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France Business Risks

France has long been one of the world’s leading economic powers. Its location, infrastructure, and skilled workforce make it an attractive place for businesses looking to invest in Europe. However, like any other country, France has its own unique set of risks and challenges that businesses need to be aware of.

In this article, we’ll take a closer look at some of the key risks that businesses may face when operating in France, as well as some tips for managing these risks effectively.

Political Risk

France has a stable political system, but there are still some risks that businesses need to be aware of. One of the main risks is the possibility of a change in government, which could lead to changes in policies and regulations that could impact businesses.

For example, if a new government were to take a more protectionist stance on trade, this could make it more difficult for businesses to import or export goods. Similarly, changes in tax laws or employment regulations could also have a significant impact on businesses.

To manage political risk in France, businesses should stay up-to-date with political developments and ensure that they have contingency plans in place in case of any major policy changes.

Economic Risk

Like many other countries, France’s economy is subject to a range of economic risks. These risks can include fluctuations in exchange rates, changes in interest rates, and changes in consumer behaviour.

One of the key economic risks in France at the moment is the ongoing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Like many other countries, France has experienced significant disruption to its economy as a result of the pandemic, and businesses need to be prepared for the possibility of further disruption in the future.

To manage economic risk in France, businesses should ensure that they have a good understanding of the country’s economic landscape and the key drivers of growth. They should also consider diversifying their operations across different markets and sectors to reduce their exposure to any one particular economic risk.

Legal and Regulatory Risk

France has a complex legal and regulatory environment that can be challenging for businesses to navigate. There are a range of regulations that businesses need to comply with, including employment laws, tax laws, and environmental regulations.

One of the key challenges for businesses in France is the country’s labour laws, which are among the most comprehensive and protective in Europe. Businesses need to ensure that they comply with these laws to avoid the risk of legal action or fines.

To manage legal and regulatory risk in France, businesses should work closely with legal and accounting professionals who have experience in the French market. They should also ensure that they have robust compliance processes in place to ensure that they are meeting all relevant regulations and requirements.

Cybersecurity Risk

Cybersecurity is an increasingly important risk for businesses in France and around the world. With more and more business operations moving online, the risk of cyberattacks and data breaches is growing.

One of the key cybersecurity risks in France is the risk of state-sponsored cyberattacks. France is a key target for cybercriminals and state-sponsored actors, and businesses need to ensure that they have robust cybersecurity measures in place to protect their operations and data.

To manage cybersecurity risk in France, businesses should ensure that they have strong cybersecurity protocols in place, including firewalls, antivirus software, and regular security audits. They should also ensure that their employees are trained in cybersecurity best practices to minimise the risk of human error.

Cultural Risk

France has a rich and complex cultural landscape that can be challenging for businesses to navigate. There are a range of cultural norms and expectations that businesses need to be aware of, including language, social etiquette, and business practices.

One of the key challenges for businesses in France is the importance of building strong relationships with local partners and stakeholders. French business culture places a high value on personal relationships and networking, and businesses that fail to build these relationships may struggle to succeed in the market.

To manage cultural risk in France, businesses should invest in cultural awareness and training programs for their employees. They should also work with local partners and advisors who have a deep understanding of the local culture and can help businesses navigate cultural differences.

France offers many opportunities for businesses looking to invest in Europe, but it also comes with its own unique set of risks and challenges. From political risk to cybersecurity risk to cultural risk, businesses need to be aware of these risks and take steps to manage them effectively.

To succeed in France, businesses should invest in robust risk management strategies that take into account the country’s economic, legal, and cultural landscape. They should also work closely with local partners and advisors who can provide the local knowledge and expertise needed to navigate the French market successfully.

With the right approach and the right support, businesses can thrive in France and take advantage of the many opportunities that this dynamic and exciting country has to offer.

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11 August 2023 – France’s unemployment rate up at 7.2% in Q2

Recent official figures reveal unemployment in France is up from 7.1 percent in first quarter of 2023.

19 July 2023 – Societe Generale has become the first company in France to obtain a license for crypto services.

Societe Generale’s crypto unit, Forge, is licensed as of Tuesday to offer services, including crypto custody, trading and sales, according to the website of France’s AMF market regulator. The news was first reported by crypto outlet CoinDesk.

2 July 2023 – There is no internet shutdown in France as of 5:54 AM PST.

However, there were reports that the French government was preparing for a partial internet shutdown in an attempt to disrupt the ongoing riots in Paris. The riots were sparked by the death of a young man in police custody. The government has not confirmed whether or not a shutdown will actually take place.

If a shutdown does occur, it would be the first time in France since 2019. In that year, the government shut down the internet in the city of Saint-Denis for several days following a terrorist attack.

Internet shutdowns are a controversial tactic that can have a significant impact on people’s lives. They can disrupt communication, commerce, and access to essential services. They can also make it more difficult for people to document and share information about human rights abuses.

