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17th May 2022 – Will be June before Shanghai business activity will look anything like normal.
Shanghai has reached Covid Zero Stage – three consecutive days with no new COVID-19 cases outside quarantine zones. Zero Covid Stage normally means a city in China can start lifting some lockdown restrictions.
Shanghai plans to resume outdoor activities in stages, with some convenience stores and pharmacies reopening this week, but with most restrictions on movement remaining in place until May 21, after which public transport and other services will resume gradually.
By June, the lockdown should be lifted, but residents will still be asked to get tested frequently.
It is probable that China will continue with its Zero Covid Policy but hard to see how Shanghai, a city of 25 million people with high trading capacity, can be free of Covid without large parts in quarantine for the foreseeable future – definitely months perhaps years. This working environment will surely slow Shanghai and China’s economic growth for the foreseeable future.
12th April 2022 – Shanghai growth and China economic growth will be slashed in 2022. Global economic growth to be impacted negatively. Prices on goods exported to the world will rise due to increased cost of production in China thereby increasing inflation in USA, Eurozone, UK and rest of world.
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