Anti-Fragility Mentality: The UK Business Guide to Thriving on Volatility

Don’t just survive—thrive. In today’s volatile UK market, being resilient isn’t enough. Discover the anti-fragility mentality, a powerful concept that helps businesses grow stronger from shocks and uncertainty. Our guide reveals the dangers of feeling too scared to grow, explains why positively fighting back against business fears works better, and provides 9 practical risk management strategies to build a more robust, adaptable, and profitable business. Learn how to transform every crisis into a competitive advantage.

Discover how an anti-fragility mentality can help your UK business thrive on stress and volatility. Learn why fear of growth is dangerous and get 9 practical risk management strategies to build a more robust, adaptable, and profitable company.

Anti-Fragility Mentality: The UK Business Guide to Thriving on Volatility 🇬🇧

In the complex and unpredictable world of business, it’s not enough to be resilient or robust; you must be anti-fragile. This is a concept, popularised by author Nassim Nicholas Taleb, that suggests some systems, like a business, don’t just withstand shocks—they actually get stronger because of them. While a resilient company recovers from a crisis, an anti-fragile one learns, adapts, and improves. Instead of just surviving, an anti-fragile business uses volatility, uncertainty, and stress as fuel for growth. This is especially relevant for UK businesses navigating a post-Brexit, globalised, and tech-driven market.


The Dangers of Business Fear and Over-Cautiousness

When leaders are too scared to grow, their business becomes fragile. Fear of failure or even fear of success can lead to a state of paralysis. Instead of embracing opportunities, a business with a risk-averse culture will hesitate, self-sabotage, and miss out on potential gains. This mindset can:

  • Stifle innovation: You avoid new technologies, markets, or product lines, leaving you vulnerable to competitors who are bolder.
  • Prevent scalability: Your business systems, processes, and team structures become too rigid to handle growth, leading to spiralling costs and poor service if demand increases.
  • Create dependency: Over-reliance on a single client, supplier, or revenue stream makes the business incredibly fragile.
  • Damage morale: A culture of fear can demotivate employees and discourage them from taking initiative.
  • Expose you to a slow decline: While you might avoid a sudden crisis, a cautious approach often leads to a gradual loss of market share and relevance.

Why Positively Fighting Back Against Crisis Works Better

An anti-fragile business doesn’t just react to a crisis; it uses the crisis to its advantage. Instead of a defensive mindset, it adopts an offensive one, turning problems into opportunities. This approach works better because:

  • It forces innovation: A crisis can be a powerful catalyst for change, forcing you to find creative solutions you wouldn’t have considered otherwise.
  • It builds stronger systems: A crisis reveals weaknesses. By addressing these weak points, you build more robust, efficient, and reliable systems for the future.
  • It strengthens relationships: Transparent communication and proactive problem-solving during a crisis builds trust with employees, customers, and partners.
  • It creates a competitive advantage: While your competitors are busy recovering, you’re using the disruption to pull ahead, secure new markets, or attract talent.

Who Can Help You Take More Calculated Risks

Taking calculated risks is a team sport. While the final decision rests with the leadership, a smart leader leverages the entire business to inform their choices. Key roles that can help you become more anti-fragile include:

  • Senior Leadership: A strong, forward-thinking leadership team that fosters a culture of smart risk-taking and learning from failure.
  • The Finance Team: Your finance department is crucial. They provide the data and analysis needed to understand the potential financial impact of a risk.
  • IT & Cybersecurity: They assess the risks associated with new technologies and ensure your digital infrastructure can handle growth and shocks.
  • Department Heads: They have a direct view of operational risks and can identify opportunities for improvement.
  • Employees at all levels: Front-line staff often have the best insights into day-to-day problems and can suggest innovative solutions.

Where You Can Protect Yourself from an Over-Cautious Mentality

To counter a culture of over-cautiousness, you need to create an environment where smart risk-taking is encouraged. Focus on these areas:

  • Your company culture: Foster a “growth mindset” that views mistakes as learning opportunities rather than failures.
  • Your team structure: Empower teams to make decisions without excessive layers of approval.
  • Your communication channels: Create open and transparent communication where bad news and new ideas can be shared without fear.
  • Your strategic planning: Incorporate scenario planning and “what-if” exercises to prepare for a range of potential outcomes, both good and bad.

