulnerabilities.” In 2024, businesses must prioritise fortifying their cybersecurity defenses to protect sensitive data and critical infrastructure.

Here are some essential steps to take:

  • Invest in robust cybersecurity software and regularly update it.
  • Implement rigorous employee training programs to raise awareness of cyber threats and best practices.
  • Conduct regular penetration testing to identify and address vulnerabilities in your systems.
  • Develop a comprehensive incident response plan to effectively handle cyber attacks.

Remember, a single cyber breach can inflict significant financial and reputational damage. By prioritising cybersecurity in your risk management plan, you can safeguard your business against these ever-evolving threats.

4. Foster a Culture of Risk Awareness:

Effective risk management extends beyond implementing policies and procedures. It requires fostering a culture of risk awareness within your organisation. The Federal Reserve emphasises the importance of “a strong risk culture,” stressing its role in identifying and mitigating emerging threats.

Here are some ways to cultivate a risk-aware culture:

  • Encourage open communication and transparency regarding potential risks.
  • Empower employees to report concerns and participate in risk identification processes.
  • Regularly train employees on risk management practices and procedures.
  • Reward employees for proactively identifying and mitigating risks.

By embedding risk awareness into your corporate fabric, you empower your employees to become active participants in safeguarding your business, creating a more resilient and adaptable organization.

5. Embrace Agility and Adaptability:

The volatile economic landscape of 2024 demands agility and adaptability. As the IMF aptly puts it, “Uncertainty remains high, and flexibility will be key.” This means being prepared to adjust your strategies and operations as circumstances evolve.

Here are some ways to cultivate agility:

  • Decentralise decision-making to allow for quicker responses to changing circumstances.
  • Implement flat organisational structures to facilitate information flow and collaboration.
  • Invest in technologies that enable remote work and flexible business models.
  • Regularly re-evaluate your risk management plan and make adjustments as needed.

Remember, businesses that can adapt to changing circumstances are better equipped to seize opportunities and navigate unforeseen challenges.

Conclusion:

The year 2024 promises to be a year of economic uncertainty and potential turbulence. However, by incorporating the key elements outlined in this article, you can develop a robust risk management plan that safeguards your business and positions you for success. Remember, effective risk management is not a one-time exercise, but an ongoing process. Continuously monitor the evolving landscape, update your plan accordingly, and foster a culture of risk awareness within your organisation. By remaining vigilant, adaptable, and financially resilient, you can navigate the uncertain seas of 2024 and emerge stronger on the other side.

In closing, let us leave you with the words of Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank: “Resilience is not built overnight. It requires constant vigilance, preparedness, and adaptation. Let us be the generation that builds stronger foundations for a more resilient future.”

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Risk Management Planning Hampered By Vastly Inaccurate Risk Management Modelling Platforms

If you don’t have confidence in your risk management modelling system, then you cannot have confidence in your risk management plan!

The Cloudy Crystal Ball: Why Economic Models Can’t Predict the Future (and What We Can Do About It)

As business leaders and consumers in the UK navigate the ever-turbulent waters of the global economy, one question looms large: can we trust the forecasts? Economic models, once hailed as oracles of the future, have stumbled badly in recent years, failing to anticipate major events like the 2008 financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic. This has left many wondering: are we all just flying blind?

The Limits of the Model Machine:

Economic models are not, and never will be, crystal balls. While these complex mathematical constructs can provide valuable insights into economic trends, they are inherently limited by a number of factors:

  • Incomplete Data: Economic models rely on historical data to identify patterns and relationships. However,the economy is a dynamic system,constantly evolving in unpredictable ways. New technologies, political upheavals, and natural disasters can all throw sand in the gears of even the most sophisticated model.
  • Human Factor Flaw: The economy is ultimately driven by human behaviour,which is notoriously difficult to predict. Models often struggle to account for factors like consumer confidence, investor sentiment, and political decision-making, leading to inaccuracies.
  • The Black Swan Problem: As Nassim Nicholas Taleb famously argued,unforeseen events – “black swans” – can have a profound impact on the economy. Models excel at predicting the familiar, but struggle to handle the truly unexpected.

The Governor’s Voice:

This point has been echoed by no less than Andrew Bailey, the Governor of the Bank of England, who, in a speech earlier this year, stated:

“Economic models are powerful tools, but they are not infallible. They are based on historical data and assumptions, and they can be blindsided by unexpected events. It is important to remember that models are not reality, they are just a simplified representation of it.”

