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3 August 2022 – If the mortgage affordability rules had not been made more liberal by the Bank of England to help protect housing market and financial institutions then peak of UK house prices would be now.
It is impossible to forecast or pick the peak of the UK housing market. You will never know the peak until it has passed. However, if the mortgage affordability rules had not been changed, the peak would probably be now. As the rules on mortgage affordability have been changed, from the 1st August, this will give the UK housing market a boost for a few more months. After that it will be downhill all the way!
The slackening of mortgage affordability rules mean more people can borrow more than would otherwise be the case. This supports housing and mortgage demand, and therefore house prices.
UK house price increases will slow towards end 2022 and then reverse into the global recession of 2023.
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An epic energy price increase will take place on the 1st October in the UK. Food prices will continue to rise. Wage rises will not keep up regardless of how often people strike.
Business activity in the UK is already slowing and this will be the cause of rising unemployment. Shortly after UK unemployment rises, this will be the point at which UK house prices will fall. The only unknown is – will the UK house price fall be insignificant due to never-ending lack of supply of housing, or will there be a house price collapse due to an unprecedented global depression, high unemployment and business closures.
- More Housing And Mortgage Reviews: The UK may avoid house price collapse but other countries will not be so lucky. House prices global will be under pressure worldwide but a house price collapse in likes of Canada, Australia and New Zealand is guaranteed. USA is likely to suffer house price collapse in majority if not all states.
26th April 2022 – UK housebuilder Taylor Wimpey says demand for new homes in UK is resilient in face of rising cost of living in UK.
Taylor Wimpey says there is a sustained demand and the housing market in UK is under-supplied. House prices should still rise into 2023 if they are right.
Taylor Wimpey is 3rd largest home builder in the UK
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Taylor Wimpey already has 3 billion pounds worth of orders for new homes as of 17th April 2022. The housing market for new homes in UK is such that Taylor Wimpey can push up house prices, cover increased cost of labour and materials and maintain profit.
Nationwide building society reports UK house prices jumped to an all time high in August 2020
Latest Nationwide figures back up figures from UKs biggest lender Halifax Bank. Pent up demand due to coronavirus pandemic lockdown and a stamp duty holiday on most purchases in England and Northern Ireland until April 2021 have boosted property values to record high. 9 in 10 buyers in England and Northern Ireland will not pay the tax on purchases worth less than £500000 until 1 April 2021.
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Which property type is best for investment?
In the drive for more protection of the environment, an energy efficient property should be an important criteria to boost to the top of you priority list when searching for best property to invest in in the UK. This will be important for both the size of rental income you can charge and for future resale capital increases. Tenants are increasingly interested in the cost of heating there rental property and it is likely that people wishing to buy a new home for themselves, or for their investment, will look for higher energy efficiency in the property they are going to buy.
In England, there is a minimum requirement for all rental properties to have an Energy Performance Certificate EPC rating of E, unless they have an exemption. Under current government plans in the UK, rental properties that are new lets will need to have an EPC rating of at least C. Existing rental properties will need to have C rating by 2028. In future there are also plans to ban new gas boilers, so replacement heating will come in the form of heat pumps.
If tenants have a choice, which due to lack of supply they don’t always currently have, EPC rating will affect rental valuations. Tenants do not want home with low EPC ratings. Property valuations will be increasingly affected by EPC ratings.
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