When to Feel More Robust

You can feel more robust and confident in your business’s ability to handle stress when you have:

  • Consistent cash flow: A healthy financial position provides the buffer needed to withstand shocks and invest in new opportunities.
  • A diversified portfolio: You’re not reliant on a single customer, product, or market.
  • Strong systems and processes: Your business operations are streamlined, efficient, and can handle increased demand without breaking.
  • An engaged and skilled team: Your employees are aligned with your goals and are ready to adapt to changing circumstances.

9 Practical Anti-Fragility Risk Management Strategies

  1. Embrace Optionality: Have multiple, low-risk options available. For example, explore several new markets with a small investment rather than committing to one with a large one.
  2. Redundancy is a Virtue: Don’t rely on a single supplier or a single server. Create backups and redundancies to prevent single points of failure.
  3. Conduct “Pre-Mortems”: Instead of a post-mortem after failure, imagine a project has failed and work backwards to identify the reasons. This helps anticipate risks before they occur.
  4. Adopt a “Fail Fast, Learn Faster” Mindset: Launch small, experimental projects (Minimum Viable Products) to test ideas without significant risk.
  5. Decentralise Authority: Empower smaller teams to make decisions. This allows for faster responses to local challenges and opportunities.
  6. Maintain a Cash Buffer: Keep enough cash on hand to cover a significant period of low revenue. This financial buffer is the bedrock of anti-fragility.
  7. Gamify Risk Management: Use internal games or simulations to train your team on how to respond to unexpected events, building both muscle memory and a proactive mindset.
  8. Diversify Your Team’s Skillset: Hire for versatility and adaptability. A team with diverse skills is more likely to find creative solutions during a crisis.
  9. Build Strong Stakeholder Relationships: Foster trust with your customers, suppliers, and investors. Strong relationships provide a support network that is invaluable in a downturn.

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Business Growth Strategy | Business Transformation

How can you breathe new life into your business?

Stagnant? Stuck in Neutral? It’s Time to Unleash Your Business Growth Engine (and It Runs on Calculated Risk!)

Imagine this: You’re cruising down the highway, the speedometer needle stuck firmly at 50 mph. The scenery’s pleasant, the sun’s shining… but you’re going nowhere fast. That, unfortunately, describes countless businesses today. They’re comfortable, risk-averse, and ultimately, stagnant.

“The greatest danger for most of us is not that our aim is too high and we miss, but that it is too low and we reach it.” – Michelangelo.

This quote perfectly encapsulates the current state of many enterprises. They’ve built elaborate risk assessment frameworks, meticulously analysing every decision. While caution is admirable, it can also be a paralysing force. The truth is, calculated risks are the fuel that propels businesses to exceptional heights.

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Calculated Risk Taking

Here’s the shocker: a recent study by BusinessRiskTV revealed that 55% of CEOs and business owners surveyed identified a lack of calculated risk-taking as a major barrier to exceeding growth targets.

This begs the question: How do you strike the perfect balance between calculated risk and responsible business management?

Fear not, risk-averse entrepreneur! This article is your roadmap to unlocking the power of calculated risk. We’ll delve into 12 actionable tips that will transform your risk assessment approach, equip you to make bold (yet smart) decisions, and ultimately, propel your business towards explosive growth.

But wait, there’s more! This isn’t just a theoretical exercise. We’ll provide you with real-world examples, industry hacks, and resources to help you implement these strategies today.

So, are you ready to ditch the cruise control and unleash the high-octane engine of calculated risk in your business? Buckle up, because we’re about to take your business growth to the next level!

(P.S.) Want to stay ahead of the curve and immerse yourself in a community of risk-savvy entrepreneurs? Keep reading to discover exclusive access to BusinessRiskTV.com and our game-changing Business Risk Management Club!

12 Tips to Unleash the Power of Calculated Risk

1. Redefine Risk Tolerance

Risk isn’t just about potential losses. It’s also about the potential for extraordinary gains. Reframe your perspective to view risk as an opportunity, not a threat.

  • Action Step: Organise a brainstorming session with your team to identify potential risks and rewards associated with a specific project or initiative.