Beyond the Model Maze:

So, if economic models cannot be relied upon for perfect foresight, are we doomed to make decisions in the dark? Absolutely not. While models may not provide infallible predictions, they can still be valuable tools for understanding the underlying dynamics of the economy. Here are some ways we can move beyond the limitations of models and make informed decisions in a world of uncertainty:

  • Embrace Scenario Planning: Instead of relying on a single “most likely” forecast, consider multiple scenarios, ranging from optimistic to pessimistic. This allows for a more nuanced understanding of potential risks and opportunities.
  • Focus on Leading Indicators: While lagging indicators, like GDP growth, tell us what has happened, leading indicators, like consumer confidence surveys, can provide clues about what might happen. By monitoring these signals, we can be better prepared for potential shifts in the economy.
  • Listen to the Ground: Don’t get lost in the data blizzard. Talk to businesses, consumers, and workers on the ground to get a sense of their lived experiences and concerns. This qualitative data can complement the quantitative insights from models and provide a more holistic understanding of the economic landscape.
  • Prioritise Adaptability: In a world of constant change, the ability to adapt is key. Businesses and consumers should focus on building resilience and flexibility into their plans, allowing them to adjust to unforeseen circumstances.

Conclusion:

Economic models are imperfect tools, but they are not useless. By understanding their limitations and employing additional strategies, we can move beyond the model maze and make informed decisions in an uncertain world. As Bank of England Governor Bailey reminded us, “The future is always uncertain, but by being prepared and adaptable, we can navigate the challenges ahead and build a more resilient economy.”

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Keep your risk knowledge and business intelligence up to date. Risk managers are faced with many enterprise risk changes impacting on business decision-making. Get the latest business risk management articles on risk management news opinions and reviews.

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Business Risk News : if your objective is freedom and success you will need objectivity, clarity and independence of thought from your news source to discover freedom and success in business. The wider news media is useless to you as it has its own agenda. If your recognise that this is the real truth and understand why that impacts on your ability to make your business a success then you will want to come back to BusinessRiskTV Risk News more often for help to inform your better decision making process to achieve success in business with less uncertainty. Don’t let yourself be brainwashed by the agenda of others not aligned to your business objectives.

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Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

Exploring preparation for a global recession with a businessrisktv.com

What happens to commodity prices in a recession

The coming global recession will slash demand for oil copper and the like. Prices for most commodities will fall. If the world falls into depression commodity prices will fall off a cliff including oil.

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Some prices can rise temporarily as people seek a safe haven. People may flee to gold or a few commodities that they think will safe harbour their money during a recession. However a depression, which is more and more likely, causes most commodity prices to collapse.

June’s weaker demand for commodities signals that an economic global recession is coming closer.

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Global recession is necessary to stop runaway global inflation. The hard landing is the only option now available due to the lacklustre response to control inflation by Central banks and global national government.

Agricultural demand and energy demand is likely to keep rising during the autumn and winter and will sustain high commodity prices. This is likely to be aggravated by poor geopolitical decision-making by incompetent national leaders and global bodies like WHO, UN and WEF puppet masters and pied pippers particularly as it relates to food, water and energy. It is likely that another health crisis will emerge in the autumn winter and spring and this is likely to be managed in a restrictive way due to the propensity of these international bodies to take more and more health and economic risk management control. In addition, as demand falls due to rising inflation it can be combined with increased supply chain disruption imposed by recommended risk management action by international bodies that national governments adopt. Worse WHO wants overseeing overriding control of the next wave of the pandemic or next health pandemic.

Demand is likely to stay the same or slightly lower, but our leaders can change the supply up or down with their decisions. Reducing supply will push up prices.

Global stagflation is a certainty. When not if.

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Global commodity prices

Wheat and oil future prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures. Weaker commodity prices in June indicate we are transitioning to a global recession. Although commodity prices will fall, inflation will increase and stay high whilst growth turns to recession. For example there will be less demand for oil, oil prices will fall, but prices of goods and services will remain high.

Surviving global recession: how do you prepare for a recession

Businesses that can offer business discounts and consumer discounts are more likely to survive as more people become price conscious.

Businesses that supply essentials or luxury items at a discount offer more in the marketplace compared to those businesses who have let their own costs of being in business balloon and cannot offer deals and discounts.

  • Discount grocery and retail stores tend to have more footfall during a recession. Many supermarkets take advantage of their customers during the good times and suffer a loss of business and profitability when recessionary precious hit the consumers household budget.
  • People still die during recession! After the management of global risks over the last two years more people will die. businesses which cater for death are likely to perform strongly throughout a recession.
  • People turn to drink and drugs during a recession! Businesses providing alcohol and drugs will perform strongly during the coming recession.
  • You still have to pay your taxes! Accountants and tax advisors are likely to still perform well during the recession.
  • Everyone can afford a bit of lippy! Cosmetic businesses can perform well during a recession.

As for the rest of businesses, they must fully understand what’s important and what is not for their particular business model. Offering more value for money will become more important.