The United Nations has condemned internet shutdowns as a violation of human rights. The UN Special Rapporteur on the right to freedom of opinion and expression has called on governments to refrain from using internet shutdowns as a means of suppressing dissent.

Only time will tell if the French government will actually go through with a partial internet shutdown. If it does, it will be a significant escalation of the government’s response to the ongoing riots.

28 February 2023 – French annual inflation rose to 7.2% in February from 7.0% in January, partly as a result of higher food prices, according to preliminary figures from the INSEE statistics body.

6 September 2022 – France has filled up its strategic gas reserves ahead of winter

Reuters has reported that France is well prepared to get through this winter despite the energy crisis stemming from the war in Ukraine as it has now filled its strategic gas reserves at their maximum level, Energy Minister Agnes Pannier-Runacher said on Tuesday.

“Today we have reached the maximum level for our gas reserves (…) These gas stocks represent 50% of our winter consumption, so we are in the best conditions to go through the winter,” Pannier-Runacher told CNews television.

1 July 2022 – French manufacturing decline alerts business leaders to impending French recession

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French manufacturing decline alerts business leaders to impending French recession

20 June 2022 – French political changes represented by the forecast success of far-right party National Rally led by Marine Le Pen.

According to estimates, Le Pen’s party will win between 85-90 seats, up from just two in 2012 and eight in 2017, which could make it the second-largest party in parliament.

A left wing alliance should become the largest opposition bloc in parliament but Le Pen’s party will now gain more power as it will have more seats in parliament.

It will, for example, be able to put forward no-confidence votes against the government, send draft legislation to France’s top constitutional courts, lead parliamentary commissions and have much more speaking time in the National Assembly.

31 May 2022 – France’s economy contracted in the first quarter.

The economy shrank 0.2 percent from the previous quarter according to the statistics office INSEE. INSEE is expecting economic growth in second quarter so France should not be in recession just now.

Inflation in France is running at 5.2 percent compared with the same period last year. It is the first time prices overall had crossed the five percent threshold since 1985. INSEE is anticipating inflation to accelerate in coming months.

Inflation in France is not as bad as in neighbouring eurozone countries. Germany has reported a new record of 7.9 percent for May, while Spanish inflation jumped to 8.7 percent for the month.

But the INSEE reports helped push the France CAC-40 stock index down 0.5 percent to 6,532.37 points on Tuesday morning, with the Paris benchmark falling 8.7 percent since the start of the year.

17 May 2022 – Unemployment in France dropped slightly to 7.3 percent in the first quarter – the lowest rate in 14 years, according to figures from INSEE statistics agency.

Youth unemployment in France rose to 16.3 percent from 16.0 percent in the final quarter of last year, when it hit the lowest level since early 1981.

24 April 2022 – Macron Guaranteed Victory and Re-election President France

Exit poll gives Macron 58.2 percent victory over Le Pen. Exit polls in France traditionally accurate.

19 April 2022 – Shy Le Pen Voter: one who does not admit to supporting Le Pen to pollsters, but will still vote for Le Pen in the election = Le Pen victory?

The polls say it is closer this time around in Le Pen vs Macron election battle. In the UK when many were predicting a Labour win, the Tory party won with a landslide victory including many decades long Labour seats switching to Tory -including the collapse of the Red Wall in the north of England where many Labour MPs lost their seats to mew Tory MPs.

Is the Shy Tory Voter phenomenon going to replicate itself in this weekends presidential election result?

11 April 2022 – Presidential election runoff on April 24

Current President Macron will fight challenger Le Pen for the title! The first election vote was extremely tight and the final run-in is expected to be similarly tight. A Le Pen victory can herald end of European Union EU, though Le Pen has softened here stand on Frexit after being defeated before on such a strong policy statement.

20th October 2021 – The irony of Michel Barrier calling for France to take back control from European Union EU!

Barnier is fighting for the Les Republicains (LR) party presidential nomination.

Barnier is calling for a three- to five-year French moratorium for non-European Union immigrants to restrict immigration and calling for France to regain legal sovereignty and control from European Courts. Taking back control from EU courts is impossible whilst France remains in EU. You’d have thought Michel Barnier would have known that!

France preparing to fish less in British waters from 2021

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France Tech Tax Hits Trump French Goods Tax

USA has announced additional 25 percent import tax on French goods like fashion items and cosmetics. The implementation date for new import tax on French goods delayed for 180 days. Macron 3 percent tax on digital services has also been deferred which would affect USA tech companies like Google Apple and Facebook.

France has argued that digital services companies make massive income from its marketplace but the digital services companies pay little if any tax. USA says its companies will suffer most from new digital services tax.

The European Union EU says it will impose a digital services tax if current OECD tax negotiations flounder. The OECD is trying to negotiate with all relevant countries including USA and France to develop a multilateral solution for taxing digital services.

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