2. Embrace a Growth Mindset

A growth mindset is essential for embracing risk. Believe in your ability to learn, adapt, and overcome challenges.

  • Action Step: Read books or listen to podcasts that promote a growth mindset, such as “Mindset” by Carol Dweck.

3. Conduct Thorough Due Diligence

While calculated risks are essential, reckless ones are not. Before making a major decision, conduct thorough research and analysis.

  • Action Step: Develop a comprehensive due diligence checklist to ensure you’ve covered all bases before taking on a new venture.

4. Diversify Your Portfolio

Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investments, products, and services to mitigate risk.

  • Action Step: Identify areas where you can diversify your business and create a plan to implement these strategies.

5. Build Strong Relationships

A strong network of relationships can provide valuable support, advice, and resources.

6. Learn from Failure

Failure is an inevitable part of the entrepreneurial journey. Instead of dwelling on setbacks, learn from them and use them as opportunities for growth.

7. Set Clear Goals and Metrics

Clearly defined goals and metrics can help you measure your progress and make data-driven decisions.

  • Action Step: Develop a comprehensive business plan that outlines your goals, strategies, and key performance indicators (KPIs).

8. Test and Iterate

Don’t be afraid to experiment and try new things. The key is to test, learn, and iterate.

  • Action Step: Implement a culture of experimentation and innovation within your organisation.

9. Seek Expert Advice

Consult with experienced mentors, advisors, and consultants to gain valuable insights and guidance.

  • Action Step: Identify a mentor or adviser who can provide you with objective advice and support.

10. Cultivate a Risk-Tolerant Culture

Encourage your team to embrace risk and innovation. Create a culture where failure is seen as a learning opportunity.

11. Develop a Robust Risk Management Framework

A well-structured risk management framework can help you identify, assess, and mitigate risks.

  • Action Step: Create a risk register that outlines potential risks, their impact, and mitigation strategies.

12. Trust Your Gut

While data and analysis are important, sometimes you need to trust your intuition.

Ready to take your business to the next level? Join our exclusive community of risk-taking entrepreneurs at BusinessRiskTV.com.

As a member of our Business Risk Management Club, you’ll gain access to:

  • Expert Insights: Learn from industry leaders and thought-provoking discussions.
  • Networking Opportunities: Connect with like-minded individuals and build strategic partnerships.
  • Exclusive Resources: Access valuable tools, templates, and best practices.
  • Personalised Coaching: Receive tailored advice and support from experienced mentors.

Don’t let fear hold you back. Embrace risk, seize opportunities, and achieve extraordinary results.

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Taking Calculated Risks In Business

Relevant tags:

  1. #CalculatedRisk
  2. #BusinessGrowth
  3. #RiskManagement
  4. #Entrepreneurship
  5. #ThoughtLeadership

Read more:

  1. overcoming business risk aversion strategies
  2. calculated risk taking for business growth
  3. benefits of embracing risk in entrepreneurship
  4. developing a risk tolerance framework for businesses
  5. how to build a risk-taking culture in your company

Business Growth Strategy | Business Transformation

Who or what blocks intelligent risk-taking within a business?

Risk managers often become scapegoats!

Intelligent Risk-Taking: Friend or Foe of Effective Risk Management?

In the dynamic world of business, calculated risks are the lifeblood of innovation and growth. Yet, a robust risk management (RM) methodology forms the cornerstone of sustainable success. This begs the question: is risk management inherently opposed to intelligent risk-taking, or are there other culprits hindering strategic growth? This article delves into this complex relationship, analysing recent events like BlackRock’s ESG shift and Lloyd’s bank’s RM personnel redundancies to shed light on the true barriers to intelligent risk-taking.

The Balancing Act: RM vs. Growth

A well-defined RM methodology identifies potential threats, assesses their impact, and implements mitigation strategies. This proactive approach safeguards the organisation from unforeseen circumstances. However, overly stringent risk frameworks can stifle innovation. Fear of failure can paralyse decision-making, hindering the exploration of new ventures that may hold significant rewards. BlackRock’s recent partial withdrawal from rigid ESG (environmental, social, and governance) principles exemplifies this tension. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink acknowledged the need for a balance between ESG considerations and financial returns, suggesting overly restrictive ESG frameworks might inhibit investment opportunities [1].