Wheat and oil prices are down in June based on the most actively traded futures market
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Risk Review 28 June 2022: Transitioning to a global recession in 2023

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Unleashing the Power of Global Networking: Advantages for Businesses

 

In today’s interconnected world, businesses are increasingly recognising the significance of global networking. Building connections and fostering relationships across borders has become a crucial strategy for organisations seeking growth, innovation, and a competitive edge. In this article, we will delve into the numerous advantages that global networking offers to businesses of all sizes and industries. By leveraging the power of connectivity, businesses can unlock new opportunities, gain valuable insights, and expand their reach on a global scale. Read on to discover how global networking can propel your business to new heights.

 

Enhanced Collaboration and Knowledge Sharing:
Global networking opens the doors to collaboration with individuals and organisations from diverse backgrounds, cultures, and expertise. By connecting with professionals worldwide, businesses can tap into a vast pool of knowledge, insights, and perspectives. This exposure to different ideas and approaches fosters innovation and creativity within organisations.

 

Moreover, global networking provides opportunities to participate in conferences, seminars, and industry events, where experts and thought leaders share their expertise. These interactions enable businesses to stay updated with the latest trends, technologies, and best practices, enhancing their competitiveness in the global market.

 

Access to New Markets and Business Opportunities:
One of the most significant advantages of global networking is the ability to access new markets and expand business opportunities beyond borders. By establishing connections with international partners, businesses can gain valuable insights into local markets, consumer preferences, and cultural nuances. This knowledge allows organisations to tailor their products or services to meet the specific needs of diverse markets, increasing their chances of success.

 

Furthermore, global networking provides a platform for businesses to showcase their offerings to a wider audience. Through cross-border collaborations, joint ventures, or strategic partnerships, companies can enter new markets with reduced risks and enhanced market knowledge. This enables them to tap into untapped customer segments, diversify their revenue streams, and drive sustainable growth.

 

Building a Stronger Brand and Reputation:
Global networking offers businesses the opportunity to build a stronger brand and reputation on a global scale. By connecting with influential individuals and organisations, companies can enhance their visibility and credibility within their industry and beyond. Positive endorsements and collaborations with reputable international partners can significantly impact a business’s brand image and attract new customers.

 

Additionally, active participation in global networking events, industry forums, and online communities allows businesses to showcase their expertise, thought leadership, and unique value propositions. This exposure positions them as industry leaders and trusted authorities in their respective domains, further strengthening their brand reputation.

 

Recruitment of Global Talent:
Global networking provides businesses with access to a vast talent pool from around the world. By establishing connections with professionals and organisations internationally, companies can tap into a diverse range of skills, experiences, and perspectives. This enables them to recruit top talent from different cultural and educational backgrounds, bringing fresh ideas and innovative approaches to their teams.

 

Moreover, global networking facilitates the identification of potential partners, suppliers, and collaborators who can contribute to a business’s growth and success. By connecting with like-minded professionals, businesses can build strategic relationships that foster innovation, create synergies, and drive mutual growth.

 

Global networking has emerged as a vital tool for businesses seeking growth, innovation, and success in the global marketplace. By leveraging the advantages of global networking, businesses can enhance collaboration, access new markets, build a stronger brand, and recruit top talent from around the world. Embracing a global mindset and actively participating in networking activities can open doors to unprecedented opportunities and pave the way for long-term success.

 

In an increasingly interconnected world, businesses cannot afford to operate in isolation. Establishing and nurturing global connections allows organisations to stay ahead of the curve and adapt to the rapidly changing global business landscape. Whether it’s through attending international conferences, leveraging online platforms, or forging partnerships with organisations worldwide, businesses can harness the power of global networking to propel their growth.

 

The advantages of global networking for businesses are undeniable. From enhanced collaboration and knowledge sharing to accessing new markets and business opportunities, building a stronger brand and reputation, and recruiting global talent, the benefits are vast. Embracing a global networking mindset is no longer a luxury but a necessity in today’s hyperconnected world.

 

To make the most of global networking, businesses should actively seek opportunities to connect with professionals, industry experts, and potential partners on a global scale. They can explore online networking platforms, join industry-specific communities, participate in international events and conferences, and establish strategic partnerships with organisations in different countries.

 

However, it’s essential to approach global networking with a genuine intent to build meaningful relationships and provide value to others. Networking is not just about self-promotion; it’s about establishing mutually beneficial connections and fostering a collaborative ecosystem.

 

By capitalising on the advantages of global networking, businesses can expand their horizons, tap into new markets, stay abreast of industry trends, and unlock innovation. In this fast-paced and interconnected world, building a strong global network is a powerful asset that can set businesses apart from the competition and pave the way for sustained success.

 

So, don’t wait any longer. Start exploring the world of global networking and unlock the limitless opportunities it offers to take your business to new heights of success in the global marketplace. Embrace the power of connectivity, foster collaborations, and position your business as a global player in your industry. The possibilities are endless when you dare to connect, engage, and grow on a global scale.

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