Tag: What are the negative effects of Globalisation on economic growth?

Shipping Costs Spike In December And Could Get A lot Worse If Fighting Escalates 2024

Inflation and interest rates are not guaranteed to fall in 2024!

The Shanghai Containerised Freight Index: A Stormy Sea Ahead After Red Sea Attacks

The Shanghai Containerised Freight Index (SCFI), a key gauge of global shipping costs, has once again become a stormy sea, this time roiled by the recent attacks in the Red Sea in December 2023. While the index had been on a downward trend throughout 2023, offering hope for moderating inflation and easing supply chain pressures, the Red Sea disruptions have sent it surging back up, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the global economic outlook in 2024.

Prior to the Red Sea attacks, the SCFI had been on a steady decline since its January 2022 peak, dropping from over 5100 points to around 1250 points by December. This decline reflected some easing of congestion and pressure on shipping costs, raising hopes for a more stable economic climate.

However, the attacks on oil tankers and a commercial vessel near the Yemeni port of Hodeidah in December sent shockwaves through the shipping industry. The heightened security concerns and potential disruption to vital trade routes through the Red Sea have caused a sharp spike in the SCFI, pushing it back up to around 1800 points as of December 29, 2023.

Implications for Inflation and Interest Rates:

This sudden surge in the SCFI has significant implications for inflation and interest rates in 2024. As shipping costs rise, the price of imported goods increases, potentially fueling inflationary pressures. This could lead central banks to reconsider their monetary policy stances and potentially resume interest rate hikes to curb inflation.

The extent to which the Red Sea attacks impact inflation and interest rates will depend on several factors, including the duration of the disruptions, the effectiveness of security measures implemented, and the overall resilience of global supply chains. However, the potential for renewed inflationary pressures and tighter monetary policy is a cause for concern for businesses and consumers alike.

Risk Management Strategies for Business Leaders:

In this uncertain environment, business leaders must be prepared to navigate the choppy waters of the SCFI and mitigate the potential risks associated with rising shipping costs. Here are some key strategies to consider:

  • Diversify Supply Chains and Shipping Routes: Reduce reliance on Red Sea routes and explore alternative shipping routes and sourcing options to minimise exposure to disruptions.
  • Invest in Supply Chain Visibility: Enhance your ability to track shipments and anticipate potential delays to adjust inventory levels and production schedules.
  • Strengthen Supplier Relationships: Foster closer partnerships with key suppliers to ensure reliable supply and negotiate flexible pricing terms that account for fluctuating shipping costs.
  • Optimise Inventory Management: Implement data-driven inventory management practices to minimise carrying costs and optimise stock levels based on projected demand and SCFI trends.
  • Consider Flexible Pricing Models: Explore pricing models that can adjust to fluctuations in shipping costs and protect your profit margins.

By adopting these strategies, businesses can build resilience in their supply chains and navigate the challenges of a volatile SCFI in 2024.

Conclusion:

The recent spike in the SCFI serves as a stark reminder of the fragility of global supply chains and the potential for unforeseen events to disrupt the delicate balance of global trade. While the long-term impact of the Red Sea attacks remains uncertain, businesses must be prepared for a more challenging economic landscape in 2024. By remaining agile, diversified, and informed, businesses can weather the storm and emerge stronger in the face of an unpredictable shipping market.

Get help to protect and grow your business

Find Out More

Subscribe to free business risk management alerts and risk reviews

Contact Us

Read  more business risk management articles

Contact  Us

What are the failures of Globalisation?

What are the negative effects of Globalisation on economic growth?

Globalisation: The Failure and the Alternatives

Globalisation has been a major force in the world economy for the past few decades. It has led to increased trade and investment, and has helped to spread technology and ideas around the world. However, globalisation has also had some negative effects, and there are growing concerns about its future.

The Failures of Globalisation

One of the main failures of globalisation is that it has not led to a more equitable distribution of wealth. In fact, the gap between rich and poor has widened in many countries as a result of globalisation. This is because globalisation has benefited the wealthy countries and the wealthy individuals in those countries more than it has benefited the poor countries and the poor individuals in those countries.

Another failure of globalisation is that it has led to a loss of jobs in some countries. This is because companies have been able to move their operations to countries with lower wages, which has led to job losses in the high-wage countries.

Globalisation has also been blamed for environmental problems. This is because companies have been able to move their operations to countries with weaker environmental regulations, which has led to increased pollution and other environmental damage.

The Negative Effects of Globalisation on Economic Growth

Globalisation has also had some negative effects on economic growth. One of the main problems is that globalisation has led to increased competition, which has made it harder for businesses to succeed. This has led to some businesses going out of business, and has also led to lower wages for some workers.

Another problem with globalisation is that it has led to increased volatility in the global economy. This is because the global economy is now more interconnected than ever before, which means that shocks in one part of the world can quickly spread to other parts of the world. This has led to some financial crises, and has also made it harder for countries to manage their economies.

Three Negative Effects of Globalisation

There are three main negative effects of globalisation that are worth highlighting:

  • The loss of jobs. As businesses have become more globalised, they have been able to move their operations to countries with lower wages. This has led to job losses in high-wage countries, such as the United States and Europe.
  • The widening gap between rich and poor. Globalisation has benefited the wealthy countries and the wealthy individuals in those countries more than it has benefited the poor countries and the poor individuals in those countries. This has led to a widening gap between rich and poor, both within countries and between countries.
  • The environmental impact. Globalisation has led to an increase in pollution and other environmental problems. This is because companies have been able to move their operations to countries with weaker environmental regulations.

The Alternative to Globalisation

There is no single alternative to globalisation. However, there are a number of things that countries can do to mitigate the negative effects of globalisation and to promote more equitable growth. These include:

  • Protecting jobs. Governments can provide support to businesses that are threatened by globalisation, such as by providing subsidies or tax breaks. They can also invest in education and training to help workers who lose their jobs find new ones.
  • Reducing inequality. Governments can redistribute income through taxes and social programs. They can also invest in infrastructure and education to help create more opportunities for everyone.
  • Protecting the environment. Governments can strengthen environmental regulations and enforce them more strictly. They can also invest in renewable energy and other sustainable technologies.

Globalisation is a complex issue with both positive and negative effects. It is important to be aware of the negative effects of globalisation so that we can take steps to mitigate them. However, it is also important to remember that globalisation has also had many positive effects, such as increased trade and investment, and the spread of technology and ideas. The challenge is to find ways to maximise the positive effects of globalisation while minimising the negative effects.

Sign up for free newsletter or follow is with your favourite social media app

More business risk management articles videos and reviews

BusinessRiskTV Business Risk Management Club Membership
Risk Management Think Tank BusinessRiskTV Risk Experts
Business Development Service
Enterprise Risk Management Magazine BusinessRiskTV ERM Magazine
Business Risk Academy

Buy and Sell Online Marketplace BusinessRiskTV Free Online Marketplace

What are the failures of Globalisation?