The Culprits: Risk Owners or Risk Management?

The burden of promoting intelligent risk-taking shouldn’t solely fall on RM professionals. Risk owners – individuals accountable for specific risks – and senior management play a vital role. Risk owners might lack the necessary risk assessment skills, leading to a passive approach towards risk management. Similarly, senior management, preoccupied with short-term goals, may prioritise risk avoidance over calculated risks aligned with long-term strategy.

City A.M.’s report of Lloyd’s bank laying off RM personnel in the UK suggests a potential disconnect between RM practices and business strategy [2]. Here, the issue might lie in inadequate communication or a misalignment of risk appetite with the organisation’s goals. Layoffs may indicate a need for cultural change within the bank, promoting a risk-aware yet growth-oriented mindset.

The Role of Effective Risk Management

Effective RM methodologies are not inherently opposed to intelligent risk-taking. In fact, they can be powerful tools for promoting calculated risks:

  • Risk Identification: A comprehensive risk assessment identifies not only threats but also opportunities. Anticipating future trends helps identify potential areas for strategic growth.
  • Risk Prioritisation: By prioritising risks based on their likelihood and impact, resources can be strategically allocated. This allows for calculated risk-taking in areas with high potential rewards and lower risks.
  • Risk Mitigation Strategies: Developing effective mitigation plans minimises the downsides of pursuing strategic risks. This allows for bolder exploration while safeguarding core business operations.
  • Risk Appetite Definition: Setting clear risk tolerance levels empowers employees to make informed decisions within acceptable boundaries. This fosters a culture of calculated risk-taking while ensuring sound judgment.
  • Continuous Monitoring and Review: Regularly reviewing risks and RM strategies ensures adaptability. This allows for course correction and promotes taking advantage of favourable market conditions.

BlackRock’s ESG shift offers a valuable lesson: overly restrictive RM frameworks can stifle growth. Conversely, Lloyd’s bank’s layoffs suggest potential misalignment between risk management and business strategy.

Here are 9 ways to ensure a holistic RM methodology supports business strategy and goals:

  1. Integrate RM into Business Strategy: Embed RM principles at all organisational levels, ensuring alignment with strategic objectives.
  2. Foster a Risk-Aware Culture: Encourage open communication about risk at all levels, promoting a culture of calculated risk-taking.
  3. Empower Risk Owners: Equip risk owners with the necessary skills to effectively assess and manage risks.
  4. Define Clear Risk Appetite: Set clear risk tolerance levels to provide a framework for informed decision-making.
  5. Prioritise Risk Management: Allocate adequate resources to ensure a robust and adaptable RM programme.
  6. Promote Communication: Foster open dialogue between risk owners, RM professionals, and senior management.
  7. Invest in Risk Management Tools: Utilise data-driven risk assessment tools to support informed decision-making.
  8. Regular Review and Updates: Regularly review risk assessments and RM processes to ensure continuous improvement.
  9. Celebrate Calculated Risk-Taking: Acknowledge and reward successful ventures that embrace calculated risks.

By adopting these strategies, organisations can cultivate a balance between risk management and intelligent risk-taking, driving innovation and sustainable growth. Remember, effective risk management isn’t about eliminating risk entirely; it’s about embracing calculated risks for a prosperous future.

References:

  • (1) BlackRock’s recent withdrawal from ESG principles can be referenced from news articles or financial publications.
  • (2) The Lloyd’s bank layoffs can be referenced from City A.M.’s report:
  • Lloyds Bank is cutting jobs in risk management as it sees risk management principles and practices and methodology as being a block to its transformation progress. The group’s chief risk officer Stephen Shelley said in a memo last month that it was “resetting our approach to risk and controls” following an internal review. Shelley noted that two-thirds of Lloyds’ executives thought risk management was impeding progress, while less than half of its workforce believed “intelligent risk-taking” was encouraged. He said Lloyds’ “initial focus is on non-financial risks” and a new model would allow it to “move at greater pace” on its group strategy. “We know people are frustrated by time-consuming processes and ingrained ways of working that impede our ability to be competitive and leave us lagging behind our peers,” Shelley added. The Financial Times first reported the news. A person familiar with the matter told City A.M. that the restructuring would see around 175 permanent roles at risk of redundancy, including 153 in the risk unit. However, the person added that the lender expected to create 130 vacancies focused on specialist risk and technical expertise. Some 3,600 people currently work in Lloyds’ risk division. Will loosening its risk controls “could potentially have catastrophic consequences for the future of the bank”. In this case, there are around 45 role reductions, after new roles being created are factored in.” Lloyds, which has around 60,000 total employees, launched a plan in February 2022 to invest £4bn over the next five years to diversify away from interest rate-sensitive income streams like mortgages and become a “digital leader”.
  • Are risk management principles practices and methodology a block to corporate progression?

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Calculating the business risk of current and future threats

Taking the right risks for greater success with BusinessRiskTV.com

Identifying and managing business risks

How can a business identify risk and manage business resources to manage business risks better? Undertake risk profile analysis to inform your business decision making. Practical enterprise risk management ERM tips advice training and consultancy.

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How To Take Over The World

Many risk events are possible. However how do you manage your resources cost effectively to control risks whilst boosting business performance?

When beginning the risk management process identify risks that could impact on your business objectives. Look at the whole business at once rather than individual silos functions or departments.

Do not make assumptions at the beginning about the level of risk or effectiveness of risk control measures. Assume that what you currently do risk management wise will not work or not work well enough to control risks.

Consult experts within your business at all levels and experts outside of your business who may have an understanding of your risks. Focus your attention on key internal and external drivers of risk that may have significant impact on your business objectives.

Your business risk exposure needs to be right for your risk management culture. What is your appetite for risk? How much risk can your business tolerate? Getting the balance right is key for sustainable business success.

Reduce or eliminate threats as soon as they appear on the horizon. Seize new business opportunities before your competitors do. Anticipate and plan for future risks. React quickly to current or unexpected risk events.

Risk analysis and Holistic Enterprise Wide Risk Management Approach Will Improve Your Business Decision Making To Boost Business Performance

Manage risks better. Minimise the impact of risk on your business plans. Manage potential problems easier quicker and less expensively. Stop the undermining of key business initiatives or projects by risk events. Explore possible future threats.

Identify business opportunities for growth. Back the best ones to maximise return in investment of time and money. Boost the profit from the best new ideas. Manage opportunities for greater success better.

Create the right risk management framework and enterprise wide risk assessment process for your business

The source of your business risks can be wide and varied. Often they are specific to your business. Sometimes the affect just your industry or geographic location. Occasionally they affect most of the world like the financial crisis of 2008 or global pandemic like 2020.

The impact on your business maybe life giving like if your business is a deep cleaning business or face mask manufacturer in coronavirus outbreak. Or risk events can destroy your business and it may never recover. Your risk management assessment and approach to risk control needs to be tailored to your business.

Not all risks are bad and bad risk events can be good for your specific business in so many different ways. For example the coronavirus tragically will kill thousands of people. In addition many businesses will fail including many of your competitors. Out of the flames the phoenixes will rise. The challenge is to make sure your business and your people survive and prosper no matter what risks are thrown at your business.

Put your great ideas into action with more confidence. Continue to be optimistic about your future. The way your business could and perhaps should change forever not just to get through coronavirus. Learn the lessons from horrifically tragic risk events. Seize the opportunities coming from the 4th industrial revolution. Survive and prosper today tomorrow and then next day no matter what risks you face no matter where you do business and no matter what industry you are in.

Some risks hit you like a ton of bricks. Other risks are more subtle. They creep up on you. You do not know that you are at risk until it can be too late. Enterprise wide risk management means continuous tweaking and adjustment. What is right today may not work tomorrow. The key is to review what has happened but keep your eye on the horizon to ensure you are prepared. Whether you produce the risks internally or have external risks imposed upon your business know what to do when to do it and get to where you want to be regardless.

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Do you fear losing what you have created instead of valuing what you might gain from taking more risk?

How to overcome loss aversion with BusinessRiskTV.com

How do we make the best use of available business assets and resources to maximise return of investment of time and money

Fear of loss often beats the desire to gain more. Fearing losing everything you have built is natural human reaction. However is your fear getting in the way of seizing new business opportunities? Keep innovating and growing with less uncertainty with BusinessRiskTV.

Develop a holistic risk management culture to drive your business forward. Up your risk appetite to achieve more with more controlled balanced risk taking.

The biggest factor in business leader decision making is fear of loss. People worry about loss more than securing gains.

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Develop a more assured risk management framework and risk assessment process to match your risk culture. Make sure your risk taking remains within your risk tolerance.

Do you have loss aversion bias in decision making?

Business leaders who are loss averse feel the pain of loss much greater that any joy from any gains from decisions made. They make strategic business decisions accordingly. The risk culture of the business models the loss aversion bias of the business leader.

If this works well for your business you should continue with status quo. However if you would like to experience faster business growth you may need to take more calculated risks.

Loss aversion refers to the tendency to prefer avoiding losses to acquiring equivalent gains. It is better for you to not lose 10000 pounds than to make 10000 pounds in business. 

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However most entrepreneurs and many business leaders are in their position to better themselves. If you mitigate the potential losses from taking more risks and manage the risks to maximise the return on your investment you should end up with faster growth with less uncertainty.

It is more common in people who are not entrepreneurs or business leaders to be biased against taking risks. Loss aversion is a reflection of a general bias in human psychology. People tend to want to stick with what they know than make changes that might not work well. People in general are resistant to change. When presented with the potential benefits of change they focus more on what might be lost rather than on what can be gained.

  • What is your business risk tolerance? If you can make changes to try to grow faster that if do not work fall within your risk tolerance would you take more risk?
  • If you adopted small changes rather than one big radical all eggs in one basket change would you feel more comfortable? Spreading your faster business growth changes across a few new ideas may be better for your business. When you know which one of the new changes works best perhaps then you can focus on one new idea.
  • Do not confuse more risk taking in business with gambling. Taking calculated risks to grow faster is about assessing and then managing the risks before you action more risk taking. You can mitigate the threats from more risk as well as maximise the returns from taking more risks.

Few things in business life are guaranteed other than taxes! Even maintaining the status quo comes with the threat of business failure. Kodack photography business was once one of the most successful businesses in the world. How many Kodack films do you buy for your camera now!

The desire to avoid business losses is motivated by fear. The more a business leader fears losses the more likely he or she is to be loss averse and the more likely they are to be disinclined to make changes to their business to be more successful. Having a better understanding of the risks that could be taken to achieve more will make loss averse business leaders more comfortable with changing the the business.

Often the perception of risks and reward are skewed to the belief that you are doomed to fail which means you do not make changes to the business. By the same token it is important that all stakeholders in the business are involved in assessing risks from changes to business. Business leaders who do like taking risks can miss the pitfalls to mitigate against whilst making changes that can cause the change project fail even if it was a great idea.

With a little input and engagement from all levels of the organisation your project to grow faster is more likely to be a success. Take risks that are worth taking which are achievable with everyone onboard.

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Taking more calculated risks

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How can a business take more risks to perform better?

Taking more calculated risks in the next decade. Do not fear taking more calculated risks. Business leaders are often afraid to take risks.

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Taking more risks to achieve more success comes down to risk knowledge and business intelligence. A lack of risk knowledge leads to increased fear. This can result in missed opportunities to grow faster.

  • What are the potential costs of taking more risks?
  • What are the potential benefits of taking more risks?
  • How will taking more risks benefit your business?
  • What are the alternatives?
  • How much better would your business perform if the best case scenario came true?
  • What are the worst outcomes that could happen if you took extra risks and how could you reduce the risk?
  • How bad would it be if the worst case scenario risk event materialised?
  • What would your business look like in 5 years if your risk decisions were taken?

Assessing the risks incorporating both upside and downside risks will enable you to make more balanced business decisions to improve performance.

Guide To Business Enterprise Risk Management ERM
Risk Appetite and Risk Tolerance

Negativity bias means in part we focus more on stopping bad things from happening than creating the environment for great good things to happen. For example, we focus on stopping climate damage instead of investing money in better natural environment. We spend more money to risk control instead of seizing new business opportunities which create risk but also create more rewards for risk takers.

Welcome the threats in the 2020s as they bring opportunities

Embrace the opportunities in the new decade but be risk aware about the threats that come with the opportunities to grow. Work together with our network of business leaders and risk management experts to finish the 2020s better than you started.

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